Thursday, August22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Varnam, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 7:52PM Thursday August 22, 2019 1:32 PM EDT (17:32 UTC) Moonrise 11:00PMMoonset 11:55AM Illumination 54% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
AMZ252 Coastal Waters From Cape Fear Nc To Little River Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 116 Pm Edt Thu Aug 22 2019
This afternoon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. A slight chance of tstms. A slight chance of showers.
Fri night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..SW winds 10 kt, becoming e. Seas 2 ft. Showers and tstms likely.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms through the day, then a chance of showers through the night.
Mon..NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 116 Pm Edt Thu Aug 22 2019
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Bermuda high pressure will remain offshore through the end of the week. A cold front then drops southward into the area Saturday before stalling just offshore Sunday and Monday. Meanwhile, some slow tropical development is possible with the system expected to move ne from the bahamas and florida later this weekend. Mariners should Monitor the forecast closely for potential changes as a result.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Varnam, NC
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 33.96, -78.27     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus62 kilm 221715
afdilm
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
115 pm edt Thu aug 22 2019

Synopsis
Isolated showers and thunderstorms, will become more numerous
in the days ahead, as a front approaches the coast late week,
and stalls into the weekend. The increase in clouds and rain
chances, should bring cooler daytime temperatures this weekend
and early next week. A slow moving tropical low may move up
through the southeast waters early next week.

Near term through Friday
No major changes to our thinking for today. Fairly typical
summertime pattern with bermuda ridge axis to our south and piedmont
trough just inland from the area. Should see another round of
showers tstms during peak heating this aftn early evening but not
expecting significant coverage with overall marginal forcing aloft.

That said kept pops in the typical summertime 25-35% variety. Severe
and flooding concerns overall low today. Temps will be a touch
above normal today in prefrontal regime, but expecting heat
indices to be below advisory level.

Some differences in the guidance regarding potential decaying
convective activity nearing the area tonight associated with short
wave energy rounding a slowly advancing mid level trough to our nw.

Given unfavorable diurnal timing have kept pops slight chance or
below for now. Pops continue to slowly edge up into Fri as much
advertised frontal system approaches. Did trim back timing a bit
first part of the day though, with best chances away from the coast
after 18z. Northern part of area is in a marginal risk for severe
from SPC as forcing slowly improves and plenty of instability during
peak heating. Temps a degree or two cooler on Fri than Thu as the
pattern begins evolving, which will put things right around normal.

Short term Friday night through Saturday night
Mid to upper trough will push a cold front down into the
carolinas Fri night into Saturday. The upper level trough will
become stretched out from W to E leaving the front running
parallel to flow over the region as it stalls over the weekend.

At the same time, a wave or low will move up from bahamas up
off of the southeast coast through the latter half of the
weekend. This will lead to a more unsettled weather pattern with
greater shower and thunderstorm activity in a warm and moist
air mass into the weekend. Temps above normal to start Fri night
may end up below normal Sat as front drops down with increased
clouds and pcp. Lows Sat night should end up near normal.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
Winds should shift around to the NE on Sunday as front drops
south through the carolinas. The winds may increase depending on
development of low pressure as wave moves up from the the
bahamas off the southeast coast. Although the deep layer
moisture diminishes a bit into early next week, some uncertainty
exists in terms of clouds and pcp. Overall, expect better chance
of shwrs along and south of front with lingering clouds and pcp
possible to the north of front. ECMWF shows a better push of
lower dewpoint air in northerly flow early next week, but will
maintain higher cloud cover, chc of pcp and winds. This low
should track off to the n-ne leaving best chc of pcp near the
coast or off shore into the middle of next week. Temps should
spring back from near or below normal into Monday to above
normal tues into Wed as air mass dries out some.

Aviation 17z Thursday through Monday
Vfr conditions to continue this forecast period. Scattered
clouds to continue generally between 4k and 5k ft with the
this afternoons diurnal heating. Winds are expected to be from the
southwest this afternoon 8 to 10 knots inland with higher values at
the coastal sites of kilm, kcre, and kmyr as a sea-breeze develops
and moves inland.

Extended... MainlyVFR thru Fri with brief MVFR ifr periods each
day due to aftn evening convection and fog and or stratus
around daybreak. A cold front will drop south and stall across
the region late Fri thru tue. This will lead to an increase in
tsra coverage with MVFR ifr conditions possible at any time of
the day or night.

Marine
Summertime pattern on tap today and tomorrow, with mostly moderate
sw ssw flow around offshore high pressure and inland
troughing slowly approaching front. Seas will be 2 to 4 feet in a
mix of short period ssw waves from aforementioned local winds and
typical ~1-2ft SE swell at 8-10s. Both winds and seas will be
strongest in the afternoon early evenings per usual.

Southwesterly flow around bermuda high may increase slightly fri
night ahead of a cold front, but overall expect winds becoming
lighter and more variable over the weekend as a front stalls
near or over the local waters. Winds should switch around to the
north by the latter half of the weekend as tropical wave low
moves up from the bahamas in the southeast waters. Front pushes
a little farther south Sun with northeast flow around 10 kt
setting up. Seas around 3 ft Fri night drop closer to 2 ft sat
and Sun before northeast flow pushes seas closer to 3 ft on mon.

Sw wind wave around 5 seconds weakens Sat as SE swell around 9
seconds becomes more dominant. Then shorter period NE wind wave
will increase Sun into mon.

Ilm watches warnings advisories
Sc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for scz054-
056.

Nc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz106-
108.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Ilm
near term... Mcw
short term... Rgz
long term... Rgz
aviation... Rh
marine... Rgz mcw


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41119 14 mi42 min 85°F3 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 14 mi24 min SSW 16 G 19 83°F 85°F1018 hPa
41108 21 mi32 min 84°F3 ft
WLON7 25 mi56 min 91°F 85°F1017.9 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 31 mi44 min S 17 G 19 86°F 84°F1017.3 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 32 mi24 min SW 16 G 21 83°F 84°F1017.4 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 32 mi22 min 84°F3 ft
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 40 mi44 min 85°F
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 46 mi32 min WSW 12 G 16 83°F 84°F1018.6 hPa (-0.7)78°F
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 48 mi24 min W 16 G 21 81°F 84°F1018.2 hPa

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
Last
24hr
S20
S22
S20
S21
S21
S19
SW19
SW15
SW14
G17
SW12
G15
SW9
G12
NW6
SW4
SW6
SW10
SW11
SW7
SW6
SW7
G10
SW14
G19
SW12
G15
SW12
S9
S17
1 day
ago
S18
S18
S20
S19
S18
SW13
G17
SW13
SW11
S14
S16
SW9
SW8
SW6
G9
SW6
SW7
SW6
SW6
SW9
G14
SW6
G9
SW5
G8
SW10
G15
SW8
G12
S11
G14
S16
G20
2 days
ago
S16
S18
S21
S18
S16
SW12
G15
SW10
W4
SW6
SW11
SW10
SW6
G9
SW6
SW7
W4
SW5
W3
W4
SW7
SW9
SW6
G10
SW8
G11
SW9
S16

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick County Airport, NC11 mi37 minSSW 610.00 miFair87°F76°F71%1018.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUT

Wind History from SUT (wind in knots)
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
Last 24hrSW10SW10
G14
SW9
G14
SW11
G17
S8
G16
SW6SW8SW7
G14
SW9
G15
SW8
G15
--SW8
G14
------SW6--SW6W7W9
G15
W11
G17
SW10
G16
SW10
G15
SW10
G17
1 day agoW7SW7SW6S8--SW6SW4--------------------CalmCalm--SW9--W10
G14
SW8
G14
2 days agoSW8SW10S9SW9SW8SW8SW9SW7SW6----------------------W6SW7SW6SW7

Tide / Current Tables for Holden Beach, North Carolina
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Holden Beach
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:09 AM EDT     3.87 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:05 AM EDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:42 PM EDT     4.27 feet High Tide
Thu -- 12:55 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:43 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
3.93.732.110.1-0.200.71.72.73.64.14.33.82.91.80.80.20.10.51.222.8

Tide / Current Tables for Shallotte Inlet (Bowen Point), North Carolina
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Shallotte Inlet (Bowen Point)
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:48 AM EDT     4.41 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:32 AM EDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:55 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 01:26 PM EDT     4.76 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:02 PM EDT     1.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
4.34.44.23.62.81.91.10.70.71.32.33.54.34.74.74.33.62.71.91.31.11.42.13

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (13,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.