Lewisville, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lewisville, TX

June 17, 2024 2:29 PM CDT (19:29 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:17 AM   Sunset 8:40 PM
Moonrise 3:44 PM   Moonset 2:00 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lewisville, TX
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Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 171835 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 135 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

New Short Term, Aviation

SHORT TERM
/NEW/ /Today and Tomorrow/

Low-level moisture and instability will surge northward over the next few days, resulting diurnally-driven chances for showers and thunderstorms across the area. The moisture plume is located below 700 mb, underneath an area of mid/upper-level subsidence. These counteracting forces (low-level lift & mid/upper-level subsidence)
will keep the coverage of precip isolated and the thunderstorm chances low. The exception to this will be across the southeastern third of our area where 30-40 kts of southeast flow aloft will result in an enhanced seabreeze moving into the area late in the afternoon. Even then, storms should be quick-moving and largely confined to outflow boundaries. Convective activity should wane with the loss of heating each evening, resulting in mild and humid nights.

Bonnette

LONG TERM
/Issued 252 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024/ /Tuesday Night Onward/

Rain showers will be on the increase across Central Texas late Tuesday night as a plume of deep tropical moisture surges northwest into the area. The tropical disturbance responsible for the precipitation will be in the process of moving inland across South Texas, placing North and Central Texas within a zone of strong warm/moist air advection. Showers will spread northwest through the forecast area during the day Wednesday, with occasional thunderstorms possible in the afternoon as surface instability is attained. The latest model guidance indicates that the axis of exceptionally high moisture content will be along and southwest of a line from roughly Wichita Falls to Palestine, where 2.25" PWATs are a good possibility (around 150% of normal). This would include pretty much all of Central Texas and western portions of the DFW Metroplex, and would be the most likely area where training showers and storms could produce a threat for flooding. It is possible that a southeast to northwest rain band could set up and continue into the night, enhancing the flood threat on a local scale.

It is too soon to bank on any one scenario, but good to keep in mind that locally higher amounts (above the generally 1 to 3 inches forecast) of rain are possible somewhere southwest of the aforementioned geographical line. Rainfall totals (and the threat for flooding) northeast of this line would be significantly less.
The exact location of the moist axis could also shift one way or another, either decreasing or increasing the threat for locally heavy rain. Unfortunately the bust potential is also quite high, because if the system were to wrap up over the Gulf and become more intense than currently forecast, precipitation might become more confined to South Texas while North/Central Texas becomes displaced too far north in the subsident zone. We should be able to refine these and other details over the next 48 hours.

Whatever the case, Wednesday night precipitation will exit from east to west on Thursday as the tropical system progresses west across Mexico. A mid level ridge will re-strengthen overhead in its wake, ending rain chances and bringing typical summer weather in time for the weekend. Another easterly wave will create at least a slight chance of rain during the early to middle part of next week.

30

AVIATION
/NEW/ /18Z TAFs/

A scattered Cu field over the area will continue through the afternoon before dissipating this evening. Isolated showers will continue, with the highest coverage remaining across Central and East Texas. The coverage of precip will be lower in/near the D10 terminals, therefore no wx groups were added to the D10 TAFs.

MVFR will surge north tonight, overspreading all terminals in the few hours straddling midnight. The stratus will linger for much of the morning, slowly lifting/scattering into a Cu field by the early afternoon. South flow will prevail through the valid TAF period.

Bonnette


PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 93 76 92 75 83 / 10 5 10 5 30 Waco 91 75 90 74 81 / 20 5 20 10 60 Paris 90 72 90 72 86 / 20 10 20 5 20 Denton 93 74 92 74 82 / 5 5 10 5 30 McKinney 92 74 91 73 82 / 10 5 20 5 30 Dallas 93 75 92 75 82 / 10 5 20 10 30 Terrell 91 73 90 73 83 / 20 10 20 10 40 Corsicana 93 75 92 74 81 / 20 10 20 20 50 Temple 93 75 92 74 79 / 20 5 20 20 60 Mineral Wells 93 75 92 73 82 / 5 0 10 5 30

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.




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