Wednesday, December11, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Carolina Beach, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:06AMSunset 5:03PM Wednesday December 11, 2019 5:38 AM EST (10:38 UTC) Moonrise 4:51PMMoonset 6:22AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 348 Am Est Wed Dec 11 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through late Friday night...
Today..N winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of rain this morning.
Tonight..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Thu..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
Thu night..NE winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri..E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming s. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers through the day.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
AMZ200 348 Am Est Wed Dec 11 2019
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles. In the wake of the cold frontal passage early this morning, expect gusty nw thru ne winds. Strong Wedge of high pressure will dominate the region this afternoon thru early Fri. Low pressure system is expected to affect the area during Fri into Sat with elevated winds and seas continuing.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carolina Beach, NC
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location: 34.03, -77.9     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 110909 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 409 AM EST Wed Dec 11 2019

SYNOPSIS. In the wake of the Cold frontal passage early this morning, expect gusty NW thru NE winds to develop and persist into Thu as ridging of high pressure affects the area with below normal temperatures. Gulf Low pressure system is expected to affect the area Fri into Sat with a good chance for rain. Drying conditions and high pressure will follow Sun into early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/. Cold front has pushed across the FA and is now off the Carolina Coasts, pushing further east. Water vapor imagery shows moisture lagging behind the cold front and therefore will be dealing with post frontal cloudiness and pcpn, mainly in the form of patchy light rain or drizzle thru noon today, and low clouds giving way to mid and upper level clouds. The cold front is progged to stall well offshore as it becomes oriented parallel to the flow aloft. CAA and the tightened sfc pg will produce NNW-NNE winds at 10 to 15 mph, with gusts 20 to 25 mph thru mid-afternoon today. Drier air, thru the atm column, will eventually reach the FA from midday today and remain-so thru Thu. Ridging from the sfc high will set up a wedge scenario across the Carolinas later today thru Thu. The high's center is progged to move off the NE States late Thu, resulting in the wedge to begin breaking down late Thu night into Fri as the source of colder air that helps maintain the wedge becomes no longer avbl. The pressure pattern depicted off the coast by models late Thu indicate the development of a coastal trof/front and will be dealing with this in the subsequent period. Various model MOS Guidance depict highs both days in the 50-55 range and tonights lows 28-32 except along the immediate coast where mid 30s are progged.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT/. Lingering moisture in the Western Gulf of Mexico will be picked up by a somewhat modest shortwave traversing what should be a zonal pattern by Thursday evening. This system however never really seems to get its act together until well north of the area. The main forcing mechanism will be isentropic lift with the coastal front. This will offer up the most organized rainfall. This occurs late Friday. Either side of this it appears to be shaping up to be kinda drizzly and overcast. Maintained the categorical pops. Temperatures will be high maintenance as usual with a coastal front. Highs Friday will be in the lower 60s or so along the coast with much cooler readings inland.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. A secondary mid level trough moving across to the north will bring a chance of lingering showers overnight Friday into the day Saturday. Beyond this the forecast will be dry with seasonable temperatures until late in the period when another front approaches. The first take with this system is very progressive with QPF amounts not overly impressive.

AVIATION /09Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Lowered vsby from fog will quickly dissipate once the cold front pushes thru and off the Carolina Coasts by 08Z. There- after will see NW-N winds pick up to around 10 kt. Will continue to deal with MVFR ceilings along with patchy light rain or drizzle thru late morning..with pcpn ending from west to east. VSBYs could briefly drop to 5sm from the patchy stratiform pcpn. Expect much improved sky conditions and VFR conditions thruout after 17Z. CAA after the CFP and the tightened sfc pg will yield NNW-NNE winds at 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, especially across the coastal terminals.

Extended Outlook . VFR Overnight Wednesday through Thursday. Another round of MVFR/IFR is possible Friday into Saturday as an area of low pressure moves by the coastal Carolinas. VFR expected Sunday.

MARINE. Today thru Thu: The CFP has occurred and will be followed by a further tightening of the sfc pg and post frontal CAA. The 2 will combine to produce SCA conditions today into Thu. The CAA will become neutral Thu but the tightened sfc pg will be enough to produce continued SCA threshold winds thruout the day Thu and beyond. Significant seas will be dominated initially by a SE swell at 9 second periods. Wind driven waves at 3 to 5 second periods initially, will build with time and could equal or become the dominant producer of seas depending on the spectral density plot. The local waters will see spotty light rain or drizzle thru midday with improvements to sky condition this aftn and tonight.

Thu Night thru Sun: A coastal front and storm system will be affecting the waters for the first couple of days. This system at this point isn't the most dynamic of systems and winds should be in a 10-15 knot range. This and the changeable nature of wind directions seem to preclude any long lived headlines. The cold air advection in the wake of the system is modest as well and the offshore flow will be relatively weak as well. Significant seas will reach six feet Friday and drop below SCA thresholds Sat with 2-4 feet.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST Saturday for AMZ250-252- 254-256.

SYNOPSIS . DCH NEAR TERM . DCH SHORT TERM . SHK LONG TERM . SHK AVIATION . DCH MARINE . DCH/SHK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 12 mi91 min N 14 G 19 56°F 58°F1019.1 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 12 mi59 min 58°F4 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 14 mi69 min NNW 15 G 21 55°F 57°F1019.7 hPa
WLON7 14 mi69 min 54°F 53°F1020.5 hPa
41108 22 mi69 min 57°F4 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 29 mi91 min N 18 G 23 58°F 66°F1018.5 hPa
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 33 mi91 min NNW 14 G 21 56°F 56°F1020.6 hPa
41119 34 mi49 min 56°F3 ft
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 42 mi39 min N 19 G 25 62°F 74°F1018.9 hPa (+1.2)59°F

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick County Airport, NC11 mi44 minN 17 G 2110.00 miOvercast55°F46°F74%1020.7 hPa
Wilmington International Airport, NC17 mi46 minN 11 G 2010.00 miOvercast53°F46°F80%1021.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUT

Wind History from SUT (wind in knots)
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1 day agoN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3S3S7SW5SW4SW5SW3S4S5SW4SW5SW7SW6SW6
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Tide / Current Tables for Wilmington Beach, North Carolina
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Wilmington Beach
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:13 AM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:21 AM EST     4.52 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:22 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 07:06 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:51 PM EST     0.20 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:51 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:02 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:40 PM EST     3.71 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-00.212.23.34.14.54.43.9321.10.40.20.61.52.43.23.63.73.32.61.70.8

Tide / Current Tables for Campbell Island, North Carolina
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Campbell Island
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:21 AM EST     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:22 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:57 AM EST     4.23 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:09 PM EST     0.09 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:51 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:02 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:23 PM EST     3.68 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.3-0.1-012.33.54.14.243.52.721.30.60.10.41.42.63.33.73.63.12.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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