Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Park, GA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 8:06PM Sunday August 25, 2019 8:20 PM EDT (00:20 UTC) Moonrise 12:51AMMoonset 3:10PM Illumination 21% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 240 Pm Edt Sun Aug 25 2019 /140 Pm Cdt Sun Aug 25 2019/
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 240 Pm Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Synopsis.. A weak frontal boundary will cross our coastal waters and then stall to our south. Ahead of the front, south-southeasterly winds will veer and become more westerly on Tuesday. On Wednesday, in the wake of the front, they'll become northwesterly. Scattered to numerous showers and Thunderstorms are expected throughout the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Park, GA
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location: 30.72, -83.13     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 252332
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
732 pm edt Sun aug 25 2019

Aviation
[through 00z Tuesday] scattered thunderstorms will gradually
diminish this evening, but they may redevelop in the morning hours
on Monday around ecp. Otherwise, low ceilings in the MVFR to ifr
range are expected to develop across the area later tonight with
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms during the
afternoon on Monday.

Prev discussion [241 pm edt]
Near term [through tonight]
Showers and thunderstorms have developed across the florida
panhandle this afternoon and these storms will spread northward
through the remainder of the day. The highest pops into tonight will
be across the western half of the cwa, generally from tlh to aby and
west. Similar to yesterday, expect thunderstorms to persist well
into the evening and past sunset, later than the typical summertime
pattern. Lows will fall into the lower to mid 70s tonight.

Short term [Monday through Tuesday night]
A mid-upper level shortwave trough will swing into the southern ms
valley on Monday. Upper level divergence from this feature will help
develop a weak surface front out in the southern plains. Rich
moisture will remain on tap over the tri-state area ahead of this
developing system, with pw values hovering above 2". The combination
of the enhanced moisture, frontal forcing to our northwest, and a
little help from the seabreeze circulation is expected to give us
increased shower and thunderstorm activity for the next few days.

Locally heavy rainfall will be possible with these storms, along
with a low-end threat for strong to severe wind gusts (up to 50-60
mph). Highs will be in the upper 80s to low 90s and lows will be in
the low 70s.

Long term [Wednesday through Sunday]
The aforementioned front is expected to stall out to our south as
the upper level shortwave swings eastward. Behind it, however, more
shortwaves (further to the north) will eject into the longwave
trough, amplifying the pattern as we head into the weekend. This
will develop another surface front over the weekend, which will then
push into the southeast early next week. Highs will be mostly in the
upper 80s to low 90s and lows will be in the low-mid 70s.

Marine
A weak frontal boundary will cross our coastal waters and then stall
to our south. Ahead of the front, south-southeasterly winds will
veer and become more westerly on Tuesday. On Wednesday, in the wake
of the front, they'll become northwesterly. Scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms are expected throughout the week.

Fire weather
There are no fire weather concerns for at least the next
several days.

Hydrology
There are no longer any local river sites in flood stage and levels
are either holding steady or continuing to fall. Scattered
thunderstorms over the next week will bring around 2-3" of rainfall
to the area, with isolated higher values. Widespread flooding is
not anticipated, but heavier showers could lead to localized
flooding.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 75 89 75 90 75 40 50 30 60 30
panama city 76 87 77 87 77 30 60 40 60 40
dothan 72 87 72 87 73 60 90 40 70 30
albany 74 88 74 88 74 40 80 50 70 40
valdosta 73 91 74 90 74 30 70 30 70 30
cross city 75 92 75 90 76 30 50 20 50 30
apalachicola 78 87 78 88 78 30 60 30 60 40

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Fieux
short term... Nguyen
long term... Nguyen
aviation... Dvd
marine... Nguyen
fire weather... Barry
hydrology... Nguyen


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 67 mi21 min E 9.9 G 11 80°F 1013.8 hPa (+0.5)77°F
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 77 mi87 min SW 4.1 G 5.1 87°F 61°F1012 hPa
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 88 mi51 min 83°F 84°F1015.9 hPa

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valdosta Regional Airport, GA9 mi28 minNE 710.00 miFair80°F72°F76%1015.4 hPa
Moody Air Force Base, GA18 mi85 minNE 1010.00 miFair81°F76°F86%1014.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVLD

Wind History from VLD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE9
G20
CalmCalm----CalmCalm--NE4----NE4NE6--NE7----NE635--NE6NE7NE11
1 day agoS3CalmCalm--------S4S3CalmCalmCalmCalm3S33SE3NE6E6--34--S3
2 days ago--Calm--------------Calm--CalmCalm--Calm--CalmCalmS4--CalmS5E3--

Tide / Current Tables for Mandalay, Aucilla River, Apalachee Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Spring Warrior Creek, Florida
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Spring Warrior Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:54 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:29 AM EDT     1.87 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:04 AM EDT     3.10 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:09 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:24 PM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.52.321.91.92.12.42.733.132.82.521.51.10.70.50.50.81.31.82.32.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Moody AFB, GA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.