Friday, August23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Caswell Beach, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:37AMSunset 7:51PM Friday August 23, 2019 9:04 AM EDT (13:04 UTC) Moonrise 11:38PMMoonset 12:54PM Illumination 45% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ252 Coastal Waters From Cape Fear Nc To Little River Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 605 Am Edt Fri Aug 23 2019
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Sat..W winds 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Showers and tstms likely.
Sat night..E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Showers. Tstms likely, mainly in the evening.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms through the day, then a chance of showers through the night.
Mon..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..E winds 10 kt, becoming sw. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 605 Am Edt Fri Aug 23 2019
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Bermuda high pressure will remain offshore today. A cold front will drop southward into the area Saturday before stalling just offshore Sunday and Monday. Meanwhile, some slow tropical development is possible with an area of low pressure to move ne from the bahamas and florida Sunday and Monday. Mariners should Monitor the forecast closely for potential changes.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Caswell Beach, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 33.9, -78.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kilm 231127
afdilm
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
730 am edt Fri aug 23 2019

Synopsis
Scattered thunderstorms will become more numerous this weekend
as a front stalls in the area. The front will linger offshore
early next week. A tropical low may track north up through the
offshore waters of the southeast coast early next week, lifting
off to the northeast through mid week.

Near term through Saturday
Today overall looks similar to yesterday with mainly scattered and
fairly typical summertime shower TSTM activity this afternoon with
deep layered ridging just offshore. Our northern counties are in a
marginal risk for severe, though main forcing will be north of area
with approaching cold front so not expecting significant issues.

Rain chances gradually ramp up from NW to SE this evening and into
early Sat as front pushes into the region. Still expecting good
coverage of showers tstms on Sat as front at least briefly gets hung
up as it interacts with sea breeze circulation. Best coverage and
highest QPF amounts in the near term expected to be 18z Sat to 00z
sun when the best combo of forcing and diurnal influence are
realized.

Temps will continue a little above normal today in prefrontal
environment (mostly low to mid 90s upper 80s beaches), before coming
down considerably Saturday as N NE winds develop behind front (esp.

Away from immediate coast) in addition to widespread
cloudiness precip anticipated. Expect low 80s north of a florence to
topsail line and mid 80s to the south.

Short term Saturday night through Monday night
Cold front should get hung up along the coast as low pressure
begins to track up from the south over the off shore waters sat
night into Sunday. Lingering convection along and ahead of the
front should keep greatest QPF closer to the coast Sat evening.

High pressure will nose in from the north behind the front
leaving a northerly flow over much of the carolinas by sun. The
gradient should tighten as low tracks up from the south in the
offshore waters. There remains much uncertainty at this point in
regards to possible development of this tropical low. Ecmwf,
gfs and NAM all show a sfc low tracking between 100 and 200
miles off the southeast coast late Sun through Monday. The gfs
tends to be closest to the coast but weaker, while the ecmwf
tends to be a bit stronger but farther off shore. Track and
intensity of this low could obviously make a big difference in
the weather over the local area. For now, it looks like the best
convection and winds will remain well off shore with a more
stable air mass over inland areas where the high extends down over.

Nhc has been forecasting a progressively greater chance of
formation with this low as it tracks offshore of the southeast
coast early next week. Overall, it looks like deep layer
moisture with plenty of clouds and greater chc of pcp will exist
through Sunday, but some drier air could be drawn down from the
north on back end of the low, especially if it intensifies well
offshore to our east.

Long term Tuesday through Thursday
Low will lift off to the northeast through mid week allowing
for some drying, but looks like another front will make its way
into the carolinas tues into wed. This front may stall out along
or near the coast as high pressure builds in behind it. This
may keep unsettled weather, especially along the coast through
mid to late week.

Aviation 12z Friday through Tuesday
Vfr conditions continue today with possible ifr for inland TAF sites
after 06 utc as a frontal boundary slow moves through the area and
increase the low-level moisture. MVFR br and or ifr stratus is a
distinct possibility at that time. Showers tstms will be capable of
producing brief MVFR ifr. Rain chances begin to increase late
tonight as cold front begins to move into region.

Extended... Unsettled weather with MVFR ifr possible into
Saturday with frontal system in area. Front will likely move
just off the coast into Sunday but lingering moisture likely to
lead to additional restrictions. Also watching potential
tropical system moving NE just off the coast into early next
week. Confidence low on related specifics at this time.

Marine
One more day of fairly status-quo, moderate SW ssw winds is on tap
as offshore high pressure dominates. Expect the typical surge in the
afternoon early evening but should mostly be below 20kts. Seas will
be 2 to 3 ft in a mix of short period ssw windsea and climatological
8-10s SE swell. Winds will briefly trend more westerly and diminish
late tonight as front approaches, before becoming highly variable
through the day on Saturday as front slows down and we see local sea
breeze influence esp. Near the coast. Either way velocities should
be at or below 10kt on Sat with seas around 2ft. Shower TSTM chances
ramp up into Sat though as front moves into region.

Light southerly winds Sat eve ahead of front dropping down from
the north will shift around to the n-ne as front moves into or
south of the waters by sun. Forecast is highly dependent on
track and possible development of tropical low which is forecast
to move up through the offshore waters of the southeast coast
late Sunday through Monday. The gradient should tighten enough
to produce a stiffer northerly flow and, in return, an increase
in seas. As it stands now, seas 3 ft or less Sat night into
early Sun will increase as low makes its closest pass, possibly
within 150 miles of the carolina coast, late Sun through
Monday. Wave models shows seas up over 4 ft Sun night into mon,
but this forecast could change depending on low. NHC has been
forecasting a greater chc of development but much uncertainty
still exists. This low will lift off to the northeast Mon night
into tues with an off shore flow developing. Seas will diminish
heading into mid week.

Ilm watches warnings advisories
Sc... None.

Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Ilm
near term... Mcw
short term... Rgz
long term... Rgz
aviation... Rh
marine... Rgz mcw


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41108 13 mi34 min 84°F3 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 21 mi56 min WSW 12 G 16 82°F 84°F1018 hPa
41119 22 mi74 min 84°F2 ft
WLON7 24 mi52 min 81°F 85°F1018.1 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 25 mi24 min 84°F2 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 26 mi56 min WSW 12 G 16 82°F 84°F1017.7 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 27 mi52 min WSW 7 G 11 83°F 84°F1017.4 hPa
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 37 mi34 min SW 7.8 G 9.7 84°F 84°F1018 hPa77°F
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 39 mi56 min WSW 12 G 16 81°F 84°F1018.2 hPa
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 47 mi46 min 81°F

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
Last
24hr
SW7
G10
SW14
G19
SW12
G15
SW12
S9
S17
S17
G22
S20
S20
S21
S21
S19
SW13
G18
SW13
SW10
G13
SW10
SW13
SW14
SW16
SW10
G13
SW6
SW5
SW6
SW5
1 day
ago
SW6
G9
SW5
G8
SW10
G15
SW8
G12
S11
G14
S16
G20
S20
S22
S20
S21
S21
S19
SW19
SW15
SW14
G17
SW12
G15
SW9
G12
NW6
SW4
SW6
SW10
SW11
SW7
SW6
2 days
ago
SW7
SW9
SW6
G10
SW8
G11
SW9
S16
S18
S18
S20
S19
S18
SW13
G17
SW13
SW11
S14
S16
SW9
SW8
SW6
G9
SW6
SW7
SW6
SW6
SW9
G14

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick County Airport, NC2 mi69 minWSW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F76°F81%1017.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUT

Wind History from SUT (wind in knots)
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
Last 24hrW11SW10
G16
SW10
G15
SW10
G17
SW11
G15
SW9
G15
S11
G15
SW10
G16
S10
G14
S9
G15
S7S6SW7SW7SW5SW7SW7SW6SW7SW7SW5SW7SW6SW8
1 day agoSW9W10SW7SW8
G14
SW10SW7SW9
G14
S8
G15
S8
G16
SW6SW8SW7
G14
SW9
G15
SW8
G15
SW7SW7SW8SW11
G14
SW9SW6SW8SW6W7W9
G14
2 days agoW6SW7SW6SW7S7SW7SW6SW7SW6SW9SW4--------S5--S4SW6SW6SW6SW3
G20
CalmSW7

Tide / Current Tables for Yaupon Beach, North Carolina
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Yaupon Beach
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:47 AM EDT     4.46 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:04 AM EDT     0.76 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:58 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 01:33 PM EDT     5.05 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:47 PM EDT     1.33 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
4.44.54.23.52.61.710.811.72.73.84.6554.63.82.821.51.31.62.33.2

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Fear, North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Cape Fear
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:53 AM EDT     4.08 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:25 AM EDT     0.69 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:58 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 01:39 PM EDT     4.62 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:08 PM EDT     1.20 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
44.13.93.42.61.71.10.70.81.32.23.34.14.54.64.33.62.821.41.21.41.92.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (9,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.