Saturday, August24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mary Esther, FL

Version 3.4
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7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:17AMSunset 7:20PM Saturday August 24, 2019 8:21 PM CDT (01:21 UTC) Moonrise 12:20AMMoonset 2:23PM Illumination 30% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ655 Expires:201908250845;;150997 Fzus54 Kmob 242032 Cwfmob Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mobile Al 332 Pm Cdt Sat Aug 24 2019 Gulf Coastal Waters Okaloosa Walton County Line To Pascagoula Out 60 Nm Seas Are Given As Significant Wave Height...which Is The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves. Individual Waves May Be More Than Twice The Significant Wave Height. Winds And Seas Will Be Higher In And Around Thunderstorms. Gmz650-655-250845- Coastal Waters From Pensacola Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl To Pensacola Fl Out 20 Nm- 332 Pm Cdt Sat Aug 24 2019
Tonight..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northwest 3 to 8 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..North winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 5 seconds. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant wave period 4 seconds. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 332 Pm Cdt Sat Aug 24 2019
Synopsis..A light variable winds are expected across the marine area through this evening then strengthen becoming more west to southwesterly tomorrow through the middle of next week. Seas remain 1-2 ft over the weekend and early next week, but a slight increase in seas is expected by midweek. Periods of scattered showers and Thunderstorms expected over the coastal waters through the period.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mary Esther, FL
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location: 30.41, -86.73     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 250008
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
708 pm cdt Sat aug 24 2019

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
00z issuance... Isolated to scattered shra tsra will impact a few
locations across interior portions of southeast ms and
southwest south central al, as well as an adjacent portion of the
interior northwest fl panhandle for the next 2-3 hours. Localized
reductions in CIGS visibility, brief heavy rainfall, and frequent
lightning will be possible near the stronger cells. Very patchy
fog low ceilings may develop again across a few locations in
interior southeast ms and southwest al late tonight early Sunday
morning, but probabilities of impact remain low. Additional
scattered to locally numerous shra tsra expected to redevelop
across the region again Sunday. Otherwise,VFR conditions are
forecast to prevail in the local kmob kbfm kpns tafs through the
period. 21

Prev discussion issued 315 pm cdt Sat aug 24 2019
near term now through Sunday ... Deep tropical moisture off the
coast of texas louisiana will be the main source of rain through
the near term. Late tonight and into Sunday a shortwave over
western kansas dives south into the lower mississippi river valley
and merges with the broad surface trough associated with the
aforementioned tropical moisture. This system shifts eastward
throughout the day Sunday. Locally winds shift southerly as
southern alabama becomes more influenced by the upper trough and
broad surface low to the west. The southerly flow should allow the
sea breeze to move further inland by the afternoon to initiate
storms. Prior to the afternoons storms temperatures will be hot
again in the upper 80s and low 90s. Precipitable water values of
2.10-2.40 inches will be moist enough for heavy rainfall along the
inland sea breeze boundary. Severe potential is low as cape
values are only 1500-2000 j kg with a light shear profile. The
questionable factor still is the area of tropical moisture Sunday
afternoon into the evening. The national hurricane center has a
10% chance of cyclone formation over the next 2 days, but it is
likely the area of interest moves overland into louisiana before
any further development. Regardless, locally heavy rainfalls
derived from the system are possible over parts of louisiana and
southeastern mississippi. Dj 17
short term Sunday night through Tuesday night ... Showers and
thunderstorms should continue overnight Sunday. Minor shortwave
troughs moving through the upstream longwave trough will interact
with lingering outflow boundaries within a very moist airmass to
trigger scattered to numerous showers thunderstorms into Monday.

Convective coverage increases Monday as deep layer moisture pooling
over the area increases, pwats of 2.2 to 2.45 inches, and ml cape
increases during the day to 1500 to 2000 j kg with the upper
trough persisting aloft. Slow moving storms and storm mergers on
Monday may lead to locally heavy rainfalls of 2 to 4 inches
producing some localized flooding along poor drainages. By Tuesday
pwats over interior locations trend more toward normal for this
time of year (1.7 to 1.85 inches), but remain high along the coast
(2.0 to 2.4 inches). Weak vertical shear and elevated wbz heights
of 12,000 to 15,000 feet will inhibit the potential for severe
thunderstorms. The biggest impact during this period is expected
to be the potential for localized heavy rainfalls. Afternoon
temperatures on Monday should trend several degrees cooler than
normal due to shower activity and cloud cover and rebound a some
on Tuesday and trend closer to normal. Overnight lows will trend
near to a little warmer than climatological norms. 08
long term Wednesday through Saturday ... A cold front is projected
to approach SE ms and S al from the northwest Wednesday and move off
the al and western fl panhandle coast Wednesday night. Main upper
level dynamics will remain to our north leaving only weak forcing
and minimal vertical shear over the forecast area. Afternoon
instability and pwats climbing above two inches will lead to
scattered to numerous convection forming along the frontal
boundary as it moves southeastward during the day towards the
coast. A drier northwesterly wind flow will develop in the fronts
wake as surface high pressure builds in from the northwest. Low
and mid level high pressure builds in behind the front leading to
drier and warmer daytime highs Thursday and Friday... While
overnight lows by Thursday night fall into the low to mid 60s at
more northern interior locations to generally upper 60s to low 70s
closer to the coast. A moist return flow begins to develop by
Saturday as surface high pressure shifts eastward from the
tennessee valley area to the western atlantic. Isolated to
scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms are expected over
the weekend. 08
marine... As a broad surface trough near the texas louisiana border
moves northeastward and inland, light variable winds become more
southerly Sunday. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
will be possible late in the weekend into the beginning of next
week. Late Monday storms should begin over the western marine
zones before expanding eastward into the evening. Lingering
atmospheric moisture over the gulf keeps the chance pops in place
through mid week. A cold frontal passage late Wednesday will cause
winds to strengthen and shift northerly. Seas could increase to 2
to 3 feet mid through late in the week associated with the front
but this is relatively short lived. Additional showers and
thunderstorms and increased seas will be possible next weekend.

Dj 17

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 25 mi51 min ESE 1 G 4.1 86°F 88°F1014.3 hPa
PPTA1 45 mi51 min 85°F 1014.2 hPa
PCBF1 47 mi51 min W 13 G 14 85°F 89°F1014.3 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 50 mi41 min SSW 5.8 G 7.8 85°F 86°F1014.2 hPa77°F
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 59 mi51 min W 8 G 9.9 89°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hurlburt Field, FL3 mi85 minW 610.00 miA Few Clouds85°F75°F72%1013.7 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL12 mi85 minWSW 510.00 miFair85°F74°F72%1014.5 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL14 mi88 minVar 310.00 miFair86°F75°F70%1013.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHRT

Wind History from HRT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalm--------Calm--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmS6S5SW7SW8SW8SW6SW5W6
1 day agoS5S8------S3Calm----CalmCalmCalm--CalmCalmS5NW3S5S3S4S3SW5CalmS2
2 days agoS4SE4--------S3--Calm--CalmCalmCalm--N5SE4CalmSE5SE5S6SE3SE6S6S7

Tide / Current Tables for Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Harris
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:20 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:18 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:33 AM CDT     1.69 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:22 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:19 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:00 PM CDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.911.11.31.41.51.61.71.71.61.61.51.31.10.90.80.60.50.30.30.30.30.40.5

Tide / Current Tables for Navarre Beach, Florida
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Navarre Beach
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:21 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:14 AM CDT     1.57 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:19 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 02:23 PM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 02:48 PM CDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:19 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.51.51.61.61.51.41.31.10.90.70.60.50.40.30.30.40.40.50.60.80.911.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.