Sunrise 6:12 AM   Sunset 8:18 PM Moonrise 3:49 PM   Moonset 2:58 AM

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AMZ254 Coastal Waters From Little River Inlet To Murrells Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 1008 Pm Edt Sat May 18 2024
Overnight - SW winds 10 kt, becoming W late. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 5 seconds and se 1 ft at 9 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms. Sun - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and ne 2 ft at 6 seconds. A slight chance of tstms in the morning. A chance of showers. Sun night - NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 5 seconds. A chance of showers, mainly in the evening. Mon - NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: ne 3 ft at 5 seconds and S 1 ft at 5 seconds. Mon night - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 7 seconds. Tue - NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 7 seconds and S 1 ft at 6 seconds. Tue night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wed - NE winds 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Thu - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Thu night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ200 1008 Pm Edt Sat May 18 2024
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - A cold front will sag southward tonight, bringing unsettled weather to the waters through Sunday. High pressure with accompanying dry weather will build in from the west for early next week.

FXUS62 KILM 190544 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 144 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024

SYNOPSIS
A front will push off the coast tonight, with a chance of showers and thunderstorms continuing into Sunday. Cooler and drier air will move into the area on Monday and Tuesday. Temperatures will warm by mid-week, and no precipitation is expected. A weakening cold front will approach the region Thursday night, bringing a chance of showers and thunderstorms on Friday and Saturday.

UPDATE
A line of showers with isolated thunder is persisting across northern SC and into the Cape Fear region. This line is along an area of low level convergence (seen on 925mb and 850mb mesoanalysis charts) where a front is lingering. This line of scattered showers is expected to persist over the next few hours, with only slow movement southward allowing for some training. WPC has issued a Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion along this line for possible isolated flooding, particularly for low-lying area, as we've had well above normal rainfall the past 1-2 weeks. Luckily instability is meager, especially given time of day, so convection is quite shallow, which would require decent training to produce flooding concerns.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
Energy in the mid levels of the atmosphere will interact with a frontal boundary and warm, moist air over the area to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly this afternoon and evening. The front will drop south through the area late tonight into Sunday, reducing but not eliminating chances for rain for Sunday. Lows tonight will fall to the mid 60s with highs Sunday in the low to mid 70s.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
A cold front will shift off the coast, and scattered showers are possible along the coastal counties through midnight. Cool, dry, high pressure will build over the area on Monday. Monday's high temperatures will be in the upper to lower 70s. Lows on Sunday night will be in the upper 50s, and on Monday night, they will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
High pressure will remain over the regions Tuesday through Thursday.
A cold front will move into the Carolinas on Thursday and to the eastern half of the Carolinas on Friday. This front will dissipate over the area on Saturday. Chances of showers and thunderstorms will begin Thursday afternoon, mainly west of Interstate 95, before chances increase across the entire region on Friday and Saturday.

As the week progresses, we can anticipate a gradual increase in temperatures. On Tuesday, highs are expected to reach the lower 80s inland and the upper 70s along the beaches. This warming trend will continue from Wednesday to Saturday, with highs climbing to the mid- to upper 80s inland and the lower 80s at the beaches. Low temperatures will slowly rise from the lower 60s Tuesday night to 67 to 70 degrees along the coast.

AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
MVFR ceilings have begun to develop, mainly north of a semi- stationary line of showers and isolated thunderstorms across northern SC and into Cape Fear region. As the boundary associated with these showers move southward, sub-VFR ceilings will in turn spread further south. Ceilings expected to be solid IFR for majority of the area by pre-dawn hours and linger for a bit into the day Sunday. Low level wedging may keep low stratus across the area through at least 18z before improvements begin from NW to SE late afternoon. IFR may become low-end MVFR around midday (16z). After stratus clears out (possibly not until after 0z at SC coastal terminals), VFR conditions tonight.

Current line of showers/storms will impact KFLO for a few more hours before moving southward. Additional activity centered across SC may impact KCRE and KMYR late morning into afternoon hours. Winds generally out of the NE 5-10 kts majority of TAF period.

Extended Outlook...VFR during the day on Monday. VFR should otherwise prevail with early morning vis or cig restrictions possible each day through the end of the period.

MARINE
Through Sunday: Southwest winds to 10 KT or less will become west late tonight and N to NE at 10 to 15 KT Sunday. Seas of 2 to 3 FT tonight will continue into Sunday.

Sunday Night Through Friday: A cold front will shift east of the waters on Sunday night, and high pressure will build over the waters through Thursday. On Friday, a cold front will approach eastern North Carolina.

Winds are expected to increase to 15 to 20 knots Sunday night into Monday before the pressure gradient weakens by Monday afternoon. A Small Craft Advisory may be needed on Monday, with the best chances in the waters south of Murrells Inlet, highlighting the need for caution.

Seas are expected to increase to 2 to 4 feet on Sunday night into Monday before diminishing to 2 feet by Thursday.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Rhems
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:02 AM EDT     1.09 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:52 AM EDT     1.70 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:51 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:23 PM EDT     0.73 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:35 PM EDT     1.82 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Rhems, Black Mingo Creek, Black River, South Carolina, Tide feet

Conway
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:07 AM EDT     1.20 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:17 AM EDT     0.77 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:11 PM EDT     1.18 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:38 PM EDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Conway, RR. bridge, Waccamaw River, South Carolina, Tide feet

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