Friday, September18, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bagdad, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:33AMSunset 6:51PM Friday September 18, 2020 5:56 PM CDT (22:56 UTC) Moonrise 7:46AMMoonset 8:03PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 407 Pm Cdt Fri Sep 18 2020
.small craft should exercise caution starting Saturday night...
Tonight..North winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northeast. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Saturday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Gusts up to 20 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 13 to 18 knots becoming east 15 to 20 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday..Northeast winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 2 feet.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east. Gusts up to 25 knots. Waves around 2 feet.
Monday..East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northeast 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 2 feet.
Monday night..East winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 2 feet.
Tuesday..East winds 13 to 18 knots. Waves around 2 feet.
Tuesday night..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 407 Pm Cdt Fri Sep 18 2020
Synopsis..A light to moderate offshore flow tonight will transition to a moderate to strong northeasterly to easterly fetch this weekend into early next week. This occurs due to the pressure difference between a large surface high over the ohio river valley/appalachians and newly formed tropical storm beta meandering westward closer to the texas coast. Seas to rebuild over the weekend and remain elevated through early next week. Small craft advisories are now in effect starting late tonight. A chance of showers over the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bagdad, FL
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location: 30.57, -87.01     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 182100 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 400 PM CDT Fri Sep 18 2020

NEAR TERM /Now Through Saturday/. Mid and upper level clouds will continue to increase from southwest to northeast through this evening. The light precipitation on area radars is currently not reaching the ground as they are high-based reflections, with the precipitation evaporating before reaching the ground. The upper level trough, positioned from the Ohio Valley into the western Gulf, will move slightly southeast through the near term. Ahead of the trough, a southwesterly flow aloft transports mid and upper-level moisture over our area from newly formed Tropical Storm Beta over the southwestern Gulf, with low-level moisture increasing after midnight tonight through Saturday. In the lower levels, a light northerly flow will shift to the northeast as a surface high pressure area north of the region moves east toward the eastern seaboard. With low-level moisture on the increase and enhanced lifting along the upper trough late tonight through Saturday, precipitation forming in the mid-levels will eventually make it to the surface. So, expect isolated to scattered rain showers to develop after midnight through Saturday.

The thickening cloud cover keeps high temperatures Saturday in the 75 to 80 degree range, with overnight lows tonight ranging from 62 to 67 degrees northwest of I-65, and from 67 to 73 degrees southeast of I-65. A moderate risk of rip currents continue through Saturday. /22

SHORT TERM /Saturday Night Through Monday Night/. A mid level trough axis will move east across the north central Gulf Coast Saturday night which will support a surge in northeast surface winds by Sunday. There may be isolated showers along the coast in response to the enhanced mid level forcing and weak isentropic ascent north of a stalled front over the northern Gulf. Any rainfall that does occur will be low in coverage and light.

A drier and cooler airmass will advect into the area Sunday through Monday afternoon. Temperatures will remain below normal through this period with highs in the 70s and lows in the low to mid 60s. A tightening pressure gradient between surface high pressure to the north and an intensifying tropical cyclone over the southwest Gulf of Mexico will result in windy conditions along the coast and across the coastal waters.

The persistent strong easterly fetch along with swell from the tropical cyclone should result in an increasing rip current risk along area beaches. /JLH

EXTENDED TERM /Tuesday Through Friday/. The main focus for the extended forecast period will be on Tropical Storm or Hurricane Beta that will have formed and be near the Texas coast early in the extended period. Upper level ridging should quickly shift east across the area Tuesday as another mid level trough digs south across the Plains states. This upper trough should help to capture the tropical cyclone and lift it off to the northeast through mid week. There will be a gradual return of deeper moisture from the southwest. Rain chances will gradually increase from southwest to northeast later Tuesday into Wednesday in advance of Beta. The greatest rain chances should come by the end of next week as Beta lifts northeast and slows across the Lower Mississippi Valley. There is still model discrepancy among the medium range guidance and additional refinements to rain chances are likely for the end of next week based upon the eventual track of Beta. For now, it appears that the greater potential for higher impacts remain west of the forecast area, but this will be monitored closely through the rest of the forecast period. /JLH

MARINE. A light to moderate offshore flow tonight will transition to a moderate to strong northeasterly to easterly fetch this weekend into early next week. This occurs due to the pressure difference between a large surface high over the Ohio River Valley/Appalachians and newly formed Tropical Storm Beta meandering westward closer to the Texas coast. Seas to rebuild over the weekend and remain elevated through early next week. Small Craft Advisories are now in effect starting late tonight. A chance of showers over the weekend. /22

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Mobile 67 79 65 78 62 76 62 75 / 30 30 20 10 10 10 10 20 Pensacola 71 79 67 78 64 78 65 76 / 30 30 20 10 10 10 10 10 Destin 74 80 68 78 65 78 66 77 / 20 30 20 10 10 10 10 10 Evergreen 67 78 63 77 60 76 59 74 / 30 30 10 10 10 10 0 10 Waynesboro 62 78 63 77 60 75 59 73 / 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Camden 65 79 62 78 59 76 58 74 / 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Crestview 69 79 63 77 60 76 60 75 / 20 30 10 10 10 10 0 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM Saturday to 4 PM CDT Tuesday for GMZ650-655.

Small Craft Advisory from midnight Saturday night to 4 PM CDT Tuesday for GMZ631-632.

Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM Saturday to 4 PM CDT Tuesday for GMZ670-675.



This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 16 mi57 min N 7 G 9.9 84°F 78°F1012.7 hPa (-0.0)
WBYA1 44 mi57 min 79°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 45 mi37 min WNW 5.8 G 7.8 80°F 82°F1013 hPa
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 45 mi72 min 81°F 1013 hPa72°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 46 mi87 min N 12 81°F 1013.2 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 50 mi57 min N 1 78°F 1013.5 hPa (+0.3)

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL9 mi61 minN 910.00 miOvercast83°F71°F67%1011.4 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL11 mi61 minN 510.00 miMostly Cloudy80°F71°F74%1011.5 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL12 mi64 minN 12 G 1810.00 miFair89°F70°F53%1012.6 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL20 mi61 minNNE 610.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F70°F63%1012 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL22 mi2 hrsVar 310.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F75°F79%1012.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNDZ

Wind History from NDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--NW5NW3--CalmCalmW3NW4NW5----N6--N7N7N843N4N6N5NW4N7N9
1 day ago----------------------------------NW6NW5NW7
G15
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2 days ago--E24
G37
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Tide / Current Tables for Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Bay Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:09 AM CDT     1.02 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:34 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:13 AM CDT     0.98 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:46 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:38 PM CDT     1.41 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:48 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:02 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 09:29 PM CDT     1.25 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11111111111.11.11.21.31.41.41.41.41.41.31.31.21.21.3

Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:22 AM CDT     1.02 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:35 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:49 AM CDT     0.98 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:46 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:51 PM CDT     1.41 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:49 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:03 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 09:05 PM CDT     1.25 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11111111111.11.21.31.41.41.41.41.41.31.31.31.21.31.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current



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