Marine Weather and Tides
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
|Sunrise 6:26AM||Sunset 7:53PM||Tuesday August 11, 2020 6:08 PM MDT (00:08 UTC)||Moonrise 11:36PM||Moonset 12:36PM||Illumination 44%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Butterfield, TXHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for -  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS64 KEPZ 112312 AFDEPZ
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 512 PM MDT Tue Aug 11 2020
AVIATION. 00Z TAF CYCLE VFR conditions generally expected. Showers are trying to develop in the vicinity of KELP as an outflow moves east to west. A lightning strike or two cannot be ruled out with brief impacts possible at the airport within the next hour or so (by 01z). Otherwise, SCT mid clouds expected for the region with light and variable winds.
PREV DISCUSSION. 300 PM MDT Tue Aug 11 2020 .
SYNOPSIS. High pressure aloft will be centered over the Borderland through the end of the week, which will suppress most thunderstorm development and result in afternoon temperatures near or at record levels. A few storms may succeed in developing over the higher mountains or in far southwestern New Mexico, but most locations will remain dry. The upper high will then migrate west and northwest over Arizona on the weekend and over Utah early next week, with temperatures not quite as hot and enough moisture for a few thunderstorms area wide.
DISCUSSION. SHORT TERM. Tonight and Wednesday . Any isolated shower, storm, or breezy outflow activity will die off after sunset, or shortly thereafter. Warm temperatures continue into the overnight, especially El Paso county and portions of the Rio Grande valley south of El Paso, where the Heat Advisory continues until early Friday. Elsewhere temps remain seasonably above average.
For Wednesday, extended range HRRR is quite bullish on activity, as usual, but does show the preferred areas of convection pretty well I feel. The Gila, Sacs, southern Otero, and the terrain of Hudspeth county. Might be a slight uptick in moisture levels tomorrow, by slight I mean ever so slightly in the mid levels, so this "threat" seems plausible. In any event, have POPs across the terrain regions of the CWA mainly, but can see a few POPs leaking into adjacent lowland locations, and maybe even the Bootheel. Nevertheless, the ridge overhead will suppress a lot of this activity, both in coverage and intensity, and of course, temperatures will rise into the low 100s to near 105 degrees most lowland locations (with 850 temps fcst a bit higher than Tuesday suggesting warmer temps than Tuesday).
LONG TERM. Record heat continues Thursday and Friday with the upper high centered directly overhead. Moisture tries to seep in from Sonora and southeast AZ at times, so a few storms are possible west of the divide, yet they will struggle under the high. But things might improve slightly over the weekend as the upper high migrates westward over AZ. This will take the edge off of record heat (though still hotter than normal) and allow an upper impulse or two to drop southward around the front side of the high. We've seen this already earlier in the summer, and though it is not a classic monsoon pattern we will take whatever storms this can generate.
It might even get better early next week as the models drift the upper high over southern UT. Meanwhile a decent upper trough drops down into the plains states . a set-up for weak backdoor fronts. That could bring temperatures down closer to normal (but still hot because it's August) and increase thunderstorm coverage a bit. We're not talking about a nice monsoonal outbreak of storms, but definitely better than the current scenario.
AVIATION. Light to mildly breezy winds (G15-20KT) through the afternoon hours at KDMN, KTCS, KLRU. Otherwise, FEW-SCT120-150 with mainly terrain storms and VFR conditions expected at terminals. Cannot rule out a breezy outflow as well.
FIRE WEATHER. Upper ridge will remain in the vicinity of southern NM through the end of the week. Consequently, thunderstorm chances will be rather isolated with mainly terrain storms, and temperatures 8-15 degrees above average. Warm temperatures and slightly better storm chances expected through the weekend for all locations, but only an iso to sct mtn and iso lowland threat. Early to mid next week may provide even better storm chances as the upper level high jogs to the northwest of the area. All the while, outside of thunderstorms, winds remain light to mildly breezy each afternoon. Min RH 10-15% lowlands and 15-25% area mtns with ventilation a mix of Poor to Good through the early weekend.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. El Paso 77 105 77 105 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 70 99 69 100 / 10 10 0 0 Las Cruces 71 103 71 102 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 71 104 73 104 / 10 10 0 10 Cloudcroft 55 80 56 80 / 10 20 0 30 Truth or Consequences 72 101 71 102 / 0 10 10 10 Silver City 67 96 67 96 / 0 10 0 20 Deming 68 104 70 104 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 69 102 71 102 / 0 0 0 10 West El Paso Metro 77 106 78 107 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 71 105 71 105 / 10 10 10 0 Fort Hancock 75 106 75 107 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 73 98 73 99 / 10 0 0 0 Fabens 76 105 77 105 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 72 104 74 104 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 74 103 75 104 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 71 102 72 102 / 0 10 10 0 Hatch 70 103 71 104 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 73 104 74 105 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 73 104 74 104 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 61 90 61 91 / 0 20 0 30 Mescalero 59 90 60 91 / 10 20 0 30 Timberon 59 89 59 89 / 0 20 0 20 Winston 60 93 60 93 / 10 20 10 30 Hillsboro 68 101 68 101 / 0 10 0 20 Spaceport 69 102 70 102 / 0 0 0 10 Lake Roberts 60 94 60 94 / 10 20 0 30 Hurley 67 98 66 99 / 0 0 0 20 Cliff 63 101 64 102 / 10 10 0 20 Mule Creek 67 97 67 97 / 10 20 0 20 Faywood 68 99 68 99 / 0 10 0 20 Animas 68 103 69 104 / 0 0 0 10 Hachita 67 102 69 103 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 68 101 69 102 / 10 0 0 10 Cloverdale 65 96 68 97 / 10 10 0 10
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NM . None. TX . Heat Advisory until 8 AM MDT Friday for TXZ418-419-423-424.
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|El Paso, El Paso International Airport, TX||20 mi||78 min||SSW 4||10.00 mi||Mostly Cloudy||101°F||39°F||12%||1004.9 hPa|
Link to 5 minute data for KELP
Wind History from ELP (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||E||Calm||SE||SE||E||N||Calm||Calm||S||SE||S||N||W||Calm||SE||SW||SW||SW||SW||SW|
|2 days ago||S||SE||SE||SE||SE||W||NW||N||E||N||N||N||Calm||Calm||E||S||Calm||N||Calm||SE |
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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