Monday, September20, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Niceville, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 6:46PM Monday September 20, 2021 12:47 AM CDT (05:47 UTC) Moonrise 6:59PMMoonset 6:04AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 908 Pm Cdt Sun Sep 19 2021
Rest of tonight..East winds 5 to 10 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northwest. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday night..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 908 Pm Cdt Sun Sep 19 2021
Synopsis..A light to moderate southerly flow becomes westerly on Tuesday as a cold front approaches from the north. The front moves through late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Northerly flow in the wake of the front becomes moderate to strong by Wednesday afternoon, then subsides on Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Niceville, FL
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location: 30.5, -86.46     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 200456 AAA AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 1156 PM CDT Sun Sep 19 2021

AVIATION. 06Z issuance . General mid MVFR to IFR conditions were noted across the forecast area at 05z. The rain that has fallen will allow for low end MVFR to IFR conditions to develop overnight generally north of I-10. Another round of showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop after sunrise Monday, with generally upper end MVFR/VFR conditions expected. Local drops to low end MVFR levels are possible in any of the stronger rainshowers or thunderstorms. Winds will remain a general south to southwesterly through the period, with 5- 10 knots winds this evening becoming light overnight. Winds Monday will strengthen to around 10 knots in the morning, a bit strong south of I-10 to the coast. /16

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 1012 PM CDT Sun Sep 19 2021/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Tuesday/ . A strong upper level shortwave trough digs southeast from over the northwestern Conus. An opening upper level low over the eastern Plains continues to open and stretch northeast on the west side of an upper ridge stretching north over the East Coast. A surface ridge stretching southwest over the Appalachians weakens, with a very moist airmass over the Southeast (precipitable h20 levels topping out in the 2.0"-2.3" range) shifting east as deep layer flow shifts to southwest- westerly. Moisture levels remain above above seasonal values though, in the 1.75"-2.0" range. Through the Near Term, highest PoPs shift east with the shifting moisture. Also helping is the eastward shift of the axis of the stretching shortwave trough. Still, am expecting PoPs to remain above seasonal norms through Tuesday. With the richest airmass shifting east, the higher chance of water issues shifts east, but only a bit. By Tuesday evening, a cold front begins to move across the Mississippi Delta region.

Am still expecting localized water issues, with soils across the area very moist from the rains the four to five days. There also is a Moderate Risk of Damaging downbursts Monday and Tuesday, with drier air in the mid and upper levels beginning to encroach over the forecast area as the richer airmass shifts east. Instability remains rather meh, with MLCapes topping out in the 1000-1500J/kg range each day. DCapes top out around 1000J/kg Monday and 600-800J/kg Tuesday, though, so if a taller storm can entrain the dry air well above the surface, a few damaging downburst could be possible.

Temperatures across the forecast area will see a tighter than seasonal diurnal range, with overnight lows well above seasonal norms and daytime highs around seasonal. Tonight and Monday night, low temperatures the low to mid 70s well inland, upper 70s along the coast are expected. High temperatures in the mid 80s are expected Monday and Tuesday. /16

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCBF1 37 mi53 min SSE 1.9 G 2.9 79°F 82°F1015.5 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 40 mi53 min NNE 4.1 G 5.1 78°F 82°F1014.6 hPa
PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL 48 mi53 min NE 2.9 G 4.1 83°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 65 mi27 min S 9.7 G 12 82°F 83°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valparaiso / Eglin Air Force Base, FL4 mi51 minNE 410.00 miFair77°F73°F89%1014.8 hPa
Destin, Destin-Ft. Walton Beach Airport, FL7 mi54 minENE 37.00 miLight Rain79°F75°F88%1014.5 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL13 mi51 minENE 310.00 miPartly Cloudy76°F74°F93%1014.4 hPa
Crestview, Sikes Airport, FL20 mi54 minVar 34.00 miFog/Mist75°F74°F96%1015 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVPS

Wind History from VPS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE5E5E6CalmSE4NE3E3E3E5E6E5E4SE8SE8S8CalmCalmCalmN3NE4NE3E4CalmNE4
1 day agoE3E3NE3CalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmE5SE8SE5SW4W4NW3CalmS4S3CalmCalmNE5CalmCalmE5
2 days agoE4SE3E4E6E5CalmCalmNE5E4W8E5NE3E7SE6SE7SE7SE6SE7SE6SE6E4E5CalmE3

Tide / Current Tables for East Pass (Destin), Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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East Pass (Destin)
Click for Map
Mon -- 06:04 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:33 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:22 AM CDT     0.65 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:44 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 06:54 PM CDT     Full Moon
Mon -- 06:58 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:26 PM CDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.30.30.30.40.40.40.50.50.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.50.50.40.40.40.40.40.4

Tide / Current Tables for Harris, The Narrows, Choctawhatchee Bay, Florida
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Harris
Click for Map
Mon -- 06:05 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:34 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 01:26 PM CDT     1.55 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:45 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 06:54 PM CDT     Full Moon
Mon -- 06:59 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:57 PM CDT     0.87 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.70.70.70.80.80.911.11.21.31.41.51.51.51.51.41.31.21.1110.90.9

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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