Wednesday, August12, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ferry Pass, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:12AMSunset 7:34PM Wednesday August 12, 2020 7:07 PM CDT (00:07 UTC) Moonrise 12:21AMMoonset 2:11PM Illumination 34% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 405 Pm Cdt Wed Aug 12 2020
Tonight..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming light. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..Winds light becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest with gusts to around 20 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..West winds 3 to 8 knots increasing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Saturday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 405 Pm Cdt Wed Aug 12 2020
Synopsis.. A ridge of high pressure extending from the southwest atlantic into the gulf waters persists through the end of the week leading to generally light winds and seas 2 ft or less outside of showers and Thunderstorms. Waterspouts will be possible early each morning.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ferry Pass, FL
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location: 30.52, -87.17     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 122335 AAA AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 635 PM CDT Wed Aug 12 2020

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Thursday night/. Main item for the evening is a cluster of thunderstorms over the southern Mississippi/Alabama state line. Have made some adjustments to the evening PoP grid to decrease PoPs outside of the above complex to reflect the more isolated nature of showers and thunderstorm across the forecast area. Otherwise, no significant changes made. /16

AVIATION. 00Z issuance . General VFR conditions are noted across the area, with local MVFR conditions in a thunderstorm complex over southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama west of the Tombigbee/Mobile Rivers. Isolated thunderstorms were noted east of the rivers. As the current convection decreases in intensity and coverage through the evening, general VFR conditions are expected for the rest of the night. Local fog development after 06z may bring low to mid level MVFR level VISBYS. General southerly winds of 5 to 10 knots will become light and variable overnight over areas north of I-10. along and south, south to southwest winds around 10 knots will shift to northwesterly around 5 knots overnight. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop south of the coast late tonight. A few may move onshore on the coast and bring local MVFR level conditions.

As Thursday continues, showers and thunderstorms will develop, with best coverage being in the afternoon. General VFR conditions are expected outside the convection, with low to mid level MVFR conditions in. Winds will become a south to southwest 5 to 10 knots inland, around 10 knots closer to the coast as a seabreeze develops and moves inland in the afternoon. /16

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued Issued by National Weather Service New Orleans LA/

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Thursday/ . General pattern has not changed, with the local area sitting on the western periphery of a western Atlantic ridge. A little quieter this afternoon than originally anticipated. Could still see some additional showers and storms pop up during the late afternoon hours, but have generally reduced POPs going into the evening hours, especially across the eastern half of the area, based on latest radar and satellite trends.

Expect scattered showers and storms to perk up over the Gulf again late tonight, with scattered to numerous showers and storms over land tomorrow afternoon. A few storms could produce heavy rainfall, especially across western areas. Steering flow will be generally light and there will be plenty of atmospheric moisture to work with. Temperatures should top out mostly in the low 90s with a few places in the northeastern portion of the area possibly reaching the mid 90s. Peak heat index values look to be in the 100 to 105 degree range. With higher convective coverage, though, expect rain-cooled outflow to help cool off some locations.

SHORT TERM /Thursday night Through Saturday night/ . Pattern will be most active Thursday through Saturday as an upper trough digs southward over the eastern CONUS. Will maintain likely to categorical POPs during the afternoon hours Friday and Saturday as the troughiness aloft should keep things unstable enough for numerous showers and storms each day. Organized severe weather doesn't look like much of a threat, but a few storms could become strong, producing frequent lightning, gutsy winds and heavy rainfall. Temperatures will generally range from the low to mid 70s in the morning to around or just over 90 degrees in the afternoon.

EXTENDED TERM /Sunday Through Wednesday/ . Models continue to indicate the general northwest flow could usher in some drier air for the second half of the weekend and into early next week, but that is far from a slam dunk forecast this time of year. Given good agreement will continue to indicate a downward trend in POPs for Sunday and Monday, but will need to monitor trends. By Tuesday, another shortwave rounds the base of the upper trough and should be enough to justify higher end chance POPs going into midweek. Temperatures generally forecast to be near or slightly above normal through the period.

MARINE . Generally benign conditions will prevail. Expect light to occasionally moderate winds with seas 2 ft or less. Exception will be in the vicinity of showers and thunderstorms where winds and waves will be higher. Environmental conditions will support the development of waterspouts each morning.

Aviation . VFR conditions will generally prevail through the period at all terminals outside of any showers/thunderstorms. Expect scattered showers and storms during the mid/late afternoon, which could result in brief periods of lower cigs/vsby and gusty winds. Will maintain VCTS at all sites during the mid/late afternoon hours.

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 8 mi50 min S 5.1 G 8.9 85°F 89°F1015.3 hPa
PPTA1 26 mi38 min 85°F 1015.6 hPa
WBYA1 35 mi50 min 92°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 36 mi83 min 87°F 1015 hPa74°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 37 mi28 min SW 5.8 G 7.8 84°F 88°F1015.5 hPa76°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 37 mi98 min S 9.9 85°F 1014.9 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 42 mi38 min SSW 9.9 85°F 1014.9 hPa
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 45 mi38 min S 9.9 85°F 1014.6 hPa
PTOA1 47 mi50 min 86°F 76°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 48 mi50 min SSW 5.1 G 7 88°F1015.5 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 48 mi50 min 88°F
MBPA1 49 mi50 min 85°F 77°F

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL14 mi72 minS 810.00 miMostly Cloudy86°F75°F72%1014.8 hPa
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL15 mi2.2 hrsS 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F75°F68%1012.4 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL16 mi2.2 hrsSSE 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy87°F77°F72%1012.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPNS

Wind History from PNS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW6SW7W8S13S9N15N4SW5SW5--------------NE3--NE7NE7E4NE5--E5
1 day agoN6SW6SW10SW10SW10SW6SW5SW7SW4SW4SW5SW4SW3W4W3W3W3SW4W7NW5NW6W7W7--
2 days ago------------SW3CalmCalmW3SW3S3CalmCalmNW3N3NW3CalmNW3W5W655S10

Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:20 AM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:13 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:47 AM CDT     1.64 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:11 PM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:15 PM CDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:32 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.11.31.41.51.61.61.61.61.51.41.31.10.90.80.60.50.40.40.40.50.60.70.8

Tide / Current Tables for Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Bay Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:20 AM CDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:13 AM CDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:34 AM CDT     1.64 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:10 PM CDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:39 PM CDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:32 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.11.21.31.41.51.61.61.61.61.51.41.210.90.70.60.50.40.40.40.50.60.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.