Saturday, January25, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Point Clear, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 5:22PM Saturday January 25, 2020 3:21 AM CST (09:21 UTC) Moonrise 8:27AMMoonset 7:13PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 932 Pm Cst Fri Jan 24 2020
Rest of tonight..Northwest winds 13 to 18 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday night..Winds light. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday..Winds light becoming southeast 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Showers likely.
Sunday night..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northeast. Waves less than 1 foot. Showers likely.
Monday..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Monday night..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 932 Pm Cst Fri Jan 24 2020
Synopsis..High pressure will move east across the gulf before a weak surface low forms over the western gulf Sunday. Flow will become onshore Sunday as rain chances increase. Another low pressure system forecast to move off the texas coast late Tuesday and progress east bringing more rain. Light offshore flow is anticipated through much of the period.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Point Clear, AL
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location: 30.42, -88     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 250506 AAB AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 1106 PM CST Fri Jan 24 2020

DISCUSSION. See updated information for land areas and aviation discussion below.

NEAR TERM /Now Through Saturday Night/. A zonal flow pattern develops over the region on Saturday along with a surface high building into the area while a deep upper low centered near the Ohio River valley moves into the Great Lakes region. A vigorous shortwave meanwhile advances across the south central states, then ejects off across the interior central Gulf coast states Saturday night. Skies remain clear to mostly clear through Saturday, then increasing cloudiness follows for Saturday night in response to the ejecting shortwave. Dry conditions prevail through the period, although may see some isolated showers develop late Saturday night over extreme southeast Mississippi. Highs on Saturday range from the mid 50s well inland to near 60 elsewhere. Lows Saturday night predominately range from the upper 30s/near 40 inland to the lower 40s closer to the coast. A low risk of rip currents is expected for Saturday and Saturday night. /29

AVIATION. 06Z issuance . VFR conditions continue through the period. Northwest winds around 5 knots increase to 5 to 10 knots on Saturday then become westerly in the afternoon. /29

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 514 PM CST Fri Jan 24 2020/

DISCUSSION . See updated information for land areas and aviation discussion below.

UPDATE . Will be updating at 6 PM CST for the expiration of the High Risk of rip currents. No other major changes planned. /29

AVIATION . 00Z issuance . VFR conditions continue through the period. Westerly winds 5 to 10 knots subside to a light northwest flow overnight, then a northwesterly flow at 5 to 10 knots follows for Saturday. /29

PREV DISCUSSION . /issued 321 PM CST Fri Jan 24 2020/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Saturday Night/ . Zonal flow sets up over the region tonight into Saturday as an upper level trough departs to the northeast and another trough out west begins to dig into southern Texas and northern Mexico. A surface low associated with the western trough begins to develop over the northwestern Gulf Saturday night while surface high pressure builds into the local area. Dry conditions are expected across the local area through this period, but rain chances begin to encroach on our SE MS counties by early Sunday morning as the surface low approaches and high pressure shifts to our east.

Lows tonight range from low to mid 30s inland to around 40 along the coast. Highs on Saturday reach the mid to upper 50s. Lows trend a few degrees warmer Saturday night, only dipping into the upper 30s and low/mid 40s as increasing cloud cover helps mitigate radiative cooling. /49

SHORT TERM /Sunday Through Monday night/ . Southern stream mid- level energy dives southeast out of the southern Plains Sunday morning with axis of trof crossing east over the central Gulf coast Sunday night. Wave of surface frontal low pressure over the western Gulf Sunday morning tracks slowly eastward over the central and eastern Gulf Sunday night into Monday. An increased chance of showers expected to close out the weekend with the highest coverage including convection more focused into the central Gulf closer to the low track and coincident with best upper level jet streak dynamics and instability. Precipitation chances decrease from west to east Monday as the Gulf low continues east and increases its distance from the local area. Monday night dry.

Daytime highs mid to upper 50s Sunday, lift into the upper 50s to lower 60s Monday. Over-night lows in the mid to upper 40s Sunday night trend 4 to 7 degrees cooler Monday night. /10

LONG TERM /Tuesday Through Friday/ . Weak upper ridge passes over the southeast while next southern stream impulse advances east over Texas Tuesday. The medium range guidance differs on speed of eastward translation of area of precipitation associated with upstream system with GFS slightly faster than the ECMWF. National blends support a slower solution consistent with the ECMWF which leaves PoPs at 10% or less Tuesday. Going into the middle of next week, quite a bit of spread occurs in the physicals. The operational GFS shows a well defined surface low (1005 mb) tracking eastward over the central Gulf coast Wednesday and Wednesday night while the ECMWF takes a weaker surface low eastward over the central Gulf Wednesday which dissipates by Thursday. The Canadian moves a complex front with a series of frontal waves along it anywhere from the Mid-South to the central Gulf coast Wednesday. Considering the spread and low confidence, best course of action will keep small PoPs Wednesday in lieu of higher rain chances to see if better continuity is reached on later runs. Latest extended range outlooks from WPC leans closer to the ECMWF solution.

Daytime high in the lower to mid 60s much of the week will be very close to seasonal normals. Numbers slightly cooler into the day Friday, upper 50s to lower 60s. Overnight lows remain cool. Lows mostly in the low to mid 40s much of the period. /10

MARINE . Will post small craft exercise caution headlines this evening over the open Gulf waters before wind begins to lower. High pressure moves east over the Gulf coast with seas to gradually subside this weekend. A weak surface low forms over the western Gulf Sunday and moves east southeast over the central Gulf Sunday night. Rain chances increase Sunday and Sunday night. Another low pressure system is forecast to move off the Texas coast late Tuesday and eastward over the western and central Gulf mid week. Offshore flow is anticipated through much of the period. /10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 9 mi96 min 44°F 1020 hPa40°F
WBYA1 9 mi51 min 56°F
MBPA1 9 mi51 min 43°F 39°F
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 11 mi51 min N 7 45°F 1020.3 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 12 mi81 min N 16 G 18 49°F 1020.2 hPa (+0.0)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 13 mi51 min NNE 16 G 18 49°F 1020.1 hPa
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 16 mi81 min N 14 47°F 1021 hPa (-0.0)
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 16 mi51 min NNW 1.9 G 2.9 54°F 54°F1020.9 hPa
PTOA1 17 mi51 min 46°F 38°F
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 17 mi51 min Calm 46°F 1021.3 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 20 mi57 min 45°F 54°F1020.8 hPa
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 23 mi96 min N 6 44°F 1021 hPa40°F
PPTA1 25 mi51 min 45°F 1020 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 30 mi57 min 54°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 30 mi57 min N 13 G 15 48°F 1020.4 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 34 mi31 min N 16 G 18 50°F 61°F3 ft1020.6 hPa43°F
42067 - USM3M02 40 mi81 min N 14 G 18 51°F 2 ft1020 hPa (+0.0)
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 42 mi51 min NNE 2.9 G 6 45°F 1020.1 hPa

Wind History for Dauphin Island, AL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL7 mi46 minN 410.00 miFair43°F35°F76%1020.3 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL16 mi28 minNW 510.00 miFair39°F37°F93%1021 hPa
Jack Edwards Airport, AL20 mi46 minN 010.00 miFair42°F38°F86%1020.3 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL22 mi25 minN 010.00 miFair36°F35°F97%1020.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCQF

Wind History from CQF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmNW3NW3NW4CalmNW5NW5NW6NW6NW4W5SW5SW3SW6W3W3CalmCalmCalmNW4N5N3N4
1 day agoNE5E8E6E7E8E8E9E11
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E7E6E6E9E7E5E4E4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoN3NE4NE4NE3CalmNE4NE6NE7NE9E9NE4CalmW4NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmN3CalmNE4NE3

Tide / Current Tables for Gulfport Harbor, Mississippi Sound, Mississippi
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current
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Mobile Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:59 AM CST     -2.35 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 06:46 AM CST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:27 AM CST     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:29 AM CST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:22 PM CST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:13 PM CST     Moonset
Sat -- 06:16 PM CST     2.12 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.4-1-1.6-2-2.3-2.3-2.3-2-1.7-1.2-0.8-0.20.20.71.11.51.822.12.11.91.61.20.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.