Sunday, July5, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Flemington, GA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:25AMSunset 8:37PM Sunday July 5, 2020 4:13 AM EDT (08:13 UTC) Moonrise 8:21PMMoonset 5:40AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ354 Waters From Savannah Ga To Altamaha Sound Ga Out 20 Nm, Including Grays Reef National Marine Sanctuary- 321 Am Edt Sun Jul 5 2020
Today..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt this afternoon. Seas 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon night..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Showers and tstms likely.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Showers and tstms.
Tue night..SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Showers and tstms.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Showers and tstms.
Wed night..W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Mariners are reminded that winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ300 321 Am Edt Sun Jul 5 2020
Synopsis for the coastal waters of south coastal south carolina and north coastal georgia.. A stationary front will linger south of the area today, before lifting back north tonight into Monday. Low pressure will then bring unsettled weather to the region for much of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Flemington, GA
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location: 31.95, -81.47     debug


Area Discussion for - Charleston, SC
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FXUS62 KCHS 050520 AFDCHS

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston SC 120 AM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020

SYNOPSIS. A stationary front will linger south of the area through the weekend, then lift back northward by early next week. Low pressure will then bring unsettled weather to the region for much of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. radar is starting to depict a few showers starting to develop in the nearby Atlantic just south of the forecast area, and this activity will eventually increase in coverage and start moving onshore of southeast Georgia during the late night and pre-dawn hours with increasing low level convergence and isentropic ascent. We have 20% PoP as a result over Liberty, Long and McIntosh County through 6 am. Skies will range from mostly clear north to partly cloudy central zones, with partly to mostly cloudy conditions south. Areas of stratus along parts of the west-northwest tier closer to daybreak will result in minor reductions in visibility. Min temps will generally be 70-75F, except for a few upper 60s in the Francis Marion National Forest, with a few upper 70s along the immediate coast and in downtown Charleston.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/. All models continue to indicate a more active/unsettled pattern to develop during this period. A broad upper low over the lower MS River valley will slowly move northeastward toward the region through early next week. As this system moves toward the area, it brings higher values of deep layer moisture and instability. This will result in an increasing trend in PoPs.

Sunday will begin the transition toward increasing PoPs, starting from south to north. Have kept chance PoPs mainly over the GA region. Monday and Tuesday, models continue to go likely to categorical PoPs. A little uncomfortable going with likely to categorical PoPs that far out, but models have been consistently trending in that direction for the last several runs. Rainfall totals through Tuesday expected to be 1-2 inches south of the Savannah River, and 1/2-1 inch north of the river.

High temperatures are expected to be near normal on Sunday, then slightly below normal for Monday and Tuesday due to increased cloud cover and PoPs. Lows in the lower to mid 70s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. Low pressure is forecast to linger in the region mid to late week. There are still large discrepancies between models regarding the position and evolution of the low, however the overall pattern favors higher than normal rain chances, especially during the mid- week time frame. High temperatures will average slightly cooler than normal, while lows stay a couple degrees above normal.

AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. KCHS: VFR conditions will prevail through 06Z Monday, with any flight restrictions in light fog to stay inland from the airfield.

KSAV: A stationary front to the south will weaken as it lifts north today and tonight, leading to an increase in clouds, lowering ceilings and at least a chance of SHRA/TSRA. While there could be occasional flight restrictions in light fog during the pre-dawn, and again during the late morning into tonight due to convection, we feel more confident in showing VFR conditions with the 06Z TAF.

Extended Aviation Outlook: Sunday: Mainly VFR conditions expected. Monday through Thursday: Periods of flight restrictions likely, especially during the afternoon/early evening within scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms.

MARINE. Overnight: Weak high pressure over the area will keep a stationary front well to our south. The weak pressure gradient will generate SE through SW winds at or below about 8-12 kt. Seas will be 1-2 ft.

Sunday through Thursday . No highlights expected Sunday through Wednesday with generally southerly winds of 15 knots or less and seas 3 feet or less. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms expected. Models indicate a developing surface low later Wednesday and Thursday, possibly tracking inland/well west of the waters. The track and intensity of this low pressure system will impact how strong the winds will get. Right now, the latest model trends indicate southwesterly winds by Thursday, possibly increasing to the 15 to 20 knots. However, due to uncertainty, the forecast for this period was left unchanged.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. Astronomical influences will maintain higher than normal tide levels into early next week. Minor coastal flooding will be possible around the time of the evening high tides, primarily along the South Carolina coast. In addition, the risk for heavy rain early next week will only add to any tidal flooding.

CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. GA . None. SC . None. MARINE . None.

NEAR TERM . SHORT TERM . LONG TERM . ETM AVIATION . MARINE . TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FPKG1 - 8670870 - Fort Pulaski, GA 31 mi56 min 84°F1014.1 hPa
SAXG1 - Sapelo Island Reserve, GA 38 mi74 min Calm 77°F 1013 hPa (-1.0)75°F
41008 - GRAYS REEF - 40 NM Southeast of Savannah, GA 50 mi84 min SE 7.8 G 9.7 82°F 83°F2 ft1013.3 hPa (-0.6)75°F

Wind History for Fort Pulaski, GA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wright Army Airfield (Fort Stewart)/Midcoast Regional Airport, GA7 mi18 minN 010.00 mi70°F69°F97%1013.1 hPa
Hunter U. S. Army Airfield, GA18 mi18 minN 010.00 miFair74°F71°F92%1013.1 hPa
Savannah-Hilton Head International Airport, GA19 mi21 minN 34.00 miFog/Mist74°F73°F97%1013.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLHW

Wind History from LHW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3E3S3E6E7SE6E8SE7SE9SE7SE5SE4E4SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmN3CalmE4E6E7E8SE7E8E8
G15
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2 days agoSW6W8W6W6W6W8W8W6NW9W4W7NW8W9W4E9S6CalmS3NE9CalmCalmW4CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Highway bridge, Ogeechee River, Georgia
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Highway bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:44 AM EDT     Full Moon
Sun -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:38 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:30 AM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:06 PM EDT     1.03 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:30 PM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.210.80.60.30.1-0-00.20.60.9110.90.70.50.30.1-0-00.20.61

Tide / Current Tables for Belfast, Belfast River, Georgia
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Belfast
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:44 AM EDT     Full Moon
Sun -- 04:15 AM EDT     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:39 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 10:09 AM EDT     7.74 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:15 PM EDT     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:44 PM EDT     9.25 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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7.45.32.90.7-0.4-0.11.33.45.57.17.77.46.24.42.40.5-0.4-0.11.33.55.87.899.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Charleston, SC (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Charleston, SC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.