Saturday, December14, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Sea Breeze, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 5:04PM Saturday December 14, 2019 6:41 PM EST (23:41 UTC) Moonrise 7:37PMMoonset 9:22AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 555 Pm Est Sat Dec 14 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 5 am est Sunday...
Tonight..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, subsiding to 3 to 4 ft after midnight.
Sun..W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sun night..SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Mon night..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft after midnight. A chance of rain after midnight.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Rain likely through the day, then a chance of rain through the night.
Wed..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
AMZ200 555 Pm Est Sat Dec 14 2019
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles. Gusty westerly winds and higher seas into tonight will subside as high pressure builds in. Low water conditions may occur in spots with the overnight low tide. Improving marine conditions return for Sunday into Monday. An increase in winds and seas will come Tuesday through Wednesday ahead and following a cold front. High pressure will build in Wednesday through Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sea Breeze, NC
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location: 34.08, -77.89     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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FXUS62 KILM 142311 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 611 PM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

SYNOPSIS. Dry high pressure will build in from the northwest tonight through Sunday. Southerly winds will bring warmer temperatures Monday and Tuesday, followed by increasing rain chances as another cold front crosses the area late Tuesday. Cold and dry weather will follow through the end of the week.

UPDATE/. Light echo returns of weak and shallow convection skirting very northern Robeson County early this evening associated with a short-wave, but very little if at all, reaching the ground. As such, mostly clear skies and cooling temperatures with easing wind appears on target, very few changes required at this time.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. Mid to upper trough swinging across the Southeast will lift off to the north as sfc high migrates across the Southeast moving offshore by Sun night. This will leave a a flat deep westerly flow across the area tonight through Sunday. The deep gusty westerly flow will help scour out any lingering moisture leaving a dry column across the area by Sun morning. Temps should drop to the mid 30s inland to around 40 closer to the coast tonight as dry and cool air moves in. Any minor CAA tonight will wane with WAA developing into Sun. The downslope component to the flow will help boost temps to slightly above normal on Sunday with highs in the low to mid 60s most places. A greater southerly component to the flow will develop beginning late Sun night around high pressure off shore, but with center of high just south, expect very light return flow and temps lowering to between 40 and 45.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. High pressure off the coast ahead of an approaching storm will bring south winds, warm temperatures into the mid to upper 60s, and dry conditions Monday. Models in good agreement to bringing a cold front through the Carolinas Tuesday afternoon/evening for some wet weather. Some instability in the atmospheric profile likely mainly near the coast, so slight chances for some rumbles of thunder are possible in the strongest rain showers with moderate intensity at times Tuesday night. The front will exit sometime overnight Tuesday into early Wednesday morning with clearing skies, northwest gusty winds and cooler temperatures.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. High pressure dominates Wednesday through Friday with near to slightly below normal temperatures for mid to late December. Recent model trends are showing the development of a coastal low late next week that could bring chances for rain and gusty winds.

AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. A few low-level clouds with MVFR CIGs are possible in inland NC as a shortwave moves through. However, expect VFR and clear skies throughout the period as high pressure builds behind an exiting cold front. If any fog develops overnight it will be shallow and likely not cause widespread issues. Winds out of the west around 5-10 knots should curb development completely (could see advection fog off of the water at CRE).

Extended Outlook . VFR expected through Monday. Sub-VFR conditions could return Tuesday with a cold front passage. VFR mid-to-late week.

MARINE. CAA will wane through tonight in a diminishing westerly off shore flow. SCA conditions should peak this evening with seas up to 5 to 7 ft in the outer waters dropping off to 2 to 4 ft by morning. Small Craft Advisory will run just past midnight in southern waters and will linger slightly longer north of Cape Fear but will drop off quickly overnight. Expect gusty westerly winds up to 15 to 25 kt to lower to 5 to 15 kts overnight and less than 10 kts most waters by Sun aftn. The center of high pressure will remain south of local waters as it migrates across the Southeast shifting off shore by Sun night. This will allow winds to back to the S-SW late Sun into Sun night remaining 10 kts or less. This will maintain seas 3 ft or less Sun night into Mon.

Winds will be under transition early next week. A weak northeast flow will give way to a return south to southwesterly flow Monday and remain in place until a cold front moves across the waters overnight Tuesday.

Frontal push Tuesday into Tuesday night may bring some rough seas for smaller vessels operating offshore with waves 4 to 6 feet from the south at 7 seconds and southwest winds 20 to 25 kts with gusts to 30 kts at times. Slight chances for thunderstorms with locally higher winds and waves along the front, especially at 20 NM and beyond. High pressure returns for Wednesday through Friday with a chance for a coastal low to bring more unsettled weather and seas for next weekend.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. SC . None. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Sunday for AMZ254-256. Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EST Sunday for AMZ250-252.



UPDATE . MJC NEAR TERM . RGZ SHORT TERM . MCK LONG TERM . MCK AVIATION . 21 MARINE . MCK/RGZ


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 10 mi94 min WNW 21 G 29 56°F 56°F1003.9 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 10 mi62 min 56°F5 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 11 mi72 min W 12 G 23 55°F 56°F1004.3 hPa
WLON7 11 mi72 min 54°F 54°F1005.1 hPa
41108 26 mi72 min 56°F6 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 29 mi94 min W 23 G 29 58°F 65°F1003.6 hPa
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 35 mi94 min W 18 G 23 55°F 55°F1006 hPa
41119 35 mi52 min 55°F3 ft
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 45 mi52 min W 27 G 33 60°F 69°F8 ft1005.9 hPa52°F

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wilmington International Airport, NC14 mi49 minW 910.00 miA Few Clouds53°F45°F74%1005.6 hPa
Brunswick County Airport, NC14 mi47 minW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy54°F45°F74%1006.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUT

Wind History from SUT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE3CalmCalmCalmS3SW7SW5SW7SW6SW7W10
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1 day agoNE9N6NE9
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NE5N6N8N6N6N6NE5NE5NE6N6NE7NE7NE6N10N7NE5NE8N5N4E4
2 days agoN9N9N7N9N9N4N3N3NE4N4N6N7N7N7NE9NE10
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Tide / Current Tables for Orton Point, North Carolina
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Orton Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:23 AM EST     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:21 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 09:58 AM EST     4.76 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:03 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:16 PM EST     0.13 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:36 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:32 PM EST     3.92 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.921.10.4-0.1-0.10.82.33.74.54.84.643.22.31.50.70.20.31.32.53.53.93.9

Tide / Current Tables for Reaves Point, North Carolina
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Reaves Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:45 AM EST     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:21 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 09:36 AM EST     4.56 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:28 PM EST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:03 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:37 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:57 PM EST     3.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.21.30.5-0-0.20.41.62.93.94.54.54.13.42.41.40.60.20.20.91.92.83.43.63.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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