Tuesday, August20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
El Paso, TX

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7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
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Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 7:45PM Tuesday August 20, 2019 7:00 PM MDT (01:00 UTC) Moonrise 9:52PMMoonset 9:59AM Illumination 71% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near El Paso, TX
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location: 31.85, -106.43     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus64 kepz 202135
afdepz
area forecast discussion
national weather service EL paso tx santa teresa nm
335 pm mdt Tue aug 20 2019

Synopsis
Shower and thunderstorm activity will be on the upswing this
afternoon and through much of the week, with scattered to numerous
thunderstorms expected into the early evening hours. Storms will
be slow-moving, and will tend to produce highly localized
downpours and flooding, while other areas remain dry. Thunderstorm
coverage will be around 30 to 50 percent in the lowlands.

Temperatures will slowly cool back down into the 90s Wednesday and
Thursday. Drier conditions are expected by Sunday, with
temperatures warming back up early next week.

Discussion
Rap analysis has the subtropical ridge centered roughly over new
mexico this afternoon, with light and variable steering flow. Low
level moisture did push into the region overnight, but most areas
near and west of the rio grande have seen dewpoints mix out into
the mid-40s. Despite this, pw values remain around 1.25 inches.

Dewpoints remain in the 50s over the tularosa basin and hudspeth
county.

Convection was fairly impressive when it fired up in the higher
terrain late this morning, and continues to pulse up now and
then, even in parts of the lowlands. Nam GFS suggest moderate
instability axis focused near the rio grande, with and 850-700 mb
moist axis just west of the rio grande, despite surface dewpoints
having mixed out into the upper-40s.

Overall, the uofaz WRF (various 12z and 06z runs) appear to be
doing fairly well with on-going convection, and suggest scattered
coverage across most areas east of the divide through early
evening, somewhat favoring areas west of the rio grande. Given the
higher dewpoints further east, and on-going trends, we will keep
scattered coverage in place east of the rio grande this evening as
well.

Heading into tomorrow, the subtropical ridge begins breaking down
into two centers, with a weakness over nm where plenty of recycled
mid-level moisture will remain trapped. Temperatures aloft will
remain more favorable than they have been much of the season
(around -6c at 500 mb... Whereas we've been seeing a lot of -3s
and -4s this year), with moderate instability developing in the
afternoon. There's some hint of a weak surface trough in the
vicinity of the rio grande as well, and with dewpoints remaining
in the lower-50s, expect scattered coverage of thunderstorms again
tomorrow, and a relatively active day. Weak steering flow will
continue, resulting in localized heavy rainfall and highly
localized flooding.

For Thursday, a shortwave trough over the central rockies will
skirt northern new mexico, while down south we'll remain in the
weakness between the subtropical ridge centers with
trapped recycled upper level moisture remaining in place. Areas
east of the rio grande may be favored for thunderstorm coverage
Thursday afternoon evening, as slightly drier air aloft looks to
push into the NW portion of the area.

Thunderstorm activity will slowly diminish Friday and Saturday,
with mostly dry conditions expected by Sunday and Monday as the
upper ridge redevelops to our west, and drier air aloft moves in
from the north. The ridge looks to slowly shift eastwards Monday
into Tuesday, suggesting continued drier conditions and
temperatures warming back up again.

Aviation Valid 21 00z-22 00z...

p6sm few-sct080-100 sct-bkn150-200 through much of the period.

Isolated to scattered vrb25g40kt 1-3sm tsra bkn030-040 possible
through 06z, mainly mountains and lowlands between continental
divide and rio grande. Thunderstorm coverage increases to
isolated scattered lowlands and numerous mountains after 18z. Winds
mainly east to southeast AOB 12kts except near thunderstorms.

Fire weather
Low level moisture has returned to the region with showers and
thunderstorms over area mountains this afternoon with some isolated
to scattered coverage over the lowlands into the evening. Moisture
will become a little deeper Wednesday with increasing storm
coverage, especially over the mountains. The main threat with these
storms the next couple days will be locally heavy rain as storm
motion will be very slow. Temperatures will fall to near normal and
relative humidities rising above 20 percent. An upper high will
start to build back over the area starting Friday and really gets
established for the weekend into early next week. This will bring a
return to very hot and dry conditions with highs over the lowlands
likely back near or above 100 degrees with minimum humidities back
into the teens.

Preliminary point temps pops
El paso 75 97 72 95 20 10 30 20
sierra blanca 69 93 68 92 10 0 20 30
las cruces 71 95 66 94 40 20 50 10
alamogordo 70 96 67 95 20 30 40 30
cloudcroft 56 73 53 73 30 70 50 50
truth or consequences 70 94 67 95 40 40 40 20
silver city 66 88 61 89 30 60 40 20
deming 71 96 66 95 50 20 50 10
lordsburg 72 97 67 95 10 30 40 10
west EL paso metro 76 97 72 96 20 10 40 20
dell city 71 98 71 98 0 0 20 30
fort hancock 75 100 73 99 0 0 20 30
loma linda 71 92 69 90 30 10 30 30
fabens 75 97 72 95 10 0 30 20
santa teresa 73 96 69 95 30 10 40 10
white sands hq 74 96 71 95 40 30 40 20
jornada range 69 95 66 94 40 40 50 10
hatch 70 96 66 96 40 40 50 20
columbus 73 96 69 95 40 10 50 10
orogrande 71 96 68 95 20 10 40 20
mayhill 59 82 57 82 30 60 40 50
mescalero 58 82 56 82 30 60 50 50
timberon 58 81 57 80 20 50 40 50
winston 60 85 56 87 30 70 40 30
hillsboro 67 93 63 93 40 50 40 30
spaceport 68 94 64 94 40 40 50 20
lake roberts 60 88 55 89 20 70 30 20
hurley 65 90 61 91 30 50 40 20
cliff 65 97 60 98 10 50 30 20
mule creek 67 92 63 92 10 50 30 10
faywood 68 90 63 91 40 50 40 20
animas 69 98 66 96 20 30 40 30
hachita 70 97 65 94 30 20 50 10
antelope wells 70 95 66 93 30 30 50 30
cloverdale 68 91 64 88 30 40 40 40

Epz watches warnings advisories
Nm... None.

Tx... None.

25-hardiman 26-grzywacz


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
El Paso, El Paso International Airport, TX4 mi70 minE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy98°F48°F19%1007.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KELP

Wind History from ELP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN8N5NE4S11CalmNE3E6E5CalmCalmE3E4SE4SE4E5Calm3CalmN3S5SE10E10
G18
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1 day agoS7S9W7SW9SW7S6W7SW8SW9SW10W5CalmS8S9SW45E4NE6Calm4CalmN746
2 days agoW9W13W12W11W10W9W7NW7--53S5S3SE7S7SW4SE4S6CalmE3CalmSE5S7SW4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station El Paso, TX
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.