Sunday, May31, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Pelican Bay, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:20AMSunset 8:33PM Sunday May 31, 2020 1:37 PM CDT (18:37 UTC) Moonrise 2:03PMMoonset 2:03AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pelican Bay, TX
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location: 32.91, -97.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 311725 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1225 PM CDT Sun May 31 2020

SHORT TERM. /NEW/ /Through Monday/

An upper low continues to slowly drift northward out of northern Mexico, which is resulting in scattered showers and storms across South and Southeast Texas today. As moisture continue to arrive over the next several hours, a few showers and perhaps a thunderstorm may develop across our far southern/southwestern zones. Due to meager instability and shear, no severe weather is expected, and an occasional lightning strike would be the only hazard. A few rain showers may exist overnight across our southern zones, but the potential for measurable rainfall is on the low side.

Precipitation should expand farther north on Monday as more plentiful moisture accompanies the low pressure circulation northward. Have maintained 30-50% PoPs across the southwestern 2/3rds of the forecast area where broad weak ascent will exist through much of the day. Convective activity will be aided by diurnal heating, thus peak coverage should occur during the mid to late afternoon hours with diminishment towards sunset. Any activity would once again consist of garden-variety summertime showers with an isolated storm or two. Deeper convection would be most likely in Central Texas within the better instability. Given PW values approaching 1.5-2 inches, some heavy rainfall will be possible. With more abundant cloud cover present, Monday's highs should be a couple degrees cooler than the previous few days.

-Stalley

LONG TERM. /Issued 331 AM CDT Sun May 31 2020/ /Monday Night Onward/

The upper level feature that will bring Monday’s rain chances will linger in the area through Wednesday as the upper level steering flow remains fairly weak. Any precipitation chances will likely remain driven by daytime heating, with a nocturnal lull in precipitation. Rain chances will remain fairly low given the absence of a concentrated source of forcing for ascent. With higher moisture content in the west, low PoPs will be added west of I-35 Tuesday afternoon. Rain chances will then shift eastward on Wednesday as a weak disturbance approaches from the northeast. Severe weather appears unlikely, but any shower or storm that develops will likely have brief heavy rainfall given precipitable water content will remain near record values.

By Thursday, high pressure across the Desert Southwest will build eastward, helping to push the slow moving shortwave out of the Southern Plains. North and Central Texas will remain on the southeastern periphery of the ridge, therefore, the possibility of precipitation can’t be completely discounted the latter half of next week in the southeastern counties. Plenty of moisture will be in place across the Gulf Coast region, leading to afternoon showers and storms south of our area. Some dissipating thunderstorm activity may attempt to move into the Brazos Valley/East Texas Friday and Saturday, but given we are still 5-6 days away, confidence remains low. Temperatures through the week will gradually increase, likely reaching the mid 90s by next weekend.

Hernandez

AVIATION. /NEW/ /18z TAFs/

VFR will prevail through Monday morning with east winds around 10 kts or less. Gradually increasing moisture is leading to more widespread cumulus around 5 kft today, while cirrus continues to thicken as it arrives from South Texas. By Monday morning, increasing low-level moisture could result in brief MVFR cigs near Waco, but this potential is too low to include in the current TAFs. As additional moisture streams into the area throughout the day, a northward expansion of rain showers should occur, with rain becoming possible at Waco at or just after the end of the current TAF period. VFR cigs should exist at most airports through the day.

-Stalley

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Dallas-Ft. Worth 87 68 86 70 89 / 0 0 10 5 20 Waco 88 68 85 69 89 / 5 5 40 10 20 Paris 84 64 85 65 86 / 0 0 5 5 10 Denton 87 65 87 68 89 / 0 0 10 5 20 McKinney 87 64 87 68 89 / 0 0 10 5 10 Dallas 88 68 87 70 90 / 0 0 10 5 20 Terrell 87 65 87 68 88 / 0 0 10 5 10 Corsicana 87 68 86 70 87 / 0 0 20 10 10 Temple 87 68 85 68 87 / 10 10 40 10 20 Mineral Wells 87 64 85 66 88 / 0 0 20 10 20

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

26/25


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Worth, Naval Air Station, TX9 mi45 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F60°F42%1019.5 hPa
Fort Worth, Meacham International Airport, TX10 mi44 minSE 710.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F60°F46%1020.3 hPa
Fort Worth, Fort Worth Alliance Airport, TX11 mi44 minSE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy83°F57°F41%1019.9 hPa
Decatur, Decatur Municipal Airport, TX24 mi42 minE 710.00 miFair82°F57°F44%1022 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNFW

Wind History from NFW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6NE54E8E7E9E9E7E4SE7SE4E3E3CalmCalmNW4NW4CalmCalmE7E56E4Calm
1 day agoN5
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2 days agoN9N6NE7NW10NW8N11N8N5N6N6W5N6N7N5N7N7N6N4N8NE7NE7NE9NE9NE12

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.