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Marine Weather and Tides Carolina Beach, NC Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 7:06AM

Sunset 5:03PM

Wednesday December 11, 2019 5:38 AM EST (10:38 UTC)

Moonrise 4:51PM

Moonset 6:22AM

Illumination 100%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carolina Beach, NC

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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC

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FXUS62 KILM 110909 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 409 AM EST Wed Dec 11 2019

SYNOPSIS. In the wake of the Cold frontal passage early this morning, expect gusty NW thru NE winds to develop and persist into Thu as ridging of high pressure affects the area with below normal temperatures. Gulf Low pressure system is expected to affect the area Fri into Sat with a good chance for rain. Drying conditions and high pressure will follow Sun into early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/. Cold front has pushed across the FA and is now off the Carolina Coasts, pushing further east. Water vapor imagery shows moisture lagging behind the cold front and therefore will be dealing with post frontal cloudiness and pcpn, mainly in the form of patchy light rain or drizzle thru noon today, and low clouds giving way to mid and upper level clouds. The cold front is progged to stall well offshore as it becomes oriented parallel to the flow aloft. CAA and the tightened sfc pg will produce NNW-NNE winds at 10 to 15 mph, with gusts 20 to 25 mph thru mid-afternoon today. Drier air, thru the atm column, will eventually reach the FA from midday today and remain-so thru Thu. Ridging from the sfc high will set up a wedge scenario across the Carolinas later today thru Thu. The high's center is progged to move off the NE States late Thu, resulting in the wedge to begin breaking down late Thu night into Fri as the source of colder air that helps maintain the wedge becomes no longer avbl. The pressure pattern depicted off the coast by models late Thu indicate the development of a coastal trof/front and will be dealing with this in the subsequent period. Various model MOS Guidance depict highs both days in the 50-55 range and tonights lows 28-32 except along the immediate coast where mid 30s are progged.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT/. Lingering moisture in the Western Gulf of Mexico will be picked up by a somewhat modest shortwave traversing what should be a zonal pattern by Thursday evening. This system however never really seems to get its act together until well north of the area. The main forcing mechanism will be isentropic lift with the coastal front. This will offer up the most organized rainfall. This occurs late Friday. Either side of this it appears to be shaping up to be kinda drizzly and overcast. Maintained the categorical pops. Temperatures will be high maintenance as usual with a coastal front. Highs Friday will be in the lower 60s or so along the coast with much cooler readings inland.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. A secondary mid level trough moving across to the north will bring a chance of lingering showers overnight Friday into the day Saturday. Beyond this the forecast will be dry with seasonable temperatures until late in the period when another front approaches. The first take with this system is very progressive with QPF amounts not overly impressive.

AVIATION /09Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Lowered vsby from fog will quickly dissipate once the cold front pushes thru and off the Carolina Coasts by 08Z. There- after will see NW-N winds pick up to around 10 kt. Will continue to deal with MVFR ceilings along with patchy light rain or drizzle thru late morning..with pcpn ending from west to east. VSBYs could briefly drop to 5sm from the patchy stratiform pcpn. Expect much improved sky conditions and VFR conditions thruout after 17Z. CAA after the CFP and the tightened sfc pg will yield NNW-NNE winds at 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, especially across the coastal terminals.

Extended Outlook . VFR Overnight Wednesday through Thursday. Another round of MVFR/IFR is possible Friday into Saturday as an area of low pressure moves by the coastal Carolinas. VFR expected Sunday.

MARINE. Today thru Thu: The CFP has occurred and will be followed by a further tightening of the sfc pg and post frontal CAA. The 2 will combine to produce SCA conditions today into Thu. The CAA will become neutral Thu but the tightened sfc pg will be enough to produce continued SCA threshold winds thruout the day Thu and beyond. Significant seas will be dominated initially by a SE swell at 9 second periods. Wind driven waves at 3 to 5 second periods initially, will build with time and could equal or become the dominant producer of seas depending on the spectral density plot. The local waters will see spotty light rain or drizzle thru midday with improvements to sky condition this aftn and tonight.

Thu Night thru Sun: A coastal front and storm system will be affecting the waters for the first couple of days. This system at this point isn't the most dynamic of systems and winds should be in a 10-15 knot range. This and the changeable nature of wind directions seem to preclude any long lived headlines. The cold air advection in the wake of the system is modest as well and the offshore flow will be relatively weak as well. Significant seas will reach six feet Friday and drop below SCA thresholds Sat with 2-4 feet.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EST Saturday for AMZ250-252- 254-256.

SYNOPSIS . DCH NEAR TERM . DCH SHORT TERM . SHK LONG TERM . SHK AVIATION . DCH MARINE . DCH/SHK

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC	12 mi	91 min	N 14 G 19	56°F	58°F		1019.1 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC	12 mi	59 min			58°F	4 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC	14 mi	69 min	NNW 15 G 21	55°F	57°F		1019.7 hPa
WLON7	14 mi	69 min		54°F	53°F		1020.5 hPa
41108	22 mi	69 min			57°F	4 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC	29 mi	91 min	N 18 G 23	58°F	66°F		1018.5 hPa
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2)	33 mi	91 min	NNW 14 G 21	56°F	56°F		1020.6 hPa
41119	34 mi	49 min			56°F	3 ft
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy	42 mi	39 min	N 19 G 25	62°F	74°F		1018.9 hPa (+1.2)	59°F

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC

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SW9 G14

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NW16 G22

1 day ago

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N14 G17

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NW10 G15

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NW11 G14

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N9 G12

NW11 G15

NW6 G13

NW4 G7

NW8

N3 G7

NW8

NW8

NW7 G10

NW7 G10

NW7 G10

N2

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Brunswick County Airport, NC	11 mi	44 min	N 17 G 21	10.00 mi	Overcast	55°F	46°F	74%	1020.7 hPa
Wilmington International Airport, NC	17 mi	46 min	N 11 G 20	10.00 mi	Overcast	53°F	46°F	80%	1021.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUT

Wind History from SUT (wind in knots)

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W5

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SW10 G16

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S10 G18

S8 G15

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SW8 G14

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N9

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N13 G18

1 day ago

N3

Calm

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SE3

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Calm

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Tide / Current Tables for Wilmington Beach, North Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for Campbell Island, North Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (5,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC

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