Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Butterfield, TX

DISCUSSION
Issued at 1000 PM MST Fri Feb 27 2026

Large, sprawling UL high/ ridge will be the main factor in our weather through the weekend into early next week. It is centered over Western Mexico with its ridge axis pointing northward along the Pacific Coast. The ridge will slowly move east, centering itself just south of Chihuahua by Sunday afternoon, before continuing east, south of Texas by Monday afternoon, while also flattening. This pattern will push temperatures even further upward with Sunday and Monday expected to be our warmest days. The all-time record for February in El Paso is 86, and we will challenge that on Saturday. We will be approaching 90 on Sunday and Monday with NBM giving a 20% and 5% chance of hitting hit each day respectively, which would be the earliest on record if it happens. Monday will also see a small uptick in winds with the ridge beginning to break down.

By Tuesday, a long-wave trough pattern will start to set-up across the West, beginning a wave train for us. The first such wave will pass through NM and Far West Texas Tuesday afternoon, making for a breezy afternoon. Temperatures will also drop a few degrees though still well above normal. The next wave arrives for Thursday though weaker than Tuesday's wave but still with an uptick in winds. A larger wave looks to take shape beyond the forecast period.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 548 AM MST Sat Feb 28 2026

Light and variable winds are expected through the period, with some thin high clouds passing by, embedded in northwest flow aloft.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 548 AM MST Sat Feb 28 2026

Broad, low amplitude ridging will lead to a continued warming trend, with afternoon high temperatures 15 to 25 degrees above seasonal normals through Monday, likely breaking daily records.
This will allow minimum RH values to dip into the 8 to 12 percent range in the lowlands, and generally 10 to 15 percent in the higher mountains. However, winds will trend lighter today and Sunday.

An upper level trough will swing through the Great Basin just north of the Four Corners Monday into Tuesday, with increasing west-southwest winds, particularly Tuesday afternoon. Elevated fire weather conditions may approach critical thresholds during that time.

Temperatures will cool down, but remain above normal, in the wake of Tuesday's trough passage. A weaker impulse will bring somewhat breezy conditions to the area on Thursday afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
El Paso 54 89 55 88 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 52 85 51 86 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 47 85 48 84 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 47 84 49 84 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 42 62 41 62 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 50 85 50 84 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 48 76 48 75 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 48 88 48 87 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 47 84 48 83 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 55 88 55 87 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 47 88 46 88 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 52 91 53 92 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 52 81 53 80 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 52 89 52 91 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 49 87 51 86 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 55 86 56 86 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 45 87 47 85 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 46 90 47 88 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 52 88 51 88 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 48 84 49 84 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 46 77 45 76 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 44 74 43 74 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 48 71 48 70 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 41 79 41 75 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 50 84 51 82 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 44 86 45 84 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 42 77 43 74 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 46 80 46 79 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 44 84 45 83 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 45 79 44 78 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 50 81 50 79 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 49 86 49 85 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 47 85 48 85 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 49 87 48 86 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 52 80 52 79 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
NM...None.