Sunday, January26, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
McLendon-Chisholm, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:22AMSunset 5:52PM Sunday January 26, 2020 4:53 AM CST (10:53 UTC) Moonrise 8:45AMMoonset 7:40PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near McLendon-Chisholm, TX
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location: 32.81, -96.4     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 260855 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 255 AM CST Sun Jan 26 2020

SHORT TERM. /Issued 1154 PM CST Sat Jan 25 2020/ /Through Sunday night/

Scattered showers associated with passing shortwave energy will continue to move across the eastern and southeastern zones through the overnight hours. There should be enough instability to support a few rumbles of thunder as well. All precipitation will exit the region before midday Sunday with increasing subsidence behind the departing system.

Surface low pressure centered near Wichita Falls will continue to draw low level moisture and low clouds northward through the morning hours. Clouds will clear from west to east through the day as the surface low and a weak cold front slides east across the region.

Weak cold air advection will be offset by decreasing clouds, allowing afternoon highs to warm into the 60s and lower 70s. Although it will be clear and calm tonight, temperatures will still be on the mild side for late January (low 40s) due to a thin layer of moisture remaining near the surface. These conditions will be conducive to fog formation toward sunrise Monday. 79

LONG TERM. /NEW/ /Monday Onward/

The last week of January will begin with above-normal temperatures before a pair of cold fronts, associated with two upper level systems, brings rain/storm chances and the return of near-normal temperatures across North and Central Texas.

Conditions look favorable for the development of fog early Monday morning, generally along and east of the I-35 corridor. Some areas may see reduced visibilities due to denser fog, but for now will keep a mention of patchy/areas of fog in the forecast. The fog should clear by mid-morning, and the main weather highlight on Monday will be well above-normal temperatures across the region. High temperatures will range from the mid 60s along the Red River to mid 70s across the southwest, roughly 10 degrees above normal for late January. A strengthening upper level trough and surface low will translate eastward through the day, resulting in an uptick in southerly wind speeds (10-15 mph) and low-level moisture content.

Rain/storm chances increase from west to east Monday night as the first upper level system approaches the region. At the lower levels of the atmosphere, a low-level jet will ensue and moisture will continue to be transported northward. The combination of sufficient moisture, forcing for ascent, and weak instability should develop a few isolated thunderstorms Monday night and Tuesday across North and Central Texas. The highest chances for showers and isolated thunderstorms on Tuesday will shift eastward as the surface low and upper trough arrive. A cold front will slide across the region on Tuesday, and the cooler air behind the front in combination with overcast skies will keep afternoon temperatures in the low 50s along the Red River to mid 60s across Central Texas. Rain chances will diminish late Tuesday night as this system exits the region.

Near-normal temperatures and dry conditions will prevail on Wednesday and Wednesday night, but the reprieve of rain/storm chances will be short-lived as the next upper level system deepens and arrives from the western US. Long range guidance continues to highlight the best potential for PoPs across Central Texas on Thursday and Friday. However, model solutions on the evolution and timing of the system and total rainfall amounts remain uncertain. As we head into the weekend, a warming trend and rain-free conditions are expected.

Garcia

AVIATION. /Issued 1154 PM CST Sat Jan 25 2020/ /06Z TAFs/ MVFR ceilings will continue to develop through the predawn hours Sunday with some brief IFR ceilings possible across Central Texas. Nearly all shower activity associated with the passing shortwave energy will remain east of the TAF sites. However, some brief drizzle will be possible around sunrise until drier air moves in behind a weak cold front. VFR conditions are expected behind the front this afternoon and evening, but fog (possibly dense) will likely develop towards sunrise Monday.

Southerly winds overnight will turn to the northwest around sunrise at speeds generally below 13 knots. A northwest wind (10 knots or less) will prevail Sunday afternoon and evening.

79

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Dallas-Ft. Worth 65 43 68 52 58 / 0 0 0 60 70 Waco 68 42 70 52 64 / 0 0 0 50 60 Paris 60 40 64 47 53 / 20 0 0 40 80 Denton 64 41 66 50 56 / 0 0 0 60 70 McKinney 63 41 66 49 56 / 10 0 0 60 80 Dallas 65 43 68 52 58 / 5 0 0 60 70 Terrell 64 42 67 51 58 / 10 0 0 50 70 Corsicana 66 44 69 52 61 / 10 0 0 50 70 Temple 69 43 70 50 64 / 0 0 0 50 60 Mineral Wells 65 41 70 50 58 / 0 0 0 50 50

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

22/79


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mesquite, Mesquite Metro Airport, TX8 mi59 minSSE 610.00 miOvercast55°F52°F92%1014.9 hPa
Terrell, Terrell Municipal Airport, TX10 mi61 minS 610.00 miOvercast55°F50°F83%1014.6 hPa
Lancaster Airport, TX23 mi59 minS 510.00 miOvercast55°F52°F92%1014.9 hPa
Dallas Love Field, TX24 mi61 minS 710.00 miOvercast57°F53°F87%1013.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHQZ

Wind History from HQZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE3S4SE5SE9SE11SE9SE8S11
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1 day agoW5CalmW4NW10NW11W9W10W9NW7NW11NW5N7CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmS4CalmS3Calm
2 days agoN4CalmNW6NW10NW11NW17
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NW9NW8NW8NW8CalmNW4W4W6W6W6SW5SW5W7W6W5W3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.