Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Mary Esther, FL

UPDATE
Issued at 658 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

Have updated sky cover today due to a cloud layer near 7 kft currently slowly progressing eastward across the area. Made other minor adjustments. /29

DISCUSSION
Issued at 1245 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

The cold front that passed through the forecast area on Sunday has moved off the coast as weak surface high pressure builds into the region from the west. The boundary will then waver along the coast as a sea-breeze pushes slightly inland by late this afternoon and then south of the coast by Tuesday morning due to developing land- breeze. Weak synoptic low-level flow continues through Tuesday, but the sea-breeze should push as far north as Highway-84 by early Tuesday evening. A more established southerly flow will occur on Wednesday along the westerly periphery of a high pressure area setting up to our east. The upper trough currently stretching from the eastern Great Lakes to the northern Gulf will slowly push eastward with the axis exiting our area by the end of the day. We still expect this trough to dissipate tonight with an upper cutoff low being left behind centered over northern Georgia that will slowly lift northward over the Tennessee Valley into midweek.

A very dry airmass above 700 mb will continue to filter in from the north-northwest resulting in mainly dry conditions today and Tuesday. However, with moisture lingering below 700 mb through midweek, isolated late afternoon and evening showers and a few storms remain possible across our coastal areas due to low-level forcing along the sea-breeze and across our eastern zones in closer proximity to the upper low. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will return Wednesday afternoon, mainly along and east of I-65 as we return to a diurnal convective pattern.
High temperatures today in the upper 80s to lower 90s will warm into the lower to middle 90s Tuesday through the remainder of the week. Apparent temperatures (heat indices) will increase each day as surface boundary moisture is pulled northward from the Gulf, reaching between 100-107 degrees Thursday into the weekend, but should remain below Heat Advisory criteria.

Beach Forecast: A Moderate Risk of Rip Currents through tonight will become Low Tuesday through Thursday. /22

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 658 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

A few showers with MVFR conditions are possible over eastern portions of the area this afternoon, with VFR conditions otherwise expected to prevail through tonight. A northwesterly flow around 5 knots is expected over interior areas today, while closer to the coast winds become westerly to southwesterly at 5-10 knots. /29

MARINE
Issued at 253 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

Light to moderate northwesterly winds become westerly this afternoon. A southwesterly flow develops on Monday then becomes southerly on Wednesday. Winds become southeasterly on Thursday with an easterly to southeasterly flow following for Friday. /29

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 91 73 93 74 / 10 0 20 0 Pensacola 90 76 91 78 / 10 10 20 10 Destin 88 77 90 78 / 10 10 10 10 Evergreen 90 70 93 71 / 20 0 20 10 Waynesboro 91 71 95 70 / 0 0 10 0 Camden 88 70 92 71 / 10 0 20 10 Crestview 91 71 93 72 / 20 10 20 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.