Sunday, July12, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Point Clear, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 7:57PM Sunday July 12, 2020 3:10 PM CDT (20:10 UTC) Moonrise 12:22AMMoonset 12:48PM Illumination 51% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 1021 Am Cdt Sun Jul 12 2020
Rest of today..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Thursday..West winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1021 Am Cdt Sun Jul 12 2020
Synopsis..Other than a light northerly flow early this morning, a light to occasionally moderate west to southwest flow is expected to prevail through Thursday. Thunderstorms will be possible each afternoon with the best chances in the nearshore waters and bays.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Point Clear, AL
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location: 30.42, -88     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 121838 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 138 PM CDT Sun Jul 12 2020

NEAR TERM /Now Through Monday/. We are still stuck sandwiched between a strengthening upper ridge over Western Texas and New Mexico and a weakening upper trough draped over the northeastern US. As a result, northwesterly flow remains over most of the state of Alabama with several subtle shortwaves chugging along the periphery of the ridge. What appears to be a mid-level front extended north to south across Alabama marking the difference between drier air to the east (PWATS of 1 to 1.5 inches) and deep moist air to the west (PWATS of 2 to 2.25 inches). MLCape values along and west of this boundary have climbed to near 3000 J/KG with a strong north to south Cape gradient across our area. An ongoing line of strong to severe storms (MCS) was located just north of Birmingham. Typically in this sort of pattern these MCS's will ride along the Cape gradient. As a result, the ongoing line of strong to severe storms will continue it's tour of Alabama and enter our area from the north by late this afternoon and evening. The atmosphere will be primed for damaging winds with 25-35 knots of 0-3KM bulk shear and more than sufficient cape values. While low, a tornado cannot be completely ignored. This will be true where 0-3KM bulk shear values approach 35+ knots. Storms will continue into the evening likely reaching the coast by around 11 pm to midnight. Storms will likely weaken given the loss of daytime heating; however, there still should be enough cape to keep storms going along the leading edge of the outflow boundary.

Tomorrow will look more like a standard summer day as the outflow from tonight storms will likely push offshore and wipe out some of the moisture across the area. Most of the day will be spent recovering. The best area of storms will likely be along the coast where the best moisture will be able to recover and surface forcing would be maximized along the afternoon seabreeze circulation. Like almost every afternoon, a few strong to severe storms will be possible but dry air will likely limit coverage and severe potential.

Temperatures will continue to be hot with the presence of the upper ridge to our west. The good news is that tonights MCS might mix the atmosphere making it a little cooler this evening; however, the added low level moisture will probably bump dewpoints up in the morning and lead to peak solar heating during the morning. Temperatures will quickly rise into the low 90s with dewpoints in the mid 70s. Heat indexes will range from 104-108 with the highest heat indexes likely over Southeast Mississippi, Mobile and Baldwin counties. I am still mulling over the potential for another heat advisory tomorrow as I wan't to see how much we mix out this afternoon. Vertical mixing that brings drier air to the surface would be the one saving grace from the downright oppressive heat except usually when that happens our temperatures spike up into the mid to upper 90s. You really can't win around here as it's going to be hot one way or the other. I will likely re-analyze the potential for a heat advisory later this afternoon and provide an update with the 4 pm package. Lows will still be in the 70s and I would not expect that to change until November. Rip current risk will be low today increasing to Moderate tomorrow as the next swell approaches our beaches. BB/03


AVIATION. 18Z issuance . VFR cigs will continue through the afternoon and into the early evening. A line of strong to possibly severe storms will approach the area from the north this evening. MVFR to IFR conditions will be possible with this line as it moves from north to south across the area. Storms should move offshore and dissipate around midnight with VFR conditions returning shortly after midnight. Winds will be light out of the west-northwest through tomorrow. BB/03

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . Heat Advisory until 6 PM CDT this evening for ALZ261>266.

FL . None. MS . Heat Advisory until 6 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078- 079.

GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 1 mi40 min SSE 17 87°F 1011.5 hPa
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 9 mi85 min 92°F 1012 hPa72°F
WBYA1 9 mi52 min 89°F
MBPA1 9 mi52 min 92°F 77°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 11 mi100 min SSW 7 88°F 1012.9 hPa
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 11 mi70 min SSW 9.9 87°F 1011.9 hPa (-1.4)
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 12 mi70 min SSW 7 G 9.9 88°F 1012.1 hPa (-1.2)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 13 mi52 min SSW 12 G 13
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 16 mi52 min S 11 G 15 84°F
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 16 mi70 min SSW 9.9 1012.5 hPa (-1.4)
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 17 mi40 min S 11 88°F 1010.8 hPa
PTOA1 17 mi52 min 91°F 77°F
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 20 mi52 min 89°F 85°F
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 23 mi85 min SSW 9.9 89°F 1013 hPa79°F
PPTA1 25 mi40 min 89°F 1012.2 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 30 mi52 min 84°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 30 mi52 min SSW 9.9 G 11 90°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 34 mi40 min SW 9.7 G 9.7 87°F 86°F1012.1 hPa72°F
42067 - USM3M02 40 mi70 min S 3.9 G 5.8 87°F 1011.5 hPa (-1.4)
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 42 mi52 min S 9.9 G 12 88°F 88°F

Wind History for Dauphin Island, AL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL7 mi35 minSSW 510.00 miFair88°F71°F59%1011.5 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL16 mi17 minSSE 1210.00 miPartly Cloudy93°F78°F62%1010.9 hPa
Jack Edwards Airport, AL20 mi15 minSW 10 G 1910.00 miFair92°F70°F50%1011.2 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL22 mi14 minWSW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy95°F75°F53%1010.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCQF

Wind History from CQF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW5N6N4NW5N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW4SW3
1 day agoW5W4W4SW5W4W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3NW3NW5NW5NW4NW7NW6N8
2 days agoSW4SW5SW6SW5SW6SW5SW5CalmSW3W4W5W6W5W5W3W4NW7W5NW9N7NW6NW5NW4NW4

Tide / Current Tables for Gulfport Harbor, Mississippi Sound, Mississippi
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current
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Mobile Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:22 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:15 AM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:59 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:59 AM CDT     0.46 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 12:48 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:29 PM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:31 PM CDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 07:55 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:06 PM CDT     -0.32 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.