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Marine Weather and Tides
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8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it. 8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue. 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. |
| Sunrise 7:19AM | Sunset 7:19PM | Sunday September 27, 2020 1:10 AM CDT (06:10 UTC) | Moonrise 4:28PM | Moonset 2:19AM | Illumination 75% |  |
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Waco, TX
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location: 31.56, -97.19 debug
Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
(on/off) Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definitionFXUS64 KFWD 270045 AAA AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 745 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2020
SHORT TERM. /NEW/ /Tonight through Sunday Evening/
Very warm and very breezy conditions can be anticipated for Sunday. The warmth will be short-lived, however, as a front is expected to crash southward late Sunday into Monday. While a bulk of the rain/storms is expected to occur just outside of the current short term forecast window, the potential for rain starts to increase just prior to midnight Monday morning.
Surface analysis at this hour revealed that low level moisture was continuing to funnel northward out of the Coastal Plain into Central Texas. Overnight tonight, a low level jet should develop and help accelerate this moisture transport northward. Tonight will be milder than previous nights as nocturnal mixing and increasing cloudiness after midnight interrupt radiational cooling. The potential for fog will be low thanks to the winds, but I cannot rule out a sprinkle or two with the warm air advection regime setting up.
Sunday will be warm, especially west of the U.S. HWY 281 corridor where flow will veer behind an ill-defined dryline. The tightening surface pressure gradient in response to cyclogenesis across southwest Oklahoma will result in very breezy southerly winds. Sustained southerly winds of 20-25 MPH will flirt with Wind Advisory criteria with gusts to near 30 MPH possible. For now, given the marginal nature, will forgo any advisories for the daylight hours on Sunday. A cold front will progress through the Plains on Sunday with a triple-point developing across southwest Oklahoma/western North Texas. While low level convergence will exist along this feature, stout capping, as evidenced in forecast soundings should largely suppress any updrafts. I'll advertise a silent 10 PoP west of I-35 and north of I-20 after 21Z Sunday, however, in the event that the cap is a little weaker than anticipated. While I don't anticipate the cap being breached, if an updraft is able penetrate the cap, the storm may become strong to severe with large hail and strong winds being the primary hazard. Again, this potential is very, very low.
By Sunday evening, we'll be looking at increasing rain/storm chances, mainly along the Red River as the front gathers momentum and surges southward. 70 degree dewpoint air will contribute to MLCAPE values in excess of 1500 J/kg along with increasing deep layer shear nearing 40 knots should support some organized convective modes. However, the speed of the front may tend to limit the ability of updrafts to fully access all available potential energy and thereby hamper the severe weather threat. For now, the threat for widespread severe weather will remain on the low side, but we will need to remain vigilant for elevated strong to possibly severe storms in the wake of the cold front as deep layer shear will be more than adequate to sustain any of the more rigorous updrafts.
There still looks to be a decent non-convective wind event, post- FROPA, though some of the higher momentum aloft may be transfered down to the surface by way of precipitation drag. 40 to 45 knot flow at 925mb coupled with increasing surface pressure rises should ensure that winds howl and it's quite possible that a Wind Advisory will be needed to address post-frontal winds of 20 to 30 MPH with gusts to near 40 MPH in subsequent forecasts.
Bain
LONG TERM. /Issued 216 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2020/ /Sunday night through next Weekend/
By Sunday evening, we're going to see an increase in scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms especially near the Red River, as the anticipated cold front start pushing south into our area. It will continue to move south and be near the DFW Metroplex around midnight and across Central TX a couple of hours later. The highest precipitation chances will be east of the I-35 corridor and north of I-20 Sunday night. Most of the precipitation will develop along and behind the frontal boundary as the warm sector will remain fairly capped. There will be enough instability with this activity, therefore, we can't rule a few strong or low-end severe storms. Still, the main threat will be small hail and gusty winds. As the cold front continues to race south, precipitation chances will shift to the east/southeast Monday morning and will exit the region by early afternoon.
In addition to the precipitation chances, winds will be fairly strong behind the front Sunday night and Monday. We're looking at wind speeds around 20-30 mph, especially west of the I-35 corridor. These winds will also bring the colder airmass into the region keeping the high temperature on Monday in the low to mid 70s. Lows Monday night/Tuesday morning will drop into the upper 40s and low 50s.
The rest of the week looks fairly quiet. We will continue to be located between a strong ridge across to the west and a trough over the eastern U.S. A brief warm up is expected Tuesday through Thursday before we see another cold front to move across the area Thursday night - Friday. While it looks like we won't see any precipitation with this late week front as we will lack good moisture, we will have another round of cooler and fall-like temperatures.
Sanchez
AVIATION. /NEW/
/00Z TAF Cycle/
Concerns---MVFR stratus, strong south winds and convective potential.
VFR will start the TAF cycle with breezy southerly winds through the overnight hours. These southerly winds will usher in MVFR stratus near sunrise Sunday with cigs between 1500-2000 feet AGL. Brief IFR is possible at Waco, but the breezy low level flow may help keep cloud bases elevated such that MVFR is the predominant flight category. During the mid to late morning hours on Sunday, VFR should return with stronger southerly winds. Speeds of 15 to 20 knots with surface gusts to near 30 knots are anticipated on Sunday at just about all TAFs.
A cold front will approach the Red River and spark showers and thunderstorms, mainly north and northeast of D10 TAFs. I've elected to include a mention of VCTS around 05Z Monday (Sunday Evening) for the extended portion of the D/FW TAF given the potential that storms could interrupt air traffic on a south flow configuration. Additional refinements to the timing will likely be made in subsequent TAFs.
Bain
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Dallas-Ft. Worth 71 89 61 73 54 / 0 0 80 5 0 Waco 72 91 63 75 53 / 0 0 30 10 0 Paris 65 84 58 69 50 / 0 0 100 20 0 Denton 70 90 60 72 51 / 0 0 70 5 0 McKinney 69 87 60 72 51 / 0 0 100 5 0 Dallas 71 89 62 73 54 / 0 0 90 5 0 Terrell 69 87 61 73 51 / 0 0 90 20 0 Corsicana 70 88 62 72 53 / 0 0 60 20 0 Temple 72 90 63 74 53 / 0 0 20 10 0 Mineral Wells 69 93 58 72 48 / 0 5 20 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.
Weather Reporting Stations
EDIT (on/off) Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a mapAirport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Visibility | Sky/Weather | Temp | DewPt | Humidity | Pressure |
| Waco, Waco Regional Airport, TX | 4 mi | 20 min | SSE 11 | 10.00 mi | Fair | 75°F | 69°F | 82% | 1008.2 hPa |
Link to 5 minute data for KACT
Wind History from ACT (wind in knots)
| 2 AM | 3 AM | 4 AM | 5 AM | 6 AM | 7 AM | 8 AM | 9 AM | 10 AM | 11 AM | 12 PM | 1 PM | 2 PM | 3 PM | 4 PM | 5 PM | 6 PM | 7 PM | 8 PM | 9 PM | 10 PM | 11 PM | 12 AM | 1 AM | |
| Last 24hr | S | S | S | SE | SE | SE | SE | S | S | S | S | S G21 | S | S | S | S | S | S | SE | SE | SE | SE | S | S |
| 1 day ago | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | W | SW | SW | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | SE | SE | E | SE | SE | SE | SE | SE | S |
| 2 days ago | NW | NW | N | N | N | N | N | NW | N | NW | N | N | NW | NW | N | NE | NE | E | E | E | E | E | Calm | Calm |
Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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