Sunrise 6:28 AM   Sunset 7:51 PM Moonrise 6:48 PM   Moonset 5:12 AM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall

AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 936 Pm Edt Tue Apr 23 2024
Overnight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 9 seconds and sw 2 ft at 3 seconds. Wed - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: sw 4 ft at 4 seconds and E 3 ft at 10 seconds.Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: sw 4 ft at 5 seconds and E 3 ft at 11 seconds. A slight chance of showers. Thu - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 5 seconds and E 2 ft at 11 seconds. Thu night - NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 6 seconds and S 1 foot at 5 seconds. Fri - NE winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Fri night - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Sat - E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Sat night - SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Sun - SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Sun night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

AMZ200 936 Pm Edt Tue Apr 23 2024
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - High pressure will move farther offshore into tomorrow ahead of a cold front. Increasing southwest winds are expected in advance of the next cold front that will arrive Wednesday night. High pressure will build in from the north Thursday through Saturday.

FXUS62 KILM 240137 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 937 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

SYNOPSIS
A weak backdoor front will bring only minor rain chances late Wednesday into Wednesday night. High pressure will build in from the north thereafter but not really bring a cooldown. A warming trend is then slated for the weekend into early next week.

UPDATE
Not much in the way of changes for the overnight. Much warmer tonight compared to last night as well mixed boundary layer keep temperatures within a few degrees of climo, upper 40s to around 50 in most areas. Fog also will not be an issue with wind speeds of 5-10 mph overnight.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Surface high pressure will shift increasingly offshore through the period while subtle mid-level ridging is shunted away by a trough swinging through the Ohio Valley into the Northeast. At this latitude, we are expecting to see a glancing influence from this trough with small height falls and weak warm advection ahead of its associated cold front. With the best forcing for ascent staying to our north and surface convergence along the front waning as it becomes oriented increasingly parallel to the flow aloft, only isolated showers are expected at this time from late Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night as it settles southward. While some hi-res guidance depicts a swath or two of heavier shower activity, the majority of models keep precip sparse, so will opt to keep PoPs on the slight-chance side for now, although this may need to be raised in the future for the northern and western areas of our CWA

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Backdoor cold front will be sagging through the area at the start of the period. Enough guidance is hinting at small rain chances as this occurs and after some inter-office collab decided to introduce some small rain chances. Dry air readily filters in behind this boundary for a sunny Thursday that will wind up seasonable.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
HIgh pressure wedged in from the north seemingly can't decide whether it wants to retreat or not Friday. Other than the wind forecast this will have little bearing as solar modification by the increasingly strong sunshine will offset the weak NE winds for a seasonably warm afternoon. The surface high finally pulls away to the north and east over the weekend but the high aloft will be overhead. This will lead to quiet weather and a gradual warming trend, temperatures almost 10 degrees above climo by the end of the period.

AVIATION /01Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
VFR continues across the area with south to southwest winds gradually increasing ahead of approaching cold front. Front is weak, but will pinch the gradient enough to make winds gusty later tonight and Wednesday with potential for gusts around 20 kt. Front will be accompanied by BKN/OVC ceilings and maybe some light rain although cloud bases will end up between 5k and 10k ft which will limit the amount of rain reaching the surface.

Extended Outlook...Low potential for MVFR Wednesday night.
Potential for MVFR/IFR Thursday and Friday morning.

MARINE
Through Wednesday... With high pressure moving offshore, southerly winds increase tonight and gradually veer through southwesterly tomorrow ahead of a cold front. Elevated seas due to 2-4 ft easterly 10-sec swells will remain in place while an increasing south to southwesterly wind wave component builds to 2-4 ft by late Wednesday afternoon.

Wednesday through Sunday... A backdoor cold front pushes through at the start of the period turning veering our SW considerably by Thursday, by which time they will have changed 180 degrees. This will confuse seas, steepening wave faces and likely making the wind chop be more prevalent then the easterly swell. The post-frontal high will remain to our north until Friday and less so Saturday leading to more gradual veering than the early period FROPA. Winds will be back to southerly by the period's end.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...High Risk for Rip Currents from 6 AM EDT Wednesday through Wednesday evening for NCZ106-108.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Orton Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:48 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:45 AM EDT     3.93 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:54 PM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:48 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:51 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tue -- 10:07 PM EDT     4.55 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Orton Point, North Carolina, Tide feet

Reaves Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:15 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:12 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:46 AM EDT     3.61 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:18 PM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:48 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:51 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tue -- 09:12 PM EDT     4.22 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Reaves Point, North Carolina, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop




Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Wilmington, NC,