Friday, April3, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Willcox, AZ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:07AMSunset 6:45PM Thursday April 2, 2020 9:21 PM MST (04:21 UTC) Moonrise 12:48PMMoonset 2:25AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Willcox, AZ
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location: 32.29, -110     debug


Area Discussion for - Tucson, AZ
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FXUS65 KTWC 022306 AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tucson AZ 405 PM MST Thu Apr 2 2020

SYNOPSIS. Dry conditions and warm daytime temperatures through Tuesday. A slow moving weather system may bring a few showers as early as Wednesday, although somewhat better rain chances should prevail late next week with cooler temperatures.

DISCUSSION. IR/visible satellite imagery and surface observations depicted clear skies west of Tucson this afternoon. Meanwhile, a few cumuloform clouds were observed from near Tucson eastward to the New Mexico state line, and southward to the International border. These clouds were somewhat unexpected given the 12Z KTWC sounding, and the myriad of 02/12Z models that generally suggested clear skies would prevail today.

At any rate, these clouds along with gusty winds will abate early this evening with the loss of daytime heating. Expect somewhat more clouds Friday versus this afternoon based on the 02/12Z models and similar wind speeds as well. However, no measurable precip will occur. Dry conditions to continue this weekend and likely through Tuesday night under gradually increasing southwest flow aloft.

The focus of attention next Wednesday turns westward toward a deep upper low generally progged to be near the southern California coast, or perhaps centered over southern California. Forecast confidence remains quite low regarding the best timing of measurable rainfall and high elevation snowfall to occur toward the end of this forecast period.

For this forecast issuance and per coordination with neighboring WFO's, there is slight chance of showers Wednesday mainly west to north of Tucson. Have opted for isolated to scattered showers to occur across much of this forecast area by next Thursday. Regarding the potential for thunderstorms, have opted to not include with this forecast package. However, would not be surprised to ultimately see a few thunderstorm either eventually inserted into the forecast, or actually occur. The very low forecast confidence and coordination with neighboring WFO's precludes the mention and depiction at this time, particularly as some solutions suggest dry conditions through Thursday night, and eventual rainfall as late as next Friday night.

Expect seasonably gusty afternoon winds at times during this forecast period. Wind speeds will likely remain below advisory criteria. Forecast high temps through Tuesday will generally remain a few to perhaps several degrees above normal. Some cooling is on tap next Wednesday followed by potentially more noticeable cooling next Thursday.

AVIATION. Valid through 04/00Z. FEW clouds around 12k-15k ft MSL dissipating early this evening then SKC into Friday morning. FEW-SCT clouds around 12k-15k ft MSL especially east to south of KTUS late Friday morning into Friday afternoon. Surface wind swly/wly 10-20 kts with gusts near 30 kts becoming variable in direction under 12 kts late this afternoon and into Friday morning. Surface wind Friday afternoon swly/wly 10-18 kts with gusts of 20-25 kts. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

FIRE WEATHER. Dry conditions through next Tuesday. A few showers may develop Wednesday mostly west to north of Tucson, then isolated to scattered showers possible across much of the area by next Thursday. A few thunderstorms may eventually occur as well. However, forecast confidence is quite low regarding this potential precipitation event. Expect seasonably gusty afternoon winds at times through the forecast period. Areas of predominately dead grass would be susceptible to high rates of spread during the afternoon peaks of winds and heating. Overnight humidity recoveries will remain reasonable good.

TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.



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Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Safford, Safford Municipal Airport, AZ43 mi91 minNW 910.00 miFair68°F28°F22%1007.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSAD

Wind History from SAD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN8NW9NW9NW10S5E6Calm4CalmS3CalmS5335S436NW25
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1 day agoNW3NW6CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3S6E6SE4SW6N3CalmCalm33W9--W13NW12
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2 days agoN9NW6CalmNE3E3E4CalmCalmSE3E4SE6SE12SE9SE8S84S55S4SW5NW3W3N7W7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tucson, AZ (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tucson, AZ
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.