Monday, August19, 2019

Marine Weather and Tides
Kennedy, AL

Version 3.4
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at Allen

Sunrise 6:17AMSunset 7:37PM Monday August 19, 2019 3:54 PM CDT (20:54 UTC) Moonrise 10:06PMMoonset 9:49AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kennedy, AL
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location: 33.51, -88     debug

Area Discussion for - Birmingham, AL
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area forecast discussion
national weather service birmingham al
348 pm cdt Mon aug 19 2019

Short term
Updated at 0320 pm cdt Mon aug 19 2019
through tonight.

With increased moisture and a weak shortwave over the area,
storm coverage has been higher this afternoon than this past
weekend. While the added cloud cover and rain kept temperatures
and heat indices in check at some locations, heat indices have
reached over 105f in others. At 3pm, many locations are reporting
heat indices above 100f.

Main area of convection will be across the west and extreme
northeast for the next couple hours, as activity is becoming
mainly outflow driven. Coverage will decrease this evening, but
will need to watch clusters of storms in northern georgia and
southwest georgia as they move to the southwest and west this
evening. Expect all activity to diminish late tonight, with lows
in the low to mid 70s.


Long term
Updated at 0356 am cdt Mon aug 19 2019
Tuesday through Sunday.

Much of the extended forecast remains on track for this update. On
Tuesday, high pressure sits over the eastern plains while a large
anticyclone remains over the western atlantic. In between these two
circulations, a weak low-level inverted trough and low height center
will situate over portions of the southeast including southern
georgia and the florida panhandle as southeasterly anticyclonic flow
aloft shifts the disturbance slowly westward over the forecast area
through Wednesday. This feature will provide support for afternoon
convection as we begin to see lower temperatures with highs
decreasing into the low to mid 90s, although higher humidity levels
will make it feel a bit warmer. The overall wind and height fields
become rather messy on Thursday with the aforementioned weak
troughing becoming much less defined, but with the bermuda high
extending to our southeast, a few periods of southerly low-level
winds appear likely enough to continue fueling a moist airmass
such that scattered to numerous afternoon thunderstorms can be
expected during peak heating on Thursday and Friday.

Meanwhile, deep-layer troughing deepens over the eastern CONUS by
the end of the week driving a cold front south through the ohio and
tennessee valleys. Uncertainty remains between model guidance on
whether the tail edge of the front will ultimately pass through the
forecast area this weekend, and confidence remains low on any one
given outcome. Therefore, the forecast for Saturday and Sunday, and
associated 50 to 60 percent pops, will be focused on the broad
cyclonic flow aloft over central alabama as the base of the trough
moves through the southeast in conjunction with a rich axis of
moisture (pwats ~2 inches) ahead of the front. Periods of rain over
the next week will help keep us cooler during the daytime with
highs in the upper 80s to near 90f Saturday and Sunday as ridging
becomes less pronounced over the forecast area.


18z TAF discussion.

Afternoon convection will be biggest forecast challenge for this
taf period.VFR conditions & variable winds at 5-7 kts should
continue outside tsra activity, which may impact most if not all
terminals at some point today. Best chances reside this afternoon
& have handled with tempo groups generally after ~20z. Though
scattered shra & tsra will likely continue into the evening,
expecting decreasing coverage & intensity after dark. Have
included MVFR vis at eet toi towards 10-12z tomorrow morning,
especially since rain-cooled air may be in place overnight. Will
watch trends for MVFR conditions at other terminals, as well as
monitor obs for any needed amendments due to tsra activity this

40 sizemore

Fire weather
Increased rain chances continue each day this week, with scattered
to numerous mainly afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Localized
fog is possible each morning, but locations will vary depending on
the previous day's rain coverage. Temperatures will gradually
return to normal levels by mid week as relative humidity values
continue to rise.

Preliminary point temps pops
Gadsden 70 96 71 94 70 20 40 20 40 30
anniston 71 95 72 94 71 30 40 30 40 30
birmingham 73 97 74 96 73 30 40 30 40 30
tuscaloosa 74 96 74 95 73 30 40 30 40 30
calera 71 96 72 94 71 30 40 30 40 30
auburn 72 91 72 91 72 40 50 30 50 30
montgomery 73 95 73 94 73 40 50 30 50 30
troy 71 92 71 92 70 40 60 30 50 20

Bmx watches warnings advisories
Heat advisory until 9 pm cdt this evening for the following
counties: autauga... Bibb... Chilton... Dallas... Fayette... Greene...

hale... Jefferson... Lamar... Lowndes... Marion... Montgomery...

perry... Pickens... Shelby... Tuscaloosa... Walker.

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Columbus Air Force Base, MS26 mi59 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds86°F77°F76%1015.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCBM

Wind History from CBM (wind in knots)
Last 24hrS7CalmS4SW4SW4W8W4--------Calm----CalmCalmSE3CalmCalm--CalmCalmCalmN12
1 day agoN4CalmW4NW5NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--CalmCalmSE3Calm--CalmCalmSW3W3S4S5
2 days agoNW9NW10NW9NW3NW3CalmCalm--Calm----CalmCalm--CalmCalmCalm--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for Birmingham, AL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Columbus AFB, MS
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.