Thursday, August6, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Rockdale, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 8:20PM Thursday August 6, 2020 8:10 PM CDT (01:10 UTC) Moonrise 9:31PMMoonset 8:29AM Illumination 90% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rockdale, TX
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location: 30.67, -97     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 062334 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 634 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2020

SHORT TERM. /NEW/ /Through Friday Evening/

Most of North and Central Texas remains hot and dry this afternoon, with the one exception across our far northwestern counties where a few showers continue to move southeast. These showers should continue to weaken through sunset. A nocturnal complex is expected to develop across Oklahoma late tonight once again, possibly clipping our far northeastern counties near daybreak. We'll keep silent 10% PoPs to account for this low potential and monitor trends tonight. Otherwise, most of the region will remain rain-free with warm low temperatures in the upper 70s to near 80 degrees.

The theme of hot and dry weather will continue on Friday as the upper level ridge strengthens. However, lingering outflow boundaries from the overnight complex may result in isolated showers/storms across East Texas tomorrow afternoon and dissipate just after sunset. Afternoon highs will remain in the upper 90s to near 101 degrees regionwide.

Garcia

LONG TERM. /Issued 333 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2020/ /This Weekend Through Mid Week/

Medium range ensembles continue to show the upper ridge shifting east and intensifying to around 595 decameters over the Southern Plains and Texas this weekend into Monday. There are signs in all these ensembles (but not to the extreme of their deterministic brethren) of a weakness and lessening large-scale subsidence developing across our East Texas counties by the middle of next week.

So not much to add from the previous two days of discussions other than we are heading into a hot, dry, and breezy environment with an increasing elevated threat for grass fire starts west of I-35 and high temperatures pushing the century mark each afternoon through Monday. Mixing does look deep enough across most of the area to lower surface dew points and humidity to keep heat index values fairly close to their ambient counterparts. However, some of our East Texas counties with deeper and richer vegetation may stay a little more elevated on humidity values with each afternoon seeing heat index values to between 101-106 degrees. These areas will be monitored in the coming days as they approach heat advisory criteria. The main message here, however is to emphasize that if you plan on working or being outdoors . you'll need to be more cognizant of staying hydrated, taking frequent breaks, and monitoring your exposure to the sun as these high temperatures will above normal. On top of the heat, breezy and dry meteorological conditions will combine with increasingly dry grasses and small vegetation across our western counties where rain has been less abundant this past month. These fuels are becoming more combustible by the day and combined with the meteorological conditions I just mentioned, could pose a risk for grass fire starts to occur and spread quickly, particularly along and west of Highway 281.

Otherwise, the upper high does take a slight westward shift by the middle of next week and may allow enough of a weakness for mainly isolated, diurnal showers and thunderstorms across our East Texas counties. I have included some spotty slight chances and leaned more toward the drier ensemble solutions here. In addition, highs may be a few degrees lower from I-35 and points east with lessening subsidence and the potential for higher humidity. Confidence is obviously low this far out, so we'll continue tweaking the forecast next week as models get more upper-air sampling and a better handle of the evolution of the longwave mid level pattern.

05/

AVIATION. /NEW/ /00Z TAFs/

VFR and southerly winds will prevail through the period. A few showers developed across the Bowie cornerpost this afternoon, but activity has remain isolated and will continue to weaken through sunset. The upper level ridge across the region will keep the airports free of precipitation, but a nocturnal complex should develop late tonight along the periphery of the ridge, likely across Oklahoma and move southeast. This activity should remain well north of the Metroplex airports but may cause minor travel issues along the northern cornerposts by daybreak. Remnant boundaries from the overnight complex may result in isolated activity tomorrow afternoon. Otherwise, wind speeds will be around 10-15 knots with some higher gusts possible.

Garcia

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Dallas-Ft. Worth 79 98 79 99 80 / 0 5 0 0 0 Waco 77 99 76 100 76 / 0 5 5 0 0 Paris 74 94 75 96 75 / 10 10 5 0 0 Denton 77 98 78 98 78 / 5 5 0 0 0 McKinney 77 98 77 99 77 / 5 5 0 0 0 Dallas 79 99 80 99 80 / 0 5 0 0 0 Terrell 76 98 76 98 76 / 5 10 5 0 0 Corsicana 76 97 76 97 77 / 0 10 5 0 0 Temple 75 99 75 100 75 / 0 5 5 0 0 Mineral Wells 76 98 75 98 75 / 5 5 0 0 0

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

22/79


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Caldwell, Caldwell Municipal Airport, TX19 mi75 minS 1210.00 miFair93°F68°F45%1014.2 hPa
Hearne, Hearne Municipal Airport, TX24 mi75 minSSE 910.00 miFair94°F70°F45%1014.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRWV

Wind History from RWV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE6S8S8S9S6S6S6S5S4S3S4S3S3SW9S10S10SE11SE4S11SE8
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1 day agoSE9S6S6S6S5S6S5S5S5SW5SW3SW4SW5SW11SW5S4SW9SE3SW6S11
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2 days agoNW6CalmCalmSW4CalmCalmCalmCalmN5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4W5W6SW6NW4SW4W4W5SE3S10

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Central Texas
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.