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Marine Weather and Tides Calabash, NC Version 3.4

NOTICE 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 6:41AM

Sunset 7:54PM

Friday August 23, 2019 7:27 AM EDT (11:27 UTC)

Moonrise 11:40PM

Moonset 12:56PM

Illumination 46%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Calabash, NC

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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC

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Fxus62 kilm 230757 afdilm area forecast discussion national weather service wilmington nc 357 am edt Fri aug 23 2019 Synopsis Scattered thunderstorms will become more numerous this weekend as a front stalls in the area. The front will linger offshore early next week. A tropical low may track north up through the offshore waters of the southeast coast early next week, lifting off to the northeast through mid week. Near term through Saturday Today overall looks similar to yesterday with mainly scattered and fairly typical summertime shower TSTM activity this afternoon with deep layered ridging just offshore. Our northern counties are in a marginal risk for severe, though main forcing will be north of area with approaching cold front so not expecting significant issues. Rain chances gradually ramp up from NW to SE this evening and into early Sat as front pushes into the region. Still expecting good coverage of showers tstms on Sat as front at least briefly gets hung up as it interacts with sea breeze circulation. Best coverage and highest QPF amounts in the near term expected to be 18z Sat to 00z sun when the best combo of forcing and diurnal influence are realized. Temps will continue a little above normal today in prefrontal environment (mostly low to mid 90s upper 80s beaches), before coming down considerably Saturday as N NE winds develop behind front (esp. Away from immediate coast) in addition to widespread cloudiness precip anticipated. Expect low 80s north of a florence to topsail line and mid 80s to the south. Short term Saturday night through Monday night Cold front should get hung up along the coast as low pressure begins to track up from the south over the off shore waters sat night into Sunday. Lingering convection along and ahead of the front should keep greatest QPF closer to the coast Sat evening. High pressure will nose in from the north behind the front leaving a northerly flow over much of the carolinas by sun. The gradient should tighten as low tracks up from the south in the offshore waters. There remains much uncertainty at this point in regards to possible development of this tropical low. Ecmwf, gfs and NAM all show a sfc low tracking between 100 and 200 miles off the southeast coast late Sun through Monday. The gfs tends to be closest to the coast but weaker, while the ecmwf tends to be a bit stronger but farther off shore. Track and intensity of this low could obviously make a big difference in the weather over the local area. For now, it looks like the best convection and winds will remain well off shore with a more stable air mass over inland areas where the high extends down over. Nhc has been forecasting a progressively greater chance of formation with this low as it tracks offshore of the southeast coast early next week. Overall, it looks like deep layer moisture with plenty of clouds and greater chc of pcp will exist through Sunday, but some drier air could be drawn down from the north on back end of the low, especially if it intensifies well offshore to our east. Long term Tuesday through Thursday

Low will lift off to the northeast through mid week allowing for some drying, but looks like another front will make its way into the carolinas tues into wed. This front may stall out along or near the coast as high pressure builds in behind it. This may keep unsettled weather, especially along the coast through mid to late week. Aviation 06z Friday through Tuesday PredominantlyVFR conditions continue today. Any fog this morning should be limited given continued SW winds. Expect scattered cumulus clouds around 5kft with diurnal heating this afternoon along with a chance of showers tstms, especially terminals away from the coast. Showers tstms will be capable of producing brief MVFR ifr. Rain chances begin to increase late tonight as cold front begins to move into region. Extended... Unsettled weather with MVFR ifr possible into Saturday with frontal system in area. Front will likely move just off the coast into Sunday but lingering moisture likely to lead to additional restrictions. Also watching potential tropical system moving NE just off the coast into early next week. Confidence low on related specifics at this time. Marine One more day of fairly status-quo, moderate SW ssw winds is on tap as offshore high pressure dominates. Expect the typical surge in the afternoon early evening but should mostly be below 20kts. Seas will be 2 to 3 ft in a mix of short period ssw windsea and climatological 8-10s SE swell. Winds will briefly trend more westerly and diminish late tonight as front approaches, before becoming highly variable through the day on Saturday as front slows down and we see local sea breeze influence esp. Near the coast. Either way velocities should be at or below 10kt on Sat with seas around 2ft. Shower TSTM chances ramp up into Sat though as front moves into region. Light southerly winds Sat eve ahead of front dropping down from the north will shift around to the n-ne as front moves into or south of the waters by sun. Forecast is highly dependent on track and possible development of tropical low which is forecast to move up through the offshore waters of the southeast coast late Sunday through Monday. The gradient should tighten enough to produce a stiffer northerly flow and, in return, an increase in seas. As it stands now, seas 3 ft or less Sat night into early Sun will increase as low makes its closest pass, possibly within 150 miles of the carolina coast, late Sun through Monday. Wave models shows seas up over 4 ft Sun night into mon, but this forecast could change depending on low. NHC has been forecasting a greater chc of development but much uncertainty still exists. This low will lift off to the northeast Mon night into tues with an off shore flow developing. Seas will diminish heading into mid week. Ilm watches warnings advisories Sc... None. Nc... None. Marine... None. Synopsis... Ilm near term... Mcw short term... Rgz long term... Rgz aviation... Mcw marine... Rgz mcw

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2)	5 mi	79 min	WSW 12 G 18	82°F	85°F		1017.1 hPa
41119	5 mi	37 min			84°F	2 ft
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC	23 mi	57 min		79°F
41108	31 mi	57 min			84°F	3 ft
WLON7	41 mi	63 min		78°F	85°F		1017.2 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC	48 mi	57 min	SW 7 G 8.9				1016.8 hPa
NIWS1 - North Inlet-Winyah Bay Reserve, SC	48 mi	102 min	NW 1	78°F			1016 hPa	77°F
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC	49 mi	79 min	WSW 12 G 16	82°F	84°F		1016.8 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC	49 mi	47 min			84°F	2 ft

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
North Myrtle Beach Grand Strand Airport, SC	9 mi	2.6 hrs	SW 4	10.00 mi	Fair	80°F	75°F	87%	1016.4 hPa
Myrtle Beach Air Force Base, SC	22 mi	91 min	S 3	10.00 mi	Fair	79°F	75°F	90%	1017.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCRE

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Tide / Current Tables for Dunn Sound, Little River Inlet, South Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for Myrtle Beach Airport, ICWW, South Carolina

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Weather Map and Satellite Images

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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (7,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC

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Disclaimer: The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.