Sunrise 5:47 AM   Sunset 7:37 PM Moonrise 3:22 PM   Moonset 3:03 AM

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GMZ655 Expires:202405190330;;427683 Fzus54 Kmob 181437 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 937 am cdt Sat may 18 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz650-655-190330- coastal waters from pensacola fl to pascagoula ms out 20 nm- coastal waters from okaloosa walton county line fl to pensacola fl out 20 nm- 937 am cdt Sat may 18 2024
Rest of today - West winds around 10 knots, becoming southwest late. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: south 4 feet at 7 seconds. Showers with Thunderstorms likely late this morning and early afternoon, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Winds and seas much higher near showers and Thunderstorms.Tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Sunday - West winds around 5 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds. Sunday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds. Monday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds. Monday night - South winds around 5 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds. Tuesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: east 1 foot at 3 seconds and south 1 foot at 7 seconds. Tuesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 5 seconds and south 1 foot at 7 seconds. Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 5 seconds and south 1 foot at 6 seconds. Wednesday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 937 Am Cdt Sat May 18 2024
Synopsis - A light to moderate southwesterly to westerly flow prevails through tonight, becoming light and variable early next week. A light southerly to southeasterly flow is established Tuesday afternoon and continues through Wednesday night.

FXUS64 KMOB 181839 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 139 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024

New AVIATION, NEAR TERM

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 139 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024

Some high end MVFR ceilings remain across portions of the area, especially over the coastal counties, but general IFR ceilings are expected through most of the period. There could be some locations tonight where visibility is reduced to (3-5 miles) MVFR conditions in patchy fog. Light west to southwest winds this afternoon and tonight, becoming more northwesterly during the morning hours on Sunday. DS/12

NEAR TERM
(Now through Sunday)
Issued at 139 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024

Rains moving out of our forecast area early this afternoon, and skies are even clearing a bit over portions of the forecast area (especially over interior southeast MS and southwest AL). The Flood Watch that was in effect for the southern tier of counties was allowed to expire at 1 PM CDT. With rains ending and skies clearing in some areas, temps have warmed into the 70s for all areas, with a few isolated lower 80s mixed in. Still expecting some mid 80s possible later this afternoon in those locations where the skies clear.

Dry conditions will persist for the rest of the afternoon and into the early evening hours tonight, but High-Res models are in decent agreement in moving the remnants of the mesoscale system currently noted on satellite over northern MS and western TN to the south across AL later in the evening hours and possibly even into the western after midnight. It appears that convection associated with this feature will likely be weakening as it drops south across the region, but a few thunderstorms will be possible this evening into the early predawn morning hours on Sunday in association with this feature. There could be an isolated strong storm, but for the most part, the airmass has been pretty much worked over and instabilities will be rather low, so no widespread organized severe weather is anticipated. The activity should also be weakening and moving fairly quickly to the south, so additional widespread heavy rainfall is not expected either. After any convection associated with this feature fully dissipates by early Sunday morning, we expect a dry day on Sunday with no PoP (for a change).

Low temperatures tonight should range from the mid 60s over most interior locations, with upper 60s to low 70s expected close to and along the coast. High temperatures on Sunday will rebound to near to above seasonal norms, ranging from the mid to upper 80s for most locations, with a few lower 80s possible along the beaches. DS/12

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 67 88 66 88 68 86 68 86 / 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Pensacola 69 87 69 85 70 84 70 85 / 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Destin 71 85 71 85 71 84 72 83 / 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 65 86 64 88 63 89 63 90 / 30 10 0 0 0 0 0 10 Waynesboro 64 87 63 90 65 90 65 91 / 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Camden 64 85 63 86 64 87 64 89 / 40 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Crestview 65 88 64 88 63 88 63 89 / 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 10

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday afternoon for FLZ202-204- 206.

MS...None.
GM...None.

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Milton
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Sat -- 03:03 AM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:33 AM CDT     0.61 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:51 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:44 AM CDT     0.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:22 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:38 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:12 PM CDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Milton, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Bay Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:03 AM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:13 AM CDT     0.61 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:51 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:27 AM CDT     0.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:22 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:37 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:52 PM CDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet

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