Sunday, December15, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Douglas, AZ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 5:18PM Sunday December 15, 2019 11:43 AM MST (18:43 UTC) Moonrise 9:01PMMoonset 10:18AM Illumination 84% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Douglas, AZ
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location: 31.4, -109.54     debug


Area Discussion for - Tucson, AZ
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FXUS65 KTWC 151031 AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tucson AZ 331 AM MST Sun Dec 15 2019

SYNOPSIS. A weather system passing north of the area will bring a couple rain and snow showers to the White Mountains from this evening through early Monday morning. For the rest of southeastern Arizona, expect cooler and drier weather today. Much cooler conditions are expected for the first part of the upcoming week with cold morning low temperatures. Slightly warmer temperatures return Wednesday and Thursday with even warmer temperatures by Friday and Saturday.

DISCUSSION. A shortwave will swing through Arizona through Monday with the best energy staying well north of SE AZ. A few high elevation snow showers and valley rain showers will be possible later this evening and into early Monday morning across the White Mountains. Otherwise, dry across the remaining areas with slightly cooler condiitons and breezy winds east of Tucson.

As the system passes to the east, a much cooler airmass will settle into SE AZ. Tucson will struggle to get out of the 50s on Monday. Additionally, expect a chilly start each morning from Monday through Wednesday. Forecast guidance has been trending lower over the past several shifts and near freezing temperatures are likely across the Tucson Metro area Monday morning with even colder temperatures expected Tuesday morning. We will likely see areas of freezing temperatures across the Metro with KTUS flirting close to the freezing mark. Some of the coldest locations along washes and favored drainages could dip around the upper 20s to around 30 degrees. We will have to watch this, as an eventual Freeze Watch/Warning may be necessary. The temperature forecast will be a little tricky, since another southeasterly/easterly wind will set up Tuesday and Wednesday morning. Can't help but bring up that sneaky freeze the Metro saw back on October 31st. At least this time guidance certainly suggests freezing temperatures, thus the more confident messaging. Temperatures will remain cool most of the week with only a slow moderating trend. However by Friday, warming increases with temperatures well into the 60s Friday for the lower deserts and possibly 70s Saturday. For areas south and east of Tucson, expect upper 50s to lower 60s Friday and lower to middle 60s on Saturday.

We are sure quite a few people are interested in the longer range forecast for Christmas, so here is a quick little blurb. Longer range ensemble guidance is suggesting a storm system for the holiday time frame. At this time, it appears to be a closed low type storm system, which are always tricky to forecast as they meander around off the SoCal or Baja coastline. Nonetheless, its on the radar and we will be watching it closely for any potential impacts.

AVIATION. Valid through 16/12Z. FEW-SCT 10-15k ft and SCT-BKN AOA 20k ft MSL until 16/05z then becoming SKC. Surface winds SLY/SELY 4-10 kts becoming WLY/SWLY 10- 18 kts with higher gusts this afternoon, especially east of KTUS. Wind easing to W-SW 5-9 kts after 16/03Z. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

FIRE WEATHER. A weather system moving across the Four Corners region will generate breezy winds today, especially east of Tucson. This system will also result in a slight chance of sprinkles or flurries in the White Mountains. Dry conditions area wide next week, but with cooler temperatures. Locally gusty east winds are expected Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.

TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.



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Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bisbee Douglas International Airport, AZ5 mi1.8 hrsSW 1710.00 miFair61°F37°F41%1009.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDUG

Wind History from DUG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS4S7SW14SW16SW15
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1 day agoSE3S3S4CalmCalmCalmS5SE3SE4E5NE7E5NE6NE4CalmE5E3E3CalmNW4CalmCalmSE3SE4
2 days agoCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmNW5N9N8N8SE3--CalmE4CalmE6CalmCalmSE4CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for Tucson, AZ (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tucson, AZ
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.