East Mountain, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for East Mountain, TX

June 13, 2024 5:30 AM CDT (10:30 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:09 AM   Sunset 8:28 PM
Moonrise 11:52 AM   Moonset 12:13 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near East Mountain, TX
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Area Discussion for - Shreveport, LA
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FXUS64 KSHV 130833 AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 333 AM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM

SHORT TERM
(Thursday through Friday Night)
Issued at 333 AM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Hot and dry conditions will be the rule through the short term period, as a deeper wedge of drier air has mixed S in wake of the upper trough passage as it traverses the Middle TX/S LA coasts this morning. The early morning sfc analysis still maintains sfc ridging from the Virginias SW through the TN Valley into NE TX, with drier/more comfortable dewpoints evident in the sfc obs across much of the region. It isn't until you move into the SW sections of Deep E TX into Acadiana where sfc theta-e's increase, with the morning satellite imagery depicting an area of cu development ongoing attm across Deep E TX just SSW of LFK where moisture convergence has increased in an area of moisture pooling along the NW to SE oriented H850 trough evident from ECntrl TX into Cntrl LA. The short term progs suggest that much drier air will begin mixing SW today as this weak trough axis settled farther S into SE TX/S LA, with a mostly sunny sky expected over much of the region.

The morning water vapor imagery also indicates upper ridging that has been amplifying N into the Four Corners Region from Nrn Old MX, and remains progged to begin expanding E into the Srn Plains today ahead of the closed low off the Srn CA coast, as it moves inland this afternoon and into the Desert SW tonight. Increasing subsidence and strong insolation will result in a warming trend commencing today across the region, with readings climbing to or above normal into the lower 90s. Another comfortable night is expected tonight as radiational cooling is again maximized beneath the sfc ridging in place, before the ridge aloft slides farther E into the Ozarks and into much of the region. Thus, an uptick in afternoon temps is expected Friday into the coming weekend, with overnight temps also moderating through the period as well despite the sfc ridging in place.

15

LONG TERM
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 333 AM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

The heat should be maximized for the upcoming weekend, as the upper ridge axis slides E into the Mid-South/Lower MS Valley Saturday, and into the TN Valley/SE CONUS Sunday. In fact, max temps will near the triple digit mark this weekend over portions of N LA/Srn AR, even as a weak SSErly low level flow resumes on the backside of the upper ridge and retreating sfc high. The increased heat and sfc theta-e will result in heat indices ranging from 100-105 degrees this weekend, before a slight pattern change begins to start the new work week.

The medium range progs are in surprisingly good agreement slowing down the surge of tropical moisture surging inland across the SE TX/S LA coasts, along and NW of an inverted trough aloft/tropical wave that will drift NNW into the Nrn Gulf. Thus, the increase in seabreeze convection Sunday afternoon will largely remain confined across SE TX/S LA, with convection farther N across the Srn zones more isolated to widely scattered resulting in a lowering of pops to mainly slight chance for these areas. While this convection should diminish by/shortly after sunset Sunday evening, a broader weakness aloft along this inverted trough on the backside of the ridge will focus more in the way of scattered convection areawide Monday, although variabilities increase amongst the ECMWF/GFS with the GFS much drier this morning than compared to recent runs.
Still not confident enough to go with the NBM likely pops for Deep E TX/Cntrl LA, and thus maintained pops in the chance category until better agreement and consistency can be obtained.

The remainder of the long term period looks to remain unsettled, despite the spread amongst the various progs in the overall synoptic pattern for much of next week. There is some agreement with the ensembles in maintaining the inverted trough aloft over SE TX into N LA/Lower MS Valley Tuesday and Wednesday, which would help focus isolated to scattered mainly diurnal convection over the region, with the more scattered convection primarily associated with the SErly seabreeze. Did maintain chance pops along/S of the I-20 corridor of E TX/N LA through midweek, with some hint in reduced pops by late week as the upper ridge becomes re-established over the Srn Plains and Lower MS Valley. The increased cloud cover and resultant convection will also taper back max temps for much of next week as well, but will still remain near if not slightly above normal through the period.

15

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1249 AM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

For the 13/06Z TAFs, VFR conditions look to continue throughout the course of this forecast period. Aside from a few high clouds, mostly clear skies will prevail. Winds will become light overnight and remain variable in direction, achieving maximum sustained speeds of no more than 5 to 10 kts during the daytime hours.

/26/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
SHV 93 68 96 72 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 90 65 94 70 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 91 65 94 68 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 92 67 95 70 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 91 64 95 68 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 93 69 94 71 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 93 67 95 70 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 92 68 96 71 / 0 0 0 0

SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KJXI FOX STEPHENS FIELD GILMER MUNI,TX 12 sm15 mincalm10 smClear64°F63°F94%29.95
KGGG EAST TEXAS RGNL,TX 14 sm37 mincalm10 smClear66°F64°F94%29.93


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GEOS Local Image of southern planes -- texas   
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Shreveport, LA,




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