Sterrett, AL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Sterrett, AL

June 22, 2024 11:19 PM CDT (04:19 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:36 AM   Sunset 8:01 PM
Moonrise 9:10 PM   Moonset 5:48 AM 
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Area Discussion for - Birmingham, AL
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 816 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024


(Tonight through Monday)
Issued at 807 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2024

Hot and dry weather will continue into Sunday. Made some minor changes to the highs and lows over the area, but the overall message remains the same. Due to the dry air in place, lowered the lows in the normally cooler locations overnight and expect some 60s and 70s by daybreak. On Sunday, made a small adjustment upward due to conditions experienced today. Unless clouds move in faster in the north, temperatures should be a degree or two warmer on Sunday afternoon.


Previous short-term discussion: (This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 1157 AM CDT SAT JUN 22 2024

The center of the elongated ridge is retrograding towards Texas.
This is resulting in some height falls, but also a shift to westerly low to mid-level flow. This flow orientation will continue to supply a steady stream of hot and dry continental air. 1000-850mb thicknesses are forecast to rise over the next couple of days, and highs will reach the mid to upper 90s both today and tomorrow despite the height falls. The dry air aloft is causing afternoon dewpoints to mix down into the mid 60s, so conditions are not quite reaching Heat Advisory criteria at this time. A weakened front will be near the Tennessee Valley towards the end of the day tomorrow. A few showers and thunderstorms will be initiated by the boundary, but rain chances will stay north of the forecast area until the evening.


(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 243 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2024

The beginning of the work week continues to look hot as moisture builds in the wake of the retreating upper level ridge. Will likely need Heat Advisories for Monday and Tuesday, with heat indices in the 105 to 108F range across the south and west.

With a series of upper level impulses and possible MCS features, continue to hoist increased rain chances on Wednesday and possibly into Thursday.


Previous long-term discussion: (Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 310 AM CDT SAT JUN 22 2024

Key messages:

- Hot conditions continue into early next week with heat indices at or above 105 possible, especially Tuesday afternoon.

- One or more complexes of showers and storms may provide some temporary respite from the heat Wednesday but also gusty winds.
However, details remain uncertain this far out.

Subtropical ridging will be centered over the Southern High Plains to start the period, while a trough amplifies over the Northeast CONUS. This will place Central Alabama under weak northwest flow aloft. A weak cold front will become diffuse across Kentucky and Tennessee Sunday night, while a lee trough will be located along the East Coast. A pre-frontal axis of PWATs near 2 inches will move into our northern counties Sunday night. This may result in a couple showers and storms moving into our northern counties from the north Sunday night into Monday morning, though mid-level lapse rates will be poor with weak shear and limited forcing/convergence. As is typical this time of year, there won't be any cool air with the front but there will be a pronounced moisture gradient, with the better moisture shifting to the southern counties by Monday afternoon. Widely scattered showers and storms will be possible though models seem to be backing off on coverage. With less coverage, temperatures will warm up. Dew points will mix out some in the afternoon, but not quite as much as previous days given the increased moisture, so heat indices may reach 105 degrees in spots.

The moisture boundary will become oriented northwest to southeast by Tuesday with diurnal convection possible along and southwest of it under weak ridging/flow aloft, though there is some spread in the placement of this boundary. Prior to convection, temperatures will warm into the upper 90s. The placement of the moisture boundary will determine where dew points mix out the most, but with the hotter temperatures a heat advisory appears likely for at minimum the southern and western counties. A shortwave in northwest flow aloft will result in troughing temporarily developing over the Southeast CONUS Wednesday and Thursday. One or more MCSs could move through during this time with increasing moisture. Wednesday will see the highest rain chances of the period with potential for a brief respite from the heat depending on the timing of the MCS(s). Nothing really jumps out too much in the convective environment just yet, but will keep an eye out for the potential for gusty winds with any cold pools. It's too far out for any details on these MCSs. Ridging builds back into the area by the end of the week causing the heat to return, though some troughing and associated rain chances may linger near our southeast counties.


(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 807 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2024

VFR conditions are forecast through the cycle. There was some moisture in the 070-100 layer and these clouds will still around here and there through Sunday. Winds will be light overnight. On Sunday, a front approaches from the north but should remain just north of the area by periods end. Therefore, and lower clouds will be north of the area. Winds will become west 5-10kts after 15z.



Dry conditions will continue through Sunday. 20 foot winds become westerly Sunday at 4 to 6 mph. Afternoon RH values should range from 30 to 40 percent Sunday afternoon. Overnight RH values will be above 80 percent. Scattered rain chances return on Monday and Tuesday, with an increase in minimum RH values.

Gadsden 68 98 73 97 / 0 10 20 20 Anniston 69 97 74 97 / 0 10 20 20 Birmingham 71 98 76 98 / 0 10 20 20 Tuscaloosa 70 98 75 97 / 0 10 10 20 Calera 70 99 75 98 / 0 10 10 20 Auburn 72 96 75 95 / 0 10 10 20 Montgomery 69 98 75 97 / 0 10 10 30 Troy 69 98 74 97 / 0 10 0 30


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