Tuesday, June2, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Freeport, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:43AMSunset 7:46PM Tuesday June 2, 2020 12:07 AM CDT (05:07 UTC) Moonrise 4:28PMMoonset 3:27AM Illumination 84% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ636 Expires:202006020830;;613110 Fzus54 Kmob 020230 Cwfmob Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mobile Al 1030 Pm Cdt Mon Jun 1 2020 Gulf Coastal Waters Okaloosa Walton County Line To Pascagoula Out 60 Nm Seas Are Given As Significant Wave Height...which Is The Average Height Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Waves. Individual Waves May Be More Than Twice The Significant Wave Height. Winds And Seas Will Be Higher In And Around Thunderstorms. Gmz635-636-020830- Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 1030 Pm Cdt Mon Jun 1 2020
Tonight..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming east 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Tuesday..East winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 3 to 8 knots increasing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..East winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Friday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Saturday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1030 Pm Cdt Mon Jun 1 2020
Synopsis..Light to occasionally moderate easterly winds will continue to turn southeasterly tonight. Seas will slowly build this week with continued southeasterly flow. Showers and Thunderstorms will be possible each afternoon. Seas will continue to rise into the weekend as a tropical disturbance moves north into the central gulf. We will have to closely Monitor this system for any potential marine impacts.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Freeport, FL
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location: 30.43, -86.2     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 020452 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 1252 AM EDT Tue Jun 2 2020

AVIATION. [Through 06Z Wednesday]

Generally VFR conditions expected across the TAF sites. A few sites might dip to 3000-3500ft early this morning but did not include in the forecast. Did add PROB30 for thunder at ECP and TLH so that may need updates as timing becomes more clear.

PREV DISCUSSION [956 PM EDT].

NEAR TERM [Tonight Through Tuesday].

Isolated convection continues this evening in the central FL panhandle. It was barely moving but has finally picked up some movement to the north and west as the storms finally started to outflow with lightning decreasing. Showers and a storm or two will continue in this area and eventually into SE AL through midnight. Overnight lows will generally be in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

For Tuesday, the greatest moisture content, characterized by precipitable water values of 1.5-1.8 inches, is expected to be across the western and southern half of the area with drier air across south central Georgia. Thus, isolated to scattered convection on Tuesday is expected to be confined to portions of the Florida panhandle, big bend, and southeast Alabama. Afternoon highs will generally be in the 80s.

SHORT TERM [Tuesday Night Through Wednesday Night].

Heading into mid-week, our area will be wedged between surface high pressure over the western Atlantic, a lifting upper-level low from TX, and Invest 93L over the Bay of Campeche. The latter may be a tropical depression or storm (Cristobal) by the beginning of the short-term period or sooner, as the National Hurricane Center gives the system a 90% chance of development over the next 2-5 days (as of the 2pm EDT Outlook).

East to southeast flow from the Atlantic high should help advect some tropical moisture toward the northeast Gulf coast, while some of the associated vorticity anomalies aloft, interact with lifting upper low. This set up along with troughing establishing itself over the southeast US, is expected to bring unsettled weather to mainly our marine and coastal areas through the short-term period. The best chances for rain are in the southwestern half of the CWA. There is also a slight chance of thunder as heat/moisture will be plentiful. High temperatures are forecast to be in the mid/upper 80s east of the Apalachicola River and low 80s to the west and along the coast where the rain chances are higher. Warm/mild low temperatures are expected from cloud cover (upper 60s/low 70s).

LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday].

The aforementioned synoptic pattern persists into the weekend before an amplified, longwave trough swings down from eastern Canada and pushes the Atlantic high farther east. A frontal boundary appears to form somewhere along the TN Valley on Sat in response to this feature and then lifts east/northeast once the trough moves off the mid-Atlantic coast on Sun. Meanwhile, a large ridge begins building over the north-central US as Invest 93L (or Cristobal?) likely continues to organize and slowly tracks north/northwest, threatening the Gulf coast.

There is a great deal of uncertainty with how Invest 93L evolves given that its development is still pending, indications of it being embedded within weak steering flow (i.e., slow storm motion), and it possibly being a sheared system. Needless to say, the latter part of the long-term forecast very complicated. It is too early to determine what kind of impacts we will experience, but a reasonable expectation is a prolonged period of unsettled weather for us over the next several days as tropical moisture continues advecting into our area. Highest PoPs remain over our waters and coastal areas on Thurs before becoming more widespread Fri-Mon (chance-to-likely chance of rain areawide). Rain may be heavy at times and thunderstorms will be possible each day.

High temperatures are forecast to be mostly in the mid/upper 80s but we could see lower values if precipitation is prevalent. Low temperatures are expected to be in the upper 60s/low 70s.

MARINE.

Cautionary conditions persist through as late as Tues from breezy east flow before winds and seas slightly relax to below headline criteria. Mostly southeast winds at 10-15 knots prevail for the remainder of the period. However, the marine conditions over the next several days will depend on the evolution of Invest 93L currently over the Bay of Campeche. This system has a high chance (90%) of tropical development over the next 2-5 days and is forecast to churn about in the Gulf through the weekend. Long-period swells may induce borderline advisory-level wave heights of up to 6 ft by Thurs night at the earliest.

FIRE WEATHER.

Red flag conditions are not expected for the next several days.

HYDROLOGY.

An active, wet pattern is expected over the next several days thanks to tropical moisture from Invest 93L in the Bay of Campeche. The Sun- Mon timeframe appears to be when the greatest rainfall occurs as WPC generally shows Day 6 QPF estimates ranging from 1.5-2.5 inches in our area (isolated areas near Apalachee Bay may see amounts up to 3 inches or more). There are no flood concerns at this time, but this may change depending on the evolution of what will likely be a depression or tropical storm (Cristobal).

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 70 86 69 83 69 / 20 30 10 20 30 Panama City 74 82 71 83 73 / 30 40 30 40 40 Dothan 70 84 68 84 69 / 20 20 10 20 20 Albany 70 87 70 84 70 / 0 0 0 10 10 Valdosta 67 88 69 82 70 / 0 10 0 10 20 Cross City 68 87 69 82 70 / 10 30 10 20 50 Apalachicola 74 81 72 81 73 / 30 30 30 40 50

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. GA . None. AL . None. GM . None.

NEAR TERM . LN SHORT TERM . IG LONG TERM . IG AVIATION . LN MARINE . IG FIRE WEATHER . DVD HYDROLOGY . IG


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 23 mi49 min ESE 4.1 G 6 79°F 81°F1020.3 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 34 mi49 min ENE 7 G 11
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 54 mi49 min SSE 1.9 G 1.9 81°F 83°F1019.5 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 76 mi27 min E 7.8 G 7.8 80°F 81°F1019.2 hPa78°F

Wind History for Panama City, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL14 mi74 minSE 310.00 miOvercast81°F75°F82%1019.4 hPa
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL18 mi71 minN 010.00 miOvercast81°F74°F82%1019.9 hPa
Panama City - Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, FL22 mi74 minNNE 410.00 miOvercast76°F73°F91%1020.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDTS

Wind History from DTS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN5N7N5N4N6NE5NE5NE8NE7NE6NE5SE7SE85S7S7S7S6S6SE5SE54SE3SE4
1 day agoN4N4N6N7N7N6N6N8N8N7N73N75SW555S44N7N6N5N5N5
2 days ago3CalmW3CalmCalmCalmNW5N5N54S5S8566555344W4CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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East Pass (Destin)
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:28 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:44 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:02 AM CDT     0.51 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:30 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:44 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:07 PM CDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for West Bay Creek, West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, Florida
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West Bay Creek
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:25 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:41 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:47 AM CDT     1.32 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:27 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:41 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:10 PM CDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.