Monday, December9, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Butterfield, TX

Version 3.4
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10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 5:02PM Monday December 9, 2019 12:04 AM MST (07:04 UTC) Moonrise 3:31PMMoonset 4:15AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Butterfield, TX
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location: 31.85, -106     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS64 KEPZ 090536 AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 1036 PM MST Sun Dec 8 2019

AVIATION. 06Z TAF CYCLE Moisture will flow into southern New Mexico and far west Texas while an upper level trough approaches from the east. This pattern will produce rainfall over most of the region after 12Z with skies BKN-OVC010-030 and and visibilities mostly 3-5 miles.

Rogash

PREV DISCUSSION. 154 PM MST Sun Dec 8 2019 .

SYNOPSIS. An upper-level trough will bring increasing precipitation chances to the Borderland beginning later tonight and early tomorrow morning. Precipitation chances will last through Tuesday morning. Snow levels will start around 9000 feet and gradually lower to around 7500 feet by Tuesday morning. Quiet conditions will occur Tuesday afternoon onwards with highs warming a few degrees each day beneath partly to mostly sunny skies. Breezy conditions look to return for next Sunday.

DISCUSSION. SHORT TERM. Today through Monday afternoon . A strong upper level trough located over central California will slowly move into the Lower Colorado Basin by Monday morning. Ahead of this system, increasing west-southwesterly flow will continue to bring increasing upper and mid-level moisture to our area tonight, with a few scant and light showers possible this afternoon and evening. Precip chances will increase markedly in the pre-dawn hours as PW values climb to around 0.80 (GFS) to 0.90 (NAM) in the lowlands. Upper level divergence and differential PVA will also strengthen as the upper trough, possibly even a closed low, swings into southern Arizona and takes on a less strongly-positive tilt. Precip looks to be widespread and steady over much of the area from about 12Z Mon to 00Z Tue.

Snow levels will remain rather high, over 9,000 feet through the night, though rain/snow mix will be possible above 8,000 feet (but with fairly light QPF). Temperatures aloft will slowly drop through the day on Monday, with Snow Levels hovering around 8,000 to 8,500 feet through much of the morning, and down to around 7,500 feet by evening. Snow amounts may approach 1 to 3 inches in the highest elevations of the Sacramento Mountains and Gila Region by early Monday evening, highest above 9,000 feet.

Hardiman

LONG TERM. Monday Night through Next Sunday . By Monday Night, the upper-level low/trough will be nearing the AZ/NM state line with an associated surface front ahead of it, roughly running through Central Sierra County southward towards the Luna/Dona Ana County line. A line of showers and perhaps a thunderstorm will associate with this front, pushing eastward as the evening progresses with isolated to widely scattered showers continuing behind the line associated with the core of the upper- level low. The low should begin to exit our CWA by Tuesday morning with precip ending across our far eastern zones by sunrise. I did keep low POPs in our central zones as a nod to several GFS Ensemble members, which keep the precip in the picture longer than the Operational models. Snow levels by Monday evening should hang out around 7500', but that may be enough to let 3-6" accumulate over Cloudcroft by the end of the event. We may need some headlines for the Sacramento Mtns, but that decision can be made on this evening or tonight's shift.

Upper-level ridging will follow quickly behind the low as it moves into the Plains. Temperatures will warm each day as a result, back above normal for most locations by Thursday. A system will move through the top of the ridge, clipping our CWA, but it will do little more than provide some extra cloud coverage ahead of it on Wednesday as well as turn winds to the north in its wake for Thursday. The associated front/trough passage will have no cold air associated with it, which is why highs will continue their slow upward trek each day. Ridging quickly resumes behind this clipper system late Thursday. The quiet conditions Wednesday morning may be favorable for fog development in the valleys, especially if our preceding rain event gives us some heavier rainfall totals. Otherwise, quiet conditions will prevail Wednesday through Saturday.

Our weather looks to become a bit more active starting next Sunday as a low-amplitude short-wave trough passes from the Four Corners Region through Northern NM. Lee troughing will commence over the OK/TX Panhandle, forming a ~1000 mb low. The location and the strength of the low suggest only breezy conditions across the Borderland for Sunday. The more notable thing occurs on Day 8 as the s/w trough forces a decent cold front through the area sending our highs back below normal. The frontal passage looks dry though.

Brown

FIRE WEATHER. A strong upper level system currently over CA will approach the area, bringing with it increasing rain chances and RH values. Best chances for rain look to occur late tonight/early tomorrow morning with a lull in the precip anticipated during the afternoon hours Monday with scattered showers and perhaps a rumble of thunder expected to move through all zones Monday evening. Precip should wrap-up by Tuesday morning with quiet conditions expected by Tuesday afternoon. Min RH values near or above 70 percent for tomorrow and mainly around 40 for Tuesday. Vent Rates look poor for all periods and locations with the exception of Southwest NM for tomorrow where Good vent rates are anticipated.

Brown



PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. El Paso 50 52 40 55 / 70 80 50 20 Sierra Blanca 48 51 37 50 / 60 80 60 30 Las Cruces 47 50 36 53 / 60 70 50 10 Alamogordo 47 51 34 55 / 60 70 50 20 Cloudcroft 33 34 25 37 / 70 70 60 30 Truth or Consequences 45 49 34 53 / 30 60 40 10 Silver City 41 42 32 52 / 70 80 30 0 Deming 44 50 34 55 / 70 70 40 10 Lordsburg 47 49 34 54 / 80 80 30 0 West El Paso Metro 49 52 40 56 / 70 80 50 10 Dell City 48 55 35 53 / 60 70 50 30 Fort Hancock 51 54 38 57 / 70 80 50 20 Loma Linda 45 50 37 50 / 80 80 50 20 Fabens 51 54 38 56 / 70 80 50 20 Santa Teresa 47 50 35 54 / 70 80 50 10 White Sands HQ 48 51 39 55 / 60 70 50 10 Jornada Range 46 50 34 54 / 60 60 50 10 Hatch 47 52 34 55 / 40 60 50 10 Columbus 48 51 37 55 / 70 80 50 10 Orogrande 46 51 35 54 / 70 70 60 20 Mayhill 39 42 28 48 / 60 60 60 30 Mescalero 37 39 27 45 / 70 70 60 30 Timberon 36 40 27 44 / 70 80 60 30 Winston 37 43 29 48 / 40 60 30 10 Hillsboro 43 48 32 54 / 40 70 30 10 Spaceport 44 49 33 54 / 40 60 50 10 Lake Roberts 37 41 27 53 / 70 70 30 0 Hurley 42 44 31 53 / 70 70 30 0 Cliff 41 49 26 58 / 70 70 20 0 Mule Creek 42 44 30 53 / 70 70 10 0 Faywood 42 47 34 53 / 60 70 30 10 Animas 47 50 34 55 / 70 70 30 0 Hachita 45 51 32 54 / 70 80 30 0 Antelope Wells 47 51 34 55 / 80 80 30 0 Cloverdale 44 48 34 52 / 80 80 30 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NM . None. TX . None.

05/99/99


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
El Paso, El Paso International Airport, TX20 mi74 minW 1210.00 miLight Rain59°F43°F56%1010.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KELP

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1 day agoN6N8N7N7N8N9N8N6NE7NE4CalmCalmSW6S4SW7SW9SW8SW5S6SE6SE6S7S4S8
2 days agoN11N10NE9N10N9NE8N8N9N73E85E63SE4CalmCalmN3NW3E73NE3E3N3

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Ground Weather Radar Station El Paso, TX
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