Monday, August19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fairhope, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:19AMSunset 7:31PM Monday August 19, 2019 3:15 PM CDT (20:15 UTC) Moonrise 10:06PMMoonset 9:48AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 1031 Am Cdt Mon Aug 19 2019
Rest of today..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely late in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming light. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..Winds light becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Wednesday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southwest 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Friday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1031 Am Cdt Mon Aug 19 2019
Synopsis..A light to moderate wind flow, mainly from the southwest, will persist through the remainder of the week as a broad surface ridge of high pressure continues to stretch from the western atlantic to the north central gulf. Winds and seas will be higher near scattered to numerous showers and Thunderstorms through much of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairhope, AL
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location: 30.57, -87.86     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 191752 aab
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
1252 pm cdt Mon aug 19 2019

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
18z issuance...VFR to MVFR conditions expected through 20.18z.

Could see a short period of ifr CIGS and visibilities in
scattered showers or thunderstorms this afternoon into early
evening. Winds will become southerly southeast at 7 to 13 knots
this afternoon through early this evening then light and variable
later this evening into early Tuesday morning. 22

Prev discussion issued 728 am cdt Mon aug 19 2019
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

12z issuance...VFR to MVFR CIGS and visibilities through 20.12z.

Lower CIGS and visibilities mainly in and near scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms today and tonight. Winds will
be light and variable early today becoming south to southwest at 5
to 10 knots late this morning through early this evening then
becoming northwest to north at 5 knots or less late this evening
through 20.12z 32 ee
prev discussion... Issued 451 am cdt Mon aug 19 2019
near term now through Monday night ... Expect better coverage of
showers and thunderstorms today and early tonight in response to
increased forcing ahead of a mid level impulse diving south on the
eastern edge of a persistent upper ridge centered over tx
stretching east to the north central gulf coast region. The mid
level impulse will track south towards the al nwfl coast early
today then eastward towards the south ga late this afternoon and
this evening, rounding the base of a weak mid to upper trof
stretching from the mid atlantic region to the NE gulf just west
of apalachicola fl. Near the surface, high pressure continues to
stretch from the western atlantic to the north central gulf with
good moisture advection moving inland from new orleans la to
destin fl due to a better southwest flow. With this pwats have
climbed to near 2.30 inches near the al nwfl coast and 2 to 2.10
inches for most inland areas of the forecast area. Model soundings
also depict decent instability across the region with ml capes
around 2000 j kg offshore this morning shifting inland by late
morning and afternoon. With this pattern expect scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms forming along the coast and
offshore early this morning then slowly shifting inland later this
morning through early this evening with the best coverage over
coastal areas generally along and south of the i-10 corridor late
this morning through early this afternoon spreading inland over
western sections of SW al and much of inland SE ms. Gusty straight
line winds, frequent cloud to ground lightning and periods of
very heavy rain will accompany the stronger storms. Due to
training cells in some areas,some flooding will also be possible
later today and this evening, especially over coastal and western
sections of the forecast area.

Due to better clouds and better coverage of showers and
thunderstorms today daytime temps will be a tad lower compared to
the last few days with highs ranging from the upper 80s to the
lower 90s over western and coastal areas and the middle 90s over
eastern sections inland from the coast. Lows tonight will be a tad
above seasonal norms ranging from the lower to middle 70s inland
and the mid to upper 70s along the immediate coast. 32 ee
short term Tuesday through Wednesday night ... A weak low to mid
level trough axis will continue to extend from the vicinity of the
fl panhandle through central portions of ga on Tuesday before
this subtle feature perhaps slowly retrogrades westward toward
southeast and south central al and the western fl panhandle by
Tuesday night. A weak surface trough axis will also continue to
extend from portions of southeast ms through interior southwest
and south central al on Tuesday. Plentiful deep layer moisture
will remain in place across our forecast area during the day
Tuesday, with precipitable water values ranging between 1.8" and
2.2". This rich moisture will combine with the available afternoon
instability, low level convergence along the surface trough and
developing seabreeze circulation, as well as additional ascent
along the axis of the low to mid level trough to aid in the
development of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
across the forecast area again during the day Tuesday. We expect
the best coverage to be focused near the coast during the morning
hours, before numerous showers and storms develop and spread
inland through the afternoon hours. Some of the stronger storms
that develop may once again be capable of producing brief strong
and gusty winds, frequent lightning, and locally heavy rainfall.

Scattered showers and storms may linger into Tuesday evening and
into the overnight hours, with locally numerous coverage possibly
developing near the immediate coast and adjacent offshore waters
after midnight. High temperatures Tuesday afternoon are forecast
to range from around 90 to the lower 90s inland and in the upper
80s near the coast. Maximum heat indices should range from the
upper 90s to around 103 outside of convection.

A similarly unsettled weather pattern is expected to continue on
Wednesday. A weakness in the mid level flow pattern will continue
between ridging aloft over the plains and lower mississippi valley
and also over the western atlantic. A weak trough will continue to
extend across the north central gulf coast region between these
features. The deeply moist airmass remains over the area with
precipitable water values up to a little over 2". We therefore
expect another round of scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms to develop over the area again Wednesday, again some
with locally heavy rainfall, frequent lightning, and brief strong
and gusty winds. The latest forecast storm total rainfall through
Wednesday night generally ranges from 1 to 3 inches, especially
across the southern two thirds of the area. Some very localized
double these amounts will be possible where training cells occur,
so we will continue to monitor the potential for localized
flooding in urban and low lying areas through Wednesday night.

Highs on Wednesday will once again range from around 90 to the
lower 90s inland, with upper 80s generally expected along the
immediate coast. Maximum heat indices continue to range from the
upper 90s to around 103 outside of storms. 21
long term Thursday through Sunday ... The moist and unsettled
weather pattern will persist late this week and into the upcoming
weekend. Deep layer moisture will stay in place across the north
central gulf coast region with pwats around or perhaps a little
higher than 2" each day. Subtle shortwave impulses continue in the
flow aloft late this week, with another upper trough or low
potentially developing near the gulf coast this weekend will
support keeping likely pops in the forecast during the daytime
hours each day through Sunday. Little daily change in temperatures
is expected with highs each day ranging in the upper 80s to lower
90s, and typical lows in the 70s each night. 21
marine... A moderate southwest wind flow will persist over the marine
area through early tonight followed by a light to moderate south to
southwest flow through the remainder of the week as a broad surface
ridge of high pressure continues to stretch from the western
atlantic to the north central gulf. Seas will range from 3 to 4 feet
through tonight then subside to 1 to 2 feet for the remainder of the
week. Winds and seas will be higher near scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms through much of the week.

32 ee

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... High rip current risk through late tonight for alz265-266.

Fl... High rip current risk through late tonight for flz202-204-206.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 8 mi46 min S 13 80°F 1017.3 hPa
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 10 mi91 min 79°F 1018 hPa74°F
WBYA1 11 mi46 min 87°F
PTOA1 11 mi46 min 82°F 76°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 12 mi46 min SSW 6 G 9.9 85°F 87°F1016.6 hPa
MBPA1 12 mi46 min 80°F 77°F
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 13 mi52 min 82°F 87°F1016.8 hPa
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 17 mi76 min SSW 13 80°F 1017.3 hPa (+0.0)
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 23 mi46 min S 14 78°F 1016.3 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 25 mi76 min SSW 8 G 11 78°F 1017.5 hPa (-0.5)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 25 mi46 min SW 14 G 15 78°F 1016.6 hPa
PPTA1 26 mi46 min 81°F 1016.9 hPa
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 29 mi46 min SSW 13 78°F 1016.9 hPa
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 33 mi91 min SSW 11 78°F 1019 hPa76°F
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 36 mi46 min S 2.9 G 8 84°F 88°F1016.4 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 39 mi26 min SSW 16 G 19 80°F 86°F3 ft1016.2 hPa76°F
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 40 mi52 min 83°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 42 mi52 min S 12 G 14 78°F 1016.9 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL8 mi41 minS 510.00 miPartly Cloudy77°F75°F94%1016.6 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL12 mi23 minVar 510.00 miMostly Cloudy87°F75°F70%1016.4 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL22 mi20 minS 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy83°F75°F79%1015.8 hPa
Jack Edwards Airport, AL22 mi41 minSW 710.00 miFair79°F74°F86%1016.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCQF

Wind History from CQF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW7SW8SW6CalmSW3W4W3CalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE3CalmCalmCalmS7N3
1 day agoCalmCalmS6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmW3CalmSW3S4
2 days agoW3CalmSW3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW4NW4NW3CalmCalmSW6

Tide / Current Tables for Great Point Clear, Mobile Bay, Alabama
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Great Point Clear
Click for Map
Mon -- 06:01 AM CDT     0.86 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:20 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:04 AM CDT     0.82 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:48 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:32 PM CDT     1.17 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:29 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:05 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:43 PM CDT     0.74 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.70.70.80.80.80.90.90.80.80.80.911.11.11.21.21.11.110.90.80.80.7

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama
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Mobile (Mobile State Docks)
Click for Map
Mon -- 06:20 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:04 AM CDT     0.93 feet High Tide
Mon -- 09:48 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:01 AM CDT     0.88 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:35 PM CDT     1.26 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:30 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:06 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:40 PM CDT     0.80 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.70.70.80.80.90.90.90.90.90.90.9111.11.21.21.31.21.21.110.90.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.