Friday, December6, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Kennedy, AL

Version 3.4 		NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen
Sunrise 6:42AMSunset 4:46PM Friday December 6, 2019 7:48 PM CST (01:48 UTC) Moonrise 2:44PMMoonset 2:14AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kennedy, AL
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location: 33.51, -88     debug

Area Discussion for - Birmingham, AL
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FXUS64 KBMX 062355 AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 555 PM CST Fri Dec 6 2019

UPDATE. For 00Z Aviation.

SHORT TERM. /Updated at 0337 PM CST Fri Dec 06 2019/ Through Tonight.

An upper level short wave that resulted in a weak MCV moved across Central Alabama today. With it, rain and a few embedded thunderstorms moved west to east, and are now exiting southeastern portions of the forecast area. Will leave a low chance of light rain in the southeast this evening, as a few light showers are possible. Low clouds will rotate back into the area (already seeing this across the northwest) this evening. Cannot rule out a few spots of drizzle but not confident enough to include in the forecast overnight. With the cloud cover, temperatures will remain in the low 40s to low 50s tonight.

14

LONG TERM. /Updated at 0337 PM CST Fri Dec 06 2019/

Made a few updates/tweaks to the extended forecast. Model guidance has now trended drier Saturday, and removed rain chances. The inverted trough does remain across the area, and could be the focus for showers on Sunday. Additionally made a few changes for model trends mid week to reflect model timing.

14

Previous Long Term Discussion . /Updated at 0402 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2019/ Saturday through Thursday

An inverted surface trough will extend northward into Alabama on Saturday as a wedge of high pressure strengthens to our northeast. Low-level isentropic lift should lead to widespread clouds and perhaps some light showers. Measurable rainfall appears unlikely in most locations, but a 20 percent chance has been included for areas south of Interstate 20. This setup will continue into Saturday night and Sunday with 20 percent rain chances expanding to cover the remainder of our forecast area.

A large-scale trough is set to take shape across the Plains and eastern CONUS for Monday through Wednesday. Increasing southwesterly low-level flow will provide plenty of moisture for both pre-frontal and post-frontal showers as a front moves slowly moves through the region. Rain chances will increase from northwest to southeast across our area beginning Monday afternoon and should be widespread overnight into Tuesday morning. As the front advances beyond our forecast area, rain should end Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. Colder and dry conditions will move in behind the front for Wednesday and Thursday.

87/Grantham

AVIATION. 00Z TAF Discussion.

/Cloudiness through the period with reduced ceilings taking shape tonight into Saturday morning/

At 23:50Z/5:50PM, the GOES-East nighttime micro channel showed a comma head of low clouds atop the region. Related observations show ceilings vary in the MVFR-VFR range for Central Alabama terminals, but a trend toward more consistent MVFR is expected this evening. Overnight and into early-mid Saturday morning, some terminals have the potential to fall into IFR range. Forecast soundings indicate a return of mixed MVFR-VFR ceilings heading through Saturday afternoon. Winds will be very light to calm tonight, becoming NE/ENE around 5 knots Saturday afternoon. There may be a spotty sprinkle or light rain shower on Saturday.

89^GSatterwhite

FIRE WEATHER.

A few light showers remain possible across the southeast this evening, otherwise dry conditions are expected tonight. Low clouds will spread back across the area, with ceiling heights below 1500ft possible. Cloudy conditions continue on Saturday, with a slight chance of light rain showers again on Sunday. More widespread rainfall is expected Monday night into Tuesday. There are no fire weather concerns at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Gadsden 43 58 47 56 49 / 10 0 10 20 40 Anniston 45 58 47 55 50 / 10 10 10 20 50 Birmingham 46 59 49 57 52 / 10 10 10 20 40 Tuscaloosa 47 60 50 60 54 / 10 10 10 20 20 Calera 46 59 49 57 52 / 10 10 10 20 30 Auburn 48 58 49 55 51 / 10 10 10 20 40 Montgomery 49 60 51 62 55 / 10 10 10 20 30 Troy 50 59 52 62 56 / 10 10 10 20 30

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES/. None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Columbus Air Force Base, MS26 mi1.9 hrsNNW 55.00 miFog/Mist54°F52°F93%1021.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCBM

Wind History from CBM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE6SE7SE6SE7SE4CalmS7CalmCalmSE6SE5SE4E5E6N7E6SE12Calm--N6NW6NW5N5N7
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE5SE5CalmS7SE4S6S5SE3SE4
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4W6W6NW7W7W8W4CalmCalm
Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Birmingham, AL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Columbus AFB, MS
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.