Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Buena Park, CA

.SHORT TERM (TDY-FRI)...18/253 PM.

High confidence in relatively quiet weather through at least early next week with winds the main concern for portions of southwest California. Wednesday through Friday is the main target for an enhanced wind threat due to an inside slider slowly passing to our northeast. Late Wednesday through early Thursday with a 30-50 percent chance of advisory level northwest to north winds focused across interior areas and some coast and valleys, most notably the Santa Barbara South Coast and extending into the valleys and mountains near the Los Angeles/Ventura County border.
Late Thursday into Friday a moderate Santa Ana is the most likely outcome with offshore (LAX-DAG) gradients peaking between -4 to -6 with a 60-70 percent chance of advisory level winds for the typical Santa Ana corridor in Los Angeles and Ventura Counties.
Temperatures will gradually warm through Friday with highs in the 70s becoming more widespread, especially west of the mountains due to compressional heating associated with the Santa Ana event.

.LONG TERM (SAT-TUE)...18/253 PM.

The weekend will likely be a lull in wind for most of Southwest California with continued warming for many areas as a ridge peaks across the region with widespread highs in the 70s with some 80s possible in the warmest areas.

Early next week northwest to northerly flow will likely increase, possibly leading to advisory northwest to north winds focused across prone areas such as southwest Santa Barbara County and interior mountains and deserts including the I-5 corridor in the mountains. Onshore trends or a possible eddy for southern areas will favor an increase in night to morning low clouds and fog especially for coastal areas of Los Angeles, Ventura, and the Santa Barbara County South Coast. Above normal temperatures will likely continue except for near the coast where increased marine influence may reduce temperatures closer to normal.

Rain chances are minimal to none through to near the end of the month if not into early March, when there is some signal for wet weather to potentially return.

AVIATION
18/2356Z.

Around 23Z, the marine layer depth was around 800 feet deep at KLAX. The top of the inversion was around 2000 feet with a temperature around 16 degrees Celsius.

High confidence in the current forecast through 04Z, then moderate confidence in the current forecast. Higher confidence exists in timing and winds. Less confidence exists in the flight categories. There is a low-to-moderate chance of LIFR to IFR conditions after 04Z as coastal and valley terminals with slightly higher chances at KPRB and at Los Angeles County coastal terminals.

KLAX...There is a 30 percent chance of IFR conditions after 04Z, otherwise VFR conditions are expected through the period. Any east winds will be than 7 knots.

KBUR...There is a 10 percent chance of IFR conditions after 10Z, otherwise VFR conditions are expected through the period. No wind impacts are expected at this time.

MARINE
18/110 PM.

The Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level northwest winds over the region will weaken and shrink in coverage through Wednesday morning, then strengthen again Wednesday afternoon and night, expanding into the nearshore waters of the Central Coast and western Santa Barbara Channel. These winds will change little on Thursday, then shift to northeasterly Friday morning. There is a moderate chance of low-end SCA level winds from Ventura through Santa Monica, and a low chance of such winds from Orange County to Catalina. Moderate confidence in relatively light winds to follow over the weekend, except for low-end SCA northwest winds beyond 20 miles from shore.

The currently large SCA-level seas will continue to subside through tonight. The seas are running larger than models are indicating, as is usual for larger seas. Seas will build again Wednesday Night into Thursday.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...High Surf Advisory in effect until 3 AM PST Wednesday for zones 340-346-354. (See LAXCFWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 PM PST this evening for zones 645-670. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect from 1 PM Wednesday to 2 AM PST Thursday for zone 650. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect until 5 AM PST Thursday for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).