Sunday, May31, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bay Minette, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:48AMSunset 7:51PM Sunday May 31, 2020 3:42 PM CDT (20:42 UTC) Moonrise 2:23PMMoonset 2:22AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ630 Northern Mobile Bay- 331 Pm Cdt Sun May 31 2020
Tonight..North winds 3 to 8 knots increasing to 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday..Northeast winds 8 to 13 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday night..South winds 3 to 8 knots becoming east 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Tuesday..East winds 8 to 13 knots becoming southeast. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots diminishing to 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..East winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southeast 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..East winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 331 Pm Cdt Sun May 31 2020
Synopsis..A light to moderate offshore flow continues across the gulf waters through tonight. Winds will gradually turn easterly through the day on Monday before southeasterly flow becomes established through the remainder of the forecast. Exercise caution conditions will briefly occur on Tuesday across the gulf waters before returning again on Friday through at least the weekend. Seas increase to around 2 to 4 feet by Tuesday with higher seas possible Friday through the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bay Minette, AL
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location: 30.98, -87.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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FXUS64 KMOB 311925 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 225 PM CDT Sun May 31 2020

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Monday/. We finally get a break from the daily showers and storms today. The sprawling upper level trough will continue to push further east into the Atlantic during the near term while an upper level ridge builds into the central portion of the CONUS. An 850mb ridge is building into the Southeast and Mid South today as it slowly makes its way east toward the western Atlantic. Meanwhile, a surface high meanders across the Midwest today and slides into the western Atlantic on the tail end of the near term period. The front that slid through the area late last week continues to weaken as it slowly pushes further out into the Gulf waters.

Today's northerly winds continue to usher slightly drier air into the area, but surface winds will begin to react to the movement of the surface high overnight. Thus, winds will gradually turn easterly early on Monday and southeasterly by late tomorrow afternoon. For now, we maintained zero POPs through Monday morning; however, there are some indications that a few showers may develop across northwest Florida and south central Alabama in the late afternoon to right around sunset timeframe on Monday. For that reason, we adjusted the POPs to 10-15% across our far eastern counties in that timeframe. As for cloud cover, the activity way out over the Gulf may throw some high clouds into the area by this evening, but otherwise expect mostly clear skies.

Temperatures are on track to soar into the upper 80s and low 90s this afternoon. The heat continues on Monday as most locations tag at least 90°. Lows tonight will fall into the mid to low 60s inland with upper 60s to right around 70° near the coast. A low risk remains in the rip current forecast through Monday. 07/mb

SHORT TERM /Monday night Through Wednesday night/. Weak ridging aloft shifts east of the local area Tuesday as an upper trough over the TX/OK Red River Valley pushes east over ArkLaTex. At the surface, high pressure building into the western Atlantic and southeastern states maintains an onshore flow across the area. Increasing deep-layer moisture levels, in combination with height falls and associated strengthening ascent ahead of the approaching upper trough, will support scattered shower and thunderstorm activity across the area both Tuesday and Wednesday. The best chances will occur over southeast Mississippi and far southwest Alabama as convection rotates around the western periphery of the aforementioned surface ridge. Storms should taper off during overnight hours each night, though a few showers could linger along the immediate coast and just offshore. Highs reach upper 80s to low 90s each afternoon and lows remain in the mid to upper 60s inland and low 70s along the coast each night. /49

EXTENDED TERM /Thursday Through Sunday/. The upper trough over the ArkLaTex region pushes southeast over the local area Thursday into Friday before departing to the east thereafter, but not before a weak lobe of vorticity pinches off over the central Gulf of Mexico. Showers and thunderstorms continue across the region each day throughout the period as a result of this unsettled pattern, with the best chances occurring each afternoon during peak heating hours. The increase in rain and cloud cover keeps high temps in the extended term a few degrees cooler than earlier in the week, reaching the mid to upper 80s each afternoon into the weekend. Low temps continue to run in the upper 60s to low 70s.

In the southwestern Gulf, the remnants of Tropical Depression Amanda (currently centered over interior Guatemala) are expected to drift north-northwestward into the southern Bay of Campeche throughout the week. The environment there could be conducive for weak redevelopment. Thus, the National Hurricane Center has highlighted this area with a 50% chance of development over the next 5 days. A broad region of low pressure persists over that region thereafter through next weekend, which will warrant close monitoring for additional potential tropical development as we head into early the following week. /49

MARINE. A light to moderate northerly flow is expected through tonight over the Gulf waters. As a surface high well north of the area slides into the western Atlantic, winds over the Gulf waters will respond by gradually turning easterly through the morning on Monday before becoming southeasterly by Monday afternoon. A light to moderate southeasterly flow will continue through at least the end of the work week. Exercise caution conditions are possible on Tuesday across the Gulf waters. Expect a bump in the seas to around 3-4 feet for the offshore Gulf waters by Tuesday. 07/mb

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . None. FL . None. MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 21 mi54 min 91°F 81°F1017.7 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 22 mi72 min Calm 85°F 1018 hPa
PTOA1 23 mi54 min 87°F 61°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 25 mi54 min N 7 G 13 96°F 80°F1017.8 hPa
MBPA1 33 mi54 min 86°F 67°F
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 38 mi72 min N 13 85°F 1017.3 hPa
WBYA1 39 mi54 min 85°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 39 mi57 min 89°F 1017 hPa60°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 45 mi102 min NW 15 83°F 1017.6 hPa (-1.0)
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 49 mi72 min NE 8.9 83°F 1017.3 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL26 mi49 minN 810.00 miA Few Clouds93°F59°F32%1017.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBFM

Wind History from BFM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN7NE5NE5SW4SW3W3NW4N3N6N6N6N6N7N7N6N7N6N7N5NE8N9N10N8N8
1 day agoS5S543N9NW4W4CalmCalmCalmNW3W3NW3NW5CalmN4N7N3NE7NE6NE5E4E5NE5
2 days agoS8S6S4CalmCalmW3S3CalmSW3CalmW3W3CalmCalmCalmNW3NW3NW5NE7NE6NE64SE6SE5

Tide / Current Tables for Lower Hall Landing, Tensaw River, Alabama
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Lower Hall Landing
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:21 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:49 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:47 AM CDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:23 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:49 PM CDT     1.00 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:10 PM CDT     1.00 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:44 PM CDT     1.00 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:49 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.90.80.70.50.40.30.30.30.30.40.50.60.70.9111111110.9

Tide / Current Tables for Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama (2) (expired 1989-12-31)
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Mobile (Mobile State Docks)
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:22 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:51 AM CDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:50 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 02:24 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:50 PM CDT     1.14 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:50 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.80.60.50.50.40.50.50.60.70.9111.11.11.11.11.11.11.11.11.111

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.