Saturday, January25, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Flowing Wells, AZ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:20AMSunset 5:51PM Saturday January 25, 2020 8:27 AM MST (15:27 UTC) Moonrise 8:06AMMoonset 6:44PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Flowing Wells, AZ
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location: 32.3, -110.95     debug


Area Discussion for - Tucson, AZ
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FXUS65 KTWC 250958 AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tucson AZ 258 AM MST Sat Jan 25 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will bring warmer and dry conditions through the weekend. A pair of weather systems will push temperatures back down to average for late January most of next week, along with a few showers mainly near the mountains Monday and Wednesday.

DISCUSSION. Boundary layer moisture from the last system continues to stubbornly hang on, so patchy fog still not completely out of the question this morning. Latest mesoscale models show room for surface dew points to mix much lower this afternoon with less recovery in the evening.

A ridge building in from the west over the next 36 hours will dominate the weekend weather, bringing above average temperatures and drying. The ridge axis should be overhead Sunday morning.

The storm track will generally remain north of our area most of the coming week, but a couple of glancing blows will bring some cooling and a few showers mainly near the mountains. The first trough will push through the state Monday before a little cyclogenesis spins it up immediately downstream of us through eastern New Mexico and northern Texas. That may be a hint for the second system, but as for us, a few light showers near the eastern mountains along with 4 or 5 degrees of cooling and locally breezy conditions should cover it.

A shortwave ridge Tuesday in between systems, then a stronger system drops down through the Great Basin Wednesday and Thursday. It's a relatively dry trajectory, however ensembles have been dropping it in further west. With such an amplified ridge developing in the eastern Pacific, there could be enough room on the eastern flank to drop in right on top of us. This should be cooler and wetter than the first system, but still a little on the moisture starved side considering the inland trajectory and insufficient time to tap into any subtropical moisture. A better chance of showers, but still mainly near the mountains with QPF values below 1/10 of an inch for now. Still some room to boost that a little though.

The strong eastern Pacific ridge should dominate the rest of next week, with some suggestion of an unseasonably low latitude Rex block possible.

AVIATION. Valid through 26/12Z. SKC-SCT clouds around 25k ft MSL. Surface wind variable in direction under 12 kts except Saturday afternoon where winds are nwly. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

FIRE WEATHER. Dry conditions. Expect isolated showers mainly across the White Mountains late Sunday night and Monday, and isolated showers east of Tucson Wednesday into Thursday. 20-foot winds will be terrain driven and mostly under 15 mph during much of the next 7 days. The exception is Monday when some gusty northwest afternoon winds are expected.

TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

Public . Meyer Aviation . Pawlak Fire Weather . Pawlak

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Davis-Monthan Air Force Base, AZ9 mi90 minESE 410.00 miFair44°F39°F84%1016.5 hPa
Tucson, Tucson International Airport, AZ12 mi35 minN 010.00 miFair44°F39°F83%1017.4 hPa
Tucson Ryan Field Airport, AZ16 mi43 minN 010.00 miFair43°F39°F87%1019 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDMA

Wind History from DMA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE13S6NE5E6CalmW3W4NW11W11W7W6W4SW4SE4SE5E5E4E3SE6E4E5SE5E4Calm
1 day agoCalmSE4E3CalmNW3W8W8NW6W9W9W6W3CalmSE4SE7SE5SE6SE6E6SE4S4SE6CalmSE5
2 days agoW6W3W4W7W8W7SW6W5W7W5W4CalmCalmCalmS4SE3SE4E3E6E3CalmSE3SE5SE4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tucson, AZ (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tucson, AZ
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.