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Marine Weather and Tides Bay Minette, AL Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 6:40AM

Sunset 4:53PM

Saturday December 14, 2019 7:51 AM CST (13:51 UTC)

Moonrise 8:26PM

Moonset 9:56AM

Illumination 92%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bay Minette, AL

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Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL

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FXUS64 KMOB 141128 AAA AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 528 AM CST Sat Dec 14 2019

DISCUSSION. See updated information below.

UPDATE. Have updated to include the high risk of rip currents along beach areas and also to remove mention of patchy fog over the southern portion of the area this morning. No other major changes. /29

MARINE. Have updated to remove mention of patchy fog over bays and near shore waters this morning.

AVIATION. 12Z issuance . LIFR to IFR ceilings over much of the area improve to VFR conditions by mid to late morning. Low ceilings redevelop over the area late tonight, and patchy fog is possible. Light northwest winds become westerly 5 to 10 knots today then calm or light southeasterly winds are expected tonight. /29

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 359 AM CST Sat Dec 14 2019/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Saturday night/ . An upper trof over the eastern states moves off into the western Atlantic leaving a fairly zonal flow over the region, and dry conditions are expected during the period. A surface low currently located near the coast of the Carolinas moves well off to the north, followed by a surface ridge over the central states shifting eastward across the region tonight. Northwesterly winds near 5 knots over the area, slightly stronger over the eastern portion, has been generating sufficient low level mixing to favor low stratus over dense fog, although patchy dense fog will be possible over the western portion of the area early this morning. For tonight, with an open radiative channel and either a calm or light southeasterly flow, expect low stratus and patchy fog to redevelop across the area which may evolve into areas of dense fog. Highs today range from the lower 60s well inland to the mid 60s elsewhere. Lows tonight range from the lower 40s well inland to the upper 40s at the coast. /29

SHORT TERM /Sunday Through Monday night/ . Broad upper ridging develops over the eastern states through Sunday night while a positively tilted upper trof to the west advances to extend from the northern Plains to the 4 Corners region. An associated surface low over the south central states moves to the ArkLaTex by late Sunday night, with a warm front meanwhile lifting northward across the forecast area during the day on Sunday. While warmer temperatures and increasing low level moisture accompanies the warm frontal passage, model soundings remain rather dry above 900 mb and have continued with a dry forecast through Sunday night. Highs on Sunday will be mainly in the lower 70s and lows Sunday night range from the mid 50s well inland to around 60 near the coast.

The upper trof pushes east over the central CONUS Monday and southwest flow sets up downstream over the local area. At the surface, a cold front extends from Missouri southwest into northern Texas and begins to surge southeastward as the upper trof advances east. Steady return flow ahead of the front continues to transport Gulf warmth and moisture inland during this time, allowing for as much as 1000-1200 J/kg MLCAPE to develop by Monday afternoon across portions of the local area. This, coupled with 50+ knots of bulk shear and a modest LLJ (~40 knots at 850 mb), could support a few strong to severe storms along the front as it pushes through late Monday into Monday night. Storm mode looks messy with shear being primarily boundary-parallel and strongest lift occurring right along the front. Expecting a broken squall line with embedded transient mesocyclone structures and bowing segments. Primary threat will be damaging straight-line winds, though cannot rule out the potential for a brief tornado if anything is able to remain semi- discrete. A cool and dry northerly flow sets up in the immediate wake of the front and rain chances taper off from west to east by Tuesday morning. Highs on Monday reach the mid to upper 70s and lows Monday night range from 40s behind the front to 50s ahead of it. 29/49

LONG TERM /Tuesday Through Friday/ . Rain chances taper from west to east early on Tuesday as the front pushes through the remainder of the area. In the wake of the front, cool and dry northerly flow sets up and temperatures gradually drop into the upper 40s and low 50s throughout the day. Cool and dry weather then prevails Wednesday and Thursday as high pressure builds east across the Deep South and into the Southeast. Highs each afternoon stay in the 50s and lows each night range from upper 20s inland to low 30s closer to the coast. Freezing temperatures will be possible all the way down to the coast Wednesday night. A gradual warming trend begins Thursday as the surface high builds into the Southeast and western Atlantic and local flow shifts to easterly and then southeasterly. Moisture begins to return heading into Friday as another system approaches from the west, with rain chances increasing as a result. Highs Thursday and Friday reach the upper 50s to low 60s and lows range from upper 30s to low 40s. /49

MARINE . Light to moderate northwesterly flow will persist early this morning. Some low clouds and patchy fog have also been observed on satellite, particularly over the near shore waters of Alabama. This will continue through dawn; however, any fog will lift and dissipate by mid-morning. Winds will then become light and more westerly by this evening. Ahead of an advancing cold front from the west, light to moderate southerly flow will take hold Sunday. In its wake, strong northerly flow is then expected Tuesday and Wednesday. Furthermore, winds to gale force are possible over the open Gulf waters Tuesday night. Small Craft Advisories will likely be required as well as potentially a Gale Watch during this time. /26

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AL . High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL . High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday afternoon for FLZ202-204- 206.

MS . None. GM . None.

This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL	21 mi	118 min		51°F	58°F		1011.6 hPa
PTOA1	23 mi	112 min		51°F				48°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL	25 mi	112 min	N 2.9 G 4.1	59°F	59°F		1011.8 hPa (+1.0)
MBPA1	33 mi	112 min		48°F				48°F
WBYA1	39 mi	112 min			58°F
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL	39 mi	67 min		50°F			1012 hPa	49°F
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL	49 mi	142 min	NNW 4.1	50°F			1011.5 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL

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8 AM

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NE4

NE4

N5

NE4

N3 G7

NE7

N4 G7

N6 G9

NW6 G11

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N3

N5 G8

NW2 G5

N3 G6

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NW4 G7

N4 G10

NW5

NW3

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N4

1 day ago

NE9 G12

NE9 G12

NE9 G12

E8 G11

NE7

NE6 G10

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NE13 G17

NE7 G10

NE10 G13

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NE8 G11

NE6

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NE4

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2 days ago

N12 G21

N11 G15

N12 G18

N10 G20

N15 G23

NE12 G16

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NE10 G14

NE13 G17

NE11 G14

NE10

NE11 G14

N9 G12

NE11

NE10

NE9 G14

NE8 G13

NE11 G14

NE10 G13

NE8 G11

NE7

NE7

NE8 G11

NE8 G12

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL	26 mi	59 min	N 0	2.50 mi	Fog/Mist	47°F	45°F	93%	1012.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBFM

Wind History from BFM (wind in knots)

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NE4

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N4

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N8

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N5

N4

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N7

N4

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NW5

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N3

Calm

1 day ago

NE10

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E11

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NE8

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2 days ago

N15 G22

N8 G19

N13

N12

N14

N14 G20

N17 G24

N15 G20

N15

N11

N10

N12

N10

N13

N11

N10

N9

N12

N12

N10

NE9

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NE12

NE11

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Tide / Current Tables for Lower Hall Landing, Tensaw River, Alabama

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Tide / Current Tables for Mobile (Mobile State Docks), Alabama (2) (expired 1989-12-31)

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (8,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL

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Gulf Stream Current

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