Tuesday, September17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Belle Fontaine, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 6:57PM Tuesday September 17, 2019 3:41 PM CDT (20:41 UTC) Moonrise 9:11PMMoonset 9:31AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 1012 Am Cdt Tue Sep 17 2019
Rest of today..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tonight..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming northwest 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming north 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming east. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1012 Am Cdt Tue Sep 17 2019
Synopsis..A weak surface ridge of high pressure will prevail over the north central gulf of mexico through Wednesday night. A light north to northwest flow late at night and in the morning will become light to occasionally moderate southwest in the afternoon and evening today through Wednesday night. A strong surface ridge of high pressure will build from the eastern and southeastern states and into the northeastern gulf of mexico Thursday through the weekend. This pattern will result in a moderate to occasionally strong easterly flow and building seas across the marine area late this week and into much of the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Belle Fontaine CDP, AL
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location: 30.57, -88.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 171821 aaa
afdmob
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service mobile al
121 pm cdt Tue sep 17 2019

Discussion See updated information for land areas and aviation
discussion below.

Update Did a quick update to the current zone forecast mainly
to add slight chance or isolated pops, generally along the i-10
corridor and further inland over inland SE ms, developing along a
seabreeze front advancing inland over lower portions of our
forecast area later this afternoon. Little to no measurable rain
is expected. Higher than normal temps and heat index values
ranging from 99 to 105 degrees f are still expected. No
advisories are anticipated. 32 ee

Aviation
18z issuance...VFR conditions through 18.18z. A few low clouds
combined with scattered high clouds will be possible this
afternoon along with a few isolated showers or thunderstorms
generally along a developing seabreeze circulation just north of
the coast later this afternoon. Winds will become mostly
southwest at 5 to 10 knots later this afternoon becoming light and
variable later this evening and overnight continuing through
midday wed. 32 ee

Prev discussion issued 642 am cdt Tue sep 17 2019
discussion... Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation...

12z issuance...VFR is expected to prevail across the region
through the next 24 hours. An isolated shra or tsra will be
possible this afternoon, but probabilities are very low and have
not included mention in the local tafs. Light northwest to north
winds will generally continue today, except becoming southwest
5-10 knots over southern portions of our area along a seabreeze
this afternoon. 21
prev discussion... Issued 440 am cdt Tue sep 17 2019
near term now through Tuesday night ... A mid to upper level ridge
of high pressure will extend from the lower mississippi valley to
the great lakes region today, while a broad low pressure system
slowly drifts across the northwestern gulf of mexico near the
southeast tx coast. Most of our forecast area will remain under the
influence of the building mid to upper level ridge today, with
associated subsidence and rather low precipitable water values
between 1.2 and 1.4 inches. We will keep a mostly sunny and dry
forecast intact across most inland areas today. The exception could
be across southern portions of southeast ms and far southwest al,
where low level convergence along a developing seabreeze, higher
precipitable water values between 1.6 and 1.9 inches and associated
higher instability may result in the development of a few isolated
showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. We will opt to include a
15-20% pop in the forecast generally southwest of a janice, ms to
mobile, al line this afternoon. The heat will otherwise persist
across the area today with high temperatures forecast to range in
the mid to upper 90s, with a few locations reaching around 100
degrees. These readings could approach record levels (record high
temperatures for today include 100 degrees at kmob set in 1927 and
97 at kpns set in 1991). Mostly clear and dry conditions are
anticipated tonight with lows around 70 degrees to the lower 70s
inland, and in the mid to upper 70s near the coast and beaches.

21
short term Wednesday through Thursday night ... An upper ridge
will remain in place through the period. This will bring another
day of hot and dry weather to the area on Wednesday with temps in
the upper 90s to near 100. The sfc ridge builds across the mid-
atlantic coast into the southeast during the latter half of the
week. This will bring an easterly flow to the area as a back- door
cold front moves through the area on Thursday and brings a slight
decrease to the hot temps. This feature will also produce
isolated to scattered showers and storms to the area on Thursday.

Long term Friday through Monday ... Deep layer ridging continues
across the area through Saturday before flattening out somewhat
Sunday into Monday as an upper trough moves across the great lakes
region. An associated weak front will approach the tennessee
valley but stall north and west of there due to the ridge over the
southeast. Therefore rain chances remain low through the period
outside of small chances near the coast and offshore.

Temperatures remain in the low to mid 90s each afternoon. 13
marine... A weak surface ridge of high pressure will remain in place
over the north central gulf of mexico through Wednesday night. A
light north to northwest flow late at night and in the morning will
become light to occasionally moderate southwest in the afternoon and
evening today through Wednesday night. A strong surface ridge of
high pressure will build from the eastern and southeastern states
and into the northeastern gulf of mexico Thursday through the
weekend. This pattern will result in a moderate to occasionally
strong easterly flow and building seas across the marine area late
this week and into much of the weekend. 21

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... None.

Fl... None.

Ms... None.

Gm... None.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MBPA1 3 mi59 min 90°F 76°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 6 mi59 min S 8.9 G 11 92°F 87°F1015.2 hPa
PTOA1 8 mi53 min 92°F 72°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 10 mi71 min S 9.9 87°F 1015.6 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 10 mi59 min 93°F 87°F1015 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 11 mi41 min SSW 7 90°F 1014.6 hPa (-2.4)
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 17 mi116 min 1016 hPa
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 18 mi71 min SSW 8 87°F 1015.6 hPa
WBYA1 18 mi53 min 88°F
GBRM6 20 mi161 min 92°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 22 mi101 min W 8.9 88°F 1015.6 hPa (-1.4)
DPIA1 - Dauphin Island, AL 22 mi41 min SSW 7 G 9.9 88°F 1015.2 hPa (-1.8)
KATA1 - Katrina Cut, AL 23 mi71 min SW 8.9 86°F 1015.9 hPa
GDXM6 - Grand Bay Reserve, MS 23 mi116 min SSW 8 88°F 1017 hPa76°F
FMOA1 - 8734673 - Fort Morgan, AL 24 mi53 min WSW 8.9 G 9.9 87°F 1015.5 hPa
PNLM6 - 8741533 - Pascagoula NOAA Lab, MS 29 mi59 min 86°F
PTBM6 - 8741003 - Petit Bois Island, MS 33 mi59 min SSW 7 G 8 1015.8 hPa
PPTA1 35 mi71 min 92°F 1015.9 hPa
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 45 mi41 min WSW 9.7 G 12 86°F 87°F1015.2 hPa (-1.7)76°F
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 48 mi53 min S 7 G 11 88°F 87°F1014.7 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL5 mi48 minS 810.00 miA Few Clouds95°F73°F51%1015.1 hPa
Mobile, Mobile Regional Airport, AL11 mi45 minNNE 310.00 miPartly Cloudy97°F66°F37%1014.8 hPa
Sonny Callahan Airport, AL14 mi46 minWSW 610.00 miFair90°F71°F55%1014.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBFM

Wind History from BFM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----S4Calm--CalmCalm------Calm--NW3CalmNW4NW3NW6--NW7NE5E5SE6SE6S8
1 day agoE8E10E7NE5------------NW5------NW4--NE4--E9SE44S8S8S8
2 days agoNE7NE8NE8NE6S3------------------E13NE10----E8E8E8NE6NE9E8

Tide / Current Tables for Fowl River, Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama
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Fowl River
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:39 AM CDT     1.36 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:37 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:31 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 10:37 AM CDT     0.76 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:55 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:18 PM CDT     1.23 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:11 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 09:24 PM CDT     1.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.31.31.41.31.31.21.10.90.80.80.80.80.9111.11.21.21.21.21.21.21.3

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile Bay Entrance, Alabama Current
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Mobile Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:35 AM CDT     -0.34 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:37 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:30 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 09:35 AM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 03:39 PM CDT     0.39 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 06:55 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:10 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.100.20.20.30.40.40.40.40.40.30.30.20.20.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.