Milton, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Milton, FL

June 21, 2024 9:46 PM CDT (02:46 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:45 AM   Sunset 7:55 PM
Moonrise 8:05 PM   Moonset 5:00 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Expires:202406221515;;441939 Fzus54 Kmob 220237 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 937 pm cdt Fri jun 21 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz633-634-221515- perdido bay-pensacola bay system- 937 pm cdt Fri jun 21 2024

Rest of tonight - Southwest winds around 5 knots, becoming north around 5 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.

Saturday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Saturday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop.

Sunday - West winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Sunday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop.

Monday - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Monday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Tuesday - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers. A chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Tuesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Wednesday - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Wednesday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 937 Pm Cdt Fri Jun 21 2024

Synopsis - Light and variable winds are expected to continue through Saturday. A light to moderate southwesterly to westerly flow becomes established Saturday night and will persist through much of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milton, FL
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Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 212308 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 607 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 607 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

VFR conditions are anticipated through Saturday. Calm or light and variable winds tonight become northeasterly 5 to 10 knots on Saturday, except for a switch to a southerly direction near the coast by early afternoon. /29

PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 355 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024/

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Saturday)
Issued at 353 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

The forecast remains on track today with only minor tweaks to lower the dewpoints based on current observations. Other than that, the cu field has developed over the past hour or so as the sea breeze continues to hover right along the coastal interface.

The local area remains underneath an elongated ridge aloft while a sprawling surface high over the western Atlantic maintains its grip on much of the Southeast. Winds at the surface remain easterly to southeasterly on the western periphery of the surface high. Slightly drier air will filter into the region late this afternoon (especially east of I-65) with the HRRR showing PWATs rebounding back to 1.4-1.6 inches along the coast by Saturday afternoon. Expect much of the local area to remain dry tonight through Saturday as high pressure remains in control of the weather. That said, isolated showers and storms are possible along the sea breeze by Saturday afternoon, but the activity will likely be confined to Santa Rosa and Okaloosa Counties in northwest Florida.

Heat stress is a concern early this weekend with highs topping out in the mid to upper 90s for inland communities (low 90s at the beaches) as heat indices soar into the 100-104° range on Saturday.

Beach Note: The risk of rip currents remains HIGH as local beaches fly RED or DOUBLE RED flags today. Conditions should slowly begin to subside as we slide into the weekend with a MODERATE risk expected by Saturday. 07/mb

SHORT TERM...
(Saturday night through Monday night)
Issued at 353 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

A deepening upper trough over/along the East Coast will shift the east end of an upper ridge stretching east over the Southeast southwest to over the Gulf of Mexico. A surface ridge that has started building west over the Gulf of Mexico becomes more organized over the central Gulf, creating a more organized southwest to westerly flow over the forecast area, bringing Gulf moisture inland in the process. Also, guidance is advertising a weak cold front moving south across the Southeast, reaching the northern Gulf coast by Tuesday morning before stalling. All this low level activity increases precipitable moisture levels over the forecast area from around 1.2"-1.5" Saturday evening to around 2" or higher by Monday evening. Subsidence from the upper ridge will help to temper thunderstorm creation instability, though, limiting rain coverage over land areas Sunday and maybe allow isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms Monday afternoon/evening. With MLCapes limited to around 1500J/kg or less Monday afternoon and DCapes of 700-900J/kg, may see a rumbler become strong to marginally severe. Add in weak shear (EBWD shear 15kts or less), the risk of organized storms is pretty low. Am expecting direction of this convection to be outflow driven as a result. There is a bit higher chance of stronger storms closer to the coast as the southward moving weak cold front and a northward moving Gulf breeze interact.

Subsidence from the upper ridge will keep temperatures above seasonal norms, with high temperatures in the mid to upper 90s over most of the forecast area Sunday and Monday. The increasing moisture levels will combine with the hot temperatures to create heat indices in the 10-105 degree range Sunday and 105-110 on Monday. A Heat Advisory will likely be needed for Monday into the extended. Low temperatures in the low 70s to mid/upper 70s south of I-10 see an uptick for Sunday and Monday nights, with mid 70s south of Highway 84 and upper 70s along the coast.
/16

LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 353 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

Guidance continues to shift the east coast upper trough west over the Southeast, shifting the upper ridge ab it more southwest of Southeast. The latest guidance is advertising a strong upper level shortwave trough moving into the mean upper trough Wednesday night into Thursday and organize into a closed upper low by Friday. Rain coverage increases to scattered to likely for Wednesday and Thursday. With the range of possible solutions increasing for Friday, am less confident of the scattered convection in the forecast. Temperatures remain well above seasonal for Tuesday, with heat indices in the 105-110 degree range. With the loss of upper subsidence through the rest of the week, temperatures fall closer to seasonal norms with heat indices in the 100-105 degree range.
/16

MARINE...
Issued at 353 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms next week. 07/mb

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 71 95 73 95 75 96 76 95 / 0 0 0 10 0 30 20 60 Pensacola 75 93 76 94 78 95 79 93 / 0 10 0 10 10 40 30 50 Destin 78 90 79 91 79 93 79 92 / 0 20 10 10 10 40 30 50 Evergreen 69 97 71 97 72 96 73 95 / 0 10 0 10 10 40 20 60 Waynesboro 69 97 71 98 73 97 73 96 / 0 0 0 10 10 30 20 60 Camden 68 96 71 96 73 95 73 96 / 0 0 0 10 10 40 20 60 Crestview 70 97 71 98 73 98 74 96 / 0 20 0 20 0 40 20 60

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...High Rip Current Risk until 4 AM CDT Saturday for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 4 AM CDT Saturday for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 17 mi47 minSSW 6G8 84°F 89°F30.07
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 44 mi62 min0 78°F 30.0973°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy 47 mi37 minSSE 5.8G7.8 82°F 84°F30.0774°F


Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KNDZ
   
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Wind History graph: NDZ
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Tide / Current for Milton, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
   
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Milton
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Fri -- 05:00 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:46 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:24 PM CDT     2.14 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:53 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:05 PM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:10 PM CDT     Full Moon
Fri -- 11:45 PM CDT     -0.55 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Milton, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
-0.4
1
am
-0.3
2
am
-0.1
3
am
0.1
4
am
0.3
5
am
0.6
6
am
0.9
7
am
1.1
8
am
1.4
9
am
1.7
10
am
1.9
11
am
2
12
pm
2.1
1
pm
2.1
2
pm
2
3
pm
1.8
4
pm
1.5
5
pm
1.2
6
pm
0.8
7
pm
0.4
8
pm
0.1
9
pm
-0.2
10
pm
-0.4
11
pm
-0.5


Tide / Current for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Lora Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:01 AM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:46 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:20 AM CDT     2.14 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:54 PM CDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:05 PM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:10 PM CDT     Full Moon
Fri -- 11:01 PM CDT     -0.55 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
-0.3
1
am
-0.2
2
am
0
3
am
0.3
4
am
0.6
5
am
0.8
6
am
1.1
7
am
1.4
8
am
1.7
9
am
1.9
10
am
2
11
am
2.1
12
pm
2.1
1
pm
2
2
pm
1.8
3
pm
1.5
4
pm
1.2
5
pm
0.8
6
pm
0.5
7
pm
0.1
8
pm
-0.2
9
pm
-0.4
10
pm
-0.5
11
pm
-0.6


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GEOS Local Image of Southern Mississippi Valley   
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Northwest Florida,




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