Marine Weather and Tides
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
|Sunrise 6:07AM||Sunset 6:45PM||Thursday April 2, 2020 9:21 PM MST (04:21 UTC)||Moonrise 12:48PM||Moonset 2:25AM||Illumination 76%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Willcox, AZHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Tucson, AZ  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS65 KTWC 022306 AFDTWC
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tucson AZ 405 PM MST Thu Apr 2 2020
SYNOPSIS. Dry conditions and warm daytime temperatures through Tuesday. A slow moving weather system may bring a few showers as early as Wednesday, although somewhat better rain chances should prevail late next week with cooler temperatures.
DISCUSSION. IR/visible satellite imagery and surface observations depicted clear skies west of Tucson this afternoon. Meanwhile, a few cumuloform clouds were observed from near Tucson eastward to the New Mexico state line, and southward to the International border. These clouds were somewhat unexpected given the 12Z KTWC sounding, and the myriad of 02/12Z models that generally suggested clear skies would prevail today.
At any rate, these clouds along with gusty winds will abate early this evening with the loss of daytime heating. Expect somewhat more clouds Friday versus this afternoon based on the 02/12Z models and similar wind speeds as well. However, no measurable precip will occur. Dry conditions to continue this weekend and likely through Tuesday night under gradually increasing southwest flow aloft.
The focus of attention next Wednesday turns westward toward a deep upper low generally progged to be near the southern California coast, or perhaps centered over southern California. Forecast confidence remains quite low regarding the best timing of measurable rainfall and high elevation snowfall to occur toward the end of this forecast period.
For this forecast issuance and per coordination with neighboring WFO's, there is slight chance of showers Wednesday mainly west to north of Tucson. Have opted for isolated to scattered showers to occur across much of this forecast area by next Thursday. Regarding the potential for thunderstorms, have opted to not include with this forecast package. However, would not be surprised to ultimately see a few thunderstorm either eventually inserted into the forecast, or actually occur. The very low forecast confidence and coordination with neighboring WFO's precludes the mention and depiction at this time, particularly as some solutions suggest dry conditions through Thursday night, and eventual rainfall as late as next Friday night.
Expect seasonably gusty afternoon winds at times during this forecast period. Wind speeds will likely remain below advisory criteria. Forecast high temps through Tuesday will generally remain a few to perhaps several degrees above normal. Some cooling is on tap next Wednesday followed by potentially more noticeable cooling next Thursday.
AVIATION. Valid through 04/00Z. FEW clouds around 12k-15k ft MSL dissipating early this evening then SKC into Friday morning. FEW-SCT clouds around 12k-15k ft MSL especially east to south of KTUS late Friday morning into Friday afternoon. Surface wind swly/wly 10-20 kts with gusts near 30 kts becoming variable in direction under 12 kts late this afternoon and into Friday morning. Surface wind Friday afternoon swly/wly 10-18 kts with gusts of 20-25 kts. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.
FIRE WEATHER. Dry conditions through next Tuesday. A few showers may develop Wednesday mostly west to north of Tucson, then isolated to scattered showers possible across much of the area by next Thursday. A few thunderstorms may eventually occur as well. However, forecast confidence is quite low regarding this potential precipitation event. Expect seasonably gusty afternoon winds at times through the forecast period. Areas of predominately dead grass would be susceptible to high rates of spread during the afternoon peaks of winds and heating. Overnight humidity recoveries will remain reasonable good.
TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.
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|Safford, Safford Municipal Airport, AZ||43 mi||91 min||NW 9||10.00 mi||Fair||68°F||28°F||22%||1007.2 hPa|
Link to 5 minute data for KSAD
Wind History from SAD (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||NW||NW||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||SE||S||E||SE||SW||N||Calm||Calm||W||W||NW|
|2 days ago||N||NW||Calm||NE||E||E||Calm||Calm||SE||E||SE||SE||SE||SE||S||S||S||SW||NW||W||N||W |
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Tucson, AZ (0,6,7,8)(on/off)  Help
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