Monday, August10, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fairhope, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:14AMSunset 7:39PM Monday August 10, 2020 1:12 PM CDT (18:12 UTC) Moonrise 11:51PMMoonset 12:24PM Illumination 58% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 1030 Am Cdt Mon Aug 10 2020
Today..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming west. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Friday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1030 Am Cdt Mon Aug 10 2020
Synopsis..A light to occasionally moderate west to southwest flow will prevail through Friday, except for a slight northwest wind near the coast during the late night and early morning hours. Winds will then become more southerly near the coast in the afternoon each day with sea breeze development. Little change in seas is expected. Winds and seas will however be higher near scattered showers and Thunderstorms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairhope, AL
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location: 30.57, -87.86     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 101744 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1240 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2020

NEAR TERM /Now Through Tuesday/. 10.12Z upper level analysis of the 700 to 300 mb geo-potential mass fields show a trough axis over the southwest Atlantic and Mid-Atlantic, while to its west a deep layer ridge was positioned from the Gulf to TX. In the lower levels and surface, high pressure was situated from the southwest Atlantic to east TX. Latest mesoscale analysis shows an environment that has become unstable with SBCape/MUCape already on the order of 3000/4000 J/KG. Shear is weak. Precipitable water values from 1.7 to 1.9 inches is near climatological means for the 1st third of the month of the August. Source of ascent this afternoon will come from a.) the passage of weak mid level impulses dropping south southeast in the mean flow aloft between the trough to the east and ridge to the west and b.) from the coastal sea-breeze and other mesoscale boundaries produced from convection. An assessment of wet-microburst potential indicates a high risk that a few storms will be sufficient in producing strong convective downburst winds. A few severe storms cannot be ruled out with the main threat in these being damaging winds in those instances where more established cores achieve heights above -20C, then collapse. Due to high CAPE/Low shear, storms will be of pulse variety with little structure and brief life spans but still can be achieve strong to brief severe magnitudes. Frequent, potentially deadly concentrated lightning will be likely in the stronger cores. The synoptic scale pattern changes little tonight into Tuesday. Will have a small chance of storms carrying over into the evening from the afternoon then decreasing. A diurnal re-development/increase of nocturnal convection is expected over the marine area late in the night. Early AM convective activity over the Gulf waters and near shore, develops inland again during the day Tuesday. Environmental conditions support waterspout formation especially during the morning hours. Lows tonight in the lower/mid 70's over inland areas north of I-10 and 77 to 82 along the immediate coast. High temperatures Tuesday in the lower/mid 90s over inland areas, and around 90 at the coast (with some upper 80s for the barrier islands). A LOW risk of rip currents holds along the beaches. /10

AVIATION. 18Z issuance . Afternoon cu field developing with bases ranging from 3 to 6 kft. Radar shows convection beginning to form along I-65 and over the northwest FL Panhandle, generally south of I-10 near a weak surface pressure trough. Will have tsra in the afternoon near-term forecast as expect an increase in areal coverage through the afternoon. Scattered convection brings flight impacts by way of MVFR cigs (perhaps lower at times), brief strong wind gusts, frequent lightning, and instances of lower vsby. Away from storms this afternoon and evening, winds generally light. /10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 8 mi42 min S 5.1 86°F 1019.3 hPa
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 10 mi87 min 90°F 1019 hPa73°F
WBYA1 11 mi54 min 90°F
PTOA1 11 mi60 min 90°F 76°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 12 mi72 min E 2.9 86°F 1019.3 hPa (+0.0)
MBPA1 12 mi60 min 88°F 78°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 12 mi54 min SE 5.1 G 8 88°F1019.7 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 13 mi60 min 88°F 88°F1019.5 hPa
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 17 mi102 min WNW 5.1 85°F 1020 hPa
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 23 mi72 min WSW 7 86°F 1019.6 hPa (+0.3)
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 25 mi54 min WSW 7 G 8
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 25 mi132 min NW 6 G 7 85°F 1019.9 hPa (+0.3)
PPTA1 26 mi42 min 90°F 1019.6 hPa
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 29 mi72 min WNW 5.1 1020 hPa (-0.3)
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 33 mi87 min WNW 1 89°F 1021 hPa75°F
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 36 mi54 min S 8.9 G 12 90°F 89°F1019.5 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 39 mi32 min SE 9.7 G 14 84°F 88°F1020.2 hPa75°F
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 40 mi54 min 85°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 42 mi54 min WSW 5.1 G 7

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL8 mi77 minWNW 410.00 miFair88°F71°F59%1019.6 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL12 mi19 minSE 710.00 miA Few Clouds93°F77°F60%1019.3 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL22 mi76 minVar 410.00 miMostly Cloudy90°F73°F58%1019.5 hPa
Jack Edwards Airport, AL22 mi77 minWSW 7 G 1510.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F73°F59%1019.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCQF

Wind History from CQF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW3S3SW4CalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW4NW3CalmSW4W3
1 day agoSW5S3S3CalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmW3
2 days agoNW4SW3S3S3S4S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4S4

Tide / Current Tables for Great Point Clear, Mobile Bay, Alabama
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Great Point Clear
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:38 AM CDT     1.10 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:15 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:24 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 12:56 PM CDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:37 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:50 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.9111.11.11.1110.90.80.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.80.80.80.9

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama
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Mobile (Mobile State Docks)
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:41 AM CDT     1.18 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:15 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:25 PM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:53 PM CDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:38 PM CDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:50 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.911.11.11.21.21.21.110.90.80.80.70.70.70.70.70.80.80.80.80.90.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.