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Marine Weather and Tides Niceville, FL Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:11AM

Sunset 7:30PM

Friday August 14, 2020 6:05 AM CDT (11:05 UTC)

Moonrise 1:39AM

Moonset 4:04PM

Illumination 20%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Niceville, FL

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Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL

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FXUS64 KMOB 140941 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 441 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Saturday/. It's already an active convective morning across across the Gulf waters with some of the convection impacting coastal areas, especially across NW FL. A broad mid level trough axis is positioned from west TN down into extreme SE Louisiana and convection has quickly developed early this morning to the east of the trough axis as we reach the marine diurnal instability max. Isolated to scattered storms have also developed further inland, especially just north and west of our area. We are expecting things to stay convectively active as we go through the day into tonight across the region in response to this trough axis. In addition, another shortwave moving into northwest Arkansas early this morning will quickly move southeast today into tonight and serve as yet another impetus for convection. Given the very moist (precip waters at or above 2") and unstable airmass (MLCAPES 1500- 2500 J/kg), scattered to numerous storms are expected, though it will be difficult to determine the exact convective evolution as we go through the day and night. In fact, the CAMs have been very inconsistent. However, they have been signaling that the outflow produced by the convective complex organizing over NW Arkansas may produce a semi-organized line of storms that moves into SE MS/SW AL later this afternoon and early this evening. If this comes to fruition, there could be a risk for strong, gusty winds and perhaps an isolated severe storm with damaging winds. Torrential downpours will also accompany the stronger convection and this could lead to some localized, minor flooding issues.

While convection typically diminishes late in the evening into the overnight hours this time of year, the presence of the shortwave trough will serve to keep at least isolated to scattered storms going through a good portion of the night, with an enhanced coverage likely along the immediate coast and offshore in the overnight/pre dawn hours.

Scattered to numerous storms are expected to continue into Saturday morning, however there is likely to be a decrease in coverage over inland SE MS/SW AL by the afternoon as the shortwave trough begins to move east and drier air starts to move into the area.

The greater coverage in storms/clouds will keep highs in the upper 80s to near 90. Lows remain in the 70s, typical for this time of year. 34/JFB

SHORT TERM /Saturday night Through Sunday night/. An upper trof over central Canada and western Great Lakes merges with another upper trof over the eastern states to form a larger scale upper trof over the eastern states. An associated surface low will be located initially near the Carolinas with a surface trof/weak cold front extending southwestward across southern/central Alabama into southern Mississippi. As the surface low moves off to the northeast, the surface trof/weak front progresses southward through the forecast area into the northern Gulf Saturday night, briefly returns to the near the coast on Sunday, then slips back into the northern Gulf Sunday night. A longwave ridge mainly over the western and south central states meanwhile strengthens, with 500 mb heights potentially reaching a seldom seen 600+ dm over Utah. This pattern maintains a deep layer light northerly flow over the forecast area which ushers progressively drier air into the region on Sunday, with precipitable water values dropping to 1.2-1.5 inches implying limited precipitation chances. Some predominately isolated lingering convection will be possible Saturday evening roughly along and south of I-65, and may linger near the coast overnight, then for Sunday am expecting isolated at best showers and storms, and even this may be overdone. Dry conditions prevail for Sunday night. Highs on Sunday will be in the lower to mid 90s with afternoon heat index values of 100-107. Lows Saturday night and Sunday night range from the lower 70s inland to the mid/upper 70s at the coast. A low risk of rip currents continues through the period. /29

EXTENDED TERM /Monday Through Thursday/. By early Monday, the upper level trough axis will be just to the east of the forecast area, but by Monday night into Tuesday longer range models indicate shortwave energy from the northwest will likely again sharpen upper level trough over our area. This trough will possibly develop into a weak upper level low just off to the west of our forecast area by Thursday, with occasional pieces of shortwave energy moving across our area. At the surface, a weak front/boundary will be lingering along the coast or just offshore through the extended period. With a light mostly northerly flow, PWATS will be less than 1.5 inches across most of the area Monday and Tuesday, but increase slightly Wednesday and Thursday to around 1.8 inches as front becomes diffuse and flow becomes more southerly. Dewpoints will likely be in the 60s for much of the period as well, especially overnight and again in the afternoons with daytime mixing. Will have slight chance pops on Monday then slight chance to chance pops Tuesday. By Wednesday and Thursday, there may be a slightly higher coverage of showers and storms, especially eastern areas, as dewpoints slowly increase. Highs each day mainly in the upper 80s and lower 90s. Lows each night in the upper 60s and lower 70s inland and the mid and upper 70s at the coast. /12

MARINE. Westerly winds will increase to 10-15 kt with gusts 15-20 kts late tonight into Saturday morning as an upper level disturbance moves across the region. This will build seas up to 3ft over the Gulf waters. Winds and seas will diminish by Saturday night into Sunday. Numerous storms are expected over the marine waters through Saturday. Locally higher wind/waves, torrential downpours, frequent lightning can be expected. Waterspouts are also possible. 34/JFB

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
PCBF1	37 mi	48 min	WSW 2.9 G 5.1		87°F		1015.4 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL	40 mi	48 min	NNW 1.9 G 4.1		87°F		1014.2 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL	48 mi	48 min	S 8.9 G 13
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy	65 mi	36 min	SW 12 G 16	79°F	87°F		1014.4 hPa	74°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

6 AM

7 AM

8 AM

9 AM

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11 AM

12 PM

1 PM

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4 PM

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6 PM

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Last 24hr

N4

N3

E1

E1 G6

E4

E1 G5

S4

S8 G11

S10

S9

S8 G12

SW2

NW2 G5

N5 G9

N5

N4

N3

NE1 G4

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E1

--

NE2

S13 G18

NW3

1 day ago

NE2

N4

N4

N4 G7

SE1 G4

SE5

SE1 G4

E2

S7

S10

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S10

S7 G10

S5 G8

NW1

NW4

NW2

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NW6

NW3 G6

N2

N2

2 days ago

S1

S4 G7

NW4 G8

NW2 G5

SW1

SW1 G4

SE2 G5

S6 G9

S7

S8 G12

S10 G14

S10 G13

S8 G12

N5 G15

N4

N2

N2

S3

N5

N3

N3

NE2

N2

N3 G6

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL	4 mi	70 min	N 0	7.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	75°F	72°F	94%	1014.8 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL	7 mi	73 min	N 3	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	78°F	73°F	85%	1014 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL	13 mi	70 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	75°F	72°F	91%	1013.7 hPa
Crestview, Sikes Airport, FL	20 mi	73 min	N 0	8.00 mi	Fair	72°F	70°F	94%	1014.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVPS

Wind History from VPS (wind in knots)

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Last 24hr

Calm

Calm

NE3

N6

NE5

N3

SW5

S11 G16

E12

Calm

Calm

NW3

SW3

NW1

N5

N4

NE3

E3

NW2

Calm

Calm

Calm

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Calm

1 day ago

NE3

E4

N4

NE3

N8

NE4

NE3

E3

S11

S10 G15

S9

S11

SW8

SW6

W5

W3

NW2

Calm

Calm

Calm

NW4

Calm

Calm

N3

2 days ago

Calm

Calm

W5

6

4

NW7

W3

S9

S12

NW6

S10

E18 G29

NE9

N3

W3

Calm

Calm

W3

NE5

W3

N4

N6

Calm

N3

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Tide / Current Tables for East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida

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Tide / Current Tables for Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (7,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida

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Gulf Stream Current

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