Travis Ranch, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Travis Ranch, TX

June 18, 2024 1:28 AM CDT (06:28 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:17 AM   Sunset 8:38 PM
Moonrise 4:42 PM   Moonset 2:27 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Travis Ranch, TX
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Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 180441 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1141 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

New Short Term, Aviation

SHORT TERM
/NEW/ /Through Wednesday/

A low pressure system of tropical origin will make westward progress from the Gulf of Mexico into southern portions of Texas over the next 36 hours, steered by weak mid-level easterlies.
While the greatest effects of this system will remain well south of the CWA, it will still offer some rain chances during the midweek period, along with slightly cooler temperatures due to attendant widespread cloud cover. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible across our southeastern zones this afternoon on the far outer periphery of this feature, and should be quite similar in coverage to Monday afternoon's convective activity. Following an intrusion of morning stratus, partial clearing during the afternoon will allow highs to climb into the upper 80s and lower 90s.

Greater moisture content and a shield of light/moderate rainfall will spread into the area by Wednesday morning, and broken/overcast skies will hold highs in the low/mid 80s for most locations. Rain amounts will be highest across our Central Texas zones where isolated totals of 1-2" are possible. The greatest rain totals and highest flooding threat will remain south of the forecast area. Most of North Texas will see rainfall totals around a quarter inch or less, with some of our northwestern zones possibly remaining dry altogether. The greatest rain chances will occur from Wednesday morning into the afternoon before this activity shifts progressively farther to the west heading into Wednesday night.

-Stalley

LONG TERM
/Issued 332 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024/ /Tuesday Night Onward/

A tropical disturbance will be making its way inland along the Texas Gulf Coast Tuesday night with its associated plume of tropical moisture surging northward into North and Central Texas.
Notable warm/moist advection will result in increasing showers and isolated storms beginning Tuesday night and continuing through Thursday as the system slowly moves west/northwest over the course of a couple of days.

Not much has changed regarding the expected precipitation totals for our region, with the bulk of the precipitation and significant rainfall totals still expected to remain to our south.
Average rainfall totals through Thursday will range from 1-3" across Central Texas and near 1/2" or less across North Texas.
It's worth noting, however, that some areas will receive no measurable rainfall and others will receive more than the average amounts mentioned above. The latter is especially true for Central Texas where slow-moving and/or training showers and thunderstorms may produce isolated rainfall totals between 3-5".
The most likely area for these higher rainfall totals will be south of a line from Cisco to Palestine. While there is medium confidence these higher-end rainfall totals will occur somewhere across Central Texas, confidence in a precise location(s) and frequency is quite low at this time. Hopefully, this will come more into focus over the next couple of days.
Regardless, these higher end totals will certainly cause flood impacts. While flooding will be less likely across North Texas, PWATs are expected to reach 2-2.5" across various portions of the forecast area on Wednesday. Therefore, any showers and storms that develop in North and Central Texas collectively will be capable of producing locally heavy rainfall. The NAM is currently forecasting PWATs near 2.40" for portions of North Texas, which would exceed our daily maximum PWAT (for June 19th) of 2.22". With all of this in mind, ensure you keep a close eye on the forecast for the latest information throughout the week.

The tropical disturbance will move further west on Thursday, eventually bringing an end to our rain chances from east to west.
Rain-free weather is expected through the weekend, but hot temperatures are expected with heat index values potentially returning to the triple digits. Low rain chances look to return early next week as we enter the final week of June.

Barnes

AVIATION
/NEW/ /06z TAFs/

MVFR stratus is expected to fill in fairly quickly during the next few hours, resulting in several hours of low cigs at all TAF sites through the morning. Eventual lifting to VFR is expected this afternoon, but cigs near 4 kft are likely to continue through much of the daytime. Breezy southeast winds of 15-20 kts and higher gusts will also prevail today, before wind speeds lessen to around 10 kts later this evening. Convective activity is largely expected to remain southeast of the TAF sites today, and none will be advertised in the TAFs at this time.

-Stalley


PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 78 91 74 87 74 / 0 5 5 30 20 Waco 74 90 74 84 73 / 0 10 10 60 40 Paris 74 89 72 84 72 / 10 10 5 20 10 Denton 75 92 72 87 71 / 0 5 5 30 20 McKinney 77 91 72 86 73 / 5 5 5 20 20 Dallas 76 92 74 87 74 / 0 5 5 30 20 Terrell 72 90 72 84 73 / 5 10 5 30 20 Corsicana 72 92 74 84 75 / 5 20 10 50 30 Temple 75 90 72 82 72 / 0 10 10 60 40 Mineral Wells 75 90 72 87 72 / 0 0 5 30 30

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.




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Dallas/Fort Worth, TX,




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