Saturday, August24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Park, GA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:03AMSunset 8:07PM Saturday August 24, 2019 1:33 AM EDT (05:33 UTC) Moonrise 12:05AMMoonset 2:09PM Illumination 38% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Mexico Beach To Apalachicola Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Mexico Beach To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Apalachicola To Mexico Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 845 Pm Edt Fri Aug 23 2019 /745 Pm Cdt Fri Aug 23 2019/
Rest of tonight..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west late in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Northwest winds 10 knots becoming north 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest late in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters mostly smooth. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms through the day.
Sunday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable early in the morning. Seas 1 foot or less. Dominant period 4 seconds. Protected waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Tuesday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 845 Pm Edt Fri Aug 23 2019
Synopsis..Light winds and low seas will prevail for the next several days.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Park, GA
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location: 30.72, -83.13     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus62 ktae 240045
afdtae
area forecast discussion
national weather service tallahassee fl
845 pm edt Fri aug 23 2019

Near term [through tonight]
Showers and storms have diminished a little quicker this evening
across the area. Even with the storms ending, there still is an
extensive amount of mid high cloudiness across the western half of
the region. Last night there was fog stratus developing across
southeastern alabama and portions of southwest georgia before
sunrise, but with all the high clouds streaming over the region
tonight, it seems unlikely to have fog on Saturday morning. This
is supported by nearly all of the numerical guidance. Expect
another warm night with lows generally in the mid 70s.

Prev discussion [730 pm edt]
Short term [Saturday through Sunday night]
An eastern CONUS trough will amplify over the weekend as a
shortwave moves through the northeast and another moves into the
mississippi valley. Broad synoptic ascent resultant from the
trough, and a wedge front backing down the eastern seaboard will
contribute to a higher coverage of storms by Sunday. On Saturday,
the seabreezes will be the main forcing mechanism for convection.

Highs are forecast to be in the low 90s with heat indices between
100-105.

Long term [Monday through Friday]
The same forcing mechanisms from the short term period will be
responsible for convection locally through the start of next week.

As invest 98l moves up the east coast of the u.S. We may get one
day around mid-week where we'll return to typical pops as the
upper trough temporarily de-amplifies. However, a strong shortwave
forecast to move through the midwest mid to late week will bring
another front to the southeast and an increase in rain chances
once again. Temperatures are forecast to remain in the lower 90s
with heat indices around 100-105.

Aviation
[through 00z Sunday]
tsra are continuing to rapidly diminish across the region leaving
vfr conditions. Models are sending mixed signals overnight. Only
statistical aids suggest any restrictions at dhn aby. The presence
of extensive ci cs over these areas suggests less of a stratus fog
threat overnight, so will not include any restrictions in the
tafs this cycle. Should see a little better convective coverage
on Saturday, mainly at dhn aby where TS groups were included
beyond 20z.

Marine
Light winds and low seas will prevail for the next several days.

Fire weather
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected each afternoon
through the weekend, with no fire weather concerns.

Hydrology
Just isolated storms are expected through tomorrow which will
allow elevated rivers over the eastern big bend to continue to
subside. Shower and thunderstorm coverage will increase early next
week as deep tropical moisture returns. Locally heavy rains are
likely each day next week but widespread flooding is not
anticipated at this time.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @nwstallahassee.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tallahassee 76 93 76 92 75 10 30 40 50 50
panama city 77 90 78 89 77 10 20 20 50 40
dothan 74 91 74 89 73 10 40 40 70 60
albany 76 93 75 88 74 10 40 50 60 50
valdosta 75 92 75 90 75 10 30 30 60 50
cross city 75 92 75 90 75 0 20 20 50 40
apalachicola 77 89 78 87 78 0 20 20 40 20

Tae watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Ga... None.

Al... None.

Gm... None.

Near term... Godsey
short term... Harrigan
long term... Harrigan
aviation... Godsey
marine... Harrigan
fire weather... Camp
hydrology... Tj


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 67 mi34 min NE 2.9 G 2.9 80°F 1015.8 hPa (+0.5)78°F
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 77 mi100 min NW 4.1 G 6 82°F 54°F1015.1 hPa
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 88 mi46 min 85°F 86°F1016.9 hPa

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valdosta Regional Airport, GA9 mi3.7 hrsN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy80°F73°F79%1016 hPa
Moody Air Force Base, GA18 mi3.6 hrsW 310.00 miMostly Cloudy85°F76°F77%1015.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVLD

Wind History from VLD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------Calm--CalmCalm--Calm--CalmCalmS4--CalmS5E3--S3CalmCalm
1 day ago----Calm----------CalmCalmS5S7----S84355S6----Calm--
2 days ago----------------CalmS3----CalmSE434SW5--S8S44CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Spring Warrior Creek, Florida
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Spring Warrior Creek
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:08 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:13 AM EDT     1.66 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:49 AM EDT     3.09 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:09 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:00 PM EDT     0.77 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:42 PM EDT     2.64 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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21.81.71.722.42.833.132.72.31.91.51.10.90.80.91.11.522.42.62.6

Tide / Current Tables for Rock Islands, Florida
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Rock Islands
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:14 AM EDT     1.66 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:55 AM EDT     3.13 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:10 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:01 PM EDT     0.77 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:48 PM EDT     2.67 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.11.81.71.722.42.833.132.72.41.91.51.10.90.80.91.11.522.42.62.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Moody AFB, GA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.