Saturday, April4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Richland Hills, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 7:52PM Saturday April 4, 2020 10:21 PM CDT (03:21 UTC) Moonrise 3:08PMMoonset 4:10AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Richland Hills, TX
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location: 32.77, -97.2     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 042316 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 616 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2020

SHORT TERM. /NEW/ /Through Sunday/

A shallow cool airmass remains in place with a surface front draped along the Texas Coast. Light north winds will veer to the east overnight as the post-frontal surface ridge shifts to our east. The resulting (albeit weak) warm air advection will keep temperatures steady in the 40s overnight. Moisture trapped beneath the temperature inversion will keep the overcast conditions in place, with weak upglide likely leading to the development of drizzle and fog during the overnight hours. Otherwise, a few light rain showers will remain possible overnight, with the exiting shortwave bringing an end to the potential for thunder. The surface boundary will retreat north as a warm front Sunday afternoon, bringing a return to more seasonable temperatures by Sunday night.

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LONG TERM. /Issued 409 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2020/ /Sunday Night through Next Week/

An active pattern will continue through much of the next week as the area resides under an active southern branch of the jet stream. Sunday night will begin with a few lingering showers across parts of Central Texas, however much of this activity will be isolated and very light. The night should start on the cool side, but temperatures should remain somewhat steady through the night as top-down erosion of the shallow, cold airmass continues. By Monday afternoon, the cool airmass will have modified enough to bring temperatures near/slightly above climatology. Extensive cloudiness should continue Monday with scattered showers developing as weak mid level impulses under the active jet stream move across the region.

Taking a step back . the big-picture pattern will leave the area under induced ridging due to a deepening trough over both the Western and Eastern CONUS in the early parts of the week. This ridging over the Southern Plains will reach its apex on Monday, with a gradual flattening of the ridge through the middle parts of the week as the mid level flow becomes increasingly zonal. This increased westerly flow aloft will help to develop a dryline over West Texas that should flirt with entering the western fringes of the forecast area Tuesday afternoon. Ahead of this dryline, a very warm and very humid airmass will reside with temperatures 10-15 degrees above normal with dew points in the 60-70 degree range west of I-35. Surface CAPE values are forecast to be around 750-1500 J/Kg across East Texas Tuesday with effective shear values in the 35-45 kt range. These factors support a conditional threat of a few strong to marginally severe storms east of I-35 Tuesday afternoon The two limiting factors. veered low level flow with little to no confluence and meager mid level lapse rates. If any storms happen to develop, they will likely be warm advective and may struggle to get going/organized. We will have to closely monitor for any areas of lift moving into the region as that could be a focus for convective development.

Meanwhile, the previously mentioned trough over the Western CONUS will finally be making its way into the region late this week. It will have cut off over the Great Basin earlier in the week and slowly continue east until the southern branch of the jet stream starts to pull the trough northeastward. How this happens is still largely up in the air at this point, but some things are coming into focus. The first big-picture feature that is becoming clear is a cold front driving down the Central Plains and Midwest on Wednesday. This is expected to encroach on the forecast area Wednesday night and stall over Oklahoma out as the mid-level baroclinic zone supporting the front remains detached well to the north. At the same time, the western CONUS trough will be approaching from the west. Whether or not the associated cold pocket with the western trough attaches to the aforementioned baroclinic zone is yet to be seen as varying deterministic guidances have varying solutions. What is clear is that once this piece of energy moves over the stalled frontal boundary, rapid cyclogenesis is expected along with the development of widespread showers and thunderstorms. The thermodynamic profiles are still TBD, so we can't rule out the severe potential, however, as it stands today the threat of severe weather looks low at this time.

Once the newly developed low and attendant cold front move through, expect another sharp drop in temperatures and increased post-frontal rain chances to close out the work week.

Bonnette

AVIATION. /NEW/ /00Z TAFs/

Precipitation has all but exited to the east, but will keep VCSH in the forecast for tonight to account for lingering light showers. Otherwise, the primary issue will be shallow moisture and the likelihood of IFR continuing through Sunday morning. In addition to low cigs, patchy drizzle and fog may also produce some visibility reductions early Sunday morning. Winds will increase out of the southeast and conditions will improve Sunday afternoon as a warm front lifts north across the area.

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PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Dallas-Ft. Worth 46 67 59 76 65 / 20 20 10 40 20 Waco 49 65 59 76 65 / 20 30 20 50 30 Paris 47 65 58 73 63 / 20 20 10 40 40 Denton 45 66 58 75 64 / 20 20 10 40 20 McKinney 45 66 59 75 64 / 20 20 10 40 30 Dallas 47 68 59 76 67 / 20 20 20 40 30 Terrell 47 67 59 76 65 / 20 20 20 50 40 Corsicana 48 67 60 76 67 / 20 30 20 60 40 Temple 48 65 59 76 65 / 30 30 20 50 30 Mineral Wells 46 65 58 75 63 / 20 20 20 50 20

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

30/22


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Worth, Meacham International Airport, TX9 mi29 minN 05.00 miFog/Mist44°F44°F100%1018 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, TX9 mi29 minNW 45.00 miOvercast with Haze49°F44°F83%1017.8 hPa
Grand Prairie, Grand Prairie Municipal Airport, TX9 mi27 minN 05.00 miOvercast46°F46°F100%1018.6 hPa
Fort Worth, Naval Air Station, TX11 mi30 minE 410.00 miOvercast47°F44°F90%1016.6 hPa
Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, TX13 mi29 minN 510.00 miOvercast47°F45°F93%1017.5 hPa
Fort Worth Spinks Airport, TX15 mi27 minN 03.00 miOvercast45°F44°F96%1018.6 hPa
Fort Worth, Fort Worth Alliance Airport, TX16 mi29 minENE 47.00 miOvercast46°F44°F93%1018.3 hPa
Dallas, Redbird Airport, TX18 mi29 minN 510.00 miOvercast48°F43°F83%1017.6 hPa
Dallas Love Field, TX20 mi29 minNNE 410.00 miOvercast48°F44°F86%1018.1 hPa
Dallas / Addison Airport, TX24 mi35 minN 48.00 miOvercast48°F44°F87%1018.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGKY

Wind History from GKY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW10NW8NW8NW9NW9NW11NW14NW8NW9NW6N9NW9NW7NW8NW13
G18
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1 day agoSE10SE12SE13
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SE11SE9SE11SE10SE11CalmSE6SE9SE7NW18
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2 days agoSE8--SE6SE13SE12SE12
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SE12SE12SE11----SE8SE9

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.