Friday, August23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pelican Bay, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 8:07PM Friday August 23, 2019 4:48 PM CDT (21:48 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 1:13PM Illumination 42% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pelican Bay, TX
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location: 32.91, -97.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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Fxus64 kfwd 232000
afdfwd
area forecast discussion
national weather service fort worth tx
300 pm cdt Fri aug 23 2019

Short term
Tonight
ongoing convection affecting areas mainly west of i-35 and north
of i-20 should continue into the early evening hours, with
activity being focused primarily along multiple mesoscale
boundaries. The most well defined outflow boundary continues to
push southwest across the CWA this afternoon, and the best rain
chances will likely shift to areas west of i-35 but south of i-20
early this evening. Isolated storms may linger into the later
evening hours across the southwest, but just about all showers and
storms will dissipate by midnight.

Rain-cooled air is providing a nice cool-down along the red river
counties this afternoon. With the synoptic scale front remaining
to the north of the area, a gradual return to southeast winds can
be expected at all locations this evening and temperatures should
rebound to near normal values tonight. Conditions should still be
slightly cooler compared to the past few nights, with lows in the
mid 70s across most of the region, and upper 70s in the urban
locations.

30

Long term
Saturday onward
a somewhat active period will continue into the extended portion
of the forecast, as the upper ridge continues its gradual
breakdown. For Saturday, this will mean additional convective
chances, particularly through the afternoon and evening hours, as
a subtle shortwave drifts along the northern periphery of the
ridge axis. In addition, the presence of any residual boundaries
from activity today tonight could aid localized ascent. With
fairly weak flow through the column, the environment will be
rather typical for summertime pulse convection with limited
effective shear but moderate instability. Any robust convection
during peak heating will support a threat for downburst winds.

Northwesterly flow aloft will increase a bit on Sunday as the
upper ridge becomes displaced farther to the west. This will be in
wake of the aforementioned disturbance progged to move through on
Saturday, so some weak subsidence may prevail, keeping much of
the forecast area dry. Will continue some low storm chances near
and east of i-35 within the better moisture, but convective
coverage will likely be lower than on Saturday. In addition, some
higher temperatures and heat index values should exist during the
afternoon, with dewpoints struggling to mix out of the 70s.

The peak in heat over the next several days may occur on Monday
as the low-level thermal ridge axis expands into the forecast area
ahead of a developing surface low and upstream frontal zone.

Widespread temperatures around 100-105 with higher heat index
values will likely necessitate a heat advisory. Convective chances
appear low on Monday without any well-defined lifting mechanisms
in place. However, the frontal zone will continue to sag southward
heading into Tuesday, likely stalling in the vicinity of the red
river. Fairly widespread convection should accompany this
boundary, which may reinforce its southward push via consolidated
outflows. Previously, guidance had indicated this boundary and
possibly a convective complex moving into our area as early as
Tuesday, but latest guidance has delayed its arrival slightly into
Tuesday night or Wednesday. There will continue to be some
uncertainty on this potential for a few more days, but this setup
does warrant some higher rain chances for parts of north texas.

There could be a slightly higher threat for strong severe storms
with this system as well (particularly wind), although this may be
conditional on storms' time of arrival and whether they have
access to surface-based instability.

The frontal zone should continue to linger across the area
Wednesday and Thursday, leading to some additional convective
chances. The ridge will remain centered to our west through the
remainder of the week, and the presence of the front along with
increased cloud cover should hold temperatures below the century
mark. In fact, parts of north texas may experience some below
normal temperatures through the second half of the week.

-stalley

Aviation issued 1228 pm cdt Fri aug 23 2019
18z tafs
outflow from morning convection along the red river is surging
south and should arrive at dfw and surrounding airports within the
hour. The metroplex tafs will therefore begin with north winds and
vcts. Though storms may remain scattered, the current feeling is
that coverage will be enough to warrant a tempo group for thunder
mid to late afternoon. Convection will wane this evening while
winds eventually turn back to the southeast. Due to a persistent
weakness in the ridge, diurnal convection will likely re-develop
Saturday afternoon, and vcts has been included in the extended dfw
taf beginning tomorrow afternoon.

For kact, vcsh has been added, as it looks like mesoscale
boundaries may reach parts of central texas by late afternoon.

Held off including thunder due to the expectation that stronger
subsidence will keep development to a minimum in the central texas
region.

30

Preliminary point temps pops
Dallas-ft. Worth 78 94 78 98 80 20 40 20 20 10
waco 77 95 77 99 79 20 30 20 20 5
paris 73 89 72 90 75 20 40 20 30 10
denton 76 93 77 97 79 20 40 20 20 10
mckinney 75 92 76 96 78 20 50 20 20 10
dallas 79 95 79 98 80 20 40 20 20 10
terrell 76 94 77 99 79 20 40 20 20 10
corsicana 76 94 75 96 78 10 30 20 20 10
temple 75 96 76 98 78 20 20 10 20 5
mineral wells 74 94 74 99 77 30 30 20 10 5

Fwd watches warnings advisories
None.

30 26


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Worth, Naval Air Station, TX9 mi56 minNE 19 G 2810.00 miOvercast and Breezy91°F68°F47%1009.9 hPa
Fort Worth, Meacham International Airport, TX10 mi55 minNNE 19 G 2810.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy87°F69°F55%1010.4 hPa
Fort Worth, Fort Worth Alliance Airport, TX11 mi55 minNNE 19 G 2710.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy88°F69°F54%1010.8 hPa
Decatur, Decatur Municipal Airport, TX24 mi73 minENE 8 G 1710.00 miFair79°F67°F68%1014.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNFW

Wind History from NFW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE11SE9S10
G17
S10SE10SE10--SE10S12S14----S8S8S9S7S8S5S9N3E6SE10NE15
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1 day agoSE10
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SE9S10SE9--SE9----S12S10S10S9S8--S11
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2 days agoS13SE5SE11SE10SE10----------S10S9S12S8------3NE7NE4SE8SE8
G16
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G14

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.