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Marine Weather and Tides Stuckey, SC Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 7:05AM

Sunset 5:08PM

Friday December 6, 2019 8:00 PM EST (01:00 UTC)

Moonrise 2:09PM

Moonset 1:39AM

Illumination 76%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stuckey, SC

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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC

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FXUS62 KILM 062333 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 633 PM EST Fri Dec 6 2019

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will bring light rain tonight, followed by cooling and drying into the weekend. Noticeable warming to follow Monday and Tuesday ahead of a cold front Tuesday night.

UPDATE. Light rain and sprinkles will continue along the coast through most of the evening, particularly near Cape Fear where modest but persistent isentropic lift is shown to continue. Chances for measurable rain are diminishing in the Pee Dee region. This latest update mainly is for PoPs and Wx, and also tweaks temps based on observations.

Thunderstorms earlier in Wilmington produced a measured wind gust to 43 knots (49 mph) at the ILM airport. Even though the convection was elevated with convective cloud bases around 12000 feet AGL, precip falling into sub-cloud dry air with steep lapse rates likely led to generation of negative buoyancy (-250 J/kg) and a microburst. Mesonet stations within a few miles of the airport showed winds below 20 mph throughout the event.

-TRA

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. Trace amounts of rain approaching I-95, as virga gradually makes inroads to the surface. Nightfall, or shortly thereafter, light rain will reach farther east by the coast, as column RH increases from the virga. Moisture depth, and longevity of this feature over the area, will equate to system rain totals of .05-0.15 with isolated totals of 1/4-1/3 inch, rain edging off the coast after 6-7z.

Meager CAPE aloft this evening, limited moisture, low wind shear, and surface stability, should team-up to prevent any TSTMS tonight.

Drying, breezy, cooler into Saturday, gusts to 25 mph at the coast at times, 55-60 max-T expected, 60 most likely to be reached over the NE SC interior. Other than fleeting cirrus, plenty sunshine set for Saturday. After a peak in dewpoints of around 50 this evening, Td will drop off to near 40 Saturday. 10-meter wind average over land to remain at 10 knots or higher through Saturday evening.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. Surface high pressure wedge to hold intact on Sunday whilst a developing warm front stalls along the coast. The light rain that breaks out as a result of the isentropic lift appears to largely hold off until Sunday night. When the rain does move in it will tend to favor coastal areas both with respect to POPs and QPF. Sunday will be quite seasonable despite the increasing clouds whereas the same clouds will diminish the diurnal curve for a mild night.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Deep layer southwesterly flow will lead to a considerable warmup Monday and Tuesday, bolstered by the approach of a cold front on Tuesday. A few showers may precede the boundary later Tuesday but most of the rain will come Tuesday night with its arrival. Diurnal timing not very favorable for thunder but strong dynamics may offset weak instability. Have left out though at this point. Post FROPA cool advection will bring a seasonable Wednesday and a chilly Thursday. Weak warm advection appears to materialize as early as Friday.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A weak impulse across eastern NC will exit while a slightly stronger one currently crossing GA will move into the Carolinas during this evening. As a result will maintain TEMPO -RA at the terminals, however CIGs/VSBYs are expected to remain VFR. Skies are expected to clear during Saturday morning and winds will veer around to a N-NEly direction during the day.

Extended Outlook . Mostly VFR Sat night into Sun morning. TEMPO MVFR conditions possible at times Sun afternoon into Mon as a coastal trough develops and Tuesday as the next cold front approaches. VFR by mid-week.

MARINE. In wake of cold frontal passage tonight, stiff NNE-NE winds expected Saturday and Saturday night, prompting SCA flags for frequent gusts between 25-30 knots. Visibility should not suffer a great deal, with mainly light rain this evening. Weak south wind-waves tonight, will transition to steep and hazardous NE waves Saturday, with dominant wave periods Saturday 6-7 seconds. Latest numerical wave guidance shows buoy 41013, Frying Pan Shoals, reaching and holding at 6 feet much of Saturday night. NO TSTMs expected over the inshore waters tonight. Current near shore water temperatures ranging from 54-58, and as such, mariners should be equipped anti-hypothermia gear and clothing in case of overboard situations.

High pressure over land on Sunday while a warm front pushes into the coastal waters. Winds will veer and ease some in speed but some advisory-worthy 6 ft seas still appear possible, generally only off NC coast. Southwesterly flow will then be in place Monday and Tuesday as both a large area of high pressure sits off the coast and a cold front approaches from the west. The gradient could remain strong enough to maintain near advisory level seas again mainly for our NC zones. An abrupt wind shift early Tuesday night heralds the arrival of the front. Northerly winds on WEdnesday may finally lighten enough and cause enough wave shadowing for any advisories to drop.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM Saturday to 6 AM EST Sunday for AMZ250-252-254-256.



SYNOPSIS . ILM UPDATE . TRA NEAR TERM . 08 SHORT TERM . mbB LONG TERM . mbB AVIATION . SRP

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
NIWS1 - North Inlet-Winyah Bay Reserve, SC	22 mi	76 min	NE 2.9	56°F			1021 hPa	54°F
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC	28 mi	43 min		56°F

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Georgetown County Airport , SC	21 mi	66 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	54°F	53°F	100%	1021.7 hPa
Conway Horry County Airport, SC	23 mi	66 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Fair	52°F	51°F	100%	1022 hPa
Kingstree Williamsburg Regional Airport, SC	24 mi	66 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Overcast	52°F	51°F	100%	1022 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGGE

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Tide / Current Tables for Rhems, Black Mingo Creek, Black River, South Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for Mt. Pleasant Plantation, Black River, South Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (20,4,5,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC

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