Shell Point, SC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Shell Point, SC

June 15, 2024 5:44 PM EDT (21:44 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:14 AM   Sunset 8:32 PM
Moonrise 1:42 PM   Moonset 1:05 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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AMZ352 Waters From Edisto Beach Sc To Savannah Ga Out 20 Nm- 318 Pm Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Tonight - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 6 seconds.

Sun - E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms.

Sun night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 4 seconds and se 2 ft at 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms.

Mon - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 foot at 13 seconds. A slight chance of showers and tstms.

Mon night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 6 seconds and se 1 foot at 12 seconds. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.

Tue - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 6 seconds and se 1 foot at 12 seconds. A chance of showers in the morning, then a slight chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.

Tue night - E winds 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.

Wed - E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.

Wed night - E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.

Thu - E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Scattered tstms with a chance of showers.

Thu night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ300 318 Pm Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Synopsis for the coastal waters of south coastal south carolina and north coastal georgia - A weak cold front will linger over the area this weekend before slowly lifting back northward early next week. High pressure will then ridge in from offshore mid to late next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Shell Point, SC
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Area Discussion for - Charleston, SC
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FXUS62 KCHS 152012 AFDCHS

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston SC 412 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

SYNOPSIS
A weak cold front will linger over the area this weekend before slowly lifting back northward early next week. High pressure will then ridge in from offshore mid to late next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/
This Evening: A weak cold front located just to our north will slowly move southward, likely reaching our northern SC counties around sunset. Afternoon radar imagery indicates isolated to scattered convection developing north of our area and moving southward. This matches up fairly well with the CAMs and the HRRR. Though, they have slight differences on the coverage.
Either way, we're expecting isolated to maybe scattered convection through this evening, mainly over our SC counties.
Afternoon surface temperatures are peaking in the upper 90s, except cooler at the beaches. Likewise, SPC Mesoscale Analysis indicates MLCAPEs up to 1,000-1,500 J/kg across our northernmost counties, which is a bit higher than earlier today.
DCAPEs will be around 1,000 J/kg. So while there is a lot of mid-level dry air in place per the model soundings, any stronger storms that manage to develop could generate strong to damaging winds. The convection will gradually decrease into this evening.

Tonight: Mid-level ridging and a broad 592 dam High will gradually build over the Southeast. The cold front will likely be over our northern SC counties later this evening. It's expected to slowly move south, and stall near the SC/GA border by daybreak Sunday. Little to no convection is expected over land areas overnight. Though, there could be some convection across the coastal waters. Lows will generally range from the lower 70s far inland to the mid 70s along the immediate coast.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/
Sunday: Aloft, a strong mid-upper lvl ridge will prevail, remaining centered over the Southeast United States. At the sfc, high pressure centered across New England will slowly build south across the Southeast, nudging a cold front into the region that eventually stalls across the local area. Much of the area should remain rain- free, but sufficient moisture and instability should support few to scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon into early evening, mainly away from the coast. Conditions will remain warm as well, with high temps in the low-mid 90s, warmest inland. Overnight lows will also remain mild, generally in the upper 60s/lower 70s inland to mid-upper 70s near the coast.

Monday and Tuesday: Aloft, the pattern will remain similar with a ridge of high pressure elongated across the Northeast to Southeast United States that results in large scale subsidence locally. At the sfc, a stalled front will become more diffuse and/or lift back north of the area early week before high pressure builds across the region from the Atlantic by Tuesday.
There are some hints of weak coastal troughing developing along the southern periphery of the ridge just off the Southeast Coast, which could result in some showers and/or thunderstorms across coastal areas, mainly south of Beaufort, SC and into southeast Georgia each afternoon/evening. High temps in the upper 80s nearshore to lower 90s inland Monday should trend a degree or two cooler on Tuesday with an onshore flow in place.
Overnight lows will range in the mid-upper 60s well inland to low-mid 70s closer to the coast Monday night.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
Upper ridging shifts north mid-to-late week, with height falls aloft leading to diminishing upper subsidence. At the surface, high pressure migrates off the Northeast coast and toward a more seasonable Bermuda High location. Expect the forecast to trend back toward a more summer-like precip pattern, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms along and inland of the sea breeze and lesser storm activity overnight. Temps remain within a few degrees of normal.

AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
18Z TAFs: Mainly VFR. Isolated convection associated with an approaching cold front could approach KCHS and KJZI this afternoon and evening. However, the probabilities of direct impacts to either TAF site remains too low to include a mention of VCTS for now. Will amend if radar trends show otherwise. Any convection is expected to dissipate later this evening, with the overnight being dry.

Extended Aviation Outlook: Mainly VFR at KCHS/KJZI/KSAV terminals, but there will be low probabilities for brief flight restrictions due to showers and/or thunderstorms impacting the terminals each afternoon/evening. Highest chances for flight restrictions should occur at the KSAV terminal.

MARINE
Tonight: A weak cold front is expected to move south through our waters late, possibly stalling near the SC/GA line around daybreak Sunday. Sustained winds from the S or SE in the evening will veer overnight, becoming E by daybreak Sunday. Seas should average 2-3 ft.

Sunday through Wednesday: The pressure gradient will remain fairly weak through Monday as a front becomes nearly stationary across the area and begins to deteriorate. However, a modest uptick in wind speeds (especially near the coast) and gradually building seas is anticipated early into the middle of next week as the pressure gradient is somewhat enhanced by high pressure extending across the area from the north and perhaps weak coastal troughing occurring along its southern base along the Southeast Coast. During this time, east-northeast winds could gust to 15-20 kt with seas building upwards to 3-5 ft, largest across offshore GA waters. Southeast swell is anticipated to increase during the second half of next week, which could prompt Small Craft Advisories for 6 ft seas.

CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
FPKG1 - 8670870 - Fort Pulaski, GA 18 mi75 minS 5.1G7 90°F 83°F29.98
41033 21 mi97 minS 7.8G9.7 84°F 84°F29.9672°F
41067 21 mi95 min 84°F2 ft
ACXS1 - ACE Basin Reserve, SC 26 mi120 minS 1.9 91°F 29.9569°F


Wind History for Fort Pulaski, GA
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Airport Reports
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Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KHXD
   
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Wind History graph: HXD
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Victoria Bluff, South Carolina
   
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Victoria Bluff
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Sat -- 02:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:17 AM EDT     6.43 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:26 AM EDT     0.84 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:41 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:07 PM EDT     6.77 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:06 PM EDT     1.25 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Victoria Bluff, South Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
2.5
1
am
3.7
2
am
5
3
am
5.9
4
am
6.4
5
am
6.3
6
am
5.5
7
am
4.3
8
am
2.9
9
am
1.6
10
am
0.9
11
am
1
12
pm
1.7
1
pm
2.9
2
pm
4.3
3
pm
5.5
4
pm
6.4
5
pm
6.8
6
pm
6.5
7
pm
5.7
8
pm
4.4
9
pm
2.9
10
pm
1.7
11
pm
1.3


Tide / Current for Savannah River Entrance, Georgia Current
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Savannah River Entrance
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Sat -- 01:05 AM EDT     1.48 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 02:05 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:26 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:04 AM EDT     -1.40 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 10:35 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 01:20 PM EDT     1.72 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 02:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:03 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:38 PM EDT     -1.56 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 11:27 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Savannah River Entrance, Georgia Current, knots
12
am
1.2
1
am
1.5
2
am
1.3
3
am
0.9
4
am
0.4
5
am
-0.5
6
am
-1.2
7
am
-1.4
8
am
-1.3
9
am
-1.1
10
am
-0.5
11
am
0.4
12
pm
1.2
1
pm
1.7
2
pm
1.6
3
pm
1.3
4
pm
0.8
5
pm
0.1
6
pm
-0.8
7
pm
-1.3
8
pm
-1.5
9
pm
-1.5
10
pm
-1.2
11
pm
-0.5


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southeast   
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Charleston, SC,




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