Monday, March8, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fairhope, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:08AMSunset 5:56PM Monday March 8, 2021 9:01 AM CST (15:01 UTC) Moonrise 4:08AMMoonset 2:23PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 306 Am Cst Mon Mar 8 2021
Today..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tonight..South winds 8 to 13 knots becoming east. Waves around 1 foot.
Tuesday..East winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast. Waves around 1 foot.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Gusts up to 20 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Friday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 306 Am Cst Mon Mar 8 2021
Synopsis..Light to moderate easterly flow will develop today and persist through Tuesday. Moderate southeasterly flow will then develop Wednesday and persist into the weekend. Seas will gradually subside by Tuesday before building once again and remaining elevated through late week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairhope, AL
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location: 30.57, -87.86     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 081125 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 525 AM CST Mon Mar 8 2021

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Tuesday/. An upper level ridge currently over the Plains shifts east and will be over the eastern Conus by Tuesday evening. A surface ridge stretching north along the Mississippi River shifts southeast, becoming centered off the Carolina coast with a ridge stretching west over the northern Gulf coast. The low level ridge is slow to organize and bring return flow off the Gulf into the Southeast, but a more significant moisture return does begin on Tuesday.

A very dry airmass (precipitable H20 values of 0.25" or less) remains in place through tonight, allowing for a higher than normal temperature range through the Near Term. Increasing upper subsidence from the shifting upper ridge will increase high temperatures to near seasonal levels today (low 70s) and a bit above on Tuesday (low to mid 70s). Increasing upper subsidence from the ridge aloft will bring an slight uptick in low temperatures tonight, with upper 30s to mid 40s expected. /16/12


AVIATION. 12Z issuance . VFR conditions will persist through the forecast. Winds will be light out of the east becoming light and variable overnight. BB/03

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 405 AM CST Mon Mar 8 2021/

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Tuesday/ . An upper level ridge currently over the Plains shifts east and will be over the eastern Conus by Tuesday evening. A surface ridge stretching north along the Mississippi River shifts southeast, becoming centered off the Carolina coast with a ridge stretching west over the northern Gulf coast. The low level ridge is slow to organize and bring return flow off the Gulf into the Southeast, but a more significant moisture return does begin on Tuesday.

A very dry airmass (precipitable H20 values of 0.25" or less) remains in place through tonight, allowing for a higher than normal temperature range through the Near Term. Increasing upper subsidence from the shifting upper ridge will increase high temperatures to near seasonal levels today (low 70s) and a bit above on Tuesday (low to mid 70s). Increasing upper subsidence from the ridge aloft will bring an slight uptick in low temperatures tonight, with upper 30s to mid 40s expected. /16/12

SHORT TERM /Tuesday night Through Wednesday night/ . Other than shifting the short term period ahead 12 hours, not much in the way of change from previous. Surface and upper level ridging will continue over the area through the period, but gradually begins to lose its grip on the area Wednesday night. Overall though, the forecast doesn't change much from previous as subsidence over the region maintains clear skies, but a slowly moderating airmass is expected with rising dew points and humidity as surface high pressure ridge shifts east of the area and a southeasterly low level flow develops. No precipitation is expected. The large diurnal swings in temperatures will decrease somewhat during the short term period. Lows Tuesday night should be in the mid 40s over the interior counties and the lower 50s closer to and along the coast. Highs Wednesday will be in the low to mid 70s across most of the area, with a few upper 70s possible over the interior. Wednesday night lows should be in the low to mid 50s across the area. /12

EXTENDED TERM /Thursday Through Sunday/ . A strong upper level ridge of high pressure is expected to build across the central and southern Gulf of Mexico late this week and the associated upper level ridge axis is expected to extend northward across our forecast area Thursday and Friday. Low level ridging will meanwhile continue to stretch westward from the western Atlantic through the north central Gulf Coast region late this week, allowing for a continued southeasterly to southerly surface flow across our area. Medium range model solutions remain in good agreement with keeping a deeply dry and subsident airmass in place over our forecast area Thursday and Friday in association with the strong ridging aloft across our area and will keep a dry forecast in place through the end of the week. The upper level ridge of high pressure will gradually shift south and east across the southern Gulf and through the southern FL peninsula and FL Straits this weekend as a potent upper level low pressure system lifts from the Four Corners Region early Saturday morning to the central and southern Plains by Sunday afternoon. Mid level flow should gradually transition from zonal to southwesterly across our forecast area by late in the weekend between these features. Dry conditions are still generally anticipated on Saturday as much of our area remains underneath a deeply dry airmass and remnant influence of the upper level ridge. However, weak isentropic ascent could result in the development of isolated rain showers across portions of southeast MS and interior southwest AL by Saturday afternoon and will keep 20% POPs in place over these zones. A more organized line of convection could spread across the MS Valley region along a cold front by late Sunday night as the upper level low lifts into the Plains. There is still plenty of uncertainty regarding timing of the front and associated precipitation chances, but moisture return ahead of this next system will support the inclusion of at least a slight chance of rain showers across our forecast area Sunday into Sunday night with better chances possibly arriving just beyond this extended forecast period. For now, low end chance PoPs seem to be best bet, but look Look for POPs to be refined over the next several forecast periods. Otherwise, we expect warm temperatures to persist Thursday through the weekend with deep layer ridging and southerly flow in place, and we have continued to trend high temperatures a little above NBM offerings each day. /21

MARINE . Light to moderate easterly flow will become moderate southeasterly flow by Wednesday and persist into the weekend. Seas will briefly subside before increasing again late week. No current marine hazards expected. BB/03

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . High Rip Current Risk from Tuesday morning through Friday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL . High Rip Current Risk from Tuesday morning through Friday afternoon for FLZ202-204-206.

MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WBYA1 11 mi44 min 52°F
PTOA1 11 mi44 min 53°F 33°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 12 mi32 min NE 17 55°F 1032.9 hPa
MBPA1 12 mi44 min 55°F 39°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 12 mi44 min NE 5.1 G 8 53°F 57°F1033.5 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 13 mi44 min 56°F 56°F1034.4 hPa
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 17 mi92 min NE 13 50°F 1033.5 hPa
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 25 mi62 min ENE 15 G 16 55°F 1033.4 hPa (+2.2)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 25 mi44 min ENE 14 G 17 54°F 1033.6 hPa
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 36 mi44 min S 1 G 5.1 56°F 60°F1034.1 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 39 mi32 min 14 G 16 60°F 63°F1034.2 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 40 mi44 min 58°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 42 mi44 min ENE 15 G 18 56°F 1033.6 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL8 mi67 minENE 510.00 miFair50°F32°F50%1033.9 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL12 mi69 minNNE 610.00 miFair52°F35°F53%1034.4 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL22 mi66 minENE 97.00 miA Few Clouds53°F30°F41%1033.8 hPa
Jack Edwards Airport, AL22 mi67 minNE 510.00 miFair51°F32°F48%1033.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCQF

Wind History from CQF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6NE5N7NE7NE8NW8NW5NW8
G14
NW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4NE4NE3NE4NE8
1 day agoNE11NE10N11NE11
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NW8N3N4N6N4N4N6N6N8N9N9NE8N6N5NE12NE11
2 days agoE6E7SE10SE11E11E7E4E4CalmSE5CalmCalmCalmCalmN4N6CalmN6NE7N10NE9NE5NE6NE8

Tide / Current Tables for Great Point Clear, Mobile Bay, Alabama
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Great Point Clear
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:07 AM CST     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:09 AM CST     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:33 AM CST     -0.51 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:24 PM CST     Moonset
Mon -- 05:55 PM CST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:51 PM CST     1.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.40.2-0.1-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.200.20.50.70.91.11.31.51.61.61.61.51.31.1

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama
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Mobile (Mobile State Docks)
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:08 AM CST     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:10 AM CST     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:31 AM CST     -0.55 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:24 PM CST     Moonset
Mon -- 05:55 PM CST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:54 PM CST     1.72 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.70.40.2-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.200.30.50.711.21.41.61.71.71.71.61.4

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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