Tuesday, October22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Utting, AZ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 5:56PM Tuesday October 22, 2019 5:59 PM MST (00:59 UTC) Moonrise 12:23AMMoonset 2:44PM Illumination 31% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Utting, AZ
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location: 33.95, -113.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Phoenix, AZ
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Fxus65 kpsr 230013
afdpsr
area forecast discussion
national weather service phoenix az
513 pm mst Tue oct 22 2019

Update Updated aviation discussion.

Synopsis
Dry conditions with mostly sunny skies will persist through the
weekend. High pressure over the eastern pacific will result in a
warmup through midweek. Temperatures will peak today and
Wednesday with highs in the low 90s across the lower deserts.

Temperatures should cool slightly beginning Thursday through the
weekend in response to a trough passing by to the northeast. A
stronger trough pattern across the western u.S. Early next week
should bring the coolest temperatures of the season.

Discussion
The current dry, tranquil weather pattern will continue allowing
for clear skies and slightly above normal temperatures to persist
over the next couple of days. SPC mesoanalysis this afternoon
shows a strong high pressure system over the eastern pacific
resulting in dry northwesterly flow aloft over the desert
southwest. A slight eastward shift in the ridge today will result
in warmer temperatures today and tomorrow with temperatures
topping out in the low 90s across much of the lower deserts this
afternoon and tomorrow afternoon.

Operational and ensemble guidance solutions begin to diverge
going into the latter half of the week in regards to an
approaching trough. Operational ECMWF continues to toy with the
idea of a trough digging into new mexico before developing into a
cut-off low. Euro guidance shows a notable difference in
temperatures compared to GFS and NAM guidance with euro ensemble
means showing highs in the low 80s for phoenix Thursday through
Saturday. GFS and NAM guidance are in better agreement with each
other in digging the trough into northern new mexico before
ejecting off toward the east. This seems to be the more likely
solution. Right now, continue to go with nbm temperatures, which
keeps temperatures in the mid to upper 80s Thursday through the
end of the week.

Behind the trough, an upstream area of high pressure over the
eastern pacific will shift to the southwest while simultaneously
weakening as it approaches the region. Meanwhile, a more
impressive longwave trough with multiple embedded shortwaves looks
to dig down from the pacific northwest early next week, resulting
in much lower temperatures. The first piece of energy to dig into
the southwest CONUS may even bring a small chance of rain but
there is much uncertainty this far out.

Aviation Updated at 0013z
south-central arizona including kphx, kiwa, ksdl, and kdvt:
light diurnal winds will prevail as high pressure persists along
the west coast. Northwesterly winds aloft may advect smoke from
distant forest fires into the phoenix area producing slant
visibility issues Wednesday morning. Otherwise, mostly clear skies
can be expected.

Southeast california southwest arizona including kipl and kblh:
diurnal winds will prevail as high pressure persists along the
west coast. Wind speeds will generally remain below 10 kt at both
kipl and kblh through Wednesday evening.

Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs.

Fire weather
Friday through Tuesday:
continued dry conditions with slightly above normal temperatures
and periodic breezy conditions are expected through the period.

Temperatures begin to settle into the mid to upper 80s by Friday
and for most of the remaining period. Breezy conditions on
Thursday begin to taper off on Friday as the responsible weather
system moves off toward the east. Breezy conditions begin to
decrease Friday with light diurnal tendencies favored for the
weekend. Expect min rh values to stay mainly in the 6-12 percent
range across the lower deserts through Saturday and then bump up
into the teens by Sunday.

Spotter information statement
Spotters should follow standard reporting procedures.

Psr watches warnings advisories
Az... None.

Ca... None.

Discussion... Smith
aviation... Hirsch
fire weather... Smith sawtelle


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Blythe, Blythe Airport, CA50 mi67 minNNW 810.00 miFair93°F24°F8%1013.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBLH

Wind History from BLH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW7NW7N7N11NW7NW4NW9NW93SW64E34N11E3S4SE3E43NE8N7
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1 day agoN12NE5NW12NW11NW14
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NW9N12S3CalmN5N9NW5W4SW4SW5CalmSE5S4N13N11
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2 days agoSE5CalmW3N5NW3CalmCalmCalmSW6NW9N4SW6W55NW3N12N17N22N22
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N13

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Phoenix, AZ (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Yuma, AZ
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.