Sunrise 5:59 AM   Sunset 7:27 PM Moonrise 3:09 AM   Moonset 2:43 PM

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GMZ636 Expires:202405032130;;537752 Fzus54 Kmob 030904 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 404 am cdt Fri may 3 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz635-636-032130- western choctawhatchee bay-eastern choctawhatchee bay- 404 am cdt Fri may 3 2024
Today - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming south this afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Areas of fog early this morning. Tonight - South winds around 5 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.Saturday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Saturday night - South winds around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Sunday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Monday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Monday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Tuesday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop.Tuesday night - South winds around 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.

GMZ600 404 Am Cdt Fri May 3 2024
Synopsis - A light onshore flow will persist through the weekend and then increase slightly during the early part of next week as surface high pressure continues to ridge into the marine area from the east. Slightly higher winds are expected in the afternoon hours near the coast in association with an enhanced sea breeze circulation.

FXUS62 KTAE 031051 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 651 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

New AVIATION

NEAR TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Onshore flow continues today and tonight as the Bermuda high remains parked off to the east. Mid to upper level riding is expected to weaken a bit and shift further south with the ridge axis closer to the FL Peninsula. This along with increasing moisture across the area will allow for a bit more coverage of scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Forecast soundings show DCAPE near 800-900 J/kg this afternoon, so a few of the storms could be strong to severe with gusty winds the primary hazard. High temperatures today are forecast a tiny bit cooler than yesterday due to the increase in cloud cover and the shifting of the ridge axis to the south. Highs are still forecast in the upper 80s to low 90s with lows overnight in the mid to upper 60s.

SHORT TERM
(Saturday through Sunday night)
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms are possible Saturday afternoon as an H5 shortwave moves through the Southeast. A few showers and storms are possible along the sea breeze as it pushes inland. However, the best opportunity for rain will be closer to the shortwave in southwestern Georgia. Additional showers and storms are possible Sunday as the shortwave lifts out of the region.
Highs will climb into the upper 80s to lower 90s around the region both days with lows in the middle to upper 60s Saturday night.

LONG TERM
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Showers and thunderstorms remain possible Monday afternoon, mainly along the I-75 corridor, before ridging aloft takes over the rest of the work week. Surface high pressure situated between Bermuda and the Bahamas coupled with H85 temperatures climbing to between 18 to 20C will support highs in the lower to middle 90s by the middle of next week. An increase in low-level moisture will also push overnight lows from the middle 60s Monday and Tuesday night to the upper 60s to lower 70s, even away from the coast, by Wednesday night. While records are not explicitly forecast, one or two locations could flirt with their record highs Wednesday and/or Thursday of next week.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 649 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

A few spots of fog and low stratus across the area currently will lift to VFR by mid to late morning. A few showers and storms are possible later this afternoon and early evening, but overall coverage is expected to be fairly low. Another round of fog/low stratus will be possible later tonight.

MARINE
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

High pressure in the Atlantic will lead to tranquil boating conditions through the period. Light winds, generally out of the south-southeast, are expected with seas around 1 to 2 feet into the weekend. There is a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Warm and moist conditions will continue today and over the weekend with rain chances increasing on Saturday. A few showers and storms will be possible this afternoon and evening, with more widespread showers and storms possible all day Saturday. Winds may fluctuate between southeast and southwest over the next several days. A seabreeze is likely to develop and move inland each afternoon. Very good to excellent dispersions are also likely each afternoon with very high mixing heights.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 351 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

The last of the Flood Warnings from the April 10/11th flood event will be cancelled sometime this morning as the Suwannee River at Manatee Springs drops below Minor Flood stage. Several sites along the Suwannee remain in Action Stage along with the Aucilla at Lamont and St Marks at Newport.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible the next couple of days and could lead to localized 0.25 to 0.75 inches of rain.
Outside of that, no flooding is anticipated at this time over the next several days.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 89 68 87 66 / 20 10 60 20 Panama City 85 69 85 68 / 10 0 20 10 Dothan 89 68 88 66 / 20 10 50 20 Albany 90 68 87 65 / 30 20 70 30 Valdosta 89 68 85 66 / 30 20 70 20 Cross City 89 66 87 66 / 10 10 40 10 Apalachicola 80 69 80 70 / 10 0 20 10

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

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East Pass (Destin)
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Fri -- 03:10 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:00 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:14 AM CDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:45 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:50 PM CDT     0.40 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:25 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida, Tide feet

West Bay Creek
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Fri -- 03:07 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:57 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:17 AM CDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:42 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:22 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 07:35 PM CDT     1.06 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida, Tide feet

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