Thursday, December12, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Utting, AZ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:33AMSunset 5:28PM Thursday December 12, 2019 1:12 PM MST (20:12 UTC) Moonrise 6:09PMMoonset 7:54AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Utting, AZ
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location: 33.95, -113.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Phoenix, AZ
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FXUS65 KPSR 121757 AFDPSR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 1057 AM MST Thu Dec 12 2019

UPDATE. Updated aviation discussion.

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will result in a slight warming trend through Saturday. Skies will be mostly clear with just a few periods of clouds. A mostly dry weather system will arrive Sunday bringing cooler temperatures across the area with chilly morning low temperatures Monday and Tuesday. Temperatures will rebound slowly through the first half of next week.

DISCUSSION. Temperatures have dropped into the upper 40s for most lower desert locations and will continue to cool into the mid 40s through sunrise. Satellite analysis shows yesterday's shortwave has quickly cleared to the east which will allow ridging to build over the extreme southwestern corner of the CONUS. The H5 heights will increase to 582-584 dm across central Arizona resulting in a slight warming trend. Afternoon highs will remain in or near the low 70s through Saturday although intermittent high cloud cover may keep temperatures a degree or two cooler than otherwise could be.

A mostly dry system will pass through the area late Saturday/Sunday causing temperatures to cool by 5 to 10 degrees with Monday being the coolest day in the forecast period. Overnight low temperatures will be chilly with most desert locations reaching the low 40s or upper 30s. For Sunday, tightening of the pressure gradient and strong 850 mb winds will translate into breezy conditions, first across southeast California and then south-central Arizona, with the strongest gusts reaching 30-35 mph. Overall moisture content will be limited with insignificant PoPs on Sunday across the forecast area except for the higher terrain north and east of Phoenix such as the Mazatzals and other mountains in Gila County. The overwhelming majority of GEFS and EPS members show no rain for KPHX although a stray shower in the general Phoenix area still cannot be completely ruled out.

Ridging will again rebuild in the wake of that trough with temperatures warming a few degrees through Wednesday. Another weather system late next week will at least repress the ridge keeping temperatures from returning to the 70s. This system may dip far enough south over the Pacific enabling enough moisture to enter the region and provide a better environment for showers as compared to the upcoming system this Sunday.

AVIATION. Updated at 1756Z.

South-Central Arizona including KPHX, KIWA, KSDL, and KDVT; Southeast California/Southwest Arizona including KIPL and KBLH:

Weak high pressure aloft will allow for variable amounts of high clouds to spread across the terminals with SCT-BKN cirrus decks during the TAF period. Winds will be very light and only weakly follow typical diurnal tendencies, with periods of variability.

FIRE WEATHER. Saturday through Wednesday: Dry conditions under increasing high pressure aloft will prevail through Saturday before a weak low pressure system affects the region Sunday into Monday. Moisture levels with the late weekend system should be rather dry, hindering precipitation chances although there is a chance of rain or high elevation snow on Sunday and Sunday evening over high terrain east of Phoenix. Above normal high temperatures Saturday give way to somewhat cooler conditions Sunday into early next week as highs fall a bit below normal by Monday. A few degrees of warming return Tuesday into Wednesday. Minimum humidity levels initially should stick around 25-35% much of the period, potentially lowering slightly into early next week. Winds will stay light through Saturday before some breezy conditions move in for Sunday and Monday, mainly over deserts west of Phoenix. Light winds return again by Tuesday as weak high pressure aloft returns to the area.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT. Spotters should follow standard reporting procedures.

PSR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. AZ . None. CA . None.

DISCUSSION . Deems AVIATION . Benedict/CB FIRE WEATHER . Kuhlman/CB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Blythe, Blythe Airport, CA50 mi21 minN 010.00 miFair63°F39°F43%1023.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBLH

Wind History from BLH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmNE6CalmCalmNW4NW10NW8NW7CalmN3W4CalmCalmE3CalmSE3NE3NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoN4N5N6E5N3N6N4NE4W5NW5CalmE3NW3CalmN6CalmSW3CalmW3NW3CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoN15
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NW14N11
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NW8NW10N7E4N8E4N7S4N10N5CalmS5W6SE4NW3W3E3CalmW3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Phoenix, AZ (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Yuma, AZ
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.