Thursday, December12, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Goulding, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 4:50PM Thursday December 12, 2019 4:28 AM CST (10:28 UTC) Moonrise 6:27PMMoonset 7:54AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Expires:201912122200;;231500 Fzus54 Kmob 120948 Cwfmob Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mobile Al 348 Am Cst Thu Dec 12 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters Okaloosa Walton County Line To Pascagoula Out 60 Nm Seas Are Given As Significant Wave Height...which Is The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves. Individual Waves May Be More Than Twice The Significant Wave Height. Winds And Seas Will Be Higher In And Around Thunderstorms. Gmz650-655-122200- Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 348 Am Cst Thu Dec 12 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Today..East winds 20 to 25 knots diminishing to 18 to 23 knots. Gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Northeast winds 18 to 23 knots becoming east 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..East winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots becoming northeast 8 to 13 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Dominant wave period 7 seconds. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northwest 13 to 18 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds. Chance of showers in the evening, then slight chance of showers after midnight.
Saturday..Northwest winds 13 to 18 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming north 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Sunday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 6 seconds.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds.
Monday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds 13 to 18 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 348 Am Cst Thu Dec 12 2019
Synopsis..A moderate to strong easterly flow will continue into tonight, with seas remaining elevated. Hazardous conditions will also persist for operators of smaller marine craft. Light to moderate northwesterly flow will then take hold for the beginning of the weekend. Ahead of an advancing cold front from the west, light to moderate southerly flow is expected late weekend into early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Goulding, FL
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location: 30.4, -87.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 121028 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 428 AM CST Thu Dec 12 2019

NEAR TERM /Now Through Thursday night/. Next southern stream mid-level impulse ejects eastward over TX this morning and approaches the Lower MS River Valley late this afternoon. Ahead of this approaching feature, clouds are forecast to thicken as Gulf moisture begins to spread northward, atop a cool sector that remains settled in across the central Gulf coast. Deep into the Gulf, a quasi-stationary surface front was aligned west to east from the central Gulf to across the central FL Peninsula. As mid-level height falls approach, the formation of a weak wave of frontal low pressure along the Gulf front is favored. The frontal wave and its associated warm front eases northeast over the coastal waters by tonight.

Precipitation coverage begins to increase through the course of the day. There are indications from the latest high resolution convective allowing models that decent mid-level instability (H7-H5 millibar) lapse rates potentially on the order of 7 to 7.5C/KM, will over-spread areas generally along and east of I-65 thru the day. This lends to the potential of elevated thunder in the cool sector. Something to watch for is that wet-bulb zeros between 9 and 10 kft would also favor the potential of small hail with some of the storms. As the frontal wave moves up across the coastal waters tonight, deep layer ascent will continue to increase. Categorical PoPs will be more aligned over the southeast half of the local area. Periods of showers and isolated storms in coverage. Northwest of the interstate, showers likely.

Today's highs remain on the cool side, in the mid to upper 50s. Overnight lows in the mid 40s interior to 48 to 53 coast. /10

SHORT TERM /Friday Through Saturday night/. A upper trof over the central states advances into the eastern states through Friday night, then moves into the western Atlantic Saturday night leaving a zonal flow pattern over the forecast area. A surface low will be located over the north central Gulf Friday morning (within an inverted surface trof) then moves across the extreme southeast states Friday evening. The surface low deepens substantially while continuing northward across the New England area on Saturday. Will have predominately likely pops over the central and eastern portions of the area Friday morning (chance pops further to the west) which gradually diminish to dry conditions by Saturday morning as the surface low moves well off to the north. While the forecast area remains in an overrunning pattern, elevated instability will allow for isolated embedded storms over the southern portion of the forecast area Friday morning. Highs on Friday range from around 60 well inland to the mid to upper 60s closer to the coast then highs on Saturday will be mostly in the mid 60s. Lows Friday night range from the mid 40s well inland to the lower 50s at the coast then Saturday night will be a bit cooler with lows ranging from the lower 40s inland to the upper 40s at the immediate coast. /29

LONG TERM /Sunday Through Wednesday/. A positively tilted upper trof over the western states amplifies while advancing into the central states through Monday night, then continues across much of the eastern states through Wednesday. An associated surface low develops over the south central states then advances towards the northeast states and brings a strong cold front through the forecast area Monday night. A dry forecast continues on Sunday then pops increase on Monday to likely to categorical over the western and central portions of the area, with chance pops over the eastern portion. Categorical pops follow for the entire area Monday night as the front moves through, then rain chances taper off on Tuesday with dry conditions areawide by Tuesday evening. As the front moves through Monday night, a southwesterly 850 mb flow of 30 to 40 knots results in 0-1 km Helicity values of 100-200 m2/s2, and both these shear values and the low level jet have trended a bit lower compared to earlier runs. The nocturnal continues to result in limited instability, so will continue to monitor at this point. /29

MARINE. Surface high pressure is currently over the northern Tennessee Valley and will gradually move eastward through late week. Meanwhile, surface low pressure will progress northeast from the western Gulf of Mexico over the northern Gulf during this time. Thus, a moderate to strong easterly flow will continue today and into tonight, with seas remaining elevated. Hazardous conditions will also persist for operators of smaller marine craft. Light to moderate northwesterly flow will then take hold for the beginning of the weekend in the wake of the low pressure system. Ahead of an advancing cold front from the west, light to moderate southerly flow is expected for late weekend and into early next week. /26

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Mobile 59 47 67 48 67 46 69 56 / 30 90 50 30 0 0 0 10 Pensacola 57 50 68 52 67 49 69 58 / 60 90 70 30 10 0 0 10 Destin 57 52 67 55 65 51 67 59 / 60 80 80 40 10 0 0 10 Evergreen 55 46 64 48 67 42 69 52 / 40 80 70 40 10 0 0 10 Waynesboro 55 45 61 46 64 42 67 52 / 20 60 30 30 10 0 10 20 Camden 55 45 61 47 64 42 67 51 / 30 70 70 40 10 0 0 10 Crestview 56 47 66 50 67 44 69 52 / 60 80 70 40 10 0 0 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Friday for GMZ650-655-670- 675.

Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for GMZ631-632.



This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 0 mi59 min ENE 1.9 G 9.9 49°F 62°F1027 hPa
PPTA1 20 mi59 min 51°F 1027.4 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 29 mi39 min ENE 18 G 23 60°F 70°F6 ft1026.3 hPa54°F
WBYA1 33 mi59 min 57°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 33 mi104 min 44°F 1027 hPa33°F
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 45 mi59 min ENE 17 G 19 49°F 1026.5 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 47 mi89 min NE 16 G 17 49°F 1027 hPa (-0.7)
MBPA1 47 mi59 min 47°F 34°F
PTOA1 47 mi59 min 44°F 32°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 48 mi59 min NNE 6 G 8 54°F 59°F1027.9 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 49 mi59 min 44°F 59°F1027.6 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL5 mi36 minENE 710.00 miOvercast49°F37°F64%1027 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL7 mi4.5 hrsNE 1110.00 miOvercast52°F28°F40%1028.1 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL23 mi93 minENE 1110.00 miOvercast48°F34°F58%1026.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPNS

Wind History from PNS (wind in knots)
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2 days agoSW5W4W3SW3W6SW8SW9SW8SW11S9S10S7S4S5S5S6S6SE7S6S5S6S6S8S9

Tide / Current Tables for Pensacola, Florida
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Pensacola
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:36 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:54 AM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 08:54 AM CST     -0.49 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:48 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:27 PM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:35 PM CST     1.45 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.210.80.50.30-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.2-0.10.10.30.50.70.91.11.21.41.41.4

Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Bend, Santa Rosa Sound, Florida
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Fishing Bend
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:35 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:53 AM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 09:45 AM CST     -0.54 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:48 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:27 PM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:16 PM CST     1.59 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.31.10.80.50.2-0-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.2-0.10.10.40.60.811.21.41.51.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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