Thursday, December12, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Point Clear, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:37AMSunset 4:52PM Thursday December 12, 2019 3:25 AM CST (09:25 UTC) Moonrise 6:30PMMoonset 7:57AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 930 Pm Cst Wed Dec 11 2019
.small craft should exercise caution...
Tonight..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Thursday..East winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thursday night..East winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northeast. Waves around 1 foot. Showers likely in the evening, then showers after midnight.
Friday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers likely.
Friday night..North winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers.
Saturday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday night..North winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday..South winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 930 Pm Cst Wed Dec 11 2019
Synopsis..A large surface high pressure area over the eastern half of the u.s. Will move eastward through Thursday. A moderate to strong northeasterly flow will become easterly late tonight through Thursday, with seas remaining elevated. An area of low pressure will lift northeast across the marine area on Friday, bringing a light westerly to northwesterly flow to finish off the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Point Clear, AL
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location: 30.42, -88     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 120537 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1137 PM CST Wed Dec 11 2019

DISCUSSION. Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

AVIATION. 06Z issuance . VFR conditions are expected to persist through the overnight hours, with scattered to locally broken mid level cloud decks clipping portions of far southwest AL and the western FL panhandle. Low level return flow will commence early Thursday morning and MVFR ceilings are expected to spread inland across much of the region between 15-19Z Thursday. MVFR conditions will persist Thursday afternoon and evening, with increasing coverage of rain showers also expected by Thursday evening. Light northeasterly winds will persist tonight, before becoming more easterly around 10 knots during the day Thursday. /21

PREV DISCUSSION . /issued 411 PM CST Wed Dec 11 2019/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Thursday/ . Nearly all of the precipitation being detected by radar over the coastal zones is falling out of a 825-600mb thick cloud layer, but not reaching the ground due to a very dry layer below the cloud deck. While an occasional sprinkle may occur from time to time, opted for a dry forecast overnight into Thursday morning. A large surface high pressure area over the eastern conus will move eastward, with a strong ridge setting up along the eastern seaboard by noon Thursday. This will allow the north to northeasterly surface winds to shift to the east on Thursday, with southerly low level flow bringing low level moisture back over the forecast area. Expect isolated to low-end scattered light rain showers to return Thursday afternoon as an upper shortwave over the southern plains moves east toward our region, with upper level impulses passing overhead. The very cool temperatures will remain through the near term. Low temperatures tonight will be near normal to slightly below normal, ranging from 33 to 42 degrees, with mid 40s along the coast. High temperatures Thursday will be about 4 to 8 degrees below normal, ranging from 55 to 60 degrees. /22

SHORT TERM /Thursday night Through Saturday night/ . The active weather pattern bringing chilly rain to the area will unfortunately persist through the remainder of your work week. Ahead of the next shortwave, a weak surface low will form over the northern Gulf by Thursday night and quickly race northeast across the coastal waters through the overnight hours. Meanwhile, the local area remains on the western perhiphery of the low level ridge over the western Atlantic. Despite easterly winds at the surface Thursday night and Friday, the 850mb winds maintain a southerly component. Overrunning will allow rain to spread into the area Thursday night with increasing rain chances to round out your work week. There will likely be just enough instability by Friday, predominantly along the coast, that we may have a few thunderstorms in addition to the rain showers. The area begins to dry out on Saturday as the surface low continues to slide away from the area and zonal flow aloft briefly sets up across the region.

Temperatures will reach into the 60s on Friday and Saturday afternoon. The area will stay a bit warmer in the overnight hours on Friday with lows only falling into the 50s for much of the area. Clearing skies overnight Saturday will allow temperatures to fall a good 5°-10° lower than the previous night. 07/mb

LONG TERM /Sunday Through Wednesday/ . The rest of the weekend remains dry as we maintain relatively zonal flow aloft across the local forecast area. This pattern doesn't last long as a trough pushes across the Plains early next week. A surface low will likely develop over Texas in the late Sunday to early Monday timeframe. As this low quickly lifts northeast, a cold front will swing through the area. Increasing southerly winds ahead of the front will allow moisture to surge into the area on Monday. That unfortunately means that Monday will also have dewpoints surging into the mid to low 60s with afternoon high temperatures topping out in the mid to low 70s.

Right now it looks like the front will be knocking on our doorstep late Monday evening and will likely push through the area during the overnight hours. Showers and thunderstorms will be likely during this timeframe. The instability, wind shear, and lapse rates are marginal during the overnight hours ahead of the front, so we will continue to monitor this system for the potential for strong storms. Rain quickly comes to an end in the wake of the front during the day on Tuesday and the area dries out through Thursday. Low temperatures plunge into the 30s on Tuesday night and Wednesday night in the wake of the front. 07/mb

MARINE . A large surface high pressure area over the eastern half of the U.S. will move eastward, with a strong ridge setting up along the eastern seaboard. A moderate to strong northeasterly flow will become easterly late tonight through Thursday, with seas remaining elevated. An inverted surface trough forming over the north central Gulf of Mexico will evolve into a weak closed low Thursday night. This surface low will then lift northeast across the marine area on Friday, bringing a light westerly to northwesterly flow to finish off the week. /22

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Friday for GMZ650-655-670- 675.

Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST Thursday for GMZ631-632.



This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 9 mi100 min 46°F 1027 hPa32°F
MBPA1 9 mi55 min 47°F 34°F
WBYA1 9 mi55 min 58°F
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 11 mi55 min NE 15 49°F 1026.8 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 12 mi85 min NE 13 G 16 49°F 1027.3 hPa (-1.9)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 13 mi55 min ENE 17 G 19 49°F 1026.6 hPa
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 16 mi55 min NNE 8.9 G 12 55°F 59°F1028.1 hPa
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 16 mi85 min ENE 19 50°F 1027.8 hPa (-2.0)
PTOA1 17 mi55 min 45°F 31°F
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 20 mi61 min 45°F 59°F1027.9 hPa
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 23 mi100 min N 5.1 42°F 1029 hPa36°F
PPTA1 25 mi55 min 51°F 1027.1 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 30 mi61 min 57°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 30 mi61 min ENE 19 G 23 51°F 1026.7 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 34 mi45 min ENE 19 G 25 59°F 71°F1026.3 hPa51°F
42067 - USM3M02 40 mi85 min ENE 18 G 23 54°F 5 ft1026.1 hPa (-1.7)
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 42 mi55 min ESE 1.9 G 7 50°F 62°F1027.1 hPa

Wind History for Dauphin Island, AL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL7 mi30 minNE 610.00 miFair43°F30°F61%1027.1 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL16 mi32 minNNE 1010.00 miFair47°F30°F52%1028 hPa
Jack Edwards Airport, AL20 mi50 minno data10.00 miMostly Cloudy47°F32°F58%1027.1 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL22 mi89 minNE 910.00 miFair42°F28°F58%1027.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCQF

Wind History from CQF (wind in knots)
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1 day agoS5S4S3S3CalmS4CalmSW5SW5SW4NW8
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S10S8S4S6S6S6SE4SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS5S7S4S4

Tide / Current Tables for Gulfport Harbor, Mississippi Sound, Mississippi
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current
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Mobile Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:19 AM CST     -2.23 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:38 AM CST     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:57 AM CST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:24 AM CST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:52 PM CST     Sunset
Thu -- 04:55 PM CST     2.22 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:31 PM CST     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:00 PM CST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.9-1.4-1.8-2.1-2.2-2.2-2-1.7-1.3-0.8-0.20.30.81.31.722.22.22.11.91.61.10.60

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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