Friday, August23, 2019

Marine Weather and Tides
Billingsley, AL

Version 3.4
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at Allen

Sunrise 6:13AMSunset 7:23PM Friday August 23, 2019 8:36 AM CDT (13:36 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 1:27PM Illumination 45% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Billingsley, AL
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location: 32.63, -86.71     debug

Area Discussion for - Birmingham, AL
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Fxus64 kbmx 231125
area forecast discussion
national weather service birmingham al
625 am cdt Fri aug 23 2019

For 12z aviation.

Short term
Updated at 0324 am cdt Fri aug 23 2019
today and tonight.

Warm southerly flow continues today and tonight across central al,
keeping moisture on the higher side. An elongated trough is sliding
through the northeast, but this doesn't make much of a southward
push due to the bermuda high, so the main frontal boundary remains
well to our north. The upper level flow remains generally weak over
our area, so we won't have the lifting mechanisms necessary for
widespread thunderstorm activity. However, pwats are expected to be
in the 90th percentile, which means we'll have more than enough
moisture to support the development of thunderstorms today. High
resolution guidance suggests scattered to numerous pop-up showers
and thunderstorms during in the late morning and afternoon hours.

Exact coverage will likely depend on mesoscale boundary
interactions. High temperatures today will be similar as yesterday,
reaching to low 90s for most locations with heat indices nearing
100. Rain and thunderstorms diminish this evening and become more
isolated after midnight.

25 owen

Long term
Updated at 0324 am cdt Fri aug 23 2019
Saturday through Thursday.

A wet and rainy weekend looks to be in order across the forecast
area as the trough continues moving across the far eastern conus
with a ridge and drier airmass building in upstream over the great
lakes region. The east to west oriented surface front will meander
across the tennessee valley and inch its way into northern alabama
on Saturday. This will support numerous to likely showers and
thunderstorms among a moist airmass with highs in the upper 80s to
near 90f across the forecast area both days. Best rain coverage will
be during the afternoon but with some rain lingering after dark as
well. Two separate developments, combined with southerly flow
around the bermuda high, will help usher this boundary back to
the northeast before it has a chance to make it south of the
forecast area. The first being a low off the eastern coast of
florida, which bears watching over the next few days for tropical
development, although this feature will stay well east of the
forecast area thanks to southwesterly steering winds aloft
associated with the second and more influential feature. A
shortwave trough embedded within a larger trough will deepen over
the central and midwest CONUS extending south into the gulf of
mexico Sunday into Monday as southwesterly winds become more
prevalent over the forecast area. As the shortwave moves across
the southeast, rain chances are progged to remain elevated heading
into early next week with highs lowering into the upper 80s for
most of central alabama on Monday and potentially Tuesday as well.

We could see a touch of dry mid-level air move in behind the trough
in our western counties on Tuesday which may limit overall rain
chances west of i-65, but would expect high moisture content to
remain below 500mb for continued support of 50 to 60 percent pops. A
cold front is expected to pass on Wednesday and Thursday as the
large-scale trough and low height center continues to rotate slowly
eastward over ontario and hudson bay. Should see a north to south
surge of drier air behind the front towards the end of this extended
forecast with rain chances finally trending downwards due to the
drier low and mid-level airmass. Increased sunshine and lower rain
chances will allow highs to rise back into the low 90s, although
humidity values will be much lower.


12z TAF discussion.

Looks like the low clouds remained to north and across the far
south. Really only toi is being impacted with lifr cigs. We will
see scattered showers and storms across the area late this
afternoon into tonight. Low clouds and fog may develop overnight
but will add these in with the next set.


Fire weather
Scattered thunderstorms expected again today with min rhs in the
50s. Kbdi values remain high given the ongoing drought, and heat
indices will be near 100 degrees by the afternoon. Rain chances
increase as we go into the weekend, and rhs remain elevated through
early next week.

Preliminary point temps pops
Gadsden 91 70 89 69 86 60 50 70 50 70
anniston 90 71 89 70 86 60 50 70 50 80
birmingham 92 72 90 72 88 60 50 70 50 80
tuscaloosa 92 72 90 72 89 60 50 70 40 80
calera 91 70 90 70 88 60 40 70 50 80
auburn 90 72 90 71 86 40 40 70 50 80
montgomery 93 73 91 73 91 40 40 70 50 70
troy 91 72 91 71 89 30 20 60 50 70

Bmx watches warnings advisories

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Maxwell Air Force Base / Montgomery, AL24 mi41 minSE 310.00 miA Few Clouds79°F75°F89%1017.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMXF

Wind History from MXF (wind in knots)
Last 24hrCalmCalmSE3S4N5S3SW8
1 day ago--CalmW4S5S6NW4--SW76S3S9S5S4W3--------S3------Calm--
2 days agoCalmCalmS5S5----S9SW4--S13

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Birmingham, AL (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station East Alabama
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.