Tuesday, December1, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Park, GA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 5:32PM Tuesday December 1, 2020 4:23 AM EST (09:23 UTC) Moonrise 6:37PMMoonset 8:16AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 311 Am Est Tue Dec 1 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 1 pm est this afternoon...
Today..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop.
Tonight..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 2 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Wednesday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 2 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday..East winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Dominant period 3 seconds. Protected waters a light chop.
Thursday night..East winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop.
Friday..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers through the day.
Friday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Protected waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 311 Am Est Tue Dec 1 2020
Synopsis.. Winds and seas will require small craft advisories to continue this morning. Conditions will then drop below headline criteria by this afternoon. We could see winds approach cautionary levels in easterly flow Wednesday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Park, GA
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location: 30.72, -83.13     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS62 KTAE 010809 AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 309 AM EST Tue Dec 1 2020

. FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT THIS MORNING AND AGAIN OVERNIGHT TONIGHT .

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight].

A cold and dry air mass will continue to push into the area today as high pressure settles in over the southeast CONUS. Freezing temperatures this morning will warm to the upper 40s to low/mid 50s this afternoon under sunny skies. Winds may still be a bit gusty this morning but should subside through the day and into tonight. Freezing temperatures are forecast again overnight tonight into Wednesday morning. While guidance suggests that tonight will be colder than this morning, there is some uncertainty on just how cold it will get. Some of the MOS guidance in particular is fairly aggressive with low temperatures in the mid/upper 20s across much of the area. However, there is the potential for cirrus from convection over the SW Gulf of Mexico to overspread the area from SW to NE during the night. This can be seen in some of the forecast soundings across the area. Since surface winds will be light to even calm tonight, the freezing temperatures are expected to develop via radiational cooling vs the advecting of a colder airmass like last night/this morning. If we have cirrus overhead, that could disrupt the efficiency of the radiational cooling we're able to get. Now the arrival time, density, and coverage of these high clouds is still fairly uncertain so its tough to know at the moment just how impactful they could be. Ended up going just a touch warmer than the previous forecast to account for this uncertainty, which still has near freezing or sub freezing temperatures for pretty much the whole area. Therefore, the freeze watch has been replaced with a Freeze Warning for tonight/early tomorrow morning.

SHORT TERM [Wednesday Through Thursday].

Wednesday morning will begin in the low 30s area wide but will warm to the mid 50s in the afternoon. A surface and upper-level high will be over the region on Wednesday allowing for some clouds to move in from the south. As we head into Thursday, an upper- level low will be approaching with a weak cold front, resulting in cloudy skies and a low chance for precipitation.

LONG TERM [Thursday Night Through Tuesday].

A weak cold front approaches the CWA Thursday night into Friday. Precip could be possible with this front although, confidence regarding this system is not high with PoPs remaining below 25 percent. The next cool down can be expected over the weekend with morning lows in the 40s. Highs for this term will be in the upper 50s, and low 60s.

AVIATION. [Through 06Z Wednesday]

VFR conditions are expected through the period.

MARINE.

Winds and seas will require small craft advisories to continue this morning. Conditions will then drop below headline criteria by this afternoon. We could see winds approach cautionary levels in easterly flow Wednesday night.

FIRE WEATHER.

A cold and dry airmass will continue to filter in across the region today. Dispersion may be high today with breezy transport winds. Winds will lower significantly heading into tonight and tomorrow, with low dispersions possible tomorrow. While low, relative humidity should remain above critical values, and fuel moisture is high from recent rainfall.

HYDROLOGY.

Recent rains were insufficient to cause any flooding concerns on areas rivers and forecast rainfall is low for the remainder of the week.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS.

Tallahassee 51 29 58 38 66 / 0 0 0 0 0 Panama City 53 35 60 45 68 / 0 0 0 0 10 Dothan 49 27 56 35 61 / 0 0 0 0 10 Albany 48 28 56 33 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 49 29 56 34 66 / 0 0 0 0 0 Cross City 53 30 59 38 70 / 0 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 53 35 60 48 68 / 0 0 0 0 10

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . Freeze Warning from midnight EST /11 PM CST/ tonight to 8 AM EST /7 AM CST/ Wednesday for Calhoun-Central Walton-Coastal Bay- Coastal Dixie-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Taylor-Coastal Wakulla-Gadsden-Holmes- Inland Bay-Inland Dixie-Inland Franklin-Inland Gulf-Inland Jefferson-Inland Taylor-Inland Wakulla-Jackson-Lafayette- Leon-Liberty-Madison-North Walton-South Walton-Washington.

Freeze Warning until 9 AM EST /8 AM CST/ this morning for Calhoun-Central Walton-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Jefferson- Coastal Taylor-Coastal Wakulla-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Bay- Inland Franklin-Inland Gulf-Inland Jefferson-Inland Taylor- Inland Wakulla-Jackson-Lafayette-Leon-Liberty-Madison-North Walton-South Walton-Washington.

GA . Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM EST Wednesday for Baker-Ben Hill-Berrien-Brooks-Calhoun-Clay-Colquitt-Cook- Decatur-Dougherty-Early-Grady-Irwin-Lanier-Lee-Lowndes- Miller-Mitchell-Quitman-Randolph-Seminole-Terrell-Thomas- Tift-Turner-Worth.

Freeze Warning until 9 AM EST this morning for Baker-Ben Hill- Berrien-Brooks-Calhoun-Clay-Colquitt-Cook-Decatur-Dougherty- Early-Grady-Irwin-Lanier-Lee-Lowndes-Miller-Mitchell- Quitman-Randolph-Seminole-Terrell-Thomas-Tift-Turner-Worth.

AL . Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 7 AM CST Wednesday for Coffee-Dale-Geneva-Henry-Houston.

Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST this morning for Coffee-Dale- Geneva-Henry-Houston.

GM . Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST /noon CST/ this afternoon for Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River FL out to 20 Nm-Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Apalachicola FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20 to 60 NM.



NEAR TERM . Merrifield SHORT TERM . Montgomery LONG TERM . Montgomery AVIATION . Merrifield MARINE . Montgomery FIRE WEATHER . Merrifield HYDROLOGY . Montgomery


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KTNF1 - Keaton Beach, FL 67 mi24 min NNW 9.9 G 14 38°F 1020.8 hPa (+1.2)28°F
SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL 77 mi90 min NW 8.9 G 15 37°F 1020.7 hPa
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 88 mi54 min W 12 G 16 45°F 66°F1018.1 hPa

Wind History for I-295 Bridge, St Johns River, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Valdosta Regional Airport, GA9 mi31 minVar 310.00 miFair34°F24°F67%1020.9 hPa
Moody Air Force Base, GA18 mi28 minW 810.00 miFair34°F24°F67%1019.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVLD

Wind History from VLD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--434----NW104NW5NW8NW8
G15
W5Calm43CalmW8N10
G15
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1 day agoE4NE6NE4E3E4E4E3E4E4E4SE5SE5SE5SE5SE5SE7S8S11S7S10S12S11S13
G19
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS64Calm6N10NE7N7N8NE4NE5NE6NE63NE7NE5NE6NE7NE7NE5

Tide / Current Tables for Spring Warrior Creek, Florida
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Spring Warrior Creek
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:19 AM EST     3.18 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:16 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 08:40 AM EST     -0.42 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:01 PM EST     2.95 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:34 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:41 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:24 PM EST     1.14 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.93.23.12.72.11.40.60-0.3-0.4-0.10.51.42.22.732.82.41.91.41.21.21.52.1

Tide / Current Tables for Rock Islands, Florida
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Rock Islands
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:25 AM EST     3.22 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:17 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 08:41 AM EST     -0.42 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:07 PM EST     2.98 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:35 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:41 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:25 PM EST     1.14 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.93.23.22.82.21.40.70-0.3-0.4-0.10.51.32.12.732.92.41.91.41.21.21.52.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Moody AFB, GA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current



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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.