Friday, December6, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Stuckey, SC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 5:08PM Friday December 6, 2019 8:00 PM EST (01:00 UTC) Moonrise 2:09PMMoonset 1:39AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ256 Coastal Waters From Murrells Inlet To South Santee River Sc Out 20 Nm- 609 Pm Est Fri Dec 6 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from 6 am est Saturday through late Saturday night...
Tonight..NE winds 10 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 2 ft. A chance of showers, mainly this evening.
Sat..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
Sat night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
Sun..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming se 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. A chance of showers through the day.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. A chance of showers.
AMZ200 609 Pm Est Fri Dec 6 2019
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. A cold front will move across the waters late tonight. Increasingly rough seas are expected to develop next week as a coastal low develops offshore.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stuckey, SC
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location: 33.6, -79.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 062333 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 633 PM EST Fri Dec 6 2019

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will bring light rain tonight, followed by cooling and drying into the weekend. Noticeable warming to follow Monday and Tuesday ahead of a cold front Tuesday night.

UPDATE. Light rain and sprinkles will continue along the coast through most of the evening, particularly near Cape Fear where modest but persistent isentropic lift is shown to continue. Chances for measurable rain are diminishing in the Pee Dee region. This latest update mainly is for PoPs and Wx, and also tweaks temps based on observations.

Thunderstorms earlier in Wilmington produced a measured wind gust to 43 knots (49 mph) at the ILM airport. Even though the convection was elevated with convective cloud bases around 12000 feet AGL, precip falling into sub-cloud dry air with steep lapse rates likely led to generation of negative buoyancy (-250 J/kg) and a microburst. Mesonet stations within a few miles of the airport showed winds below 20 mph throughout the event.

-TRA

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. Trace amounts of rain approaching I-95, as virga gradually makes inroads to the surface. Nightfall, or shortly thereafter, light rain will reach farther east by the coast, as column RH increases from the virga. Moisture depth, and longevity of this feature over the area, will equate to system rain totals of .05-0.15 with isolated totals of 1/4-1/3 inch, rain edging off the coast after 6-7z.

Meager CAPE aloft this evening, limited moisture, low wind shear, and surface stability, should team-up to prevent any TSTMS tonight.

Drying, breezy, cooler into Saturday, gusts to 25 mph at the coast at times, 55-60 max-T expected, 60 most likely to be reached over the NE SC interior. Other than fleeting cirrus, plenty sunshine set for Saturday. After a peak in dewpoints of around 50 this evening, Td will drop off to near 40 Saturday. 10-meter wind average over land to remain at 10 knots or higher through Saturday evening.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. Surface high pressure wedge to hold intact on Sunday whilst a developing warm front stalls along the coast. The light rain that breaks out as a result of the isentropic lift appears to largely hold off until Sunday night. When the rain does move in it will tend to favor coastal areas both with respect to POPs and QPF. Sunday will be quite seasonable despite the increasing clouds whereas the same clouds will diminish the diurnal curve for a mild night.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Deep layer southwesterly flow will lead to a considerable warmup Monday and Tuesday, bolstered by the approach of a cold front on Tuesday. A few showers may precede the boundary later Tuesday but most of the rain will come Tuesday night with its arrival. Diurnal timing not very favorable for thunder but strong dynamics may offset weak instability. Have left out though at this point. Post FROPA cool advection will bring a seasonable Wednesday and a chilly Thursday. Weak warm advection appears to materialize as early as Friday.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A weak impulse across eastern NC will exit while a slightly stronger one currently crossing GA will move into the Carolinas during this evening. As a result will maintain TEMPO -RA at the terminals, however CIGs/VSBYs are expected to remain VFR. Skies are expected to clear during Saturday morning and winds will veer around to a N-NEly direction during the day.

Extended Outlook . Mostly VFR Sat night into Sun morning. TEMPO MVFR conditions possible at times Sun afternoon into Mon as a coastal trough develops and Tuesday as the next cold front approaches. VFR by mid-week.

MARINE. In wake of cold frontal passage tonight, stiff NNE-NE winds expected Saturday and Saturday night, prompting SCA flags for frequent gusts between 25-30 knots. Visibility should not suffer a great deal, with mainly light rain this evening. Weak south wind-waves tonight, will transition to steep and hazardous NE waves Saturday, with dominant wave periods Saturday 6-7 seconds. Latest numerical wave guidance shows buoy 41013, Frying Pan Shoals, reaching and holding at 6 feet much of Saturday night. NO TSTMs expected over the inshore waters tonight. Current near shore water temperatures ranging from 54-58, and as such, mariners should be equipped anti-hypothermia gear and clothing in case of overboard situations.

High pressure over land on Sunday while a warm front pushes into the coastal waters. Winds will veer and ease some in speed but some advisory-worthy 6 ft seas still appear possible, generally only off NC coast. Southwesterly flow will then be in place Monday and Tuesday as both a large area of high pressure sits off the coast and a cold front approaches from the west. The gradient could remain strong enough to maintain near advisory level seas again mainly for our NC zones. An abrupt wind shift early Tuesday night heralds the arrival of the front. Northerly winds on WEdnesday may finally lighten enough and cause enough wave shadowing for any advisories to drop.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM Saturday to 6 AM EST Sunday for AMZ250-252-254-256.



SYNOPSIS . ILM UPDATE . TRA NEAR TERM . 08 SHORT TERM . mbB LONG TERM . mbB AVIATION . SRP


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NIWS1 - North Inlet-Winyah Bay Reserve, SC 22 mi76 min NE 2.9 56°F 1021 hPa54°F
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 28 mi43 min 56°F

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Georgetown County Airport , SC21 mi66 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy54°F53°F100%1021.7 hPa
Conway Horry County Airport, SC23 mi66 minN 010.00 miFair52°F51°F100%1022 hPa
Kingstree Williamsburg Regional Airport, SC24 mi66 minN 010.00 miOvercast52°F51°F100%1022 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGGE

Wind History from GGE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3SE5SE5E3SE3CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSW4SW4SW5W7W6W4W5W6W4W6W5W4W4NW3NW4N5NE3CalmW3CalmSE5CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmSW3SW3SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW5CalmW7W5W9W7W4W4W9W12W4W4SW4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Rhems, Black Mingo Creek, Black River, South Carolina
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Rhems
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:39 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 03:10 AM EST     0.88 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:09 AM EST     1.72 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:08 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:34 PM EST     1.22 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:09 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 09:33 PM EST     1.75 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.110.90.91.11.31.51.71.71.71.61.51.41.31.21.21.31.41.61.71.71.71.6

Tide / Current Tables for Mt. Pleasant Plantation, Black River, South Carolina
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Mt. Pleasant Plantation
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:39 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 03:01 AM EST     0.88 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:47 AM EST     1.77 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:08 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:25 PM EST     1.22 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:09 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 09:11 PM EST     1.79 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.10.90.911.21.41.61.71.81.71.61.51.41.31.21.21.31.51.61.71.81.81.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.