Wednesday, January22, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bellmead, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:25AMSunset 5:55PM Wednesday January 22, 2020 1:46 AM CST (07:46 UTC) Moonrise 5:40AMMoonset 4:00PM Illumination 9% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bellmead, TX
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location: 31.56, -97.1     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 220634 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1234 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2020

SHORT TERM. /NEW/ /Through Thursday/

The latest radar mosaic and GOES-16 satellite imagery reveal light rain and a blanket of cloud cover, associated with an approaching upper level trough from the west, across North and Central Texas. There have been several reports of sleet pellets the past two to three hours, mainly north of the I-20 corridor. This is due to a cold layer of air above the surface to roughly 3500 feet, seen in the 00Z Wednesday sounding. No accumulations are expected due to current surface temperatures in the 40s.

Areas northeast of a Bonham to Sulphur Springs line may see a brief period of a rain-snow mix during the early morning hours, but with low temperatures forecast to be just above freezing, accumulations and impacts are not expected. Otherwise, a dreary day is expected as cold rain, overcast skies, patchy fog, and temperatures in the 40s to upper 50s will persist across North and Central Texas today.

As the trough continues to translate eastward, rain chances will slowly decrease from west to east beginning late this afternoon. The far western zones will likely remain rain-free by the evening hours, but areas along and east of the I-35 corridor will continue to see rain chances linger into tonight. Fog may develop generally east of the I-35 corridor tonight as well and result in reduced visibilities.

Rain chances should come to an end across the region by Thursday morning as the system shifts to the eastern US. Cloud cover will gradually decrease through the day and afternoon temperatures will warm into the 50s to near 60 regionwide.

Garcia

LONG TERM. /Issued 254 PM CST Tue Jan 21 2020/ /Thursday through Tuesday/

Rain should be coming to an end early Thursday morning across the eastern counties as the upper trough axis continues to shift eastward. High pressure will build into the region and skies should gradually clear through the day. Highs on Thursday will top out in the 50s areawide.

A fast moving shortwave ridge will pass through the region on Friday with sunny skies expected and a slight warmup into the lower 60s. Another upstream shortwave trough will approach on Saturday however, and now there appears that there will be sufficient moisture for at least a few areas of rain to develop Saturday night. We'll keep PoPs low at around 20% late Saturday night into Sunday morning. This system will quickly move on by and skies should clear again late in the day.

Early next week, we'll be under the influence of upper ridging initially, but a strong disturbance will be digging into the southwest U.S. by Monday afternoon. Southerly flow will strengthen in response, and low level moisture will increase rapidly by Tuesday morning. There are still some timing differences among the guidance with respect to precipitation, but we'll start to increase rain chances in the Tue/Wed timeframe.

Dunn

AVIATION. /NEW/ /06Z TAFs/

While -RA and mostly VFR ceilings are currently being reported at all TAF sites, an upper level trough and rich low level moisture will continue to deteriorate conditions across the region. Overall, expect poor flying conditions through early Thursday morning as widespread light rain and low ceilings prevail. Ceilings will fall to MVFR by the morning push and IFR by the mid morning hours. An extended period of LIFR ceilings will exist this afternoon through Thursday morning.

Garcia

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Dallas-Ft. Worth 40 46 46 57 39 / 90 90 50 10 0 Waco 41 49 46 60 38 / 90 100 60 5 0 Paris 34 39 39 51 36 / 80 90 90 50 0 Denton 40 45 45 56 38 / 90 90 40 10 0 McKinney 39 44 44 56 38 / 90 90 70 20 0 Dallas 40 46 46 57 39 / 90 90 50 10 0 Terrell 38 44 44 57 38 / 90 100 80 20 0 Corsicana 39 47 47 58 39 / 90 100 90 10 0 Temple 43 50 46 61 38 / 90 100 60 0 0 Mineral Wells 42 49 43 56 36 / 90 90 20 0 0

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

22/26


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Waco, Waco Regional Airport, TX8 mi56 minSE 1210.00 miLight Rain45°F39°F83%1023.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KACT

Wind History from ACT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmW5CalmCalmCalmCalmS4SE8SE6S7S12SE10S13SE11SE11SE7SE11SE14SE12SE9SE11SE12
1 day agoW3W3W3W4W4CalmCalmCalmE3NE5N5CalmE5NE33CalmE3E3CalmSE4CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoN5N7N7N9NW8N8N6N10NE11NE12
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NE9NE9NE11NE7NE10NE6NE4N3N4N6NW5SW4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Central Texas
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.