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Marine Weather and Tides Milton, FL Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 6:18AM

Sunset 4:50PM

Thursday November 21, 2019 3:29 PM CST (21:29 UTC)

Moonrise 1:46AM

Moonset 2:50PM

Illumination 28%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milton city, FL

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Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL

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FXUS64 KMOB 211812 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1212 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2019

DISCUSSION. See updated information for land areas and aviation discussion below.

UPDATE. Clouds will continue to slide into the area from the west throughout the day, which will keep high temperatures in the mid to low 70s. Today's forecast is on track with only minor adjustments needed to the dewpoint temperatures this afternoon. 07/mb

AVIATION. 18Z issuance . High clouds continue to stream into the region from the west this morning. Despite the additional cloud cover, VFR conditions persist through this evening at the TAF sites. Some model guidance is keying in on a lower cloud deck developing over the Gulf waters and spreading inland along the coast during the overnight hours. For now, MVFR ceilings were added at the coastal TAF sites during the early morning hours. 07/mb

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 535 AM CST Thu Nov 21 2019/

DISCUSSION . Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

AVIATION . 12Z issuance . VFR conditions will continue today with light easterly winds becoming southeasterly throughout the day. Mid to high clouds will begin to move in from the west by late afternoon into the evening hours. BB/03

PREV DISCUSSION . /issued 438 AM CST Thu Nov 21 2019/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Thursday night/ . The mid-level ridge axis will begin the day centered over the middle Tennessee Valley and slowly push east and weaken as a shortwave trough lifts northeast out of the central Great Plains. At the surface, high pressure will slowly drift south and east off the Mid-Atlantic coast. A weak surface trough associated with the shortwave will dive southeast into the Mid-Mississippi valley. This will lead to winds becoming more southerly throughout the day. With southerly flow comes the steady surge of moisture from the Gulf. An increase in moisture throughout the day and very very weak but non- zero potential vorticity advection will lead to increasing cloud coverage from northwest to southeast during the afternoon and into the evening hours.

Despite good insolation during the morning, I kept temperatures only a degree or two above guidance due to the increasing cloud cover and increasing low level moisture making it slightly harder to heat up. Highs will remain in the mid 70s with lower 70s along the coast. Increasing clouds will also lead to slightly warmer lows tomorrow night. Lows will range from near 60 at the coast to 50s inland. BB/03

SHORT TERM /Friday Through Saturday night/ . An upper low pressure system centered on the lee side of the Colorado Rockies is expected to take an east-northeast track to over over the Midwest/Mid Atlantic region juncture through the Short Term. A weak to moderate cold front associated with this upper system moves over the Plains Friday before crossing the Lower Mississippi River Valley Friday night. Timing of this front crossing the forecast area has become a bit more consistent in the guidance than previous days, with a general 12z Saturday morning to 00z Saturday evening time frame of passage. Friday through Friday night, rain showers are expected to being overspreading the forecast area Friday night from the northwest. A few thunderstorms mixing in with the rain is possible closer to the passing upper low (northwestern-most portions of the forecast area in our case), but am not expecting rumbles for most of the area Friday night due to limited instability. An additional item for the forecast is fog chances Friday night. With water temperatures in near coastal and protected waters in the low to mid 60s, and 70-75 degree air from over the central Gulf flow over this water, a chance of advection sea fog returns to the forecast area. The statistical guidance is indicating the likely-hood of fog developing south of Highway 84, but is conservative in visibilities dropping to 1sm or less. Have put fog in the forecast late Friday evening and thickening, before the approaching rain begins to mix the fog out after midnight Friday night. Am hesitant to put dense wording in at this time. Not to forget temperatures, am expecting enough daytime heating ahead of the expected increasing cloud cover for temperatures to rise into the mid to upper 70s over the forecast area Friday. Friday night, with the continued southerly flow, continued thickening of the cloud cover and increasing coverage of fog, overnight low temperatures well above seasonal norms and approaching normal high temperatures for the date closer to the coast. Lows in the 60s expected.

Saturday through Saturday night, enough instability is indicated for a few thunderstorms to mix in with the rain showers along and ahead of the front. The precipitation should move southeast of land portions of the forecast area by late Saturday afternoon and the marine portion of the forecast area Saturday evening. Any residual fog will quickly mix out Saturday morning ahead of the approaching rain. With cooler air overspreading the area behind the front during the day, a northwest to southeast gradient of high temperatures is expected Saturday. High temperatures in the mid to upper 60s northwestern portions of the area to mid 70s well southeast of I-65. Temperatures Saturday night are expected to drop into the mid 40s northwest of I-65 to low 50s along the coast. /16

LONG TERM /Sunday Through Wednesday/ . Passing shortwave energy maintains a shallow upper trough over the Southeast Sunday through Monday. Combined with cool northerly flow on the front side of approaching low level high pressure, temperatures below seasonal norms are expected through Monday. The Southeast comes under southwesterly upper level flow as the low level high pressure moves east of the forecast area and southerly flow returns, temperatures rise to above seasonal levels. Increasing southerly flow and associated moisture levels will bring a return of rainshowers to the forecast are Tuesday. A weak cold front will move south and stall along the northern Gulf coast Tuesday night through Wednesday, bringing a drop in temperatures to below seasonal norms mid week. /16

MARINE . Easterly winds will eventually become more onshore today as the surface high drifts southeast over the western Atlantic. Increasing onshore flow Friday night will lead to the potential for sea fog as better moisture and warmer temperatures surge north ahead of an approaching cold front. Seas and winds will increase Saturday as the pressure gradient strengthens ahead of the front. A few thunderstorms could be possible ahead and along the front Saturday. Behind the boundary, moderate northwesterly flow will develop Saturday night into Sunday before relaxing Sunday night into Monday. Given the moderate flow ahead and behind the front, a small craft advisory will likely be needed for the weekend. BB/03

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . High Rip Current Risk from Saturday morning through late Saturday night for ALZ265-266.

FL . High Rip Current Risk from Saturday morning through late Saturday night for FLZ202-204-206.

MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL	17 mi	60 min	SSE 1 G 2.9	70°F	61°F		1021.2 hPa
PPTA1	36 mi	60 min		69°F			1021.3 hPa
WBYA1	44 mi	60 min			60°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL	44 mi	105 min		74°F			1021 hPa	60°F
42012 - Orange Beach AL Buoy	47 mi	40 min	ESE 3.9 G 7.8	71°F	70°F	2 ft	1020.8 hPa	61°F
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL	48 mi	60 min	SSW 4.1	67°F			1020.7 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Milton, Whiting Field South, FL	7 mi	94 min	S 7	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	72°F	57°F	61%	1020.2 hPa
Milton - Whiting Field Naval Air Station North, FL	8 mi	94 min	SSE 7	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	71°F	57°F	61%	1020.2 hPa
Pensacola - Pensacola International Airport, FL	13 mi	37 min	E 8	10.00 mi	Fair	66°F	61°F	84%	1021.3 hPa
Hurlburt Field, FL	22 mi	94 min	SE 7	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	70°F	60°F	73%	1021.2 hPa
Pensacola Naval Air Station, FL	23 mi	94 min	ESE 8	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	71°F	61°F	71%	1021.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPNS

Wind History from PNS (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Milton, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida

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Tide / Current Tables for Lora Point, Escambia Bay, Pensacola Bay, Florida

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (16,3,4,5)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Northwest Florida

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Gulf Stream Current

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