PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 300 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024/

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Friday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

An upper trof along the East Coast moves slowly off into the western Atlantic, and meanwhile an upper ridge which extends from the southern Plains to the Great Lakes builds into the forecast region. A weak sea breeze circulation develops near the coast this afternoon and again Friday afternoon, but otherwise a dry northerly to northeasterly flow prevails over the forecast area.
Deep layer moisture will be too limited to consider pops so have continued with a dry forecast through Friday night. Lows tonight and Friday night range from the mid 60s well inland to the lower 70s near the coast. Highs on Friday will be mostly in the lower 90s. A low risk of rip currents is expected during the period. /29

LONG TERM...
(Friday through Thursday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

Most of the extended is looking rather pleasant for mid september as high pressure dominates the first half of the week. We probably won't see any form of substantial rain chances until the middle part of next week as a series of shortwaves eject out of the central US. As the shortwaves eject out, a very subtle and weak boundary will slowly drift towards the Gulf coast bringing a focus for maybe some showers and storms Tuesday into Wednesday of next week. Other than that there is not much else going on through early and mid next week. Looking past next week is when things may become more interesting along the Gulf as the Central American Gyre looks to get going. At the end of the day while there is a chance for something of tropical nature to get going in the Gulf as we approach October the details are foggier than Mobile in January. For now anything you see about any potential Gulf mischief outside of "there is a non-zero chance" is nothing more than heartburn and fear mongering. Enjoy the next week of relatively benign weather and as things start to get moving and the chess pieces start to play out we will be right here to give you the best updates we can. BB/03

MARINE...
Issued at 300 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

No impacts are expected other than higher winds and seas near storms on Tuesday. /29

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 68 92 70 90 70 90 71 88 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 Pensacola 71 89 73 88 73 88 75 87 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 Destin 74 89 74 88 74 88 75 87 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Evergreen 66 94 67 93 68 92 68 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Waynesboro 66 92 66 91 68 91 67 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Camden 68 91 67 91 67 90 69 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Crestview 66 91 67 91 68 91 68 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.