Tuesday, April7, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bagdad, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:28AMSunset 7:12PM Tuesday April 7, 2020 2:25 PM CDT (19:25 UTC) Moonrise 6:57PMMoonset 6:26AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 1013 Am Cdt Tue Apr 7 2020
Rest of today..South winds 3 to 8 knots increasing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Wednesday..West winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers in the evening. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely after midnight.
Friday..North winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers.
Friday night..Northeast winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1013 Am Cdt Tue Apr 7 2020
Synopsis..Light southerly flow today will become light to moderate southwesterly flow tonight. Winds will become more westerly on Wednesday and Thursday as a weak cold front advances towards the region from the west. By late Thursday, the front will likely move offshore with moderate to occasionaly strong northerly flow. Some showers and Thunderstorms are expected with the front. As the winds build from mid to late week, also expect building seas as well.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bagdad, FL
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location: 30.57, -87.01     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 071923 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 223 PM CDT Tue Apr 7 2020

NEAR TERM /Now Through Wednesday/. As we suspected based on some of the hi-res data, convection has been very slow to develop over our area today, and the few cells that have developed are showers and no thunderstorm activity thus far. The few showers that have developed are moving very quickly to the east and likely producing some gusty winds in the 35 to 45 mph range. We do still expect a general increase in coverage late this afternoon, in general, and if any deeper convection does develop a few severe storms could be possible, especially over the northwestern portions of our forecast area. SPC has outlined a Marginal Risk of severe weather there for this afternoon and early evening. Strong winds and some small hail could be possible with some of the storms as current data and models still indicate Bulk Shear in the 50 to 55 knot range and MLCAPE pushing 1000 J/Kg in some areas (especially northwest). There is also some slight directional shear up to the northwest counties as well, but tornado threat appears low. We will continue to monitor this potential closely. Otherwise, forecast for this afternoon is in good shape with regard to other forecast parameters.

For tonight, expect any lingering shower or thunderstorm activity at the beginning of the period to largely diminish by mid evening as the mid/upper level shortwave support that crossed the area during the day on Tuesday moves off to the east of the region. A few lingering showers could persist during the overnight hours though, especially in the general area along and east of I-65 in interior south central Alabama. Model probabilities indicate the potential for patchy fog development across most of the area again tonight, especially over the western 2/3 of the area. Have included patchy fog with min visibility generally in the 2 to 4 mile range for most of the area, although a few locations could drop to a mile or less.

The unsettled weather pattern continues through Wednesday. Abundant low level moisture and occasional weak shortwave energy aloft will help maintain a chance for showers and a few thunderstorms on Wednesday. Overall weather parameters (which remain relatively unchanged from Tuesday) will again be supportive of a Marginal Risk of a few strong to severe storms. This is especially the cast along and north of the Highway 84 corridor.

Low temps tonight in the mid and upper 60s over interior locations, a few lower 70s at the beaches. Highs on Wednesday in the low to mid 80s for most of the area, but some upper 70s along the immediate coast. /12

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 16 mi56 min S 7 G 9.9 75°F 74°F1017.9 hPa
PPTA1 35 mi56 min 76°F 1018 hPa
WBYA1 44 mi56 min 75°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 45 mi36 min SSE 9.7 G 12 73°F 74°F2 ft1018 hPa70°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 45 mi101 min 76°F 1018 hPa69°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 46 mi86 min SSE 8 74°F 1018 hPa (-1.0)
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 50 mi56 min S 8 73°F 1018.3 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL9 mi90 minS 9 G 1610.00 miMostly Cloudy81°F64°F57%1016.4 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL11 mi30 minS 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F66°F67%1015.7 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL12 mi33 minS 1110.00 miOvercast77°F64°F66%1017.7 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL20 mi90 minSSE 910.00 miA Few Clouds76°F66°F72%1018.4 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL22 mi90 minS 710.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F66°F69%1018.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNDZ

Wind History from NDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6S11S7S6S5SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmNE4--CalmCalmS54S8S7S9
G16
1 day ago--43S8SW7S5S4CalmCalmW3--W3--Calm------CalmSE3SE4S4--CalmCalm
2 days ago--N5--------Calm--NW4--NW5--NW8NW7N9----------N3----Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Bay Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:36 AM CDT     0.93 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:25 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:29 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:47 AM CDT     0.60 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:07 PM CDT     0.69 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:57 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:11 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:37 PM CDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:35 PM CDT     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:49 AM CDT     0.93 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:26 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:29 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:23 AM CDT     0.60 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:20 PM CDT     0.69 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:58 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:11 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:13 PM CDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:35 PM CDT     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.