Wednesday, March3, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
McLendon-Chisholm, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 6:25PM Wednesday March 3, 2021 5:10 PM CST (23:10 UTC) Moonrise 11:31PMMoonset 9:45AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near McLendon-Chisholm, TX
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location: 32.81, -96.4     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 032209 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 409 PM CST Wed Mar 3 2021

. New Long Term .

SHORT TERM. /Issued 1126 AM CST Wed Mar 3 2021/ /Through Thursday/

Sunny and dry weather will continue through at least the next 24 hours. A surface high centered over the Lower Mississippi River Valley will continue to push off to the east while lee-side troughing develops across the High Plains. The result of this will be increasing southerly flow, with winds picking up on Thursday as pressure falls strengthen. Warm air advection and abundant sunshine will allow temperatures to rise into the 70s both this afternoon and again on Friday. The main weather concern for the rest of today will be the fire threat near and west of Interstate 35. Dormant vegetation across the region will provide plenty of fuel, while relative humidity values fall to below 30 percent. Overnight, relative humidity should recover to around 90 percent as temperatures cool into the 40s. The fire threat will be less on Thursday as humidity increases, though with the abundant dry fuels and gusty south winds, caution should continue to be exercised. Look for increasing high cloud cover on Friday afternoon as mid- level moisture increases ahead of an approaching upper-level storm system.

Godwin

LONG TERM. /NEW/ /Through This Weekend and Early Next Week/

A vigorous mid level low currently over Southern California will continue east and move east over the Central and Southern High Plains Thursday night, then open up and weaken as it drops southeast toward the Lower Mississippi Valley Friday evening. In advance of this system, strong southerly winds and increasing moisture/stratus east of I-35 Thursday night will help keep most areas up in the lower 50s, though some rural areas of East Texas and the Red River Valley may briefly drop into the upper 40s. The associated surface low will drop southeast across North & Central Texas on Friday, which will eventually shift occasionally gusty south/southeast winds, to briefly westerly across areas west of I-35 through midday, before going north or northwesterly behind a cold front. The downsloping/veered flow along/south of I-20 will lend to the warmest high temperatures from the mid 60s-lower 70s while areas along the Red River and in our northeast zones will be hard pressed to exceed 55-60 degrees. This will be due to more clouds, east-northeast winds to the northeast of the surface low.

These same areas north and east of the surface low and associated dryline moving through in advance of the late day cold front will also likely see the best moisture flux drawn northward from the GOM. Surface convergence along and ahead of the surface dryline will combine with impressive lift from the nearby, left-exit region of a 130-150 kt upper jet to provide isolated to scattered showers with either high-based or possibly elevated tstorms across the Red River Valley southeast into East Texas. Most of the better instability will be contained aloft with lapse rates between 7-8 deg C/km, however, a brief window for SBCAPE up to 500-700 J/KG may develop in advance of the surface dryline across mainly eastern Central Texas in the afternoon. With deep layer shear between 50-60 knots, we can't rule out a few strong storms across East Texas during the afternoon hours. The main threats would be mostly sub-severe hail, though we can't rule out a few storms with gusty winds across eastern Central Texas.

The surface low will exit southeast out of the CWA Friday evening with the cold front sweeping through. Lows Saturday morning will range from 40-45 degrees across the northwest to 45-50 degrees across Central Texas. Despite skies clearing from NE-SW with the departure of our mid level shortwave by afternoon, gusty northeast winds 10-15 mph and continued low level CAA will keep highs down into the lower-mid 60s for the area.

We begin to transition back to gusty south-southeast winds and warmer temperatures Sunday into early next week, as strong zonal flow aloft helps to intensify surface troughing along the Southern Rockies Lee. Temperatures pushing 70 degrees on Sunday will warm well into the 70s Monday and Tuesday, with even readings into the lower 80s a few areas by mid week in advance of our next mid level system. This will be a windy period as well as a strong southerly pressure gradient and mixing of strong 925mb-850mb winds combine for gusty south-southwest winds. The warm and windy conditions will combine with continued worsening drought conditions across some of the area and very dry grasses and small vegetation for an elevated wildfire risk just about every afternoon.

In addition to the increasing grass fire risk Sunday through next Tuesday, elevated fire weather conditions will likely occur Thursday and Friday of this week as well. We will be monitoring these issues daily and encourage everyone to be careful outdoors with campfires, any burning of trash, wood, or leaves, and of course grilling, cigarette butts, and sparks from welding and vehicle exhaust systems.

05/

AVIATION. /Issued 1126 AM CST Wed Mar 3 2021/ /18Z TAFs/

VFR and south flow will continue through the TAF period. Winds today will be around 10 KT, diminishing to 5-10 KT overnight. Winds will pick up on Thursday afternoon to 15-20 KT with a few gusts to around 25 KT possible. Cloud cover will increase from SW to NE late Thursday FL200-300.

Godwin

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Dallas-Ft. Worth 44 73 52 66 46 / 0 0 5 10 0 Waco 43 73 51 72 46 / 0 0 5 5 0 Paris 39 69 49 56 42 / 0 0 40 40 0 Denton 42 73 50 63 43 / 0 0 10 10 0 McKinney 41 72 50 63 44 / 0 0 10 20 0 Dallas 46 73 53 67 48 / 0 0 10 10 0 Terrell 40 72 50 62 45 / 0 0 10 20 0 Corsicana 43 72 51 67 47 / 0 0 10 10 0 Temple 42 74 51 71 47 / 0 0 5 5 0 Mineral Wells 43 75 50 64 43 / 0 0 5 5 0

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mesquite, Mesquite Metro Airport, TX8 mi21 minSE 610.00 miFair66°F36°F32%1019 hPa
Terrell, Terrell Municipal Airport, TX10 mi18 minSSE 710.00 miFair65°F37°F36%1019.2 hPa
Lancaster Airport, TX23 mi16 minSSE 610.00 miFair66°F37°F35%1019.3 hPa
Dallas Love Field, TX24 mi18 minSE 810.00 miA Few Clouds69°F35°F29%1018.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHQZ

Wind History from HQZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmE3CalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmSE3SE4CalmS3S3S3S5S7S6S10S10S10S4S4SE6SE6
1 day agoNE6E8CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3E3CalmN3NW5N5N3CalmCalmNW10N7CalmCalmNE3
2 days agoN9NW10N11
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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