Friday, January28, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Utting, AZ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:36AMSunset 6:04PM Friday January 28, 2022 2:59 PM MST (21:59 UTC) Moonrise 4:17AMMoonset 2:16PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Utting, AZ
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location: 33.95, -113.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Phoenix, AZ
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FXUS65 KPSR 282012 AFDPSR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 112 PM MST Fri Jan 28 2022

SYNOPSIS. Windy weather will continue through tomorrow morning near the mountain peaks east of Phoenix. Elsewhere, the strong gusts will decrease this evening into Saturday. Quiet weather is largely expected to continue for the next several days with seasonable temperatures. Weak weather systems will pass through the Desert Southwest on Sunday and Wednesday. Some additional cloud cover is expected at times, but most locations will stay dry. DISCUSSION. As expected, it has been a windy period of weather across much of the forecast area. Peak gusts have approached but largely remained just below our wind advisory criteria around the Phoenix Metro. In our higher elevations east of Phoenix, we have recorded some wind gusts over 40 mph which falls directly in line with the zones included in today's wind advisory.

As of this morning, a sprawling surface high pressure system was centered over NW Colorado, with healthy max pressures measured at just over 1050mb. This dense, cold, continental air mass is diving into Mid-America behind an impressive shortwave, which will phase with a trough to spawn a major East Coast winter storm over the next 24 hours. The glancing blow of this energy was not able to drop our temperatures, but it has caused a rather healthy pressure gradient across Arizona.

Combine this pressure gradient with near full sunshine and very dry air (PHX PWATs around 0.15 inch), and you have a recipe for efficient boundary layer mixing which has led to our windy conditions. As we move ahead into tonight, NBM guidance suggests that, while winds will decrease in the lower deserts, gusty conditions will persist in some of our higher terrain east of Phoenix. Thus, we will be extending the wind advisory for a handful of zones to account for this through tomorrow morning. Thanks to NWS Tucson for the collaboration!

A ridge of high pressure will quickly move across the state on Saturday. By pre-dawn Sunday, a weak upper level low arrives. A handful of EPS members present a bit of measurable precipitation, however most are dry. NBM PoPs are under 5% with this system for Phoenix - so expect some virga or a few sprinkles. If anyone gets light/non-impactful precipitation from this system, it will likely be eastern Gila county where Blend PoPs are slightly over 15%. This system will slip off to our east by Sunday evening, leaving us with a quiet start to the work week.

So, to summarize through early next week, mainly quiet weather is forecast. Temperatures hold near seasonable norms with intervals of high and mid level clouds occasionally blotting out the sunshine.

Forecast models are still struggling to resolve the depth of a trough that will pivot through the Western U.S. beginning late on Tuesday. Run-to-run continuity has been less than stellar. Cluster analysis from last night's 0Z models reveals respectable variance in the depth of the trough, with better agreement on the timing of it. Looking closer at the ensemble suite, most members are dry with this system at PHX, but a few do have some light precip - indicative of the disagreement. NBM probabilities of measurable precip are still under 10% for most locations in our forecast area. Notably, EFI tables do show some slightly elevated values for surface winds with this system (around 0.60). We will continue to monitor the trends with this feature as it gets closer.

AVIATION. Updated 1810Z.

South-Central Arizona including KPHX, KIWA, KSDL, and KDVT:

Strong wind gusts will continue to plague the terminal area for the rest of this morning and early afternoon with ENE gusts of 20-30 kts. A few stronger (but isolated) gusts cannot be ruled out. These speeds should weaken through the afternoon after 21/22Z and into the evening. For tonight, winds will stay out of the east to northeast and at relatively lighter speeds than the previous morning. Elevated winds above the surface may create LLWS, particularly for those terminals closest to the mountains east of Phoenix.

Southeast California/Southwest Arizona including KIPL and KBLH:

At KIPL, winds will shift from WNW to N and then back to WNW through the TAF period. The strongest winds will occur this afternoon with speeds between 8-12 kts. At KBLH, strong northerly winds with speeds of 15-20 kts will continue through this afternoon before weakening to below 10 kts while directions become more westerly.

FIRE WEATHER. Sunday through Thursday: A dry weather system moving quickly through on Sunday will have little to no impact on the region as near normal temperatures and dry conditions persist into early next week. A colder, but still fairly dry weather system is then anticipated for Tuesday into Wednesday, likely bringing more breezy to possibly windy conditions, below normal temperatures, and chances for mainly high terrain light precipitation. Min RHs through much of the period will mostly be between 10-20% over the lower deserts, while overnight max RHs are mostly between 30-50%.

PSR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AZ . Wind Advisory until 9 AM MST Saturday for AZZ552-557-558.

CA . None.

Visit us on Facebook, Twitter, and at weather.gov/phoenix

DISCUSSION . Heil AVIATION . 12 FIRE WEATHER . Kuhlman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Blythe, Blythe Airport, CA50 mi67 minNNE 810.00 miFair67°F4°F8%1026.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBLH

Wind History from BLH (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrN12N11N10N8N6N10NW9--N17N18N17N11N10N11N13NW9NE4NW10N11N16N15N14N14NE8
1 day agoN8
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----N7NW6NW6N8N9NW8NW8NW8NW9NW7W64N3SW4W6SW700N136N11
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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