Friday, August23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Butterfield, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:33AMSunset 7:41PM Friday August 23, 2019 5:56 PM MDT (23:56 UTC) Moonrise 11:37PMMoonset 12:46PM Illumination 41% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Butterfield, TX
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location: 31.85, -106     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus64 kepz 232131
afdepz
area forecast discussion
national weather service EL paso tx santa teresa nm
331 pm mdt Fri aug 23 2019

Synopsis
Upper high pressure center building over southern california and
arizona will increase the dry northerly flow over the borderland
Saturday through Tuesday. Dry and hot weather will return over
the weekend and into Tuesday, with lowland high temperatures back
into the triple digits. A cool front will move in Tuesday night
and begin moistening up lower levels while also cooling
temperatures a bit. Thus for Wednesday through Friday we will see
an increase in thunderstorm chances with temperatures dropping
back to near normal.

Discussion
Looks like we will be entering a dry period (as opposed to what
we've been seeing for 2 months) for the next several days. Eastern
pacific upper high will continue to build in over southern
california and arizona over the next two days, resulting in a
relatively dry north northwest flow over the cwa. Enough moisture
will persist tonight to fuel a few thunderstorms, mainly west of
deming. Drying will continue Saturday from north to south. Will
leave a low pop in for the mountains and along the southern
international border. Prospects look even worse for rain Sunday
through Tuesday as pws drop well below one inch and dewpoints
linger in the lower mid 40s.

Back door cool front will push in Tuesday night, while aloft the
upper high recenters over us, allowing some recycled moisture back
in. This will allow pws to increase to 1.1 to 1.3 inches, and
dewpoints to sneak back up into the 50s. Once again despite the
high overhead temps aloft will not warm (500 mb temps -5 to -7c)
so strong cap looks to be absent. Thus expect decent uptick in
thunderstorm coverage Wednesday through Friday, with an attendant
increase in flash flood potential. After a 3 day run of abnormally
warm temperatures, highs will cool back down to near normal for
this period.

Beyond Friday into next weekend... GFS and ECMWF both keep us in
east flow aloft with the high center to our north. Thus, though
not a great moisture feed, some chance of thunderstorms will
continue.

Aviation Valid 24 00z-25 00z...

p6sm few-sct090-120 sct-bkn200-250 through period. Isolated
vrb25g40kt 1-3sm tsra bkn040-050 with greatest coverage in the
south half of the area and mountains through 04z. Winds will be
directionally variable through period but remain under 12kts,
except near thunderstorms gusty conditions will exist. After 06z
winds W to nw.

Fire weather
High pressure centered over northern california starts to push
moisture out of southern new mexico this evening, keeping it to
our south. Storm chances tonight are limited to the mountains and
southern border area. Rain chances diminish by tomorrow and into
early next week. Min rh values decrease into the mid teens by
Sunday evening. Winds will be at or below 15 mph through early
next week, however gusty winds will exist near thunderstorms. High
temperatures rise slowly each day, reaching low 100s in the
lowlands and mid 90s in the higher terrain by Monday. Poor to fair
vent rates until Sunday, in which they return to good.

Moisture looks to circle back into the area mid week next week,
cooling temperatures and bringing some chances for precipitation back
into the forecast.

Preliminary point temps pops
El paso 72 96 74 101 20 0 0 0
sierra blanca 66 91 67 98 20 10 0 0
las cruces 66 94 67 99 20 0 0 0
alamogordo 66 96 67 100 20 0 0 0
cloudcroft 51 76 53 79 20 20 0 20
truth or consequences 67 95 68 99 20 0 0 0
silver city 62 89 62 91 30 10 10 10
deming 66 95 67 97 20 0 0 0
lordsburg 65 94 66 96 30 0 10 0
west EL paso metro 72 96 73 101 20 0 0 0
dell city 70 97 70 102 20 0 0 0
fort hancock 73 96 74 103 20 0 0 0
loma linda 68 91 69 99 20 0 0 0
fabens 72 95 73 102 20 0 0 0
santa teresa 69 95 70 100 20 0 0 0
white sands hq 70 96 71 100 10 0 0 0
jornada range 65 95 65 99 20 0 0 0
hatch 66 96 66 99 20 0 0 0
columbus 68 94 69 98 20 0 0 0
orogrande 68 95 69 99 20 0 0 0
mayhill 57 86 59 89 20 20 0 20
mescalero 56 86 57 89 20 20 0 10
timberon 56 83 58 88 20 20 0 20
winston 58 90 58 93 20 10 0 10
hillsboro 64 94 64 97 20 10 0 0
spaceport 64 95 66 99 20 0 0 0
lake roberts 57 91 57 92 20 10 10 10
hurley 62 91 62 93 30 10 10 10
cliff 59 95 59 96 30 10 10 10
mule creek 62 92 60 93 30 10 10 0
faywood 63 91 64 94 20 10 0 10
animas 64 93 65 96 30 0 10 0
hachita 64 92 65 95 30 0 0 0
antelope wells 64 89 64 92 40 10 10 0
cloverdale 63 85 63 90 50 20 20 20

Epz watches warnings advisories
Nm... None.

Tx... None.

Hefner dhuyvetter


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
El Paso, El Paso International Airport, TX20 mi65 minSSW 410.00 miThunderstorm Light Rain93°F53°F26%1004.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KELP

Wind History from ELP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmS8SW7W8S11SE14
G20
SE8S7SE7S9SE7S8SE5S6S7SE9S8SW443365S4
1 day agoNE7E5N10
G22
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G27
NW11
G17
3W13CalmE4E8N7N4SW5S4CalmCalmCalm3CalmCalmS435S5
2 days agoE7E7NE7E6N22
G27
NE16NE10NE6N8N4N4N5N3N3N6NE5N5CalmE74E666E11
G17

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station El Paso, TX
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.