Friday, January24, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Niceville, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:40AMSunset 5:16PM Friday January 24, 2020 11:01 AM CST (17:01 UTC) Moonrise 7:38AMMoonset 6:09PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 928 Am Cst Fri Jan 24 2020
Rest of today..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tonight..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northeast. Waves less than 1 foot.
Sunday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots becoming east. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sunday night..East winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Showers likely in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Monday..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers.
Monday night..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tuesday..East winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 928 Am Cst Fri Jan 24 2020
Synopsis..A cold front will moves east of the area, bringing a light to moderate northwest to north flow in its wake. A light, mainly easterly flow and increasing rain chances will occur on Sunday as a surface low moves east across the central gulf. A light to moderate offshore flow will follow through the remainder of the forecast period as another cold front sweeps across the area late Sunday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Niceville, FL
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location: 30.5, -86.46     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 241034 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 434 AM CST Fri Jan 24 2020

NEAR TERM /Now Through Friday night/. Visibilities across the southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama have improved above 1/4 mile. Therefore, the Dense Fog Advisory has been cancelled for these areas. High resolution models are indicating reduced visibilities down to 1/4 mile to occur across the south central Alabama and the western Florida panhandle early this morning. Therefore, the Dense Fog Advisory has been expanded for these areas. Have removed pops for early this morning over the easternmost portion of the area, so dry conditions are expected Friday into Friday night. Highs on Friday range from around 60 well inland to lower 60s elsewhere. Lows Friday night range from the mid 30s inland to around 40 at the coast. A high risk of rip currents continues through Friday afternoon then a moderate risk is in effect for Friday night. /29 /22

SHORT TERM /Saturday Through Sunday night/. Upper level zonal flow will remain over the region into Sunday ahead of an upper level trough approaching from the west. This upper shortwave is forecast to move east over the northern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday, inducing a surface low pressure area that is first expected to develop over the northwest gulf, and then track eastward across the central gulf Sunday and Sunday night. Dry conditions are forecast through Saturday, followed by precipitation increasing Sunday and Sunday evening north of the surface low track. Isolated to scattered showers will move into the western and central portions of the forecast area Sunday morning, followed by scattered to numerous showers over the entire forecast area through Sunday evening. The rain chances will gradually taper off late Sunday night. High temperatures will be slightly below normal Saturday, ranging from 55 to 60 degrees. High temperatures on Sunday will be about three degrees lower, ranging from 52 to 57 degrees. Low temperatures in the mid 30s to lower 40s Saturday will warm into the low to mid 40s Sunday night. /22

LONG TERM /Monday Through Thursday/. Monday through Tuesday, a weak upper ridge will pass over the Southeast, bringing a period of dry, seasonably warm weather to the area. Light northerly flow will reinforce a dry airmass over the region, keeping the forecast area rain free. High temperatures in the low to mid 60s expected Monday and Tuesday, with low temperatures Monday night ranging from around 40 inland to mid 40s along the coast.

Tuesday night through Thursday will be unsettled, with a series of passing shortwave troughs bringing periods of isentropic upglide induced rainshowers to the forecast area. This upglide will be north of a surface low forming along the stalled surface boundary with each shortwave trough's passage. The path and timing vary with each trough and associated surface low, leading to a less confident forecast. Ensembles for the ECMWF and GFS show the best compromise solution, so have went that way with the forecast. First round of rain is Tuesday night through Wednesday, with the next round being Wednesday night into Thursday night. Guidance is advertising around seasonal temperatures through the period, and with the heaviest rain expected over open Gulf waters, with highs chance of rain being closer to the passing surface low, have made only minor tweaks to the numbers. /16

MARINE. A cold front will progress across the area early this morning, bringing a light to moderate northwest to north flow through the remainder of the week. A light, mainly easterly flow and increasing rain chances will occur on Sunday as a surface low moves east across the central gulf. A light to moderate offshore flow will follow through the remainder of the forecast as another cold front sweeps across the area late Sunday night. /22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Mobile 62 37 59 42 55 45 63 42 / 0 0 0 10 50 50 10 0 Pensacola 63 40 59 43 56 47 63 44 / 0 0 0 0 40 50 10 0 Destin 64 43 57 45 56 48 62 46 / 10 0 0 0 40 60 20 0 Evergreen 63 36 59 38 55 43 62 39 / 10 0 0 0 20 50 10 0 Waynesboro 59 33 57 38 53 42 60 38 / 0 0 0 10 40 40 10 0 Camden 60 35 55 38 53 42 59 38 / 0 0 0 0 20 40 10 0 Crestview 64 38 60 39 57 44 63 40 / 10 0 0 0 30 50 10 0

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for ALZ265-266.

Dense Fog Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for ALZ056- 059-060.

FL . High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for FLZ202-204-206.

Dense Fog Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for FLZ201- 203-205.

MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 37 mi49 min W 7 G 8 63°F 62°F1017.1 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 40 mi43 min NW 5.1 G 8.9 57°F 1018.1 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 48 mi49 min SSW 2.9 G 5.1 59°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 65 mi31 min WNW 16 G 19 56°F 61°F1018.8 hPa56°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL4 mi65 minNW 910.00 miOvercast57°F57°F100%1017.6 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL7 mi68 minNW 610.00 miOvercast60°F57°F90%1017.1 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL13 mi2.1 hrsNNW 810.00 miOvercast57°F55°F94%1016.6 hPa
Crestview, Sikes Airport, FL20 mi68 minNW 1010.00 miOvercast56°F54°F93%1017.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVPS

Wind History from VPS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE9E8E4E7E6NE3E3E5E4E7E8E9E13SE8CalmE9E7CalmCalmCalmNW7NW4NW8NW9
1 day agoN3N4N4N4N4N4N4N4N3CalmCalmE4E6E9E7E4E4E5E7E6E9NE5E3E5
2 days agoN15
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Tide / Current Tables for East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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East Pass (Destin)
Click for Map
Fri -- 06:37 AM CST     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:40 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:29 AM CST     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:44 PM CST     New Moon
Fri -- 05:10 PM CST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:15 PM CST     Sunset
Fri -- 10:13 PM CST     0.57 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.40.30.20.10-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.1-0.100.10.30.40.50.50.60.6

Tide / Current Tables for Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Harris
Click for Map
Fri -- 06:38 AM CST     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:41 AM CST     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:00 PM CST     -0.71 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:44 PM CST     New Moon
Fri -- 05:11 PM CST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:16 PM CST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.31.210.80.50.2-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.7-0.7-0.7-0.6-0.5-0.3-0.10.10.40.60.91.11.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.