Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for East Mountain, TX
April 21, 2025 6:15 AM CDT (11:15 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:40 AM Sunset 7:54 PM Moonrise 1:57 AM Moonset 12:15 PM |
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near East Mountain, TX
NEW! Add second zone forecast
FXUS64 KSHV 210723 AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 223 AM CDT Mon Apr 21 2025
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday)
Issued at 1255 AM CDT Mon Apr 21 2025
Weak cold front as of 06z appears to be near a Nacogdoches, to Shreveport to near El Dorado line with this feature expected to continue a very slow southeastward movement through the morning before stalling near or across our far southeast parishes this afternoon. Scattered precipitation will continue in advance and just behind this boundary today but any severe and/or flooding theat is not expected as any worthwhile upper forcing has long since left our region with our upper trough having moved into the Middle and Upper Miss Valley. There is however some weak PVA paralleling this boundary given that we continue to be in southwest flow aloft and therefore given the moisture in place along with the remnant frontal boundary, scattered convection is a pretty good bet today across our southeast half. Temperatures today will range from the upper 70s to the lower and perhaps middle 80s depending on if you see any precipitation or not with the greatest variability likely across our southeast half.
For tonight, we may see the sfc boundary return back northward, perhaps as far north as the I-20 Corridor and there will be the possibility of some isentropic type showers near and to the south of this returning boundary overnight. Also added patchy fog near and south of the boundary as well during the predawn and post dawn hours Tuesday Morning. Quite the spread in overnight temperatures tonight with lows near 50 across our far northwest zones with partly cloudy skies to the middle 60s across our far southeast zones in the warmer, more muggy atmosphere in the wake of the northward returning boundary.
The above mentioned boundary moves north of our entire region during the day Tuesday and have thus increased pops to chance categories near and especially south of the I-20 Corridor as this appears to be where the best instability will reside to coincide with weak forcing aloft. A little warmer on Tuesday with highs ranging mostly in the lower to middle 80s.
13
LONG TERM
(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 1255 AM CDT Mon Apr 21 2025
Ridging across the Bahamas will remain in place through much of the work week as will broad troughing across the southwest Great Basin. This will result in WSW flow aloft across the Southern Plains and Lower Miss Valley. This set up along with plentiful returning low level moisture will set the stage for periods of showers and thunderstorms through much of extended periods.
Embedded disturbances in this upstream flow will provide the necessary forcing but the forcing does not appear to be excessive enough for the generation of widespread severe thunderstorms with any of these disturbances this week. Depending on where pockets of more moderate instability can develop, cannot rule out an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm this week by any means however. The wetter days so to speak appear to be during the day Wednesday in advance of the first upstream perturbation moving our way, followed by another late Thursday Night into Friday. There could be yet another weak disturbance embedded in this flow for the upcoming weekend as well.
Obviously with these disturbances moving our way this week into the upcoming weekend, we will begin to pay close attention to the possibility of flooding. Deterministic progs have backed off somewhat in storm total precip accums in the Wed-Sat timeframe across our region but we will continue to monitor the possibility for at the very least, additional rises on area waterways as we progress through the work week and into the weekend.
13
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 AM CDT Mon Apr 21 2025
A frontal boundary is continuing to move through the Ark-La-Tx this morning. The line of showers and storms associated with the boundary will continue be possible in the vicinity of KLFK and KELD over the next 6 hours. KMLU will likely begin seeing storms soon, with the line reaching the terminal around 21/08z. Low ceilings may persist for these sites overnight, while other sites return to VFR with light and variable winds. KLFK, KELD, and KMLU also should have improving conditions through the remainder of tonight into tomorrow. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1255 AM CDT Mon Apr 21 2025
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 83 63 85 68 / 20 10 30 20 MLU 79 64 84 66 / 50 20 40 20 DEQ 80 52 83 59 / 0 0 10 20 TXK 81 57 86 65 / 0 0 20 20 ELD 81 56 84 61 / 20 0 30 20 TYR 82 61 85 67 / 0 0 20 30 GGG 82 59 85 65 / 0 10 20 20 LFK 81 64 86 66 / 30 20 50 20
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 223 AM CDT Mon Apr 21 2025
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday)
Issued at 1255 AM CDT Mon Apr 21 2025
Weak cold front as of 06z appears to be near a Nacogdoches, to Shreveport to near El Dorado line with this feature expected to continue a very slow southeastward movement through the morning before stalling near or across our far southeast parishes this afternoon. Scattered precipitation will continue in advance and just behind this boundary today but any severe and/or flooding theat is not expected as any worthwhile upper forcing has long since left our region with our upper trough having moved into the Middle and Upper Miss Valley. There is however some weak PVA paralleling this boundary given that we continue to be in southwest flow aloft and therefore given the moisture in place along with the remnant frontal boundary, scattered convection is a pretty good bet today across our southeast half. Temperatures today will range from the upper 70s to the lower and perhaps middle 80s depending on if you see any precipitation or not with the greatest variability likely across our southeast half.
For tonight, we may see the sfc boundary return back northward, perhaps as far north as the I-20 Corridor and there will be the possibility of some isentropic type showers near and to the south of this returning boundary overnight. Also added patchy fog near and south of the boundary as well during the predawn and post dawn hours Tuesday Morning. Quite the spread in overnight temperatures tonight with lows near 50 across our far northwest zones with partly cloudy skies to the middle 60s across our far southeast zones in the warmer, more muggy atmosphere in the wake of the northward returning boundary.
The above mentioned boundary moves north of our entire region during the day Tuesday and have thus increased pops to chance categories near and especially south of the I-20 Corridor as this appears to be where the best instability will reside to coincide with weak forcing aloft. A little warmer on Tuesday with highs ranging mostly in the lower to middle 80s.
13
LONG TERM
(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 1255 AM CDT Mon Apr 21 2025
Ridging across the Bahamas will remain in place through much of the work week as will broad troughing across the southwest Great Basin. This will result in WSW flow aloft across the Southern Plains and Lower Miss Valley. This set up along with plentiful returning low level moisture will set the stage for periods of showers and thunderstorms through much of extended periods.
Embedded disturbances in this upstream flow will provide the necessary forcing but the forcing does not appear to be excessive enough for the generation of widespread severe thunderstorms with any of these disturbances this week. Depending on where pockets of more moderate instability can develop, cannot rule out an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm this week by any means however. The wetter days so to speak appear to be during the day Wednesday in advance of the first upstream perturbation moving our way, followed by another late Thursday Night into Friday. There could be yet another weak disturbance embedded in this flow for the upcoming weekend as well.
Obviously with these disturbances moving our way this week into the upcoming weekend, we will begin to pay close attention to the possibility of flooding. Deterministic progs have backed off somewhat in storm total precip accums in the Wed-Sat timeframe across our region but we will continue to monitor the possibility for at the very least, additional rises on area waterways as we progress through the work week and into the weekend.
13
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 AM CDT Mon Apr 21 2025
A frontal boundary is continuing to move through the Ark-La-Tx this morning. The line of showers and storms associated with the boundary will continue be possible in the vicinity of KLFK and KELD over the next 6 hours. KMLU will likely begin seeing storms soon, with the line reaching the terminal around 21/08z. Low ceilings may persist for these sites overnight, while other sites return to VFR with light and variable winds. KLFK, KELD, and KMLU also should have improving conditions through the remainder of tonight into tomorrow. /57/
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1255 AM CDT Mon Apr 21 2025
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 83 63 85 68 / 20 10 30 20 MLU 79 64 84 66 / 50 20 40 20 DEQ 80 52 83 59 / 0 0 10 20 TXK 81 57 86 65 / 0 0 20 20 ELD 81 56 84 61 / 20 0 30 20 TYR 82 61 85 67 / 0 0 20 30 GGG 82 59 85 65 / 0 10 20 20 LFK 81 64 86 66 / 30 20 50 20
SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KJXI
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KJXI
Wind History Graph: JXI
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of southern planes -- texas
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Shreveport, LA,
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