Thursday, October1, 2020
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L-36.com

Marine Weather and Tides
Kennedy, AL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 6:38PM Thursday October 1, 2020 2:55 PM CDT (19:55 UTC) Moonrise 6:55PMMoonset 6:25AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kennedy, AL
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location: 33.51, -88     debug


Area Discussion for - Birmingham, AL
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FXUS64 KBMX 011838 AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 138 PM CDT Thu Oct 1 2020

SHORT TERM. /Updated at 1148 AM CDT Thu Oct 01 2020/

Through Tomorrow.

Re-enforcing cold front working through Alabama this afternoon is hardly noticable outside of a mild wind shift. We will continue with the sunny skies and mild temperatures, although a slight cool down is expected behind this front, especially by Saturday morning.

17/KLAWS

LONG TERM. /Updated at 0135 PM CDT Thu Oct 01 2020/

The extended forecast remains on track. Overall, persistent troughing over the eastern CONUS will ensure the dry continental airmass remains in place across Central AL through this period. Gradual warming can be expected through mid next week as high pressure begins building into the Lower MS Valley. 86

Previous long-term discussion: /Updated at 319 AM CDT Thu Oct 01 2020/ Friday night through Wednesday.

Cool and dry weather will persist through the weekend and into next week.

The overall synoptic pattern doesn't change that much as we go into the weekend. Deep troughing across the Eastern CONUS with ridging in the west will persist. A shortwave trough does dip through the Upper Midwest Saturday through Sunday and could send a cold front southward towards Central AL. The ECMWF had hinted towards a stronger frontal boundary and potentially some light rain in the northwest, but that has backed off substantially in the last couple of runs. The front is expected to weaken before it reaches Central AL and any forcing clips north of our area; therefore, I've removed any mention of precip from the forecast for Sunday.

The pattern changes briefly Monday into Tuesday as the deep trough axis shifts eastward and more zonal flow develops across the region. This will result in a slight warming trend. This could persist through Wednesday, though model guidance begins to diverge beyond Tuesday. The question becomes how Disturbance 1, highlighted by NHC, evolves. It's possible we see some retrograde motion of the stalled frontal boundary along the coast and an increase in moisture across the south by Wednesday, but this is highly uncertain and the statistical guidance maintains generally less than 10-15% probability of any measurable precip through Wednesday night. Therefore, given the low probability and uncertainty in the models, I'll leave any mention of precip out of the forecast for Wednesday.

25/Owen

AVIATION. 18Z TAF Discussion.

All sites are expected to remain VFR through the period with few aviation weather concerns.

17/KLAWS

FIRE WEATHER.

Dry weather will persist through the weekend. Minimum RHs will run in the 30-45% range. Winds will shift more to the north on today as a dry cold front pushes through the area. As the front moves through, there could be more breezy conditions, but this will remain below any critical values. Generally light northerly flow continues Friday into Saturday before becoming more easterly Saturday afternoon and evening.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Gadsden 45 69 44 72 47 / 0 0 0 0 0 Anniston 46 70 45 74 48 / 0 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 48 70 47 74 51 / 0 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 48 72 47 75 51 / 0 0 0 0 0 Calera 48 70 47 74 51 / 0 0 0 0 0 Auburn 50 71 48 73 51 / 0 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 50 74 48 76 51 / 0 0 0 0 0 Troy 51 72 49 74 53 / 0 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES/. None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Columbus Air Force Base, MS26 mi60 minWNW 8 G 1710.00 miFair76°F41°F29%1019.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCBM

Wind History from CBM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS11
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S9SW8SW5--CalmS3S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN5N6N7NW8N8
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NW7W4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW5SW4W9SW5W6
2 days agoNW14NW10NW9NW7CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3NW3CalmCalmNW3CalmCalmNW4NW5NW9NW9NW12
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Columbus AFB, MS
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