Friday, September17, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Alvord, TX

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 7:33PM Friday September 17, 2021 5:43 PM CDT (22:43 UTC) Moonrise 5:07PMMoonset 2:36AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Alvord, TX
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location: 33.36, -97.69     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 171846 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 146 PM CDT Fri Sep 17 2021

. New Short Term, Aviation .

SHORT TERM. /NEW/ /Through Saturday Evening/

Remnant moisture beneath an upper low combined with daytime heating has resulted in afternoon stratocu across the area, especially near and east of I-35. The placement of the upper low, currently across North Texas, will mean around a 20% chance for a few showers and perhaps a rumble of thunder or two across East Texas. Any precipitation that develops this afternoon is expected to dissipate quickly after sunset. Mild conditions will continue tonight with a near repeat of today's high temperatures on Saturday. Rain/storm chances are greater on Saturday afternoon thanks to a slight uptick in moisture and the remnant upper low. PoPs are confined to East Texas as northerly/northeasterly winds overspread the rest of North and Central Texas as inverted troughing across West Texas intensifies. Daytime highs in the upper 80s and low 90s are expected.

Bain

LONG TERM. /Issued 408 AM CDT Fri Sep 17 2021/ /This Weekend Through Next Week/

For North and Central Texas, the final weekend of astronomical summer will look the part with above normal temperatures and elevated humidity. Weak troughing aloft will gradually shift east as ridging invades from the west, resulting in mid-level pressure surfaces sloping upward from east to west. Afternoon temperatures will have a corresponding slope from East Texas to the Big Country. The surface trough to our east, that has been persistent despite Nicholas' dissolution, will induce northerly surface winds on Saturday. However, this will simply recycle rich mT air, and abundant sunshine will assure unseasonably warm daytime temperatures.

A more significant pattern shift will begin early next week as a progressive trough within the polar stream races from the West Coast to the Plains in less than 48 hours. Its leading jet streak will emerge from the Rockies, inducing lee troughing. This will result in breezy southerly winds on Monday, which may be the warmest day of the bunch. Even a slight westerly component may help the mercury to reach the century mark across far western portions of North Texas where a shallower moisture depth will drop relative humidity values below 30 percent at peak heating. Combined with the gusty winds and vegetation stressed from a month without rainfall, this may result in an enhanced potential for fire starts.

Extended guidance disagrees on how far equatorward the trough axis will be when it transits our longitude, but the event is reasonable well timed among the operational solutions and ensemble members. This is increasing confidence in a daytime frontal passage on Tuesday. The fast-moving boundary will encounter a conditionally unstable air mass, and showers and thunderstorms may develop along the front. But with the forcing associated with the longwave trough displaced well to the north, this would likely be a narrow window.

Noticeably milder and drier weather will follow on Wednesday (which is appropriately the autumnal equinox). However, abundant sunshine and the lower humidity will somewhat offset the low-level cold advection, and afternoon temperatures should still top 80 degrees. With clear skies and light winds, Thursday morning will likely be the coolest, with many locations seeing temperatures in the 50s for the first time since spring. But with the progressive pattern, south winds will quickly return on Thursday, and a steady warming trend will push afternoon temperatures above normal by the following weekend.

25

AVIATION. /NEW/ /18 UTC TAF Cycle/

Highlights---Low MVFR cig and convective potential.

VFR will prevail though intermittent MVFR at DAL and GKY cannot be completely ruled before CU lifts above FL030. At this juncture the potential is too low to include in the TAF. Isolated SHRA/TS is expected to develop NE of D10 TAFs. Some impacts to arrival gates and eastbound traffic will be possible. Winds will turn to the E and NE, but sustained speeds are expected to remain below 8 knots at all terminals. A gust or two to near 10-15 knots cannot be discounted. The SHRA/TS coverage is expected to be higher tomorrow afternoon, but activity is forecast to remain east of the TAF sites.

Bain

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Dallas-Ft. Worth 73 92 73 92 73 / 0 5 0 5 0 Waco 71 92 71 92 72 / 0 5 0 10 0 Paris 70 88 70 86 69 / 5 20 5 20 0 Denton 68 93 68 91 69 / 0 5 0 5 0 McKinney 70 91 70 90 70 / 0 5 0 10 0 Dallas 74 92 74 91 74 / 0 5 0 5 0 Terrell 70 91 70 89 70 / 0 10 0 10 0 Corsicana 71 91 71 90 72 / 5 10 5 10 0 Temple 69 94 69 93 70 / 0 5 5 10 0 Mineral Wells 67 92 67 92 69 / 0 0 0 5 0

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Decatur, Decatur Municipal Airport, TX9 mi48 minE 77.00 miFair90°F63°F40%1015.2 hPa
Bridgeport, Bridgeport Municipal Airport, TX15 mi68 minE 610.00 miFair91°F62°F39%1015.2 hPa
Bowie Municipal Airport, TX17 mi48 minE 410.00 miFair91°F64°F41%1015.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLUD

Wind History from LUD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE6E5E3E3CalmE4E3SE4SE5SE5S7S5S4CalmCalmS4S5E4E5SW4E7E6NE9NE5
1 day agoE8E5CalmE3E3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmE4E6E9SE7E7NE6E4NE6E6
2 days agoE8E9E5E3CalmE3E3E4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE6E6E8E7E7NE10NE7NE10
G16
NE5

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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