Saturday, December14, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ferry Pass, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 4:50PM Saturday December 14, 2019 2:19 AM CST (08:19 UTC) Moonrise 8:24PMMoonset 9:52AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 945 Pm Cst Fri Dec 13 2019
Rest of tonight..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers late in the evening. Areas of dense fog developing.
Saturday..Northwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west. Waves around 1 foot. Areas of dense fog in the morning.
Saturday night..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming east. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southeast 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Monday..South winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..North winds 18 to 23 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..North winds 18 to 23 knots. Waves around 2 feet.
Wednesday..North winds 18 to 23 knots. Waves around 2 feet.
Wednesday night..North winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 945 Pm Cst Fri Dec 13 2019
Synopsis..Patchy fog over the marine area this evening, then areas of dense fog will possibly likely redevelop over the near shore waters of alabama and northwest florida later tonight. A moderate offshore flow is expected late tonight through Saturday afternoon as a surface ridge of high pressure to the west shifts east. Southerly winds will develop Sunday then build through early next week in response to a strong cold front approaching from the west.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ferry Pass, FL
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location: 30.52, -87.17     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 140602 AAC AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 1202 AM CST Sat Dec 14 2019

DISCUSSION. Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

AVIATION. 06Z issuance . MVFR to IFR conditions this evening in low clouds and patchy fog. LIFR conditions possible overnight in patchy dense fog. VFR conditions return during the day on Saturday. /13

PREV DISCUSSION . /issued 614 PM CST Fri Dec 13 2019/

DISCUSSION . See updated information for land and marine areas below.

UPDATE . Forecast in pretty good shape with highest PoPs over the eastern half of the forecast area this evening, gradually ending from west to east overnight. For now the areas of fog have diminished, but could redevelop overnight and we will continue to monitor for the need a Dense Fog Advisory later tonight. Will clean up grids with respect to the fog and weather, but forecast still relatively unchanged for the overnight hours. /12

MARINE . The Marine Dense Fog Advisory was allowed to expire at 6 PM. Observations indicate that the widespread dense fog has diminished over the area in the wake of the heavy rainfall that moved through and with surface winds providing a little better mixing than earlier in the day. Still the potential for more fog development, potentially dense, so will continue to monitor and issue another Marine Dense Fog Advisory later tonight if necessary. /12

PREV DISCUSSION . /issued 401 PM CST Fri Dec 13 2019/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Saturday/ . Widespread fog in most areas, still dense in some locations near the coast, will continue through this evening then slowly lift late tonight through Sat morning as a weak surface ridge of high pressure slowly builds east across the lower MS River valley and northern Gulf states. To the south a weak surface low with a warm front extending to the east, associated with a deepening upper trough approaching from the west this afternoon, will continue to track east over the adjacent waters just south of the coast through tonight. With this pattern expect scattered to numerous showers with a few isolated thunderstorms across most locations of the forecast area this afternoon and this evening tapering from west to east late tonight through early Sat morning as the main upper system and surface low move east of the forecast area. With the warm front remaining offshore through this evening the convection for the remainder of today should remain elevated resulting in no real significant severe threats for the remainder of today and tonight. With wetbulb 0 values below 10.5 kft combined with conditional instability aloft some hail will be possible with some of the stronger thunderstorms especially along the coast this afternoon and early this evening. Further offshore along and south of the warm front gusty straight line winds will have a better chance mixing down to the surface. For Sat skies will gradually clear generally west to east resulting in more sun clouds by mid to late afternoon.

Temperatures will be near seasonal levels both tonight and during the day on Sat. Lows tonight will range from the lower to middle 40s generally along and north of highway 84 and the middle 40s to lower 50s further south to the immediate coast. Highs Sat will range from the lower to middle 60s for locations generally along and north of highway 84 and the middle 60s further south stretching to the immediate coast. 32/ee

SHORT TERM /Saturday night Through Monday night/ . A broad upper ridge will build over the region through the weekend, with west- northwest mid to upper level winds advecting in a dry airmass. With surface high pressure building into the region, along with the drier air mass, the entire weekend looks to be rain-free with temperatures on the rise. High temperatures Saturday will be about 1 to 4 degrees above normal, ranging from 61 to 67 degrees. High temperatures Sunday will be around 10 degrees above normal, ranging from 69 to 75 degrees. Lows will trend warmer as well, with lows Saturday night in the 40s and lows Sunday night in the 50s.

A large positively tilted upper level trough over the north central/western conus, with an axis extending from south central Canada to Baja California, will advance eastward and amplify. The northern portion of the upper trough will advance faster than the southern portion, so the trough should extend from southeast Canada to northern Mexico by late Monday night. An inverted surface trough should extend from northeast Mexico to the Tennessee Valley region Monday morning. This trough, along with an associated strong cold front, will advance eastward into the forecast area by late Monday night. Precipitation will increase on Monday to likely over the northwestern portions of the area, with chance pops elsewhere. Likely to categorical pops follow for the entire area Monday night as the front moves through. /22

LONG TERM /Tuesday Through Friday/ . The cold front moves through, then rain chances taper off on Tuesday with dry conditions areawide through midweek. Dramatic change in temps occurs on Tuesday in the wake of the cold front, followed by highs in the upper 40s to low 50s Wednesday and mid 50s on Thursday. Low temps also plummet in the wake of the front, with mid to upper 20s inland and upper 20s to low 30s along the coast by Wednesday night. /22

MARINE . Areas of dense fog will continue to form over the near shore waters of Alabama and Northwest Florida through this afternoon then slowly lift through tonight. A light northerly flow will continue this afternoon as a weak area of low pressure just off the coast continues to move east. A light to moderate northwest flow is expected late tonight through Saturday afternoon as a surface ridge of high pressure to the west shifts east. Southerly winds will develop Sunday then build through early next week in response to a strong cold front approaching from the west. The cold front is expected to move across the marine area by early Tuesday leading to a strong northerly flow Tuesday through late Wednesday. Small Craft Advisories will likely be required in the wake of the front Tuesday through Wednesday. 32/ee

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 8 mi49 min NNW 5.1 G 8.9 52°F 61°F1009.1 hPa
PPTA1 26 mi49 min 53°F 1009.8 hPa
WBYA1 35 mi49 min 58°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 36 mi94 min 52°F 1009 hPa52°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 37 mi29 min NW 7.8 G 9.7 58°F 67°F2 ft1009.4 hPa55°F
PTOA1 47 mi49 min 51°F 50°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 48 mi49 min NW 4.1 G 5.1 60°F 59°F1010.3 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 48 mi49 min 1010 hPa
MBPA1 49 mi49 min 51°F 51°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL4 mi26 minNNW 93.00 miFog/Mist52°F52°F100%1009.1 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL15 mi23 minNW 71.50 miFog/Mist0°F0°F%1009.1 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL16 mi23 minNNW 72.50 miFog/Mist50°F48°F96%1007.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPNS

Wind History from PNS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5--E5N5NE6NE5NE4NE5NE4E5CalmNE3E4N3N4N8N10N11N11N7N6NW6NW8NW9
1 day ago4NE7NE6E6E5NE7E9E9
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Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:37 AM CST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:51 AM CST     Moonset
Sat -- 11:33 AM CST     -0.71 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:49 PM CST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:24 PM CST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.81.71.61.41.10.70.40.1-0.2-0.5-0.6-0.7-0.7-0.6-0.5-0.3-0.10.20.50.711.31.51.7

Tide / Current Tables for Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Bay Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:38 AM CST     1.79 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:36 AM CST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:50 AM CST     Moonset
Sat -- 11:57 AM CST     -0.71 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:48 PM CST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:23 PM CST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.81.81.71.51.310.60.3-0.1-0.4-0.6-0.7-0.7-0.7-0.6-0.4-0.200.30.60.81.11.31.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.