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Marine Weather and Tides Fairhope, AL Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 6:34AM

Sunset 4:51PM

Saturday December 7, 2019 3:13 PM CST (21:13 UTC)

Moonrise 3:13PM

Moonset 3:08AM

Illumination 83%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairhope, AL

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Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL

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FXUS64 KMOB 071728 AAB AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 1128 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2019

DISCUSSION. See updated information for land areas and aviation discussion below.

UPDATE. Forecast remains on track this morning. Only had a few minor tweaks in the POPs forecast as showers will likely remain well offshore. BB/03

AVIATION. 18Z issuance . Area wide IFR to low end MVFR ceilings will continue into the afternoon today. With daytime heating, ceilings will slowly rise to MVFR and potentially VFR by the evening. Winds will be around 10 knots out of the north-northeast throughout the forecast. BB/03

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 607 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2019/

DISCUSSION . Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

AVIATION . 07/12Z issuance . Low end IFR ceilings across the area early this morning should increase to MVFR or VFR by late morning and then continue in that range through tonight. Some isolated to low end scattered showers possible today, especially over the southern half of the forecast area and out over the Gulf waters. Light to occasionally moderate north to northeast winds expected today and tonight. /12

PREV DISCUSSION . /issued 440 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2019/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Saturday night/ . As expected, the mid level shortwave has moved well east of our area and weakened, leaving the weak surface low pressure behind over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. This low will remain over the northern Gulf through the near term period, but will likely retrograde back to the west a little in response to a surface high pressure ridge that builds southeast just east of the Appalachians, extending well south into southern Georgia and the Florid Big Bend region. This will maintain a somewhat unsettled weather pattern over the forecast area, especially the southern half where we will continue to see some isolated to scattered showers through tonight. With the surface low now to the south of the forecast area, max temperatures today will not be as warm as yesterday, but still mild with highs ranging from the lower 60s northwestern counties to the middle 60s southeastern counties and along the coast. Lows tonight will range from around 50 degrees over the northwest to the mid and upper 50s southeast and coastal areas. /12

SHORT TERM /Sunday Through Monday night/ . Will begin the short term with a weakly defined surface pressure trof progged to be aligned over the MS Sound and the AL/NW Florida Panhandle coastal waters Sunday morning. This feature migrates slowly northwest thru the day Sunday and brings potential of a slight chance PoP over the northwest zones to chance PoPs generally southeast of I-65. The surface trof feature slowly dissipates Sunday night in an evolving synoptic scale southerly flow ahead of next front advancing southeast over the southern plains. East of the weakening trof, a slight chance to chance PoPs is carried along and east of a line from Grove Hill to Gulf Shores AL. Will also mention fog development Sunday night as a more moist southerly low level flow would favor its development. This is also supported in the latest short range ensembles which depict a 40 to 60% probability of late night fog formation Sunday night which carries over to shortly after sunrise Monday.

Upper level storm system over the plains southward into TX ejects eastward Monday night bringing strengthening upper level flow and a stream of deep layer moisture from east TX across the TN valley. Deep moisture intersects a cold front that will also approach our interior southeast MS zones. Approaching ascent along the front and an eastward migration of deeper moisture favors an increase in PoPs over the western zones late Monday night.

Highs and lows moderate thru the period. Highs from the mid to upper 60s interior to around 70 coast Sunday warm into the lower to mid 70s by Monday. Short term overnight lows well above normal. /10

LONG TERM /Tuesday Through Friday/ . Front makes passage across the forecast area Tuesday, crossing the I-65 corridor after the noon hour. An unsettled weather pattern is expected Tuesday with predominant mode of weather continuing to be showers. But with the area on the favored east side of a strong upper level streak ejecting over the Lower MS River Valley and perhaps weak instability, there could be a few storms mixed in Tuesday. Although the front sinks deep into the Gulf Tuesday night, upper level support lags behind enough to maintain a modest PoP. Drier conditions Thursday before PoPs return Friday with approach of next southern stream storm system.

Temperatures trend lower in the wake of the frontal passage Tuesday with cool days and chilly nights Tuesday night, continuing into the remainder of the week. /10

MARINE . Patchy fog over portions of the marine area early this morning, otherwise a light to occasionally moderate offshore flow is expected today and tonight, possibly increasing to Small Craft criteria offshore well offshore tonight. Light to moderate flow becomes more east to southeasterly and increases yet again late Sunday and Sunday night and continues into Monday as a cold front approaches from the west. The cold front moves through the marine area Tuesday with an increasingly strong offshore flow developing in its wake. A Small Craft Advisory will likely be required for portions of the marine area, especially over the Gulf waters by Tuesday night continuing through Wednesday night with small craft exercising caution elsewhere. /12

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL	8 mi	43 min	N 4.1	59°F			1022.4 hPa
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL	10 mi	88 min		61°F			1021 hPa	54°F
PTOA1	11 mi	55 min		60°F				52°F
WBYA1	11 mi	55 min			62°F
MBPA1	12 mi	55 min		60°F				53°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL	12 mi	61 min	N 5.1 G 9.9	66°F	62°F		1022 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL	13 mi	67 min		60°F	59°F		1021.7 hPa
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL	23 mi	73 min	NNE 12	58°F			1021.7 hPa (-1.0)
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL	25 mi	73 min	N 15 G 17	57°F			1021.4 hPa (-1.5)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL	25 mi	55 min	N 19 G 20	57°F			1021.1 hPa
PPTA1	26 mi	43 min		62°F			1021 hPa
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL	29 mi	73 min	N 13	58°F			1022 hPa (-1.0)
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS	33 mi	88 min	NNE 8	58°F			1023 hPa	53°F
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL	36 mi	55 min	N 6 G 11	66°F	60°F		1020.8 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy	39 mi	33 min	N 12 G 14	61°F	67°F		1020.9 hPa	56°F
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS	40 mi	61 min			63°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS	42 mi	67 min	N 11 G 13	58°F			1021.5 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL	8 mi	78 min	N 6	10.00 mi	Overcast	59°F	51°F	77%	1021.7 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL	12 mi	80 min	N 6	10.00 mi	Overcast	61°F	52°F	72%	1022.1 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL	22 mi	77 min	NNE 6	7.00 mi	Overcast	60°F	50°F	70%	1021.8 hPa
Jack Edwards Airport, AL	22 mi	78 min	N 6	10.00 mi	Overcast	62°F	53°F	74%	1021 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCQF

Wind History from CQF (wind in knots)

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N7

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Tide / Current Tables for Great Point Clear, Mobile Bay, Alabama

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Tide / Current Tables for Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (16,3,4,5)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL

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Gulf Stream Current

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