Monday, December16, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
El Paso, TX

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10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:57AMSunset 5:05PM Monday December 16, 2019 6:18 AM MST (13:18 UTC) Moonrise 9:53PMMoonset 10:53AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near El Paso, TX
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location: 31.85, -106.43     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXUS64 KEPZ 161145 AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 445 AM MST Mon Dec 16 2019

AVIATION. 12Z TAF CYCLE Isolated areas of lower level clouds have developed around KELP, KDMN, and KLRU this morning. Clouds have been observed at FEW- BKN050 and are expected to remain at this height. These clouds will diminish a few hours after sunrise with FEW200-250 through the afternoon. Winds will occasionally gust to around 17-19 kts during the afternoon hours between 18-00Z, but a few gusts will be possible from 12-15Z as well. Winds shift from the northwest/north to the northeast around 01-04Z this evening with speeds continuing around 10-15 kts into the overnight hours.

PREV DISCUSSION. 332 AM MST Mon Dec 16 2019 .

SYNOPSIS. The warmish temperatures we saw this weekend are behind us now as a cold front pushes significantly cooler air across the Borderland today. Lighter north winds today, but those winds will keep the region noticeably cooler. Freezing nights and below normal afternoon temperatures will persist through mid week. Highs in the 40s for Tuesday and Wednesday. Dry weather will continue all week and next weekend. The weather will warm late week and more so next weekend when highs warm back into the 60s across the lowlands.

DISCUSSION.

SHORT TERM. Today through tonight Breezy winds across the Sacramento Mountains have continued to diminish over the last few hours so the Wind Advisory will expire by 5AM MST Monday as scheduled. Mainly clear skies with plenty of sun expected during the daytime hours today with the main story being the temperatures. North/northwesterly surface winds will usher in colder air today, around 10-15 degrees colder than Sunday's high temperatures across the region. Winds will average 10-15 mph with an occasional gust near 20 mph at times through the afternoon hours.

Winds relax after sunset for several hours before the next reinforcing push of cold air approaches. Winds will shift during the overnight hours to the northeast and increase slightly into the upper single digits to lower teens. This will set the stage for a cold night across the Borderland with temperatures in the 20s across all lowland locations and teens in area mountains as skies remain clear.

LONG TERM. Tuesday through Sunday Dry and cold conditions begin the long term with hard freezes at night and lowland highs in the 40s for Tuesday and Wednesday. East and southeast winds will keep the cold air moving in from the Central Plains. A dry upper trough will be exiting Tuesday, to be followed by an upper ridge Wednesday.

Thursday a sharp Pacific trough will rapidly move across the Four Corners region on a progressive flow pattern. This will result in the formation of a lee surface trough, warmer westerly flow, and likely a breezy afternoon. However the system is staved of moisture, so it will pass dry. This shift in westerly winds will help to warm the region back to near seasonal averages. Friday another Pacific front pushes in from the north behind the exiting upper trough. This will stall the warmup and keep temperatures flat.

Next weekend a broad ridge of high pressure follows, and moves overhead from the west. This will keep the weather dry and benign, allow for plenty of clear skies, slacken the winds to quite light, and warm the temperatures back to about 5 degrees above normal, with lowland highs back into the 60s.

AVIATION. VFR conds expected through the period. Surface winds northwest 10-15KT. Some westerly gusts to 30-35KT may persist much of the night along east slopes of terrain, including KELP TAF site Some increase in high clouds. SCT/BKN250 after 16Z. LLWS of 30-35KT between 010-020 ft lasting until around sunrise Monday.

FIRE WEATHER. Today brings a noticeable change in temperature across the fire zones as a north wind behind an early day cold front passage brings in cooler air. Temperatures today will top out about 15 degrees, on average, cooler than Sunday's. Yesterday's wind maker trough is rapidly exiting the region. This will help to slacken the winds, but some locations may still see some mildly breezy, or gusty, winds from the north associated with the front and surface high pressure building in from the north. This slackening of the winds and cooling of the surface layer will impact ventilation quite a lot, bringing them way down. Dewpoints will be crashing today and Tuesday. It means nighttime RH recoveries will be lower, but still fairly good. Daytime RH mins will stay in the 20% range, thanks mostly to the cooler temperatures.

Tuesday and Wednesday the region comes under a sharp upper ridge. This keeps the weather dry and cool, with lighter winds. Thursday the next upper trough rushes in from the west. It too is a dry system, but it will turn winds west to warm the region back to near seasonal normals, and provide for a breezy afternoon. Friday another cold front moves in with northerly winds. Temperatures should be flat, or only a couple of degrees cooler.

For the weekend a large upper ridge builds over the SW U.S. This feature will keep the region dry, make for light winds, and warm temperatures back to slightly above normal.



PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. El Paso 54 27 45 24 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 54 25 42 21 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 51 24 43 20 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 52 21 45 20 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 35 13 28 14 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 52 23 42 21 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 47 22 42 23 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 53 23 45 20 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 51 24 44 25 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 55 28 46 25 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 57 22 45 19 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 59 26 49 23 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 50 26 41 25 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 57 26 47 23 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 53 24 45 20 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 53 26 45 24 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 51 22 43 19 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 52 23 45 20 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 54 26 45 23 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 53 23 45 21 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 44 17 39 18 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 40 15 37 16 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 44 15 35 15 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 44 18 37 19 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 50 21 42 21 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 50 20 43 19 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 47 16 43 18 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 50 20 42 21 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 50 15 49 16 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 48 20 44 22 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 50 23 43 23 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 53 24 45 24 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 53 22 44 20 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 55 25 45 23 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 51 27 41 27 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NM . None. TX . None.

35/14/35


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
El Paso, El Paso International Airport, TX4 mi27 minVar 610.00 miPartly Cloudy49°F26°F41%1012.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KELP

Wind History from ELP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW12SW15SW14SW15W27
G34
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1 day agoSE6
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2 days agoN6NE5SE5W3CalmSW9W15W11W15W18SW9SW8SW9S8S12
G16
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G18
S11S6

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station El Paso, TX
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.