Wednesday, July17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Point Clear, AL

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:59AMSunset 7:56PM Wednesday July 17, 2019 3:34 AM CDT (08:34 UTC) Moonrise 8:44PMMoonset 6:33AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 1011 Pm Cdt Tue Jul 16 2019
Rest of tonight..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday..Winds light becoming southwest 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1011 Pm Cdt Tue Jul 16 2019
Synopsis..High pressure over the western atlantic will continue to ridge westward across the gulf of mexico. This will create a light to moderate southerly to westerly windflow with seas of two feet or less through the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Point Clear, AL
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location: 30.42, -88     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 170500 aac
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
1200 am cdt Wed jul 17 2019

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
06z issuance... GeneralVFR conditions start the forecast. Drops in
visbys to low end MVFR levels still possible towards sunrise.

Guidance is advertising favored area being along the highway 84
corridor to north of i10, with this area seeing the best
combination of light winds and moisture. After sunrise, any fog
will mix out quickly, withVFR conditions by noontime. Southerly
winds are expected to increase to around 10 knots, a bit more
close to the coast.

16

Prev discussion issued 759 pm cdt Tue jul 16 2019
discussion... See updated information for land areas below.

Update... Added the potential for isolated thunderstorm activity
for early this evening over our northern SE mississippi and
northwestern alabama counties. Upstream convection has been slow
to wane and adequate instability with ml capes of around 2000 j kg
remains over the region. Radar shows a weak thunderstorm currently
moving into SW wayne county. Expect increasing CIN in the next
couple of hours to prevent any additional convection overnight.

08
prev discussion... Issued 630 pm cdt Tue jul 16 2019
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

00z issuance... GeneralVFR conditions expected into tonight under
southerly winds of 5 to 10 knots. With a very moist atmosphere and
winds becoming light overnight, especially inland, guidance is
advertising fog development tonight, with dense fog lifr visbys
possible along and south of the highway84 corridor and well north
of the i10 corridor. Area TAF sites may see visbys dropping to
MVFR levels close to sunrise late tonight.

After sunrise, any fog should quickly mix out, with general upper
end MVFR toVFR conditions by noontime and lasting through the
day. Winds from the south rising to 5 to 10 knots, 10 to 15 knots
closer to the coast are expected by noon time.

16
prev discussion... Issued 355 pm cdt Tue jul 16 2019
near term now through Wednesday ... Upper high pressure over the
extreme southeast CONUS will expand westward as an upper trough
passes north of the forecast area. A surface high pressure ridge
extending from the western atlantic, across the florida peninsula
and northern gulf deep south, will keep a light southerly wind
flow over the forecast area. This flow off the gulf will hold
dewpoints in the low to mid 70s. The combination of low level
moisture in place and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, should
result in patchy to areas of fog late tonight into Wednesday
morning. Dry conditions area-wide will persist through the near
term.

Low temperatures tonight will be 1 to 3 degrees above normal,
ranging from 71 to 74 degrees inland areas, with mid to upper 70s
along the coast. High temperatures Wednesday will be 1 to 3 degrees
above normal, ranging from 92 to 97 degrees inland areas, with upper
80s to lower 90s along the coast. 22
short term Wednesday night through Friday night ... Mid-level
ridge builds over the deep south Wednesday night with a kink in
the northern portion of the ridge axis over the appalachians,
where a trof axis moves through. A break in the upper ridge
evolves over the southeast us Thursday when a plume of higher
environmental moisture along with an inverted mid-level trof
feature begins to migrate westward by the close of the week. This
suggests a gradual increase in shower storm chances with each day.

Showers and storms look to become more likely over the interior
northeast zones by Friday with a modest chance elsewhere. Away
from the passage of storm rain-cooled outflow boundaries, daytime
highs range from 92 to up to 97 over the interior with numbers
ranging 87 to 91 closer to the beaches. Heat indices each day
range 101 to 106. Isolated occurrences of a few degrees higher
possible. 10
long term Saturday through Tuesday ... Mid-level ridge is progged
to be aligned from the mid-ms river valley eastward to off the
east coast Saturday. South of this ridge, an inverted trof axis
slips slowly westward through Sunday along with a zone of higher
deep layer moisture. Considering these players, will maintain an
unsettled pattern going into the weekend with pops ranging 40-60%.

By early next week, there are indications that the eastern us mid-
level ridge begins to break down with a long-wave upper trof digging
southeast over the great lakes upper mid-west Monday. The axis of
the upper trof approaches the southeast us Tuesday and is
accompanied by a southeastward surging front or trof which helps
to pool a zone of deep moisture also spreading to the coast. A
chance of storms remains in the forecast Monday and Tuesday. Highs
and lows close to climatology. 10
marine... High pressure will continue to build west over the
eastern and north central gulf through the week leading to a light
southerly wind flow over the marine area through Saturday. The
highest winds and seas will occur over the near shore waters out to
20 nm including inland bays and sounds during the afternoon and
early evening hours due to afternoon heating inland. 22

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 9 mi110 min 75°F 1019 hPa74°F
WBYA1 9 mi47 min 83°F
MBPA1 9 mi47 min 79°F 76°F
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 11 mi95 min S 9.9 83°F 1018.6 hPa (-1.0)
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 11 mi95 min SSW 8 83°F 1018.6 hPa (-0.7)
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 12 mi35 min SW 6 G 8 82°F 1018.4 hPa (-1.2)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 13 mi47 min SW 8.9 G 8.9 82°F 1018.4 hPa
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 16 mi65 min SSW 9.9 1019 hPa
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 16 mi47 min W 1.9 G 4.1 81°F 85°F1018.6 hPa
PTOA1 17 mi47 min 82°F 77°F
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 17 mi35 min SSW 8 83°F 1018.6 hPa (-0.7)
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 20 mi59 min 80°F 86°F1018.5 hPa
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 23 mi110 min S 8.9 84°F 1020 hPa78°F
PPTA1 25 mi65 min 83°F 1018.3 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 30 mi59 min 84°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 30 mi59 min SSW 9.9 G 11 84°F 1018.5 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 34 mi35 min SSW 5.8 G 7.8 83°F 86°F1018.4 hPa (-1.3)77°F
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 42 mi47 min S 2.9 G 7 84°F 88°F1018.5 hPa

Wind History for Dauphin Island, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL7 mi40 minN 010.00 mi72°F71°F100%1018.6 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL16 mi42 minN 010.00 miFair79°F75°F90%1018.8 hPa
Jack Edwards Airport, AL20 mi60 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy76°F74°F96%1018.6 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL22 mi39 minN 09.00 miFair76°F75°F97%1018.5 hPa

Wind History from CQF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS8SW5S3S5S6S3SW3S3SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSE5SE3SE6S5S9S7S10S5S7SE13
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Tide / Current Tables for Gulfport Harbor, Mississippi Sound, Mississippi
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current
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Mobile Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 06:01 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:34 AM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:39 AM CDT     2.16 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 12:30 PM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:10 PM CDT     -2.27 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 07:54 PM CDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:43 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.611.41.822.12.221.81.40.90.3-0.3-0.9-1.5-1.9-2.2-2.3-2.2-2-1.7-1.3-0.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.