Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Heath, TX
February 19, 2025 5:15 AM CST (11:15 UTC) Change Location
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Area Discussion for Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 190906 AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 306 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2025
New Long Term
KEY MESSAGES
- Occasional flurries will continue through early Wednesday morning, mainly across North Texas. Little to no accumulation is expected.
- Unseasonably cold conditions and dangerous wind chills will continue through Thursday morning.
- There is another chance for rain on Saturday, with a low potential of freezing rain across parts of Central Texas on Saturday morning.
SHORT TERM
/Issued 109 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2025/ /Through Thursday/
Outside of a few lingering light flurries, wintry precipitation has ceased across the region, and the Winter Weather Advisory was allowed to expire on time at midnight. The freezing line has pushed south and east of the area, with all of North and Central Texas now below freezing. Strong north winds will continue to advect very cold air into the region with low temperatures bottoming out in the single digits and teens for many areas this morning. Dangerous wind chills are expected, ranging from -10F to 10F. While ice accumulations were quite minimal, the strong north winds and dry post-frontal air will continue to sublimate any ice on roadways and other surfaces. However, caution should still be exercised while driving, as a few slick spots will remain possible this morning - mainly on bridges and overpasses.
Dense, low clouds will gradually scatter out late this morning through the afternoon, but strong cold air advection will keep temperatures below freezing for most locations throughout the day with highs in the mid 20s to low 30s. The main exception will be portions of Central Texas where temperatures may reach into the mid 30s, but there is a ~40-50% chance these areas will remain just below freezing as well. Persistent breezy winds will continue to make it feel much colder than it really is, with wind chills only in the teens to 20s.
Dangerous cold is expected again tonight, as overnight lows will plummet into the single digits and teens area-wide. While winds won't be quite as strong as they currently are, wind chills will still fall into the -8F to 8F range. Despite weakening cold air advection on Thursday, the Arctic airmass will be slow to moderate as winds remain out of the north. Many locations will remain below freezing once again, with the exception of portions of Central Texas and the Brazos Valley.
Barnes
LONG TERM
/NEW/ /Friday Onward/
Modification of the Arctic airmass will continue on Friday as light ESE winds return, with the entire CWA expected to climb above freezing during the afternoon. However, a cold night will still follow with lows dropping into the 24-32 degree range. Low- level moisture will be drawn northward late Friday into Saturday ahead of an approaching positively tilted trough axis. Overcast skies will resume heading into Saturday as a result, along with a potential for light rain across Central Texas during the day. At this time, most guidance supports above-freezing temperatures while this precipitation would be ongoing, although it would certainly be a cold rain with temperatures in the mid and upper 30s. However, small differences in timing could result in a brief window of freezing rain potential across Central Texas on Saturday morning prior to temperatures rising above 32F. Temperatures will warm via warm advection during the daytime as rain expands into parts of North and East Texas before vacating the area to the east Saturday night. The persistent warm advection regime will maintain the warming trend through the rest of the weekend, with highs on Sunday returning to the 60s.
Building heights and more persistent south flow will lead to above normal temperatures heading into next week. Expect highs in the 70s through at least the first half of the week, and perhaps even a few 80s by Tuesday. Low rain chances may accompany a cold frontal passage during the mid or late week period, but this is still uncertain with a very wide spread in guidance beyond Day 7.
-Stalley
AVIATION
/Issued 109 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2025/ /06Z TAFs/
Intermittent light snow flurries will continue across North Texas through early this morning, but no accumulations or impacts are expected. MVFR ceilings will prevail through early to mid afternoon until ceilings eventually lift/scatter, allowing VFR conditions to return. North winds will remain breezy/gusty for most of the period with wind speeds around 15-20 knots and gusts around 30 knots. Winds will weaken slightly late this afternoon or evening, but wind speeds will remain near 10-15 knots through Wednesday night with gusts up to 25 knots.
Barnes
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 29 14 32 23 38 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 33 16 35 22 37 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 30 12 32 20 37 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 28 10 31 18 37 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 28 10 32 19 38 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 29 14 33 23 39 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 31 13 34 20 39 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 32 17 35 23 39 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 34 15 36 21 38 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 27 10 32 18 39 / 0 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Extreme Cold Warning until 9 AM CST Thursday for TXZ091>095- 100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 306 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2025
New Long Term
KEY MESSAGES
- Occasional flurries will continue through early Wednesday morning, mainly across North Texas. Little to no accumulation is expected.
- Unseasonably cold conditions and dangerous wind chills will continue through Thursday morning.
- There is another chance for rain on Saturday, with a low potential of freezing rain across parts of Central Texas on Saturday morning.
SHORT TERM
/Issued 109 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2025/ /Through Thursday/
Outside of a few lingering light flurries, wintry precipitation has ceased across the region, and the Winter Weather Advisory was allowed to expire on time at midnight. The freezing line has pushed south and east of the area, with all of North and Central Texas now below freezing. Strong north winds will continue to advect very cold air into the region with low temperatures bottoming out in the single digits and teens for many areas this morning. Dangerous wind chills are expected, ranging from -10F to 10F. While ice accumulations were quite minimal, the strong north winds and dry post-frontal air will continue to sublimate any ice on roadways and other surfaces. However, caution should still be exercised while driving, as a few slick spots will remain possible this morning - mainly on bridges and overpasses.
Dense, low clouds will gradually scatter out late this morning through the afternoon, but strong cold air advection will keep temperatures below freezing for most locations throughout the day with highs in the mid 20s to low 30s. The main exception will be portions of Central Texas where temperatures may reach into the mid 30s, but there is a ~40-50% chance these areas will remain just below freezing as well. Persistent breezy winds will continue to make it feel much colder than it really is, with wind chills only in the teens to 20s.
Dangerous cold is expected again tonight, as overnight lows will plummet into the single digits and teens area-wide. While winds won't be quite as strong as they currently are, wind chills will still fall into the -8F to 8F range. Despite weakening cold air advection on Thursday, the Arctic airmass will be slow to moderate as winds remain out of the north. Many locations will remain below freezing once again, with the exception of portions of Central Texas and the Brazos Valley.
Barnes
LONG TERM
/NEW/ /Friday Onward/
Modification of the Arctic airmass will continue on Friday as light ESE winds return, with the entire CWA expected to climb above freezing during the afternoon. However, a cold night will still follow with lows dropping into the 24-32 degree range. Low- level moisture will be drawn northward late Friday into Saturday ahead of an approaching positively tilted trough axis. Overcast skies will resume heading into Saturday as a result, along with a potential for light rain across Central Texas during the day. At this time, most guidance supports above-freezing temperatures while this precipitation would be ongoing, although it would certainly be a cold rain with temperatures in the mid and upper 30s. However, small differences in timing could result in a brief window of freezing rain potential across Central Texas on Saturday morning prior to temperatures rising above 32F. Temperatures will warm via warm advection during the daytime as rain expands into parts of North and East Texas before vacating the area to the east Saturday night. The persistent warm advection regime will maintain the warming trend through the rest of the weekend, with highs on Sunday returning to the 60s.
Building heights and more persistent south flow will lead to above normal temperatures heading into next week. Expect highs in the 70s through at least the first half of the week, and perhaps even a few 80s by Tuesday. Low rain chances may accompany a cold frontal passage during the mid or late week period, but this is still uncertain with a very wide spread in guidance beyond Day 7.
-Stalley
AVIATION
/Issued 109 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2025/ /06Z TAFs/
Intermittent light snow flurries will continue across North Texas through early this morning, but no accumulations or impacts are expected. MVFR ceilings will prevail through early to mid afternoon until ceilings eventually lift/scatter, allowing VFR conditions to return. North winds will remain breezy/gusty for most of the period with wind speeds around 15-20 knots and gusts around 30 knots. Winds will weaken slightly late this afternoon or evening, but wind speeds will remain near 10-15 knots through Wednesday night with gusts up to 25 knots.
Barnes
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 29 14 32 23 38 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 33 16 35 22 37 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 30 12 32 20 37 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 28 10 31 18 37 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 28 10 32 19 38 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 29 14 33 23 39 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 31 13 34 20 39 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 32 17 35 23 39 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 34 15 36 21 38 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 27 10 32 18 39 / 0 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Extreme Cold Warning until 9 AM CST Thursday for TXZ091>095- 100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.
Airport Reports
Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KHQZ MESQUITE METRO,TX | 10 sm | 20 min | calm | 7 sm | Overcast | 18°F | 12°F | 79% | 30.44 | |
KTRL TERRELL MUNI,TX | 14 sm | 22 min | NNW 15G26 | 10 sm | Overcast | Unknown | 18°F | 12°F | 79% | 30.42 |
KADS ADDISON,TX | 22 sm | 20 min | NNW 16G24 | 10 sm | Overcast | Lt Snow | 16°F | 10°F | 79% | 30.44 |
KDAL DALLAS LOVE FIELD,TX | 22 sm | 22 min | N 13G26 | 6 sm | Overcast | Lt Snow | 16°F | 10°F | 79% | 30.44 |
KTKI MCKINNEY NATIONAL,TX | 23 sm | 22 min | NNW 17G29 | 6 sm | Overcast | Lt Snow | 16°F | 10°F | 79% | 30.44 |
KGVT MAJORS,TX | 24 sm | 25 min | NNW 16G24 | 2 sm | Overcast | Lt Snow Mist | 16°F | 12°F | 85% | 30.42 |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KHQZ
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KHQZ
Wind History Graph: HQZ
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of southern planes -- texas
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Dallas/Fort Worth, TX,

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