Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ocean Springs, MS
May 15, 2024 2:24 AM CDT (07:24 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:59 AM Sunset 7:44 PM Moonrise 12:49 PM Moonset 1:50 AM |
GMZ532 Mississippi Sound- 1008 Pm Cdt Tue May 14 2024
Rest of tonight - West winds around 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet.
Wednesday - West winds around 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet.
Wednesday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less.
Thursday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less, then 2 to 3 feet in the afternoon.
Thursday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
Friday - South winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Waves 3 to 4 feet. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Friday night - Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Waves 3 to 4 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers and Thunderstorms likely after midnight.
Saturday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 3 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night - West winds around 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Waves around 2 feet. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Waves around 2 feet.
Sunday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ500 1008 Pm Cdt Tue May 14 2024
Synopsis for pascagoula to atchafalaya river out 60 nm -
winds will become more west to southwesterly and decrease to less than 10 knots through the afternoon today. Southerly component to light winds remains intact through midweek but will gradually increase and become more southeasterly by late Thursday into Friday ahead of the next low pressure system. Thunderstorm activity becomes increasingly likely to cause issues by Friday into Saturday morning with a stalling boundary.
winds will become more west to southwesterly and decrease to less than 10 knots through the afternoon today. Southerly component to light winds remains intact through midweek but will gradually increase and become more southeasterly by late Thursday into Friday ahead of the next low pressure system. Thunderstorm activity becomes increasingly likely to cause issues by Friday into Saturday morning with a stalling boundary.
Area Discussion for - New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
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FXUS64 KLIX 150447 AFDLIX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 1147 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 354 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
KEY MESSAGE: Severe weather and excessive rainfall threats return to the area by Thursday night through Saturday morning. Exact details remain uncertain at this range, but we will continue to monitor the progress of this system over the next few days.
Aside from feathered cirrus from convective blowoff associated with more MCS activity over the central Gulf of Mexico, we have broken out into sunny skies areawide. This has allowed temperatures to climb into the low to mid 80s, right around average for this time of year. A somewhat more balmy and "cooler" night expected tonight as radiational cooling will be more efficient and surface high pressure builds overhead.
Wednesday afternoon will approach the 90F mark at many locations as a shortwave ridge builds in and high pressure keeps skies largely clear. Light northwest flow will also assist in some subtle compressional warming from higher elevations. On Thursday, winds then flip back southerly and gradually increase along with upper- level sky cover in association with the next approaching system that could bring impacts to our area. Return flow will allow moisture to surge back north during the day on Thursday which will set the stage for the next round of excessive rainfall and severe weather threats to end the week.
Pertaining to excessive rainfall and severe weather threat: A trough within the subtropical jetstream pattern will eject out of SW CONUS/Northern Mexico on Thursday morning providing ample lift and open warm sector for widespread convective activity to initiate across the Southern Great Plains by the afternoon/evening. The primary area to watch will be a smaller leading shortwave within this flow which could assist in initiate warm sector convection across the Sabine River Basin which could organize and move northeast, clipping northern portions of our area through the overnight hours and into Friday morning. While we are outlooked for an excessive rainfall threat during this period, the extent of impacts further east into our area are more uncertain at this time.
The more notable risk for severe weather and excessive rainfall threat will come on Friday as the main trough pushes northeast into the ArkLaTex region and a trailing shortwave trough positioned further south provides a more focused area of lift that could initiate a more robust area of deep convection along the Texas coast extending northeast into southern Louisiana and beyond Friday night.
Exact placement and timing of these troughs will be crucial. It is possible that we see multiple waves of convection pass near or through our area over the course of 36 hours which could drastically alter the thermodynamic and kinematic environments with each successive wave of convection has to work with. Therefore, the extent of impacts over our area associated with this event remains highly uncertain at this time, but it is safe to say that the threat for severe weather and excessive rainfall has increased for this period.
Once the main trough lifts into Friday night, the primary concern after that will be lingering excessive rainfall threat as a boundary stalls in generally west to east orientation along the LA coast.
Exact placement of where this stalls could prolong the potential for heavy rain into Saturday morning.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Monday night)
Issued at 354 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
The "cold" front associated with the system on Friday will move through during the day on Saturday, with quieter weather currently forecast Sunday and to start the next work week.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1147 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
Mostly VFR, clear skies, and light winds will prevail outside a brief period of possibly MVFR or lower CIGS between 11-14z, with the highest chances at MCB.
MARINE
Issued at 354 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
Light winds and calmer seas will prevail through Thursday as high pressure sets up overhead. Onshore flow increases with winds up to 10-15 knots by Thursday night into Friday ahead of the next system. Will need to monitor progress of showers and storms by Friday morning and into the weekend which could cause higher winds and seas than what is currently forecasted. Cannot rule out wake low activity in association with strong complexes of thunderstorms especially Friday night.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 60 86 62 86 / 0 0 0 10 BTR 64 90 67 90 / 0 0 0 30 ASD 66 91 67 89 / 0 0 0 10 MSY 69 89 72 88 / 0 0 0 20 GPT 66 89 68 87 / 0 0 0 10 PQL 65 91 65 90 / 0 0 0 0
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 1147 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 354 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
KEY MESSAGE: Severe weather and excessive rainfall threats return to the area by Thursday night through Saturday morning. Exact details remain uncertain at this range, but we will continue to monitor the progress of this system over the next few days.
Aside from feathered cirrus from convective blowoff associated with more MCS activity over the central Gulf of Mexico, we have broken out into sunny skies areawide. This has allowed temperatures to climb into the low to mid 80s, right around average for this time of year. A somewhat more balmy and "cooler" night expected tonight as radiational cooling will be more efficient and surface high pressure builds overhead.
Wednesday afternoon will approach the 90F mark at many locations as a shortwave ridge builds in and high pressure keeps skies largely clear. Light northwest flow will also assist in some subtle compressional warming from higher elevations. On Thursday, winds then flip back southerly and gradually increase along with upper- level sky cover in association with the next approaching system that could bring impacts to our area. Return flow will allow moisture to surge back north during the day on Thursday which will set the stage for the next round of excessive rainfall and severe weather threats to end the week.
Pertaining to excessive rainfall and severe weather threat: A trough within the subtropical jetstream pattern will eject out of SW CONUS/Northern Mexico on Thursday morning providing ample lift and open warm sector for widespread convective activity to initiate across the Southern Great Plains by the afternoon/evening. The primary area to watch will be a smaller leading shortwave within this flow which could assist in initiate warm sector convection across the Sabine River Basin which could organize and move northeast, clipping northern portions of our area through the overnight hours and into Friday morning. While we are outlooked for an excessive rainfall threat during this period, the extent of impacts further east into our area are more uncertain at this time.
The more notable risk for severe weather and excessive rainfall threat will come on Friday as the main trough pushes northeast into the ArkLaTex region and a trailing shortwave trough positioned further south provides a more focused area of lift that could initiate a more robust area of deep convection along the Texas coast extending northeast into southern Louisiana and beyond Friday night.
Exact placement and timing of these troughs will be crucial. It is possible that we see multiple waves of convection pass near or through our area over the course of 36 hours which could drastically alter the thermodynamic and kinematic environments with each successive wave of convection has to work with. Therefore, the extent of impacts over our area associated with this event remains highly uncertain at this time, but it is safe to say that the threat for severe weather and excessive rainfall has increased for this period.
Once the main trough lifts into Friday night, the primary concern after that will be lingering excessive rainfall threat as a boundary stalls in generally west to east orientation along the LA coast.
Exact placement of where this stalls could prolong the potential for heavy rain into Saturday morning.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Monday night)
Issued at 354 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
The "cold" front associated with the system on Friday will move through during the day on Saturday, with quieter weather currently forecast Sunday and to start the next work week.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1147 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
Mostly VFR, clear skies, and light winds will prevail outside a brief period of possibly MVFR or lower CIGS between 11-14z, with the highest chances at MCB.
MARINE
Issued at 354 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
Light winds and calmer seas will prevail through Thursday as high pressure sets up overhead. Onshore flow increases with winds up to 10-15 knots by Thursday night into Friday ahead of the next system. Will need to monitor progress of showers and storms by Friday morning and into the weekend which could cause higher winds and seas than what is currently forecasted. Cannot rule out wake low activity in association with strong complexes of thunderstorms especially Friday night.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 60 86 62 86 / 0 0 0 10 BTR 64 90 67 90 / 0 0 0 30 ASD 66 91 67 89 / 0 0 0 10 MSY 69 89 72 88 / 0 0 0 20 GPT 66 89 68 87 / 0 0 0 10 PQL 65 91 65 90 / 0 0 0 0
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS | 13 mi | 55 min | 78°F | |||||
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS | 20 mi | 100 min | WSW 9.9 | 77°F | 29.83 | 74°F | ||
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS | 20 mi | 55 min | WSW 19G | 76°F | 29.80 | |||
WYCM6 - 8747437 - Bay Waveland Yacht Club, MS | 28 mi | 55 min | WSW 5.1G | 79°F | 77°F | 29.78 | ||
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL | 35 mi | 145 min | 81°F | 30.24 | ||||
DPHA1 | 39 mi | 175 min | 77°F | 78°F | 29.26 | |||
MBPA1 | 39 mi | 55 min | 77°F | 74°F | ||||
DILA1 | 40 mi | 55 min | WSW 13G | 77°F | 77°F | 29.80 | ||
EFLA1 | 42 mi | 55 min | 78°F | 75°F | ||||
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL | 43 mi | 55 min | WSW 2.9G | 75°F | 76°F | 29.80 | ||
FRMA1 | 44 mi | 55 min | WSW 14G | 78°F | 29.80 | 78°F | ||
PTOA1 | 45 mi | 55 min | 76°F | 72°F | ||||
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL | 46 mi | 55 min | 75°F | 77°F | 29.82 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT HIDE  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KBIX KEESLER AFB,MS | 7 sm | 29 min | W 06 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 77°F | 72°F | 83% | 29.78 | |
KGPT GULFPORTBILOXI INTL,MS | 14 sm | 31 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 75°F | 72°F | 89% | 29.80 | |
KPQL TRENT LOTT INTL,MS | 15 sm | 31 min | var 03 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 75°F | 72°F | 89% | 29.80 |
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Ocean Springs, Mississippi, Tide feet
Biloxi
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:50 AM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 03:17 AM CDT 0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:00 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 06:49 AM CDT First Quarter
Wed -- 12:48 PM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 04:25 PM CDT 1.60 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:42 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:50 AM CDT Moonset
Wed -- 03:17 AM CDT 0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:00 AM CDT Sunrise
Wed -- 06:49 AM CDT First Quarter
Wed -- 12:48 PM CDT Moonrise
Wed -- 04:25 PM CDT 1.60 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:42 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Biloxi, Biloxi Bay, Mississippi, Tide feet
12 am |
0.3 |
1 am |
0.2 |
2 am |
0.1 |
3 am |
0 |
4 am |
0 |
5 am |
0.1 |
6 am |
0.2 |
7 am |
0.3 |
8 am |
0.5 |
9 am |
0.6 |
10 am |
0.8 |
11 am |
1 |
12 pm |
1.2 |
1 pm |
1.3 |
2 pm |
1.5 |
3 pm |
1.5 |
4 pm |
1.6 |
5 pm |
1.6 |
6 pm |
1.5 |
7 pm |
1.4 |
8 pm |
1.3 |
9 pm |
1.1 |
10 pm |
0.9 |
11 pm |
0.7 |
Mobile, AL,
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