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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Seminary, MS

June 25, 2024 1:28 PM CDT (18:28 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:53 AM   Sunset 8:06 PM
Moonrise 11:27 PM   Moonset 9:32 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ532 Mississippi Sound- 955 Am Cdt Tue Jun 25 2024

Rest of today - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest this afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this morning, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms early this afternoon. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms late.

Tonight - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 2 feet. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Wednesday - West winds around 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Wednesday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Waves 2 to 3 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Thursday - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves around 2 feet. Showers likely. A chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Thursday night - Southwest winds around 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Friday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 feet. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Saturday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet in the afternoon. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Saturday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 2 feet. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ500 955 Am Cdt Tue Jun 25 2024

Synopsis for pascagoula to atchafalaya river out 60 nm -
outside of Thunderstorm development, conditions will remain fairly benign across the waters with westerly winds between 5 and 15 knots during the week. Showers and Thunderstorms will increase in coverage Wednesday and Thursday with scattered to numerous showers and storms. Locally higher winds and seas can be expected with any Thunderstorm.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Seminary, MS
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Area Discussion for - Jackson, MS
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NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
293 FXUS64 KJAN 251807 AAA AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson MS 107 PM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

New AVIATION

MESOSCALE UPDATE
Issued at 1001 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Morning surface analysis had a high centered northeast of our CWA and a slightly stronger high centered over the central Gulf coast. As the high to our northeast shifts farther to the northeast we will come more under the influence of the surface high to our south. This will help maintain high humidity over our CWA as temperatures climb into the mid and upper 90s this afternoon. This will lead to Excessive Heat Warning criteria over our delta and Heat Advisory criteria over the remainder of our CWA With the heat and low level moisture increase in the south.
Isolated mid to late afternoon storms will be possible. The local microburst checklist did show potential strong gusty winds and perhaps a damaging wind gust or two will be possible. /22/

DISCUSSION
Issued at 419 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Today and tonight: Oppressive heat and increased heat stress concerns will be the weather headlines of the day. Though the upper level ridge has begun to retreat westward, H7 ridging remains centered over the Deep South today, and a weak stationary front extends roughly along the AL/MS state line. All in all, conditions will be similar to yesterday, but this time without a band of morning clouds/precip disrupting early day insolation.
Once again, any influence of drier air in east MS may only provide greater capacity for warming in those areas, and the triple digits will be attainable. Within the more moist airmass west of the weak front, isolated diurnal convection is probable again this afternoon, but it should mostly initiate well after heat indices have already begun to reach critical thresholds across most of the area. Forecast temps/dewpoints are yielding heat indices above 110F across much of the ArkLaMiss Delta area again today, and accordingly, the Heat Advisory has been upgraded to an Excessive Heat Warning in that area. Meanwhile, the Heat Advisory remains in effect for all other areas. Tonight may offer little heat relief, with temps in some of our northwestern areas potentially struggling to fall into the 70s. /DL/

Midweek through early next week (Wednesday-next Monday)...

Mid-late week (Wednesday-Friday): Increased coverage of rain & storms will give way to decreased heat stress through late week.
The synoptic pattern will consist of 594DM 500mb mean ridge over West TX & northern Mexico while deepening longwave trough/jet energy carving out east of the MS River Valley. This will drive a sfc front down from the northwest, helping provide increased convergence & high moisture pooling ahead of the boundary, well above 90th percentile, near the climatological maxima around 2.25 inches. As this front dives down, rain & storm chances should begin to convect just prior to midday, with coverage becoming more scattered-numerous by the aftn to evening hours. With seasonably warm highs in the low-mid 90s, heat stress will peak near 105F degrees, potentially exceeding it. However, confidence is lowered due to scattered to numerous shower & storm coverage expected, so kept just an areawide "Limited" in the HWO graphics for now. Will let later shifts evaluate if any areal upgrade or heat headlines are needed, but we could reach near criteria before midday prior to convective initiation. Storms will also have some flow for some organization, nearly 15-25kts in the 0- 2/0-3km & even through 6km, so the inherited "Marginal" from SPC looked good. Did expand southward, from northern Morehouse, West- East Carroll in LA & into Issaquena-Yazoo to Winston-Noxubee counties in MS. Damaging winds & quarter size hail are the main concerns. As the front dives southward, slightly less oppressive heat & humidity are expected Thursday, with seasonable highs in the low 90s & heat indices near 105F. Rain & storm chances will be confined mainly southeast of the Natchez Trace & especially into the Hwy 84 to I-59 corridors. Can`t rule out a few stronger storms in the south, but convective organization isn`t expected to be as much as a concern as Wednesday. 592DM 500mb ridge is progged to build eastward, shunting the best moisture & isolated to scattered rain & storm chances southeast of the Natchez Trace by late week. Heat will be on a gradual rise again, with HWO graphics likely needed again late week into the weekend. Holding off for now but will reassess with future forecast packages.

Next weekend into early next week (Saturday-next Monday): 500mb ridge axis will be centered right across the Mid-South, building to nearly 595-598DM by late weekend. With WAA bringing thermal profiles into the upper teens to near 20 deg C @ 850mb & mid 20s deg C at 925mb, seasonably warm highs in the mid-upper 90s are again likely. This will bring another round of dangerous to potentially excessive heat into the weekend, so heat related outlooks & headlines will likely be needed as we get closer. Rain & storm coverage will mainly be confined southeast of the Natchez Trace, but a longwave trough/front moving through the Great Lakes could drive down a sfc boundary & increased convective potential into late weekend into early next week (i.e. Sunday into Monday).
With some flow & potentially excessive heat around, some marginally severe storms can`t be ruled out this time. There isn`t a ton of support in the CSU machine learning probs, so will have to monitor this potential. /DC/

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 103 PM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Isold TSRA may come in vcty of HEZ this aftn but elsewhere the chance for any TAF site experiencing a TSRA is too low to mention in the TAF. VFR conditions and a light wind are expected to prevail areawide through the end of the TAF period. /22/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Jackson 97 76 94 74 / 20 20 60 50 Meridian 101 75 96 72 / 20 20 60 50 Vicksburg 99 77 94 74 / 20 20 50 50 Hattiesburg 99 76 94 75 / 20 20 60 40 Natchez 95 76 93 74 / 20 20 40 40 Greenville 99 79 95 74 / 20 20 60 50 Greenwood 99 78 94 73 / 20 20 60 50

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for MSZ018- 019-025>027-034>036-040>042-047.

Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for MSZ028>033-037>039- 043>046-048>066-072>074.

LA...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for LAZ007>009-015-016.

Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for LAZ023>026.

AR...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ074- 075.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Bay Waveland Yacht Club, MS
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KPIB HATTIESBURGLAUREL RGNL,MS 12 sm32 minS 0310 smClear91°F73°F56%29.99
KHBG HATTIESBURG BOBBY L CHAIN MUNI,MS 23 sm35 mincalm10 smPartly Cloudy95°F73°F50%29.97
KLUL HESLERNOBLE FIELD,MS 24 sm13 minSW 0710 smPartly Cloudy93°F73°F53%29.97
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KPIB
   
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Wind History graph: PIB
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Bay Waveland Yacht Club, Bay St. Louis, Mississippi
   
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Bay Waveland Yacht Club
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Tue -- 12:49 AM CDT     -0.53 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:57 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:33 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:20 PM CDT     2.28 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:02 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:24 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Bay Waveland Yacht Club, Bay St. Louis, Mississippi, Tide feet
12
am
-0.5
1
am
-0.5
2
am
-0.5
3
am
-0.3
4
am
-0.1
5
am
0.2
6
am
0.5
7
am
0.8
8
am
1.1
9
am
1.3
10
am
1.5
11
am
1.7
12
pm
2
1
pm
2.2
2
pm
2.3
3
pm
2.3
4
pm
2.1
5
pm
1.9
6
pm
1.6
7
pm
1.3
8
pm
0.9
9
pm
0.5
10
pm
0.2
11
pm
-0.1


Tide / Current for Waveland, Mississipi Sound, Mississippi
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Waveland
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Tue -- 12:08 AM CDT     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:57 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:33 AM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:14 PM CDT     2.13 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:02 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:24 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Waveland, Mississipi Sound, Mississippi, Tide feet
12
am
-0.5
1
am
-0.4
2
am
-0.3
3
am
-0.2
4
am
0.1
5
am
0.4
6
am
0.7
7
am
0.9
8
am
1.1
9
am
1.3
10
am
1.4
11
am
1.6
12
pm
1.9
1
pm
2
2
pm
2.1
3
pm
2.1
4
pm
2
5
pm
1.7
6
pm
1.4
7
pm
1.1
8
pm
0.7
9
pm
0.4
10
pm
0
11
pm
-0.2


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southern Mississippi Valley   
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Jackson/Brandon, MS,




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